T.J. Bohn

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	MRN	Rk	17	4	3	1	0	1	1	8	3	0	1.6	.250	.294	.563	-.919	.118	.118	.118	.000	-10.2	4-CF -1	-0.6
2006	TAC	AAA	419	53	20	1	9	43	33	81	15	3	2.4	.283	.345	.413	-.183	.247	.301	.366	.236	-7.8	51-RF -2 42-CF -9	-1.4
2006	SEA	MLB	16	2	0	0	1	2	2	8	0	0	0.0	.143	.250	.357	-.349	.143	.250	.357	.208	-0.9	5-RF 0	0.0
2007	BRA	Rk	37	8	5	0	1	5	5	8	1	2	-0.2	.355	.432	.613	-.512	.176	.237	.235	.155	-10.6	5-CF 0	-0.6
2007	MIS	AA	101	15	3	0	1	6	14	23	3	0	0.0	.224	.337	.294	-.533	.156	.245	.211	.160	-12.2	23-RF -4	-1.4
2007	RIC	AAA	170	20	8	0	1	14	21	41	8	4	-1.0	.241	.343	.317	-.338	.201	.290	.282	.208	-11.0	36-RF -1	-0.9
2008	LEH	AAA	348	30	19	2	4	27	25	85	4	2	-1.2	.215	.280	.326	-.453	.178	.239	.277	.173	-33.6	45-RF -4 29-CF -3	-3.8

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:53 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	422	42	23	1	8	38	33	115	7	3	-0.2	.232	.297	.359	-.202	.232	.297	.364	.231	-10.8	100-RF -2	-0.6
75^o	412	38	21	1	7	36	32	115	6	2	-0.2	.221	.287	.340	-.252	.221	.287	.345	.220	-15.4	98-RF -2	-1.0
60^o	396	32	19	1	6	32	30	114	5	2	-0.2	.205	.271	.312	-.328	.205	.271	.317	.203	-21.8	95-RF -2	-1.7
50^o	384	29	17	1	5	30	29	113	5	2	-0.2	.194	.260	.293	-.378	.194	.260	.298	.191	-25.7	92-RF -2	-2.1
40^o	375	26	16	1	5	29	28	112	5	2	-0.2	.187	.253	.281	-.412	.187	.253	.285	.182	-28.1	90-RF -2	-2.4
25^o	350	20	13	1	3	24	26	109	4	2	-0.1	.167	.233	.247	-.503	.167	.233	.250	.155	-33.6	84-RF -2	-3.0
10^o	323	16	11	1	3	20	23	106	3	1	-0.1	.151	.217	.219	-.577	.151	.217	.222	.128	-36.6	78-RF -2	-3.4
Weighted Mean	396	30	18	1	5	31	30	116	5	2	-0.2	.193	.259	.291	-.373	.193	.259	.296	.189	-23.7	94-RF -2	-1.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
38%	50%	33%	14%	1.17

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 29)	396	30	18	1	5	31	30	116	5	2	-0.2	.193	.259	.291	-.373	.193	.259	.296	.189	-23.7	94-RF -2	-1.9
2010 (age 30)	354	26	16	1	5	30	26	98	4	2	-0.1	.198	.263	.300	-.376	.196	.259	.300	.194	-13.4	85-RF -3	-1.0
2011 (age 31)	360	28	16	1	6	32	28	104	4	2	0.0	.201	.268	.309	-.353	.198	.265	.309	.200	-7.9	86-RF -2	-0.5
2012 (age 32)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 33)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.206	.276	.317
vs RHP	.190	.253	.281
Split	+.016	+.024	+.035
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-29.1	-2.0	-1.9	$400,000	-28.6	0.0
2010	-24.6	-3.0	-1.0	$400,000	-16.5	0.0
2011	-23.1	-2.0	-0.5	$400,000	-9.2	0.0
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.220	.191	.155	.189
2010	.228	.192	.165	.194
2011	.232	.208	.184	.200
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	14%	0%	38%
2010	52%	38%	27%
2011	69%	57%	29%
2012	82%	75%	24%
2013	89%	85%	21%
2014	96%	92%	20%
2015	97%	93%	14%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

63

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Jim Chamblee	2004	57		11	Rob Sasser	2004	48
2	Mark Davidson	1990	56		12	Ira Smith	1997	47
3	Paul List	1995	51		13	Pedro Swann	2000	45
4	Marlin McPhail	1990	49		14	Les Norman	1998	44
5	Chris Saunders	2000	49		15	Chris Howard	1995	44
6	Jon DeBus	1988	49		16	Darryl Brinkley	1998	44
7	Ryan Christenson	2003	48		17	Chris Sheff	2000	44
8	Kimera Bartee	2002	48		18	Ron Maurer	1997	43
9	Mike Murphy	2001	48		19	Jalal Leach	1998	43
10	Paul Hoover	2005	48		20	Chan Perry	2002	43

Player Comments

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T.J. Bohn sailed through the winter on the Phils' 40-man roster as a placeholder for someone with promise.

A good defender at the outfield corners, T.J. Bohn was claimed off waivers by the Braves.

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