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Vance Wilson
Detroit Tigers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 35
5' 11"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

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ESPN Player Card
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Tigers Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Vance Wilson 15 96 .230 7 1 9 0 .276 .330 -1.9
1   2008 Total 15 96 .230 7 1 9 0 .276 .330 -1.9

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 DET MJ 173 18 4 0 3 19 11 26 0 0 0.1 .197 .275 .283 -.327 .207 .292 .307 .216 -6.5 46-C 0 0.7
2006 DET MJ 168 18 9 0 5 18 2 33 0 4 -0.6 .283 .304 .441 -.044 .287 .312 .447 .251 1.7 44-C 3 1.6
2007 TOL 3A 12 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0.0 .273 .333 .273 -.117 .273 .333 .273 .218 -0.4 0.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 9:12 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 77 11 4 0 2 9 3 14 0 0 -0.2 .291 .338 .454 .054 .292 .340 .474 .280 4.2 23-C -1 0.8
75o 72 8 3 0 2 8 3 14 0 0 -0.1 .260 .306 .390 -.109 .260 .308 .407 .251 1.1 22-C -1 0.6
60o 68 6 2 0 1 7 3 13 0 0 -0.1 .238 .285 .346 -.218 .238 .287 .362 .229 -0.8 21-C 0 0.4
50o 66 6 2 0 1 7 3 13 0 0 -0.1 .228 .275 .326 -.267 .229 .277 .341 .218 -1.6 20-C 0 0.4
40o 63 5 2 0 1 6 2 12 0 0 -0.1 .215 .261 .300 -.334 .215 .263 .313 .203 -2.5 20-C 0 0.3
25o 56 3 1 0 0 5 2 11 0 0 -0.1 .187 .233 .244 -.471 .188 .235 .255 .166 -4.1 18-C 0 0.1
10o 30 1 0 0 0 1 1 7 0 0 0.0 .142 .187 .153 -.691 .143 .189 .160 .028 -3.8 12-C 1 0.1
Weighted Mean 51 4 2 0 1 5 2 10 0 0 -0.1 .230 .276 .330 -.259 .230 .278 .345 .220 -1.0 17-C 0 0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

26%

35%

48%

56%

1.13

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 35) 51 4 2 0 1 5 2 10 0 0 -0.1 .230 .276 .330 -.259 .230 .278 .345 .220 -1.0 17-C 0 0.6
2009 (age 36) 48 3 2 0 1 5 2 9 0 0 -0.1 .232 .270 .324 -.276 .236 .276 .345 .214 -0.8 16-C 0 0.2
2010 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2011 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .244 .292 .354
vs RHP .226 .271 .318
Split +.018 +.021 +.036
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 0.7 0.6 $725,000 -0.7 1.0
2009 0.0 0.2 0.2 $475,000 -0.8 0.2
2010 0.0 0.1 0.1 $425,000 -0.5 0.3
2011 0.0 0.1 0.1 $425,000 -0.4 0.0
2012 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 -0.3 0.0
2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 0.0 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $475,000 0.1 0.1
Peak 1.1 $450,000 0.0 1.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .251 .218 .166 .220
2009 .238 .228 .174 .214
2010
-- out of baseball --
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 56% 0% 26%
2009 80% 41% 12%
2010 88% 72% 11%
2011 95% 74% 10%
2012 100% 87% 8%
2013 100% 91% 5%
2014 100% 94% 1%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

The Tigers took the unusual step of signing Wilson to a two-year contract extension in August, a sign of just how much his pitchers like throwing to him. He hits enough that the Tigers aren`t tempted to push Ivan Rodriguez`s playing time more than they really should, which has its own intangible benefits.

2006

Wilson`s caught-stealing percentage dropped for the third straight year in 2005. Bad enough for anybody, but especially for a defense-first catcher whose already poor hitting dropped another notch. If he has hit the wall, the Tigers are going to have to go shopping; he could drop another 10 to 15 runs and still be better than any of the catchers at Toledo or Erie.

2005

Decent backup catcher with a little more pop than most. The Mets got themselves in trouble by thinking they had three starting catchers and could move one to first base. What they actually have is one starter and two good backups in Phillips and Wilson. With Piazza likely back behind the plate and Ramon Castro now in the system, the Mets were free to trade Wilson to the Tigers. There, he'll back up another Hall of Famer.

2003

A slightly better receiver than Jason Phillips, which is why he’s up and holding a big league bench job while Phillips keeps his slightly better bat fresh by playing every day in the International League. Once Wilson hits arbitration eligibility, he’s gone, unless he can learn to settle if he wants to sit still, or hope to make just as much while moving around.

2002

The big winner in the Todd Pratt trade was Wilson, who inherited the backup-catcher job after the Mets dumped the guy acquired for Pratt, Gary Bennett. He's a good glove man, exactly what the team needs backing up Piazza.

2000

His last two years have been ruined by broken arms. Wilson is a defense guy--he certainly cannot hit--and the Mets think enough of him to keep him on the 40-man roster, ready in case Piazza or Pratt goes down.

1999

Broke his arm in a home plate collision in June, but he was already seventh or eighth on the Mets' depth chart at catcher at that point. Still relying on a now-ancient hot AFL campaign to boost his rep. No better than a backup catcher, and he may not even be that good.


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