Biographical

Portrait of Mark Trumbo

Mark Trumbo LFD-backs

D-backs Player Cards | D-backs Team Audit | D-backs Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 28)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
3 .253 0 0 0 0 .278 0.0
Birth Date1-16-1986
Height6' 4"
Weight235 lbs
Age28 years, 9 months, 5 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
-0.22010
2.12011
1.72012
2.02013
-0.62014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2010 ANA 24 8 16 15 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 8 0 0 0 2 0 0 .067 .125 .067 .075 -2.3 0.1 -0.2
2011 ANA 25 149 573 539 65 137 31 1 29 257 25 120 5 4 0 87 9 4 .254 .291 .477 .274 18.1 2.0 2.1
2012 ANA 26 144 586 544 66 146 19 3 32 267 36 153 4 2 0 95 4 5 .268 .317 .491 .287 20.2 -4.6 1.7
2013 ANA 27 159 678 620 85 145 30 2 34 281 54 184 0 4 0 100 5 2 .234 .294 .453 .274 11.7 7.1 2.0
2014 ARI 28 88 362 328 37 77 15 1 14 136 28 89 1 5 0 61 2 3 .235 .293 .415 .254 0.1 -5.6 -0.6
Career54822152046255506957109942144554101503452014.247.298.460.27347.9-0.95.0

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2005 ORM Rk 71 323 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .324 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 CDR A 118 482 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .256 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 CDR A 128 516 .268 .251 .322 .376 .259 .318 93 4.5 15.7 -10.1 0.8 -4.4 9.3 1.0 9.3 1.0
2008 RCU A+ 103 438 .300 .280 .348 .434 .277 .283 101 19.3 13.1 -8.4 2.4 1.6 29.1 3.1 29.1 3.1
2008 ARK AA 32 134 .277 .264 .331 .403 .268 .311 82 3.1 4.9 -3.2 2.1 -2.7 5.1 0.7 5.1 0.7
2009 ARK AA 137 581 .272 .266 .341 .394 .250 .333 106 7.2 16.5 -10.2 -2.5 -5.3 9.1 0.7 9.1 0.7
2010 ANA MLB 8 16 .075 .251 .311 .394 .246 .143 103 -3 0.4 -0.3 0.1 0.5 -2.3 -0.2 -2.3 -0.2
2010 SLC AAA 139 595 .315 .278 .350 .436 .270 .335 101 37.5 18.3 -10.9 3.6 -2.9 41.3 4.3 41.3 4.3
2011 ANA MLB 149 573 .274 .258 .319 .408 .261 .274 97 8.1 15.4 -9.8 2.0 1.3 18.1 2.1 18.1 2.1
2012 ANA MLB 144 586 .287 .254 .317 .407 .262 .316 96 15.7 16.1 -5.9 -4.6 -3.3 20.2 1.7 20.2 1.7
2013 ANA MLB 159 678 .274 .256 .317 .402 .266 .273 97 9.4 17.8 -10.6 7.1 -3.5 11.7 2.0 11.7 2.0
2014 ARI MLB 88 362 .254 .252 .308 .390 .258 .274 105 -2.2 9.3 -4.2 -5.6 -2.2 0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.6
2014 RNO AAA 3 12 .454 .289 .350 .465 .274 .333 122 2.6 0.4 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 2.6 0.3 2.6 0.3
2014 DIA Rk 4 14 .557 .241 .311 .330 .236 .500 95 4.6 0.5 -0.2 -0.1 0.5 5.4 0.5 5.4 0.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2005 ORM Rk 323 45 82 23 1 10 45 21 67 2 2 .274 .324 .458 .184 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 CDR A 482 43 94 19 0 13 59 44 99 5 5 .220 .297 .355 .136 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 CDR A 516 57 128 27 2 14 76 34 98 10 8 .272 .329 .427 .155 .268 9.3 0.8 1.0
2008 ARK AA 134 13 34 7 1 6 25 7 29 1 2 .276 .311 .496 .220 .277 5.1 2.1 0.7
2008 RCU A+ 438 70 115 28 2 26 68 26 67 7 3 .283 .330 .553 .270 .300 29.1 2.4 3.1
2009 ARK AA 581 54 155 35 3 15 88 37 100 6 3 .291 .337 .452 .161 .272 9.1 -2.5 0.7
2010 SLC AAA 595 103 160 29 5 36 122 58 126 3 4 .301 .371 .577 .276 .315 41.3 3.6 4.3
2010 ANA MLB 16 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 8 0 0 .067 .125 .067 .000 .075 -2.3 0.1 -0.2
2011 ANA MLB 573 65 137 31 1 29 87 25 120 9 4 .254 .291 .477 .223 .274 18.1 2.0 2.1
2012 ANA MLB 586 66 146 19 3 32 95 36 153 4 5 .268 .317 .491 .222 .287 20.2 -4.6 1.7
2013 ANA MLB 678 85 145 30 2 34 100 54 184 5 2 .234 .294 .453 .219 .274 11.7 7.1 2.0
2014 RNO AAA 12 6 5 0 0 3 6 1 2 0 0 .455 .500 1.273 .818 .454 2.6 0.0 0.3
2014 ARI MLB 362 37 77 15 1 14 61 28 89 2 3 .235 .293 .415 .180 .254 0.1 -5.6 -0.6
2014 DIA Rk 14 5 6 1 0 2 6 1 3 0 0 .462 .500 1.000 .538 .557 5.4 -0.1 0.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 55 0.5091 0.5455 0.7000 0.5357 0.5556 0.6667 0.7333 0.3000
2011 2105 0.4755 0.5359 0.7693 0.6583 0.4239 0.8452 0.6624 0.2298
2012 2201 0.4821 0.5073 0.7061 0.6475 0.3763 0.8370 0.4965 0.2930
2013 2496 0.4631 0.5024 0.7031 0.6652 0.3612 0.7997 0.5496 0.2969
2014 1336 0.4536 0.4925 0.7158 0.6766 0.3397 0.8220 0.5403 0.2842
Career81930.47010.5110.7230.65970.37920.82420.5640.2766

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-18 2014-09-19 DTD 1 1 - Low Back Spasms -
2014-04-22 2014-07-11 15-DL 80 71 Left Foot Stress Fracture - -
2012-07-30 2012-07-31 DTD 1 1 - Back Spasms - -
2012-04-17 2012-04-19 DTD 2 2 - General Medical Illness - -
2011-09-26 2011-09-29 DTD 3 3 Right Foot Stress Fracture - -
2011-03-17 2011-03-21 Camp 4 0 Right Groin Tightness -
2007-04-16 2007-04-23 Minors 7 0 Left Forearm Contusion - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 ARI $
2014 ARI $4,800,000
2013 ANA $540,000
2012 ANA $500,000
2011 ANA $414,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$1,454,000
2011Current$4,800,000
4 yrPvs + Cur$6,254,000
4 yrTotal$6,254,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 27 dWasserman Media Group1 year/$4.8M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$4.8M (2014). Signed by Arizona 2/6/14 (avoided arbitration, $5.85M-$3.4M).
  • 1 year/$0.54M (2013). Re-signed by LA Angels 3/2/13. Acquired by Arizona in trade from LA Angels 12/10/13.
  • 1 year/$0.5M (2012). Re-signed by LA Angels 3/3/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Re-signed by LA Angels 3/1/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed by LA Angels 2/10.
  • 1 year (2009). Contract purchased by LA Angels 11/17/08. Optioned to Double-A 3/16/09.
  • Drafted by Anaheim 2004 (18-533) (Villa Park HS, Calif.). $1.425M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 637 89 164 31 3 36 105 50 149 6 4 .281 .339 .528 .307 39.6 LF 3, 1B 0 4.6
80o 622 84 155 30 2 34 99 47 148 6 3 .272 .328 .510 .298 33.0 LF 3, 1B 0 3.9
70o 612 81 148 29 2 32 96 45 147 5 3 .265 .321 .498 .291 28.4 LF 3, 1B 0 3.4
60o 603 78 143 28 2 31 93 44 147 5 3 .259 .314 .487 .285 24.6 LF 2, 1B 0 3.0
50o 594 75 138 27 2 30 90 42 146 5 3 .254 .308 .477 .279 21.1 LF 2, 1B 0 2.6
40o 585 73 134 26 2 29 87 41 145 5 3 .248 .302 .466 .274 17.8 LF 2, 1B 0 2.2
30o 576 70 129 25 2 28 84 39 144 5 3 .243 .296 .456 .268 14.3 LF 2, 1B 0 1.8
20o 566 67 124 24 2 27 81 38 143 4 3 .236 .288 .443 .261 10.3 LF 2, 1B 0 1.4
10o 551 63 115 22 2 25 76 35 141 4 3 .227 .278 .426 .252 5.0 LF 2, 1B 0 0.8
Weighted Mean5957613927230904214653.254.309.478.28021.6LF 2, 1B 02.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
2% 56% 1% 8% 93%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201529494681122122473421164.250.314.467.2812.823.2-1.6-2.714.912.62.2
201630488641052112268431263.239.306.443.2702.016.6-1.5-2.814.96.02.2
2017313845182141185434982.235.303.435.2671.915.4-1.2-2.314.93.91.7
2018322703657110133822651.233.297.436.2651.411.9-0.8-1.712.12.31.2
2019332973865121124024751.241.302.430.2651.814.9-0.9-2.014.92.91.3
2020343083865111123925771.231.293.407.2541.08.2-0.8-2.114.9-3.81.4
202135628771312222478511600.229.293.400.2520.84.1-1.4-4.514.9-4.92.8
202236630761292322579491620.224.285.399.2480.51.8-1.4-4.714.9-7.12.8
202337625741312312376451580.228.285.392.2470.41.0-1.3-4.814.9-7.82.8

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
58.162.433.554.840.622.7249.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 74)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 82 Allen Craig 2013 .297
2 81 Jonny Gomes 2009 .293
3 80 Mike Jacobs 2009 .237
4 79 Orlando Cepeda 1966 .312
5 79 Adam Lind 2012 .256
6 79 Will Clark 1992 .315
7 79 Cliff Johnson 1976 .285
8 78 Willie McCovey 1966 .360
9 78 Chris Duncan 2009 .249
10 78 Juan Gonzalez 1998 .315
11 78 Adam LaRoche 2008 .287
12 77 Don Mincher 1966 .278
13 76 Eddie Murray 1984 .333
14 76 Gil Hodges 1952 .336
15 76 Ian Stewart 2013 .000 DNP
16 76 Mark Teixeira 2008 .329
17 76 Wily Mo Pena 2010 .000 DNP
18 76 Mark McGwire 1992 .351
19 76 Albert Belle 1995 .349
20 76 Carlos Delgado 2000 .361
21 76 Curtis Granderson 2009 .267
22 76 Wilson Betemit 2010 .298
23 76 Nate Colbert 1974 .267
24 75 Mo Vaughn 1996 .314
25 75 Kendrys Morales 2011 .000 DNP
26 75 Bob Horner 1986 .289
27 75 Troy Glaus 2005 .298
28 75 Jason Kubel 2010 .255
29 75 Chris Shelton 2008 .222
30 75 Matt Holliday 2008 .314
31 74 Casper Wells 2013 .139
32 74 Jeremy Hermida 2012 .253
33 74 Brad Hawpe 2007 .295
34 74 Boog Powell 1970 .337
35 74 Kevin Mitchell 1990 .322
36 74 Troy Neel 1994 .290
37 74 Cody Ross 2009 .268
38 74 Leon Durham 1986 .272
39 74 Jason Bay 2007 .263
40 73 Travis Hafner 2005 .340
41 73 Adrian Gonzalez 2010 .340
42 73 Jake Fox 2011 .254
43 73 Jim Rice 1981 .283
44 73 Rocky Colavito 1962 .309
45 73 Chris Johnson 2013 .283
46 73 Chase Headley 2012 .320
47 73 Michael Cuddyer 2007 .281
48 73 Alex Gordon 2012 .285
49 73 Shin-Soo Choo 2011 .268
50 73 Cecil Fielder 1992 .289
51 73 Fred McGriff 1992 .330
52 73 Bob Robertson 1975 .316
53 72 Jim Gentile 1962 .294
54 72 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2013 .288
55 72 Jeff Bagwell 1996 .335
56 72 Manny Ramirez 2000 .358
57 72 Shelley Duncan 2008 .228
58 72 Justin Morneau 2009 .294
59 72 Richie Zisk 1977 .303
60 72 Scott Hairston 2008 .295
61 72 Josh Hamilton 2009 .253
62 72 Dusty Rhodes 1955 .306
63 72 Rocco Baldelli 2010 .190
64 72 Chase Utley 2007 .321
65 72 Glenn Davis 1989 .312
66 72 Pedro Guerrero 1984 .304
67 72 Dave Parker 1979 .315
68 72 Kevin Kouzmanoff 2010 .242
69 71 Carlton Fisk 1976 .273
70 71 Tim Salmon 1997 .318
71 71 Don Lenhardt 1951 .267
72 71 Mike Diaz 1988 .235
73 71 Ernie Banks 1959 .337
74 71 Bob Hamelin 1996 .285
75 71 Duke Snider 1955 .341
76 71 Bobby Bonds 1974 .299
77 71 Al Rosen 1952 .341
78 71 Willie Horton 1971 .304
79 71 Greg Luzinski 1979 .267
80 71 Dale Murphy 1984 .314
81 71 Roger Maris 1963 .339
82 71 Hee-Seop Choi 2007 .000 DNP
83 71 Jason Thompson 1983 .280
84 71 Travis Ishikawa 2012 .249
85 71 Mauro Gomez 2013 .000 DNP
86 71 Vic Wertz 1953 .292
87 71 Walt Dropo 1951 .233
88 71 Matt LaPorta 2013 .000 DNP
89 71 Richie Sexson 2003 .305
90 71 Danny Tartabull 1991 .352
91 71 Mike Piazza 1997 .369
92 71 Joey Votto 2012 .360
93 70 Eddie Mathews 1960 .344
94 70 Alex Rodriguez 2004 .298
95 70 Ryan Klesko 1999 .310
96 70 Ken Griffey 1998 .314
97 70 Matt Joyce 2013 .285
98 70 Geovany Soto 2011 .254
99 70 George Foster 1977 .336
100 70 Sam Horn 1992 .257

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .265 .313 .550 .308
11 vs R (Multi) .238 .294 .433 .268
18 Split (Multi) -.027 -.018 -.116 -.040
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.013 -.023 -.037 -.020
30 vs L (2013) .265 .324 .599 .332
31 vs R (2013) .223 .283 .402 .256
38 Split (2013) -.043 -.041 -.197 -.076
39 LgAvg (2013) -.011 -.021 -.036 -.019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 After all the ups and downs (965 first-half OPS, 630 second-half), Trumbo ended 2012 within the margin of BABIP of his 2011 season, suggesting he’s neither the MVP candidate Scioscia trumpeted nor the deeply flawed free-swinger statheads dismiss. He’s still a free-swinger: The early-season chatter about his improving patience was just the hope of spring. He swung at 38 percent of pitches outside the zone, a small improvement from 2011 but also the 20th-highest rate in baseball among batters who saw a minimum of 1,000 pitches. If he can cut it a few more percentage points, he may be onto something, but endless tinkering can spiral into madness. In the second half, the Angels worried he was thinking himself into a deeper and deeper hole. At this point, it might be best for him (and everybody) to realize what he is: a good hitter, playing positions where good hitters are useful, if not special.
2012 Trumbo swings at too many pitches but, in his defense, he can handle almost anything he can reach, viz: the Felix Hernandez two-seamer, six inches low and inside, that he hit 472 feet, the Brian Duensing fastball at the letters that he hit 457 feet, etc. But he acknowledges his lack of plate discipline is a challenge. "I don't think I was blessed with the greatest eye," he told a reporter earlier this year. "Some guys have a better sense. It's something I'm really having to work on, but it's hard to do." If it is a skill that can be learned in one's late 20s, Trumbo's upside starts to look like Paul Konerko, but all PECOTA sees is Johnny Gomes. He's scary strong, a batting practice phenom with an all-fields approach and plenty of baseball intelligence. The Angels wanted Trumbo to spend the winter trying to learn third base, a long-shot bet that might have had a nice payout. A stress fracture in his foot scrapped those plans, and Albert Pujols will eternally block him at first, so he's trade bait.
2011 Trumbo did enough at Triple-A to take home some hardware as the organizational player of the year. Perhaps that title would impress a prospective trade partner, but our translations weren’t smitten with his work. On the surface, his season was a rousing success: Despite his graduation to a higher level of competition, all of Trumbo’s rate stats improved, and his home-run total more than doubled, from middling to minor league-leading. The righty continued to mash in Venezuela, but any attempt to forecast how his numbers would hold up in Anaheim must ding him hard for the forgiving hitting environment of Salt Lake; clearly, Trumbo is capable of more than he showed in his first 16 major-league plate appearances, but likely not enough to hold down a spot at the game’s premier offensive position. At 25, the strapping first baseman may not have much more room for growth, and he won’t displace Kendry Morales. If Trumbo does have a major-league future, it may lie in the outfield, where he spent 22 Triple-A games.
2010 Trumbo finally broke out in 2008, taking a big step towards justifying the $1.425 million bonus he received in 2004, a record for an 18th-round pick. He started slowly in 2009 (.231/.278/.379 with a 21 percent strikeout rate through May) but the benefits of a shortened swing and improved pitch recognition began to pay off; he hit .319/.360/.486 with a 16 percent strikeout rate the rest of the way. That's good news, considering that Trumbo's bat is his ticket to the show; he's slow, unathletic, lacking in plate discipline and defensive range, but he does have plus-plus power.
2009 Patience is a virtue (it also goes well with duck sauce). In 2004, the Angels gave Trumbo a record bonus for a 12th-round pick in order to steer him away from college. After two years of minimum production from a player who was limited to first base, many had already categorized Trumbo as a bust. Everything changed last year, as he got away from trying to hit everything out of the park, focusing on making natural contact and letting his strength work for him. The result was that he finished second in all of the minors with 286 total bases, tearing through the Cal League and then doing well in his Double-A debut. Kendry Morales has the first-base job for now, but Trumbo is getting larger in his rear-view mirror.
2006 Give the Angels credit for thinking outside the box. They paid $1.425 million to sign Trumbo, a dominant high school pitcher, and then moved him to first base to take advantage of his perceived power potential. Slugging .458 in Rookie ball doesn`t make you look like the next Babe Ruth, but Trumbo is still quite young and there`s plenty of time to see how this experiment works out with both Kotchman and Morales ahead of him.

BP Articles

Mark Trumbo is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
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The Week in Quotes: December 9-15Chris Mosch2013-12-16
The Week in Quotes: December 9-15Nick Bacarella2013-12-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Seven Hitting Prospects on the RiseBen Carsley2013-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Mark Trumbo Gets the NodR.J. Anderson2013-12-11
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This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 10Jeff Moore2013-12-11
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This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Rereading Nate Silver: 5. The Colorado EffectSam Miller2013-11-12
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This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: How Long Home Runs HappenDoug Thorburn2013-10-25
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The Week in Quotes: September 3-8Chris Mosch2013-09-09
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The Week in Quotes: September 3-8Satchel Price2013-09-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 8, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August's Surprising Power PerformancesDaniel Rathman2013-08-28
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This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: My Book Report on a Video of the Longest Home Runs HitSam Miller2013-08-19
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessSporer Report: The July 31 Hail-Mary TeamPaul Sporer2013-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 24, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-24
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Fantasy Mailbag: Getting the Best DealBP Fantasy Staff2013-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Meet the Detroit TigerrorsDaniel Rathman2013-06-26
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Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 6/15Ben Lindbergh2013-06-15
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Pebble Hunting: The Batting Order EvolutionSam Miller2013-06-05
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Pebble Hunting: Every Thing That's Been Wrong with the AngelsSam Miller2013-05-08
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 22Larry Granillo2013-04-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Springing Into ActionJason Collette2013-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 22, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProfiles in Lack of Lineup Protection: Giancarlo Stanton So FarBen Lindbergh2013-04-15
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This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: The Astros' Whiff-Prone WaysZachary Levine2013-04-09
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Fantasy Mailbag: A Trout/Cabrera Tandem?BP Fantasy Staff2013-04-05
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, March 4Mike Gianella2013-03-04
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Jays Ready for TakeoffJohn Perrotto2012-12-20
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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 83: Astros vs. Marlins in 2013/The Next Farewell Tour/Yasmani Grandal's Suspension/Mark Trumbo, Center FielderSam Miller2012-11-15
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Overthinking It: What Teams and Players Predicted About ThemselvesBen Lindbergh2012-10-11
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for October 1Larry Granillo2012-10-02
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BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 18: The Boys Are Back In TownPaul Sporer2012-09-04
BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 18: The Boys Are Back In TownJason Collette2012-09-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: When Loney was Better than Gonzalez, and Kotchman was Better than BothGeoff Young2012-08-28
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 21Larry Granillo2012-08-22
BP Unfiltered: Forever YoungSam Miller2012-08-16
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 8Larry Granillo2012-08-09
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: When the Time is RightGeoff Young2012-08-07
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for July 23Larry Granillo2012-07-24
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This article requires BP Premium accessThe Platoon Advantage: The 24-Year-Old Masher Who Can't Get A Call-UpBill Parker2012-07-18
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for July 16Larry Granillo2012-07-17
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What You Need to Know: Tuesday, July 10Daniel Rathman2012-07-10
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 20Larry Granillo2012-06-21
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The Lineup Card: 10 Favorite Off-Season MovesBaseball Prospectus2012-03-21
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This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Socket to HimCorey Dawkins2012-03-02
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Wezen-Ball: Courtesy Votes for the Cy YoungLarry Granillo2011-11-18
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Angels Keep the FaithJohn Perrotto2011-07-27
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Transaction Analysis Blog: Branyan Finds a New Home, Cubs Grab Another ArmR.J. Anderson2011-05-26
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Value Picks in the OutfieldRob McQuown2011-04-27
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Tater Trot Tracker: Peter Bourjos Pushes the LimitsLarry Granillo2011-04-20
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Team Injury Projection: Los Angeles AngelsCorey Dawkins2011-04-01
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)FFF!!! Even with only one podcast this year, I rode the 411 strategy and philosophy to fantasy domination. Just saying. Also, outlook for Jose Abreu next year? Given the lack of MLB track record or poor understanding of how to Cuban stats relate to MLB stats, are we seeing the ceiling and should expect regression or are there more adjustments in the future (e.g. ridiculous contact rate in the second half v. first half).
(moonkyu from SF)
Glad to hear it! As for Abreu, my sources sold me this year on his "anywhere" power, but his command of the strike zone was a total wild card, so I expected a Mark Trumbo or Adam Dunn type of season: 35-40 homers but a shaky average. A 112-40 K-BB ratio is very manageable in today's game, when it comes with his kind of power... I don't think he'll hit .322 every year, but clearly his average won't be a liability. He's a first-rounder in pretty much every format next year, given the league-wide decline in power in recent seasons. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)I know Kyle Schwarber was only in Kane County for a minute, but did you get a chance to see him live? If so, whatcha think?
(Scott from Lincolnshire)
Limited look, but I saw him in college a bit as well. Dude can hit. Not a catcher. They can try, but I don't think it works out. Can fake it in LF, I mean, Mark Trumbo is playing LF.

Cubs got an impact bat and quite a few million dollar arms. Impressive draft. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-06-17 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who is the player you find yourself overvaluing (or just ending up with on your team) more than others?
(Kel from Goodburger)
Is it too cliche to say Adam Dunn? We went around the table on this one and here's what we got: Ben: "I have a soft spot for Evan Longoria that results in what we have come to call irrational affection." Ian: "In general, I'll overvalue prospects relative to my colleagues, or possibly sanity, would dictate. In particular, I'll remember prospect value even after the majors has gotten in the way, so I'll be one of the last off the Jason Heyward train, for example." Jared: "I tend to have a special fondness for guys who can mash the ball, without stopping to think too much about whether they can get on base. Like, say, Khris Davis. Or Chris Davis. Or any other variant thereof." Ben adds: "...like Mark Trumbo!" (Scoresheet Chat with Ben, Jared, and Ian)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is CJ Cron going to have similar MLB Career to Mark Trumbo?
(Jesse from Santa Paula,Ca)
CJ Cron wishes... (Jeff Moore)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the Angels/Dbacks/White Sox trade? How do you like Santiago and Skaggs in Anaheim?
(Dennis from LA)
Hi Dennis.

I'm glad somebody asked this.

Let's start with the White Sox. A lot of the smart baseball folks on my Twitter timeline were enthused by Adam Eaton, but I'm not all that excited. Even if you see him as a starter and not a fourth outfielder, Eaton's upside seems limited to me. His batting averages in the minor leagues were PCL driven and I see more of a .260 hitter here with not enough power to make a huge splash. From a needs perspective, I can see why the Sox gave up Hector Santiago, but I think the Sox could have done a little better.

The Diamondbacks made the play for a big power hitter, but while Mark Trumbo might hit 35-40 home runs for Arizona he has a number of flaws. He isn't a good on base option, and his defense in the outfield is going to be a big downgrade for the D-backs. Moving an outfielder made sense for Arizona but moving Eaton for another outfielder isn't necessarily the right play. Trumbo is an overall upgrade on Eaton, though, so even though the Diamondbacks are paying a lot for the right to this upgrade, it is an improvement overall.

However, the Diamondbacks didn't just give up Eaton. They also gave up on Tyler Skaggs. A number of scouts/scouting types are down on Skaggs now, but he's still very young and could develop into more than just a #3 or #4 starter. The Angels give up Trumbo and lose out on a power hitter but gain some considerable upside in both Skaggs and Santiago...and avoid paying a pitcher like Ubaldo Jimenez $15-16 million per year in this crazy free agent market. Maybe Skaggs and Santiago work out and maybe they don't, but I like the play that the Angels made here. From a fantasy perspective, the park is going to help both of those pitchers out a lot, but from a baseball perspective the Angels suddenly look a lot stronger than they did yesterday. (Mike Gianella)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)So I'm walking around the hotel in my Birkenstocks, thinking about taking a bath, when I hear about todays three-team trade. Who are the trades fantasy winners/losers?
(Jeff Passan from #BathEvening)
Hi Jeff:

I already answered the three-way-trade question a couple of questions ago, but looked at it more from an MLB perspective. From a fantasy standpoint, Adam Eaton probably figures to gain more playing time, while Alejandro de Aza could lose time or get traded. Mark Trumbo should see a home run boost moving from Anaheim to Arizona. Tyler Skaggs and Hector Santiago both benefit moving to pitchers' parks. Archie Bradley is the sneaky winner; he might have seen his timetable moved forward with the trade of Skaggs out of the organization. (Mike Gianella)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Not a prospect, but I'm trying to figure out if Mark Trumbo is legitimately prone to slumping in the 2nd half of the year. Is this a disturbing trend, or a small sample size problem (only two real MLB years to compare)?
(captnamerca from dunedin)
That is interesting. I would assume the sample size is severely to small currently, but I bet you are not the only one looking in on it. (Zach Mortimer)
2012-12-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)After Mark Trumbo's jekyll/hyde 2012 should I be terrified or comfortable?
(Eric from Costa Mesa)
Comfortable. I don't think his second half is more informative than his first half. (Sam Miller)
2012-10-16 14:00:00 (link to chat)Darin Ruff or Mark Trumbo?
(Santi Cazorla from Sacramento)
Trumbo. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-05-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Where do you sit on this trade Adam Dunn, Mark Trumbo, and Brandon McCarthy for Michael Cuddyer and Martin Prado?
(Jerome from T Hills)
I'll take the first side. (Paul Sporer)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Use your Rick Reilly/Bill Simmons sense and complete this sentence: "Mark Trumbo or Albert Pujols at third base is scarier than ________________________________________
(Lerry N. from Toronto)
Reilly: Mark Trumbo at third base is scarier than leaving your kids with their uncle Jerry Sandusky for the weekend.

Simmons: Mark Trumbo at third base is scarier than whatever shady business Mr. Miagi was involved in to be able to afford that huge backyard and half-dozen classic cars on a handyman’s salary. I bet if Lestor Freaman got up in his business, he’d find out Mr. Miagi controlled the smack market in Encino AND Reseda. A whole bunch of little ninjas working for him, out on the street hollering “Sweep The Leg! I got that Sweep The Leg!”

Reilly AND Simmons: Mark Trumbo at third base is scarier than a stripper with an Adam’s apple.

I personally don’t think it’s scary, so much as unlikely and not really necessary. It’s not like the Angels don’t have a third baseman. They have Alberto Callaspo, who has produced 8.3 WARP over the past three years. David Wright has produced 9.0 WARP over the past three years. Everybody acts like the Angels have to do something about a third base problem, but there’s no problem. During spring training this year, the Angels should convert Alberto Callaspo to left field, and then convert him BACK to third base, just so it looks like they’re being really proactive. (Sam Miller)
2011-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know there doesnt seem to be any clear updates as of late, but i was curious about whether or not there are rumblings in the industry about whether or not Kendrys Morales' leg injury has progressed any further or if this freak injury looks like it will really derail his career and make ANA/LAA contenders in the 1B market this offseason.
(Keith7971 from ECSU)
You didn't like Mark Trumbo? I realize the OBP issue prevents him from being a star, but he has some value, no? (Kevin Goldstein)


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