<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

Raul Casanova
New York Mets [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 36
6'
235 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 MID AA 11 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 .182 .182 .273 -.567 .182 .182 .273 .129 -1.4 -0.2
2006 SAC AAA 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0.0 .250 .250 .250 -.667 .188 .188 .188 .000 -2.5 -0.3
2007 DUR AAA 153 14 9 0 5 21 12 32 0 0 0.0 .291 .346 .461 -.239 .224 .275 .371 .221 -5.4 37-C -6 -0.7
2007 TBA MLB 89 12 1 1 6 11 7 17 0 0 -0.3 .253 .315 .519 .060 .253 .322 .519 .282 5.0 19-C -2 0.4
2008 NWO AAA 168 18 12 0 4 23 11 29 0 0 -2.4 .295 .345 .449 -.230 .239 .284 .358 .221 -5.5 21-C -10 9-1B 0 -1.4
2008 NYN MLB 61 5 2 0 1 6 6 10 0 0 -0.1 .273 .344 .364 -.091 .273 .344 .364 .251 1.4 13-C 1 0.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:48 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 219 27 11 1 6 28 16 43 0 0 -1.5 .268 .326 .422 -.013 .272 .329 .442 .263 7.4 55-C -3 1.2
75o 202 21 9 1 5 24 14 41 0 0 -1.3 .250 .305 .383 -.120 .254 .308 .401 .243 1.7 51-C -3 0.6
60o 193 18 8 0 4 22 13 40 0 0 -1.2 .240 .293 .362 -.177 .244 .296 .379 .231 -0.9 49-C -3 0.3
50o 189 17 8 0 4 21 12 40 0 0 -1.2 .235 .288 .353 -.202 .239 .291 .370 .226 -2.0 48-C -3 0.2
40o 178 14 7 0 3 19 11 38 0 0 -1.1 .225 .276 .331 -.259 .229 .279 .347 .213 -4.3 46-C -3 0.0
25o 145 8 5 0 2 13 8 33 0 0 -0.8 .198 .243 .273 -.418 .201 .246 .286 .173 -8.8 38-C -3 -0.7
10o 117 4 4 0 1 8 6 28 0 0 -0.6 .180 .221 .235 -.522 .183 .223 .246 .138 -9.9 32-C -3 -0.9
Weighted Mean 151 12 6 0 3 16 10 32 0 0 -1.1 .234 .287 .350 -.224 .238 .289 .366 .223 -0.6 40-C -3 0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

20%

45%

36%

63%

1.11

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 36) 151 12 6 0 3 16 10 32 0 0 -1.1 .234 .287 .350 -.224 .238 .289 .366 .223 -0.6 40-C -3 0.2
2010 (age 37) 169 13 7 0 3 17 12 36 0 0 -0.6 .226 .286 .323 -.267 .227 .285 .334 .215 -2.0 44-C -5 0.0
2011 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .234 .283 .335
vs RHP .234 .288 .358
Split +.000 -.005 -.023
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -2.9 -3.0 0.2 $400,000 -3.8 0.8
2010 -4.5 -5.0 0.0 $400,000 -4.5 0.0
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 $150,000 0.2 1.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .243 .226 .173 .223
2010 .244 .220 .193 .215
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 63% 0% 20%
2010 81% 51% 11%
2011 94% 75% 7%
2012 97% 92% 3%
2013 97% 95% 2%
2014 97% 97% 2%
2015 100% 96% 0%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

32

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jamie Burke 2008 43 11 Terry Steinbach 1999 22
2 Kelly Stinnett 2006 35 12 Jamie Quirk 1991 22
3 Jerry McNertney 1973 32 13 Bob Scheffing 1950 21
4 Ray Murray 1954 32 14 Mike DiFelice 2006 20
5 Ron Hassey 1990 29 15 Dave Valle 1997 20
6 John Flaherty 2004 28 16 Bill Haselman 2003 20
7 Gary Ward 1990 26 17 Walt Dropo 1959 20
8 Sal Fasano 2008 26 18 Eric Karros 2004 19
9 Damian Miller 2006 24 19 Mickey Livingston 1951 19
10 Del Rice 1959 23 20 Steve Yeager 1985 19

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

After getting a grand total of five big-league plate appearances over the preceding four seasons, Casanova got semi-regular time as Tampa's backup catcher last year and slugged over .500. Despite that, his defensive shortcomings demonstrated why he wasn't getting much playing time in the first place, and Tampa designated him for assignment, not once but twice, properly identifying that slugging percentage as a small-sample fluke.

2003

Once upon a time, Casanova was a touted prospect for his bat. As is distressingly common with catchers, it never happened. The Orioles claimed him off of waivers last September to give them catching depth down the stretch. “Having depth” doesn’t automatically mean using it, though, as he just sat at the end of the bench every day. He’ll be a waiver-wire pickup again in 2003.

2002

Just when it began to look like Davey Lopes was getting a clue, in that Lopes recognized that his lineup was better off with Casanova than with Henry Blanco, a knee injury ended Casanova’s season in mid-August. Casanova had some good times in Miller Park that might heighten people’s expectations, but he is better off as a solid caddy.

2001

It gives little comfort to know that if and when Henry Blanco slumps his way back to the bench, his at-bats will go to Raul Casanova. What Casanova did last year is about all that can be expected from him. He hits a lot of ground balls and isn’t a very good defensive catcher; he switch-hits, so he’ll likely stick around.

2000

Essentially finished as a prospect, Casanova best serves as a reminder of how pointless Randy Smith’s obsession with his former team’s players was. Free to go as a minor-league free agent, Casanova has to hope somebody remembers his big 1994 and gives him a shot.

1999

He’s got one season on his resume that suggests he can hit, and that was in A-ball four years ago. Fair defense, and one of the few switch-hitting catchers in the game today, but the Tigers have lost patience with him. He isn’t out of chances yet, but they’re punching “Hell’s Bells” into the sound system as we speak.

1998

A stocky catcher entering his make-or-break year. Casanova has the potential to hit for a lot more power than he’s demonstrated in the majors thus far. No huge platoon split. A team could certainly do a lot worse at catcher. Raul may not develop, but he definitely could break out and become a star, combining good defense with above average hitting. He’s got the next 1000 plate appearances to do it.

1997

Casanova achieved prospect status with a monster 1994 season, but his numbers were inflated some by playing in the hitter-happy California League. Still, switch-hitting catchers with power are roughly as common as family fare on Fox, and the Tigers did well to get him in the Nieves deal. Threw out only 22% of basestealers last year. His Vlad is probably a bit optimistic, but the Tigers would be fools not to give him 400 at bats to find out.

1996

We've got six years of data. Five say he's not a real prospect, one says he's at least a minor one. That 1994 was good, but when a 21-year-old four-year pro has a big year in A ball, some skepticism is called for. Good defensive reputation. Traded to Detroit, where he'll have a clearer shot at a major league job.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.