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He's probably very handsome. Jackson Williams
San Francisco Giants [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 23
5' 11"
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 SLO A- 161 20 3 0 5 20 16 27 0 0 0.0 .231 .338 .369 -.573 .153 .214 .229 .148 -34.9 39-C -2 -1.8
2008 AUG A 180 22 7 0 2 13 15 37 0 0 -0.5 .179 .275 .263 -.593 .142 .218 .210 .130 -24.9 46-C 4 -0.9
2008 SJO A+ 178 11 5 0 3 16 15 40 2 3 -1.4 .231 .309 .321 -.384 .200 .267 .281 .189 -13.3 45-C 1 -0.5


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 11:28 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 413 35 18 1 7 38 33 92 1 1 -1.4 .224 .295 .334 -.238 .224 .295 .344 .223 -6.3 98-C 6 1.7
75o 389 28 15 1 6 33 30 90 1 1 -1.3 .205 .275 .301 -.329 .205 .275 .310 .203 -14.2 93-C 5 0.8
60o 369 23 13 0 5 30 27 88 1 1 -1.2 .192 .260 .276 -.397 .191 .260 .285 .186 -19.3 88-C 5 0.2
50o 360 21 12 0 4 28 26 87 1 1 -1.1 .186 .254 .267 -.422 .186 .254 .275 .180 -21.0 87-C 5 0.0
40o 351 20 11 0 4 27 25 86 1 1 -1.1 .181 .248 .257 -.451 .181 .248 .265 .172 -22.8 84-C 5 -0.2
25o 320 15 9 0 3 22 21 81 1 1 -0.9 .164 .230 .228 -.531 .164 .230 .234 .146 -26.8 78-C 5 -0.8
10o 268 9 6 0 2 15 17 73 1 1 -0.7 .144 .207 .192 -.629 .144 .207 .197 .103 -28.6 66-C 4 -1.3
Weighted Mean 348 20 12 0 4 27 25 84 1 1 -1.1 .187 .254 .267 -.415 .186 .254 .275 .180 -18.5 84-C 5 0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

66%

73%

21%

17%

1.15

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 23) 348 20 12 0 4 27 25 84 1 1 -1.1 .187 .254 .267 -.415 .186 .254 .275 .180 -18.5 84-C 5 0.1
2010 (age 24) 330 20 11 1 4 26 24 79 1 1 -0.8 .193 .263 .280 -.399 .190 .259 .285 .189 -13.4 80-C 4 0.4
2011 (age 25) 343 21 12 1 4 26 27 79 1 1 -0.7 .189 .265 .274 -.405 .186 .261 .278 .188 -11.6 83-C 3 0.3
2012 (age 26) 291 17 10 1 4 24 22 67 1 1 -0.5 .187 .261 .284 -.401 .184 .257 .289 .190 -8.6 71-C 2 0.2
2013 (age 27) 263 15 10 1 4 21 20 61 1 1 -0.4 .190 .264 .287 -.388 .187 .260 .292 .194 -6.1 65-C 2 0.2
2014 (age 28) 252 13 8 1 4 22 19 61 1 1 -0.3 .171 .241 .266 -.470 .168 .237 .270 .173 -7.2 62-C 3 0.1
2015 (age 29) 212 11 6 0 4 18 15 46 1 1 -0.2 .176 .247 .270 -.449 .173 .244 .275 .179 -5.4 53-C 4 0.2

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .203 .273 .295
vs RHP .183 .248 .258
Split +.020 +.024 +.037
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -16.7 5.0 0.1 $400,000 -15.7 0.2
2010 -13.5 4.0 0.4 $400,000 -11.1 0.3
2011 -14.2 3.0 0.3 $400,000 -10.0 0.2
2012 -11.8 2.0 0.2 $400,000 -7.7 0.4
2013 -9.8 2.0 0.2 $400,000 -5.2 0.5
2014 -13.6 3.0 0.1 $400,000 -6.3 0.8
2015 -10.5 4.0 0.2 $400,000 -4.3 0.7
Peak 1.3 $1,100,000 -4.3 3.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .203 .180 .146 .180
2010 .216 .188 .160 .189
2011 .214 .189 .163 .188
2012 .225 .191 .156 .190
2013 .226 .192 .165 .194
2014 .218 .187 .128 .173
2015 .216 .179 .110 .179


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 17% 0% 66%
2010 41% 14% 62%
2011 45% 31% 60%
2012 59% 41% 58%
2013 66% 50% 57%
2014 75% 57% 48%
2015 85% 64% 45%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

67

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Brett Hayes 2007 72 11 Matt Treanor 1999 54
2 Clint Brill 1983 68 12 Harry McCulla 1983 54
3 Ray Corbett 1982 60 13 Andrew Prater 1995 54
4 Marc Sullivan 1981 59 14 Andy Bouchie 2008 53
5 Nick Trzesniak 2004 59 15 Ronn Reynolds 1981 53
6 Javi Herrera 2004 58 16 Tom Nieto 1983 53
7 Lance Jennings 1994 56 17 Jeremy Hill 2000 53
8 Doug Lindsey 1990 56 18 Brandon Harper 1999 52
9 Chris Jaile 2004 55 19 Tucker Barr 1998 52
10 Justin Knoedler 2003 54 20 Brandon Inge 2000 52

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