Biographical

Portrait of Jess Todd

Jess Todd PD-backs

D-backs Player Cards | D-backs Team Audit | D-backs Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
56.0 3.85 1.29 54 4 -0 2 0.3
Birth Date4-20-1986
Height5' 11"
Weight210 lbs
Age28 years, 6 months, 5 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.32010
2011
2012
2013
0.32014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2009 CLE 23 19 0 20.7 0.0 20.7 0 1 0 0 0 0 99 31 17 17 3 43 7 6 0 18 7.40 4.30 4.92 2.2 0.2
2009 SLN 23 1 0 1.7 0.0 1.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 3 2 2 1 6 2 2 0 2 10.80 12.06 15.04 -2.0 -0.2
2010 CLE 24 5 0 6.0 0.0 6.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 9 5 5 0 12 3 3 0 9 7.50 1.55 1.66 2.7 0.3
Career25028.30.028.301000013943242446112110297.624.184.782.90.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2007 BAT A- 16 7 58.3 2.87 136 .206 .252 .330 .366 .257 .319 98 16.4 1.6 16.4 1.6
2008 PMB A+ 7 4 27.3 2.67 135 .216 .261 .334 .371 .257 .277 92 9.3 0.9 9.3 0.9
2008 SFD AA 17 16 103.0 5.00 81 .217 .262 .337 .395 .272 .244 89 2.7 0.3 -0.0 0.1
2008 MEM AAA 4 4 22.7 5.40 102 .254 .256 .331 .428 .250 .250 110 2.6 0.2 1.8 0.2
2009 CLE MLB 19 0 20.7 4.92 101 .313 .268 .329 .422 .257 .394 104 2.2 0.2 2.2 0.2
2009 SLN MLB 1 0 1.7 15.04 -184 .440 .264 .345 .452 .270 .400 86 -2.0 -0.2 -2.0 -0.2
2009 COH AAA 3 0 4.0 1.34 172 .086 .268 .335 .409 .258 .167 110 1.7 0.2 1.7 0.2
2009 MEM AAA 41 0 49.0 1.88 152 .219 .268 .336 .405 .273 .290 80 17.7 1.7 17.2 1.6
2010 CLE MLB 5 0 6.0 1.66 165 .287 .257 .327 .415 .254 .500 106 2.7 0.3 2.7 0.3
2010 COH AAA 44 0 49.0 4.09 116 .238 .261 .335 .409 .255 .304 108 9.4 0.9 9.4 0.9
2011 COH AAA 8 0 9.0 6.70 60 .377 .250 .314 .385 .248 .471 107 -1.5 -0.1 -1.5 -0.1
2011 MEM AAA 41 0 44.0 4.51 117 .253 .279 .349 .425 .260 .326 96 7.6 0.7 7.5 0.7
2011 SWB AAA 2 0 1.7 4.24 96 .332 .258 .306 .338 .240 .250 91 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2012 MEM AAA 47 0 66.3 3.22 135 .270 .271 .335 .418 .264 .383 94 19.5 1.9 18.7 1.8
2013 TOL AAA 39 0 62.7 4.30 96 .206 .257 .330 .392 .256 .230 95 2.7 0.3 2.7 0.3
2014 RNO AAA 53 0 72.3 4.85 114 .240 .277 .342 .461 .270 .309 110 11.0 1.1 11.3 1.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2007 BAT A- 4 1 0 16 7 58.3 48 14 69 2 55% .319 7.4 2.2 0.3 10.7 1.06 2.78 16.4 1.6
2008 PMB A+ 3 0 1 7 4 27.3 18 7 35 0 52% .277 5.9 2.3 0.0 11.5 0.92 1.65 9.3 0.9
2008 SFD AA 4 5 0 17 16 103.0 79 24 81 12 52% .244 6.9 2.1 1.0 7.1 1.00 2.97 -0.0 0.1
2008 MEM AAA 1 1 0 4 4 22.7 19 11 20 4 45% .250 7.5 4.4 1.6 7.9 1.32 3.96 1.8 0.2
2009 MEM AAA 4 2 24 41 0 49.0 39 13 59 3 46% .290 7.2 2.4 0.6 10.8 1.06 2.20 17.2 1.6
2009 COH AAA 0 0 1 3 0 4.0 1 0 7 0 50% .167 2.2 0.0 0.0 15.8 0.25 0.00 1.7 0.2
2009 CLE MLB 0 1 0 19 0 20.7 31 7 18 3 34% .394 13.5 3.0 1.3 7.8 1.84 7.40 2.2 0.2
2009 SLN MLB 0 0 0 1 0 1.7 3 2 2 1 67% .400 16.2 10.8 5.4 10.8 3.00 10.80 -2.0 -0.2
2010 CLE MLB 0 0 0 5 0 6.0 9 3 9 0 39% .500 13.5 4.5 0.0 13.5 2.00 7.50 2.7 0.3
2010 COH AAA 4 2 4 44 0 49.0 46 18 53 6 44% .304 8.4 3.3 1.1 9.7 1.31 3.31 9.4 0.9
2011 COH AAA 0 0 0 8 0 9.0 18 6 6 2 40% .471 18.0 6.0 2.0 6.0 2.67 11.00 -1.5 -0.1
2011 SWB AAA 0 1 0 2 0 1.7 1 2 1 0 25% .250 5.4 10.8 0.0 5.4 1.80 10.80 0.1 0.0
2011 MEM AAA 2 4 0 41 0 44.0 46 14 38 4 41% .326 9.4 2.9 0.8 7.8 1.36 4.91 7.5 0.7
2012 MEM AAA 2 2 2 47 0 66.3 80 21 73 6 54% .383 10.9 2.8 0.8 9.9 1.52 4.34 18.7 1.8
2013 TOL AAA 4 3 1 39 0 62.7 40 26 65 3 60% .230 5.7 3.7 0.4 9.3 1.05 2.15 2.7 0.3
2014 RNO AAA 8 2 5 53 0 72.3 68 27 66 5 52% .309 8.5 3.4 0.6 8.2 1.31 3.61 11.3 1.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 419 0.5179 0.4940 0.7681 0.6175 0.3614 0.8731 0.5753 0.2319
2010 132 0.5379 0.3969 0.8462 0.5915 0.1639 0.8810 0.7000 0.1538
Career5510.52270.47070.78680.61130.31410.8750.60520.2132

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-08-03 2013-08-30 Minors 27 0 - Back Strain - -
2013-07-25 2013-08-01 Minors 7 0 Right Shoulder Tendonitis - -
2010-08-11 2010-08-27 Minors 16 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 78 d2011

Details
  • 1 year (2011). Re-signed by Cleveland 2/11. Claimed by NY Yankees off waivers 5/6/11 after being DFA by Cleveland 4/30/11. Claimed by St. Louis off waivers 5/16/11 after being DFA by NY Yankees 5/12/11. Sent outright to AAA by St. Louis 6/10/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/10/10.
  • 1 year (2009). Contract purchased 6/4/09. Optioned to Triple-A 6/6/09. Acquired by Cleveland in trade from St. Louis 7/26/09 (player to be named in Mark DeRosa deal).
  • Drafted 2007 (2-82) (Arkansas). Signed 6/21/07, $0.4M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.2 1.4 2.9 58 0 74.4 57 21 71 6 .276 1.04 2.72 2.95 15.0 1.5
80o 2.8 1.2 2.5 53 0 67.9 56 20 65 6 .292 1.12 3.10 3.37 10.2 1.0
70o 2.6 1.1 2.3 49 0 63.3 55 20 61 6 .303 1.18 3.38 3.67 7.2 0.7
60o 2.4 1 2.1 46 0 59.4 54 20 57 6 .312 1.24 3.62 3.94 4.9 0.5
50o 2.2 0.9 1.9 44 0 55.9 53 19 54 6 .321 1.29 3.85 4.19 2.9 0.3
40o 2.1 0.8 1.8 41 0 52.5 51 19 50 6 .330 1.34 4.09 4.44 1.2 0.1
30o 1.9 0.7 1.6 38 0 48.9 50 18 47 6 .340 1.40 4.34 4.72 -0.5 -0.1
20o 1.7 0.6 1.4 35 0 44.7 48 18 43 5 .351 1.46 4.64 5.05 -2.2 -0.2
10o 1.5 0.5 1.2 31 0 39.2 45 16 38 5 .366 1.56 5.07 5.51 -4.0 -0.4
Weighted Mean2.20.91.943055.35219536.3191.273.824.153.20.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
14% 18% 11% 23% 36%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152921242055521954648.3251.293.904.238.53.18.81.00.5
20163021240052501752648.3261.293.904.248.72.99.01.00.4
20173121241053491753648.3191.243.603.928.32.98.91.00.6
20183221238050461549548.3201.233.673.998.32.78.90.90.6
20193321236047441445548.3201.233.673.988.42.78.61.00.5
20203421234045421343548.3201.233.684.008.52.68.71.00.5
20213521132042391240448.3201.223.684.008.42.68.60.90.5
20223621130040371238448.3201.243.663.988.42.78.60.90.5
20233711129038361136448.3211.253.684.008.62.68.61.00.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
30.93.94.63.23.715.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Brad Kilby 2011 0.00 DNP
2 90 Carlos Guevara 2010 0.00 DNP
3 90 Josh Lueke 2013 5.06
4 89 R.J. Swindle 2012 0.00 DNP
5 88 Jon Huber 2010 0.00 DNP
6 88 Marcus McBeth 2009 0.00 DNP
7 88 Brandon Gomes 2013 6.98
8 88 Stuart Pomeranz 2013 0.00 DNP
9 87 Jeff Ridgway 2009 0.00 DNP
10 87 Josh Newman 2010 0.00 DNP
11 87 Will Harris 2013 2.91
12 87 Andy Cavazos 2009 0.00 DNP
13 86 Mike Zagurski 2011 5.40
14 86 Robert Hinton 2013 0.00 DNP
15 86 Matt Daley 2010 4.24
16 85 David Johnson 2011 0.00 DNP
17 85 Chris Mobley 2012 0.00 DNP
18 85 Fernando Hernandez 2013 0.00 DNP
19 85 Pedro Viola 2011 9.82
20 84 Steve Bray 2009 0.00 DNP
21 84 Carlos Martinez 2010 0.00 DNP
22 84 Matt Yourkin 2010 0.00 DNP
23 84 Scott Maine 2013 0.00 DNP
24 84 Ron Flores 2008 0.00 DNP
25 84 Greg Atencio 2010 0.00 DNP
26 84 Brent Leach 2011 0.00 DNP
27 84 Jay Buente 2012 0.00 DNP
28 84 Joe Bisenius 2011 0.00 DNP
29 83 Blake Parker 2013 3.30
30 83 Justin Hedrick 2010 0.00 DNP
31 83 Jim Miller 2010 0.00 DNP
32 83 John Lujan 2012 0.00 DNP
33 83 Mark Worrell 2011 36.00
34 83 Kam Mickolio 2012 0.00 DNP
35 83 Zech Zinicola 2013 0.00 DNP
36 83 Carlos Muniz 2009 0.00 DNP
37 83 Greg Burke 2011 0.00 DNP
38 82 John Ennis 2008 0.00 DNP
39 82 Marcos Mateo 2012 0.00 DNP
40 82 Dane De La Rosa 2011 9.82
41 82 Mitch Stetter 2009 3.80
42 82 Mike Adams 2007 0.00 DNP
43 82 Rommie Lewis 2011 14.40
44 82 Luis Perdomo 2012 4.24
45 82 Jailen Peguero 2009 0.00 DNP
46 82 Oneli Perez 2011 0.00 DNP
47 82 Ryan Reid 2013 1.64
48 82 Kyler Newby 2013 0.00 DNP
49 82 Brad Salmon 2008 0.00 DNP
50 82 Neil Wagner 2012 0.00 DNP
51 82 Matthew Scherer 2011 0.00 DNP
52 82 Jason Ray 2013 0.00 DNP
53 82 Francis Beltran 2008 4.85
54 82 Steven Jackson 2010 8.74
55 82 Jeff Stevens 2012 0.00 DNP
56 82 Ricky Brooks 2013 0.00 DNP
57 82 Brandon Kintzler 2013 3.04
58 81 Francisco Felix 2012 0.00 DNP
59 81 Victor Garate 2013 0.00 DNP
60 81 Michael Wuertz 2007 3.73
61 81 Jose Diaz 2012 0.00 DNP
62 81 Leo Rosales 2009 4.76
63 81 Federico Baez 2010 0.00 DNP
64 81 Chris Schroder 2007 3.38
65 81 Pat Venditte 2013 0.00 DNP
66 81 Zach Simons 2013 0.00 DNP
67 81 Jose Veras 2009 5.90
68 81 John Hudgins 2010 0.00 DNP
69 81 George Kontos 2013 4.88
70 81 Jeff Kennard 2010 0.00 DNP
71 81 Jose Valdez 2011 9.00
72 80 Matt Reynolds 2013 2.30
73 80 Chris Leroux 2012 7.15
74 80 Josh Perrault 2010 0.00 DNP
75 80 Corey Madden 2012 0.00 DNP
76 80 Dewon Day 2009 0.00 DNP
77 80 Mike Ekstrom 2012 6.32
78 80 Jason Anderson 2007 0.00 DNP
79 80 Robert Coello 2013 3.71
80 80 Lee Hyde 2013 0.00 DNP
81 80 Clay Rapada 2009 5.40
82 80 Jason Motte 2010 2.06
83 80 Darin Downs 2013 5.35
84 80 Justin Thomas 2012 8.22
85 80 Ryan Houston 2008 0.00 DNP
86 79 Derrick Loop 2012 0.00 DNP
87 79 John Gaub 2013 0.00 DNP
88 79 German Melendez 2009 0.00 DNP
89 79 Casey Fien 2012 2.31
90 79 Rich Thompson 2013 0.00 DNP
91 79 Scott Roehl 2010 0.00 DNP
92 79 Cesar Jimenez 2013 3.71
93 79 Jim Hoey 2011 7.30
94 79 Anthony Varvaro 2013 3.07
95 79 Alex Serrano 2009 0.00 DNP
96 79 Chris Hatcher 2013 13.50
97 79 Jarrett Grube 2010 0.00 DNP
98 79 Josh Roenicke 2011 3.78
99 79 Brandon Kloess 2013 0.00 DNP
100 79 Shawn Kelley 2012 4.26

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2012 Claimed off waivers from the Yankees in May, Jess Todd returned to the organization that drafted him in 2007, then shipped him to Cleveland in the 2009 Mark DeRosa trade. The Cardinals dropped him from the 40-man roster in June, and he did little in Memphis to warrant a promotion back to the big leagues.
2011 Todd was packaged with Chris Perez in 2009's Mark DeRosa deal, and was expected to be used in the big leagues as much as his trade companion. Instead, he spent the entire year at Triple-A with the exception of a 10-day big-league stint in July. While his final tally for Columbus looks good, it's the result of consistent inconsistency. Case in point: he had a 0.00 ERA in July followed by a 6.75 mark in August. Short and stocky, Todd's fastball is solid-average, but his slider is a true out pitch—when he can control it. He'll compete for a bullpen job in the spring, and let's face it, the competition for the last few spots isn't exactly fierce.
2010 The PTBNL in the DeRosa deal, Todd has used a cut fastball to absolutely dominate right-handed hitters, holding them under .200 in his minor-league career. A starter until last year, he's a bit undersized to pitch 200 innings a year, and so was moved to the pen. He closed for Memphis and showed good control and an improved strikeout rate. Lefties weren't fooled by him at all in his brief time in the majors, going 20-for-49 with four homers. Appropriately, the Indians are content to try him in a set-up role to spot him against right-handers, which is probably his ultimate role.
2009 Todd possesses two strong pitches, a cut fastball and sharp slider, which each feature a good amount of movement (perhaps contributing to his 14 hit batsmen last season). That makes him especially nasty against right-handers, whom he held to a 600 OPS in 387 PA last year, and a 481 OPS the previous season. Like many aspiring starters, he lacks a quality third offering, currently throwing the beta version of a changeup. The progress he makes with the off-speed pitch will determine his fate; even without it, he has enough stuff to be a solid reliever in the majors.

BP Articles

Jess Todd is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
The BP Wayback Machine: Hatching CardinalsBryan Smith2013-08-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTen Prospects on the Bubble, Part Two: National LeagueBradley Ankrom2012-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Cleveland Indians Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-11-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: White Sox, IndiansChristina Kahrl2010-09-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: The National Redistribution EffortKevin Goldstein2010-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: The National Redistribution EffortChristina Kahrl2010-07-30
Transaction Action: ALtruismsChristina Kahrl2010-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: More Prospect Wipeout!Christina Kahrl2010-03-24
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Future Top Dogs, NLKevin Goldstein2010-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Indians Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2009-11-20
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Midweek UpdateJohn Perrotto2009-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Assorted AL AdditionsChristina Kahrl2009-08-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Kevin Goldstein2009-08-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Major Moves RoundupChristina Kahrl2009-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Senior ShufflingChristina Kahrl2009-07-27
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Run-hunting in WrigleyvilleJohn Perrotto2009-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction of the Day: The DeRosa DealChristina Kahrl2009-06-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: NL Central RoundupChristina Kahrl2009-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Future Top Dogs, NLKevin Goldstein2009-04-08


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2009-11-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)In your discussions about the Indians, has there been any mention of returning Jess Todd to the rotation? Todd would seem to be more valuable to Cleveland as a third starter than a third reliever.
(Drew from Niles, OH)
He's a reliever. As a starter, he didn't have 3 potential, more pure back-end. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do the Cardinals have what it takes to get Halladay? I've got to think Brett Wallace is expendable, but while guys like Jason Motte and Jess Todd are nice pieces, I get the feeling they don't have the kind of starting pitching required to get the deal done. Am I wrong about that?
(David Vines from NYC)
Tons of Halladay-trade scenarios in here.

Two Sundays ago I was on Ken Broo's fine sports show on WLW in Cincinnati -- Ken is a BP fan who knows his stuff -- and Halladay came up. I opined that the Cardinals were a possible destination for him, and that if that happened,it almost ensured the division. While teams like the Indians, Astros and Bruce-less Reds, are better served looking to the future, St. Louis may seriously want to consider such a deal. Wallace has a damn bright future, though. (David Laurila)
2009-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you have any insight on who the PTBNL in the DeRosa deal could be? Also, why did they use a PTBNL at all?
(jbuofm from Peoria)
I think I trust the rumors that it'll be either Jess Todd or Francisco Samuel (relievers both), as John Perrotto related today. However, the Indians are currently at 39 on the 40-man, and they'll be re-adding Jake Westbrook from the 60-day DL sometime in the near future, which means they don't really have space to add Todd (who's already rostered) without then also having to subsequently cut someone once Westbrook gets reactivated. The options as far as who the PTBNL might be might also change, depending on the outcome of the Cardinals' season. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)More on the DeRosa PTBNL: I realize this is more in Kevin's space than yours, but who's a "fair" PTBNL that leaves the trade looking more or less balanced? If the Cardinals part with Todd, I'd claim that they "lose" the deal; Samuel, maybe not so much.
(Bill from New Mexico)
I don't really see that as a loss for the Cardinals either way; we're talking about a couple of relievers. Good relievers are nice things to have, certainly, but you can find those. If DeRosa helps the Cardinals deal with that infield's shortages in terms of talent and staffing, and they win the division, it was worth it, and given that's the proposition, I think it was worth it from the instant they made the move. If Jess Todd logs 300 saves, you can feel free to beat me around the head with that, of course. ;) (Christina Kahrl)
2009-05-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Kevin - realistically, how much can a player's stock change between now and the draft? Can the NCAA World Series and/or private workouts really change perception all that much over a much larger body of work? Thanks for your great coverage
(rawagman from Toronto)
It can change a ton. I know we're just PAST the conference tournaments, but Jess Todd probably made himself at least $100,000 when he struck out 17 in the SEC Tournament two years ago in front of a LOT of heat. It's hard for the college guys to move much from here on out, but high school kids with workouts can definitely help/hurt themselves. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Jess Todd threw 523 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2010, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2010, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (90mph) and Slider (84mph), also mixing in a Change (83mph). He also rarely threw a Sinker (89mph).