Edwin Bellorin

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	VRO	1C	329	36	18	2	3	33	14	44	1	1	-5.1	.273	.311	.373	-.050	.225	.259	.318	.196	-17.9	80-C -6	0.6
2006	LVG	3A	350	32	13	1	7	49	14	59	1	2	-0.9	.234	.266	.346	-.293	.206	.235	.310	.186	-22.8	83-C -7	0.0
2007	CSP	3A	244	38	18	0	9	45	16	27	1	0	-2.6	.326	.369	.529	.151	.284	.328	.455	.270	12.0	56-C 8	3.2
2007	COL	MJ	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	.000	.000	.000	-1.305	.000	.000	.000	.000	-0.5		0.0

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:17 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	233	29	14	1	8	32	12	34	2	1	-0.5	.284	.322	.464	.013	.262	.304	.433	.250	5.1	58-C 1	2.0
75^o	225	26	12	1	7	29	11	33	2	1	-0.5	.274	.312	.438	-.050	.252	.294	.409	.239	1.9	56-C 1	1.7
60^o	214	22	11	1	6	26	10	32	2	1	-0.5	.261	.299	.407	-.125	.241	.282	.379	.225	-1.6	54-C 1	1.3
50^o	210	20	10	1	5	25	10	31	2	1	-0.5	.256	.294	.394	-.154	.236	.277	.368	.219	-2.8	53-C 1	1.1
40^o	205	19	10	1	5	24	9	31	1	1	-0.4	.251	.289	.381	-.186	.231	.272	.355	.212	-4.1	52-C 1	1.0
25^o	196	16	9	1	4	21	9	30	1	1	-0.4	.242	.279	.357	-.243	.223	.263	.333	.200	-6.3	50-C 0	0.7
10^o	169	10	6	1	2	15	7	26	1	1	-0.3	.217	.254	.295	-.387	.200	.239	.276	.164	-10.6	44-C 0	0.2
Weighted Mean	212	21	10	1	5	27	10	32	2	1	-0.5	.258	.296	.398	-.145	.238	.278	.371	.220	-1.0	53-C 1	1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
20%	39%	32%	25%	0.78

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 26)	212	21	10	1	5	27	10	32	2	1	-0.5	.258	.296	.398	-.145	.238	.278	.371	.220	-1.0	53-C 1	1.4
2009 (age 27)	213	21	10	1	5	27	11	31	2	1	-0.4	.262	.302	.395	-.134	.238	.280	.362	.222	-1.6	54-C 1	1.1
2010 (age 28)	238	26	13	1	6	31	12	33	2	1	-0.4	.270	.310	.412	-.092	.245	.288	.377	.230	0.0	59-C 1	1.2
2011 (age 29)	198	21	9	0	5	26	11	28	1	1	-0.4	.275	.318	.417	-.067	.250	.295	.382	.234	0.7	50-C 1	1.0
2012 (age 30)	211	22	10	1	5	27	12	30	1	1	-0.3	.266	.312	.405	-.102	.241	.289	.371	.228	-0.3	53-C 1	0.8
2013 (age 31)	166	15	7	0	4	21	9	23	1	1	-0.3	.265	.311	.390	-.124	.241	.288	.357	.223	-0.6	43-C -1	0.5
2014 (age 32)	174	15	7	0	4	21	10	23	1	0	-0.2	.256	.304	.378	-.158	.233	.282	.347	.218	-1.0	45-C 1	0.4

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.274	.316	.423
vs RHP	.253	.287	.383
Split	+.021	+.029	+.040
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.0	1.6	1.4	$1,525,000	-1.1	1.1
2009	0.0	1.1	1.1	$1,200,000	-1.6	1.6
2010	0.1	1.1	1.2	$1,375,000	0.2	3.0
2011	0.1	0.9	1.0	$1,450,000	0.8	3.3
2012	0.0	0.8	0.8	$1,125,000	-0.2	2.0
2013	0.0	0.5	0.5	$800,000	-1.4	0.8
2014	0.0	0.5	0.4	$750,000	-1.3	1.0
Peak			6.1	$4,325,000	0.0	11.7

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.239	.219	.200	.220
2009	.248	.231	.206	.222
2010	.251	.230	.213	.230
2011	.258	.240	.209	.234
2012	.262	.230	.196	.228
2013	.247	.228	.202	.223
2014	.239	.218	.201	.218

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	25%	0%	20%
2009	33%	12%	23%
2010	39%	21%	23%
2011	46%	25%	29%
2012	54%	35%	27%
2013	66%	45%	16%
2014	69%	55%	13%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

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Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong! Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Robert Machado	1992	40		11	Pete Beeler	2003	33
2	Eleutero Encarnacion	1979	36		12	Chairon Isenia	1971	33
3	Henry Blanco	1981	36		13	Luis Pujols	1982	33
4	Alex Delgado	1970	36		14	Alberto Castillo	1960	33
5	Steve Morales	1973	35		15	Wil Nieves	2007	32
6	Keith Mcdonald	1992	35		16	Izzy Molina	1975	32
7	Bengie Molina	1975	34		17	Bo Diaz	1969	32
8	Yamid Haad	1975	34		18	Willie Morales	2000	31
9	Carlos Mendez	1957	34		19	Jorge Pedre	1979	30
10	Guillermo Garcia	1998	33		20	Raul Chavez	2005	30

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