Ryan Budde

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Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	SLC	AAA	244	32	15	0	8	33	22	55	1	1	-0.7	.233	.324	.414	-.332	.182	.262	.336	.206	-14.6	37-C -2 8-1B -1	-1.1
2007	CLR	A+	10	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0.0	.200	.200	.300	-.853	.100	.100	.200	.000	-2.2		-0.2
2007	SLC	AAA	177	21	12	0	4	28	18	27	2	2	-2.7	.295	.367	.449	-.272	.214	.287	.333	.217	-7.7	32-C 2 5-1B 0	0.0
2007	ANA	MLB	18	0	1	0	0	1	0	6	0	0	-0.1	.167	.167	.222	-.670	.167	.167	.222	.058	-2.2	5-C 0	-0.2
2008	SLC	AAA	186	16	8	2	2	23	10	47	3	0	0.5	.202	.258	.306	-.671	.136	.183	.205	.097	-28.5	37-C -5 10-1B 0	-2.6

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:18 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	277	25	13	1	6	26	20	72	2	1	-0.9	.222	.287	.348	-.224	.221	.289	.363	.229	-4.6	68-C -3	0.6
75^o	262	19	11	0	4	23	17	70	2	1	-0.8	.195	.257	.302	-.359	.194	.259	.315	.198	-12.6	64-C -3	-0.3
60^o	253	16	10	0	4	21	16	69	2	1	-0.7	.181	.241	.278	-.429	.180	.243	.290	.180	-16.2	62-C -3	-0.8
50^o	247	14	9	0	3	20	15	68	2	1	-0.7	.173	.231	.263	-.471	.172	.233	.275	.168	-18.3	61-C -3	-1.0
40^o	242	13	9	0	3	19	14	67	2	1	-0.7	.167	.223	.252	-.503	.166	.225	.263	.158	-19.7	60-C -3	-1.2
25^o	226	10	7	0	2	16	12	64	2	1	-0.6	.150	.203	.223	-.588	.149	.205	.232	.126	-22.9	56-C -4	-1.7
10^o	174	6	5	0	1	8	9	54	1	0	-0.4	.134	.183	.195	-.672	.133	.184	.203	.023	-21.1	45-C -4	-1.9
Weighted Mean	244	13	9	0	3	19	14	67	2	1	-0.7	.170	.227	.258	-.470	.169	.229	.269	.162	-18.7	60-C -2	-0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
41%	54%	39%	29%	2.65

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 29)	244	13	9	0	3	19	14	67	2	1	-0.7	.170	.227	.258	-.470	.169	.229	.269	.162	-18.7	60-C -2	-0.8
2010 (age 30)	237	13	9	0	3	20	14	67	2	1	-0.5	.165	.224	.255	-.488	.166	.229	.269	.159	-13.3	59-C -3	-0.6
2011 (age 31)	227	12	9	0	3	18	14	64	1	1	-0.3	.167	.225	.257	-.483	.168	.230	.271	.161	-7.3	57-C -4	-0.4
2012 (age 32)	143	7	5	0	2	12	10	39	1	0	-0.1	.171	.242	.261	-.441	.173	.247	.276	.174	-3.5	38-C -3	-0.2
2013 (age 33)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.186	.246	.282
vs RHP	.167	.222	.250
Split	+.020	+.025	+.033
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-17.8	-2.0	-0.8	$400,000	-18.2	0.1
2010	-17.8	-3.0	-0.6	$400,000	-13.3	0.2
2011	-16.8	-4.0	-0.4	$400,000	-7.4	0.0
2012	-9.2	-3.0	-0.2	$400,000	-3.8	0.0
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.198	.168	.126	.162
2010	.209	.171	.097	.159
2011	.205	.176	.126	.161
2012	.216	.195	.134	.174
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	29%	0%	41%
2010	53%	30%	37%
2011	72%	57%	31%
2012	86%	65%	31%
2013	88%	81%	27%
2014	95%	88%	23%
2015	96%	94%	22%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

66

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Pedro Lopez	1999	65		11	Doug Davis	1992	60
2	Brandon Marsters	2005	64		12	Jeff Datz	1989	60
3	Mike Basso	1994	64		13	Ed Fulton	1995	56
4	Willie Morales	2002	62		14	Paul Chiaffredo	2006	55
5	Ron Tingley	1989	62		15	Jeff Horn	2000	52
6	Mark Strittmatter	1999	62		16	Charlie Greene	2000	51
7	Kevin Cash	2007	61		17	Jorge Brito	1996	51
8	Tim Edge	1998	61		18	Jason Hill	2007	51
9	Dave Toth	1999	60		19	Carlos Hernandez	1997	51
10	Ray Stephens	1992	60		20	Don Wakamatsu	1993	51

Player Comments

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2008

Ryan Budde has never been a regular at Triple-A, much less a threat to hold a job in the majors. His first good partial year with the bat doesn't change that.

2007

Before the Phillies signed Rod Barajas, they snagged Ryan Budde through the Rule 5 draft as a potential third-catcher candidate.