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Robinson Cancel
New York Mets [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 33
6'
195 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 BIN AA 59 5 3 0 2 6 2 12 1 2 -2.0 .259 .276 .426 -.625 .161 .172 .250 .117 -8.4 9-LF -4 5-C -1 -1.3
2007 NWO AAA 199 18 13 1 4 25 13 34 3 0 0.0 .264 .315 .412 -.352 .205 .253 .324 .201 -13.0 39-C -2 7-1B -2 -1.1
2008 SLU A+ 15 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0.2 .143 .200 .143 -.954 .071 .133 .071 .000 -4.0 -0.3
2008 NWO AAA 59 8 4 1 1 8 4 5 1 0 -0.6 .346 .397 .519 .007 .278 .322 .463 .267 2.1 13-C -4 0.0
2008 NYN MLB 53 5 2 0 1 5 3 6 1 2 -0.1 .245 .288 .347 -.157 .265 .308 .367 .221 -1.3 10-C -1 -0.2


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/8/09 1:15 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 228 35 13 1 5 30 16 38 3 2 0.0 .295 .352 .437 .075 .300 .355 .458 .279 12.4 57-C -4 1.5
75o 204 23 10 1 3 23 14 35 2 1 0.0 .256 .311 .372 -.119 .260 .314 .390 .244 1.8 51-C -3 0.6
60o 198 21 9 1 3 22 13 34 2 1 0.0 .246 .301 .356 -.167 .250 .304 .373 .234 -0.5 50-C -3 0.4
50o 189 18 8 1 2 19 12 33 2 1 0.0 .234 .287 .335 -.231 .237 .290 .351 .221 -3.3 48-C -3 0.1
40o 181 16 8 1 2 18 11 32 2 1 0.0 .223 .276 .318 -.280 .227 .279 .333 .211 -5.2 46-C -3 0.0
25o 168 13 7 1 2 15 10 31 2 1 0.0 .207 .258 .290 -.363 .210 .260 .304 .192 -8.1 43-C -3 -0.4
10o 115 5 3 0 1 6 6 23 1 1 0.0 .157 .203 .208 -.602 .160 .205 .218 .114 -12.0 31-C -2 -0.9
Weighted Mean 167 15 8 1 2 16 11 29 2 1 0.0 .239 .293 .344 -.217 .243 .296 .360 .226 -0.3 43-C -2 0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

63%

70%

18%

47%

1.02

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 33) 167 15 8 1 2 16 11 29 2 1 0.0 .239 .293 .344 -.217 .243 .296 .360 .226 -0.3 43-C -2 0.3
2010 (age 34) 166 15 8 1 2 17 9 29 2 0 0.0 .235 .283 .342 -.243 .236 .281 .353 .222 -1.8 43-C -2 0.1
2011 (age 35) 124 10 6 1 2 12 7 23 2 0 0.0 .238 .284 .344 -.237 .238 .282 .355 .224 -1.1 34-C -2 0.1
2012 (age 36) 125 10 5 1 2 13 8 23 1 0 0.0 .234 .288 .336 -.242 .234 .287 .347 .223 -0.8 34-C -1 0.1
2013 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .254 .310 .370
vs RHP .234 .286 .331
Split +.020 +.025 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -2.2 -2.0 0.3 $575,000 -2.2 1.4
2010 -2.9 -2.0 0.1 $400,000 -3.5 0.7
2011 -1.9 -2.0 0.1 $400,000 -2.2 0.5
2012 -2.0 -1.0 0.1 $500,000 -1.4 0.3
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.5 $475,000 0.0 3.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .244 .221 .192 .226
2010 .249 .221 .192 .222
2011 .249 .225 .187 .224
2012 .247 .222 .152 .223
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 47% 0% 63%
2010 55% 31% 58%
2011 73% 47% 53%
2012 81% 63% 53%
2013 92% 80% 45%
2014 97% 88% 36%
2015 99% 87% 29%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

56

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Mike Difelice 2002 57 11 Brook Fordyce 2003 47
2 Russ Gibson 1972 56 12 Clyde McCullough 1950 47
3 Jose Molina 2008 56 13 Ron Tingley 1992 44
4 Vance Wilson 2006 55 14 Jerry McNertney 1969 43
5 Clyde Kluttz 1951 55 15 Pat Borders 1996 43
6 Bob Montgomery 1977 54 16 Dixie Howell 1953 43
7 Mike Roarke 1964 53 17 Steve Lake 1990 43
8 Larry Cox 1980 49 18 John Boccabella 1974 42
9 Gary Bennett 2005 49 19 Jerry Zimmerman 1967 42
10 Mickey Grasso 1953 49 20 Ebba St. Claire 1954 41

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