Biographical

Portrait of Willy Taveras

Willy Taveras CFRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 32)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .225 1 22 17 8 .205 -0.9
Birth Date12-25-1981
Height6' 0"
Weight180 lbs
Age32 years, 10 months, 1 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
-0.12010
2011
2012
2013
-0.92014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2004 HOU 22 10 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .066 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0
2005 HOU 23 152 635 592 82 172 13 4 3 202 25 103 7 4 7 29 34 11 .291 .325 .341 .243 17.5 7.7 2.6
2006 HOU 24 149 587 529 83 147 19 5 1 179 34 88 11 2 11 30 33 9 .278 .333 .338 .240 15.6 19.3 3.4
2007 COL 25 97 408 372 64 119 13 2 2 142 21 55 7 1 7 24 33 9 .320 .367 .382 .253 12.8 3.4 1.6
2008 COL 26 133 538 479 64 120 15 2 1 142 36 79 5 3 15 26 68 7 .251 .308 .296 .225 5.8 5.5 1.1
2009 CIN 27 102 437 404 56 97 11 2 1 115 18 58 2 2 11 15 25 6 .240 .275 .285 .210 -3.6 3.6 -0.0
2010 WAS 28 27 37 35 7 7 0 1 0 9 2 6 0 0 0 4 1 2 .200 .243 .257 .193 -0.4 -0.2 -0.1
Career670264424123586627116878913639032125212819544.274.320.327.23447.639.28.6

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2000 BNC Rk 0 219 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .338 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 CGA A 97 430 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .322 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 CGA A 85 381 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .325 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 KIN A+ 113 468 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .330 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 HOU MLB 10 2 .066 .286 .351 .467 .281 .000 91 -0.4 0.1 0 -0.1 0.3 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0
2004 ROU AA 103 464 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .401 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 HOU MLB 152 635 .243 .266 .330 .421 .260 .345 99 -11.2 18.3 1.7 7.7 7.0 17.5 2.6 17.5 2.6
2006 HOU MLB 149 587 .240 .267 .336 .429 .266 .330 95 -13.2 17.7 1.6 19.3 7.5 15.6 3.4 15.6 3.4
2007 COL MLB 97 408 .253 .269 .331 .421 .260 .370 109 -3.1 12.1 0.7 3.4 1.2 12.8 1.6 12.8 1.6
2007 CSP AAA 4 15 .230 .249 .321 .373 .247 .417 85 -0.5 0.4 -0.1 -0.4 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1
2008 COL MLB 133 538 .225 .264 .329 .414 .262 .296 104 -20.4 15.5 1.4 5.5 8.8 5.8 1.1 5.8 1.1
2009 CIN MLB 102 437 .210 .262 .329 .417 .263 .277 96 -23.2 12.6 1.1 3.6 3.0 -3.6 -0.0 -3.6 -0.0
2010 WAS MLB 27 37 .193 .276 .344 .426 .282 .241 91 -2.5 1.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.1 -0.4 -0.1
2010 GWN AAA 17 47 .115 .267 .336 .411 .257 .139 101 -7.6 1.4 -0.2 0.3 0.6 -6.5 -0.6 -6.5 -0.6
2010 LEH AAA 23 104 .185 .272 .335 .421 .258 .250 95 -8.7 3.1 0.2 2.6 0.5 -4.9 -0.2 -4.9 -0.2
2010 OKL AAA 23 100 .216 .276 .343 .430 .257 .284 111 -5.7 3.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 -1.2 -0.1 -1.2 -0.1
2011 CSP AAA 97 424 .245 .291 .357 .459 .265 .323 129 -7.3 13.2 -0.8 -7.8 0.0 1.9 -0.6 1.9 -0.6
2012 OBR Wnt 52 214 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .290 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 OMA AAA 79 279 .239 .264 .333 .403 .264 .274 95 -6.5 8.0 -1.5 -4.8 4.0 7.6 0.3 7.6 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2000 BNC Rk 219 46 50 4 3 1 16 23 44 36 9 .263 .361 .332 .068 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 CGA A 430 55 107 15 7 3 32 22 73 29 9 .271 .316 .367 .096 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 CGA A 381 68 83 14 1 4 27 45 68 54 12 .265 .386 .355 .089 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 KIN A+ 468 64 112 9 6 2 35 52 68 57 12 .282 .377 .350 .068 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 ROU AA 464 76 137 13 1 2 27 38 76 55 11 .335 .398 .386 .051 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 HOU MLB 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .066 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0
2005 HOU MLB 635 82 172 13 4 3 29 25 103 34 11 .291 .325 .341 .051 .243 17.5 7.7 2.6
2006 HOU MLB 587 83 147 19 5 1 30 34 88 33 9 .278 .333 .338 .060 .240 15.6 19.3 3.4
2007 CSP AAA 15 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 .357 .400 .357 .000 .230 -0.2 -0.4 -0.1
2007 COL MLB 408 64 119 13 2 2 24 21 55 33 9 .320 .367 .382 .062 .253 12.8 3.4 1.6
2008 COL MLB 538 64 120 15 2 1 26 36 79 68 7 .251 .308 .296 .046 .225 5.8 5.5 1.1
2009 CIN MLB 437 56 97 11 2 1 15 18 58 25 6 .240 .275 .285 .045 .210 -3.6 3.6 -0.0
2010 OKL AAA 100 12 25 3 1 2 10 6 9 2 2 .275 .323 .396 .121 .216 -1.2 0.5 -0.1
2010 GWN AAA 47 6 5 1 0 0 1 4 6 4 1 .119 .213 .143 .024 .115 -6.5 0.3 -0.6
2010 LEH AAA 104 10 20 4 1 0 3 4 18 9 0 .208 .250 .271 .062 .185 -4.9 2.6 -0.2
2010 WAS MLB 37 7 7 0 1 0 4 2 6 1 2 .200 .243 .257 .057 .193 -0.4 -0.2 -0.1
2011 CSP AAA 424 67 118 17 5 10 44 21 51 13 4 .302 .336 .448 .146 .245 1.9 -7.8 -0.6
2012 OBR Wnt 214 32 49 15 0 2 22 14 30 9 3 .255 .310 .365 .109 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 OMA AAA 279 36 59 9 5 2 27 18 40 11 2 .239 .308 .340 .101 .239 7.6 -4.8 0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1854 0.5507 0.4490 0.8918 0.5975 0.2665 0.9279 0.7928 0.1034
2009 1573 0.5645 0.4723 0.8989 0.6070 0.2964 0.9443 0.7783 0.0943
2010 118 0.5508 0.5169 0.8852 0.6154 0.3962 0.9250 0.8095 0.1148
Career35450.55680.46160.89470.60230.28410.93510.78690.0997

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2011-07-24 2011-08-13 Minors 20 19 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2009-08-19 2009-09-22 15-DL 34 32 Right Thigh Strain Quadriceps -
2009-07-30 2009-08-03 DTD 4 4 Left Wrist Soreness -
2009-06-03 2009-06-07 DTD 4 4 Right Thigh Soreness Hamstring -
2009-05-31 2009-06-02 DTD 2 2 Right Thigh Soreness Hamstring -
2009-04-03 2009-04-09 DTD 6 2 General Medical Respiratory Flu -
2008-09-24 2008-09-28 DTD 4 4 Right Lower Leg Stress Fracture Shin -
2008-07-02 2008-07-04 DTD 2 2 Left Thigh Strain Quadriceps -
2008-05-24 2008-05-26 DTD 2 2 Right Knee Contusion -
2007-09-09 2007-10-11 DTD 32 22 Right Thigh Strain Quadriceps -
2007-08-15 2007-09-01 15-DL 17 16 Right Groin Strain -
2007-08-07 2007-08-10 DTD 3 3 Right Thigh Soreness Quadriceps -
2007-07-09 2007-07-16 DTD 7 3 Right Thigh Soreness Quadriceps -
2007-07-04 2007-07-06 DTD 2 1 Right Thigh Soreness Quadriceps -
2007-06-30 2007-07-01 DTD 1 1 Right Thigh Tightness Quadriceps -
2007-05-29 2007-06-01 DTD 3 3 Hand Contusion HBP -
2007-05-07 2007-05-12 DTD 5 5 Groin Strain -
2006-09-17 2006-09-23 DTD 6 6 Left Shoulder Soreness -
2005-09-14 2005-09-16 DTD 2 2 Right Fingers Laceration Middle Finger -
2005-06-06 2005-06-10 DTD 4 3 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2004-11-08 2004-11-14 WIN 6 0 Hip Strain Hip Flexor -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2010 WAS $400,000
2009 CIN $2,250,000
2008 COL $1,975,000
2007 COL $402,000
2006 HOU $400,000
2005 HOU $316,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
6 yrPrevious$5,743,000
6 yrTotal$5,743,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 76 dScott Shapiro, Barry Praver2011

Details
  • 1 year (2011). Signed by Colorado as a free agent 1/25/11 (minor-league contract)
  • 2 years/$6.25M (2009-10). Signed by Cincinnati as a free agent 12/27/08. 09:$2.25M, 10:$4M. Performance bonus: up to $0.25M for 600 PAs in 2009, up to $0.5M for 600 PAs in 2010. Taveras to donate one percent of annual base salary to club charity. Acquired by Oakland in trade from Cincinnati 2/1/10. DFA by Oakland 2/1/10, released 2/9/10. Signed by Washington as a free agent 2/15/10 (minor-league contract), with Nationals paying $0.4M of 2010 salary (if Taveras makes team) and Oakland paying remainder. Contract purchased by Washington 4/4/10. Released by Washington 5/21/10 after being DFA 5/16/10. Signed by Philadelphia as a free agent 6/3/10 (minor-league contract). Released by Philadelphia 6/29/10. Signed by Texas as a free agent 8/15/10 (minor-league contract)
  • 1 year/$1.975M (2008). Re-signed by Colorado 1/18/08 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonuses: $50,000 each for 500, 550, 600 PAs. Non-tendered by Colorado 12/12/2008.
  • 1 year/$0.402M (2007). Renewed 3/07.
  • 1 year/$0.4M (2006). Re-signed 3/06.
  • 1 year/$0.316M (2005). Re-signed 2/05
  • Rights retained in trade 3/04, allowing him to go to minors after being selected in Rule 5 draft 12/03

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 510 52 126 18 5 3 39 26 72 20 5 .269 .309 .347 .244 5.7 CF -1, RF -3 0.1
80o 489 47 115 17 4 3 36 23 71 19 5 .253 .292 .327 .231 -0.7 CF -1, RF -3 -0.6
70o 474 45 106 15 4 2 34 22 70 17 5 .242 .280 .312 .221 -5.1 CF -1, RF -3 -1.0
60o 462 42 99 14 4 2 32 20 69 16 4 .233 .270 .300 .213 -8.5 CF -1, RF -3 -1.4
50o 450 40 94 14 3 2 30 19 69 15 4 .224 .260 .289 .205 -11.6 CF -1, RF -3 -1.7
40o 438 38 88 13 3 2 29 18 68 14 4 .216 .251 .278 .198 -14.5 CF -1, RF -3 -2.0
30o 426 36 82 12 3 2 27 17 67 13 3 .207 .241 .265 .190 -17.4 CF -1, RF -3 -2.3
20o 411 33 76 11 3 2 25 15 65 12 3 .196 .229 .251 .180 -20.6 CF -1, RF -3 -2.6
10o 390 30 67 10 2 2 23 13 63 11 3 .181 .212 .232 .167 -24.5 CF -1, RF -2 -3.0
Weighted Mean45541971442312069164.228.265.294.209-10.3CF -1, RF -3-1.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
5% 14% 10% 25% 47%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20153325020486211611408.205.245.256.189-2.9-24.10.9-0.413.3-37.9-2.2
20163425020497211610437.208.248.259.191-2.9-24.90.6-0.514.2-39.2-2.2
20173525020497101610416.212.250.257.192-3.1-25.80.3-0.614.9-40.5-2.2
20183625020477101510425.204.244.248.186-3.5-29.50.1-0.614.9-43.9-2.2
20193725019456101510444.199.238.239.181-3.8-32.9-0.1-0.714.9-47.1-2.2
20203860946110153035251099.196.236.235.179-4.5-36.0-0.7-1.914.9-48.3-5.5
20213925019456101410443.195.234.234.178-4.1-35.1-0.4-0.914.9-48.8-2.2
20224025019456101510443.197.236.234.178-4.1-35.1-0.5-0.914.9-48.7-2.2
20234125019446101510462.195.234.239.179-4.0-35.0-0.6-1.014.9-48.4-2.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
2.7out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball2.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 67)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 83 Pablo Ozuna 2007 .203
2 77 Jason Ellison 2010 .000 DNP
3 74 Wilson Valdez 2010 .235
4 74 Donnie Sadler 2007 .011
5 72 Matt Kata 2010 .000 DNP
6 72 Jesus Feliciano 2011 .000 DNP
7 71 Omir Santos 2013 .022
8 71 Joey Gathright 2013 .000 DNP
9 70 Paul Phillips 2009 .300
10 70 Wil Nieves 2010 .199
11 70 Ray Olmedo 2013 .000 DNP
12 70 Guillermo Rodriguez 2010 .000 DNP
13 70 Russ Snyder 1966 .283
14 69 Henry Mateo 2009 .000 DNP
15 69 Ed Rogers 2011 .000 DNP
16 69 Rich Thompson 2011 .000 DNP
17 69 Charlie Moore 1985 .220
18 69 Michel Hernandez 2011 .000 DNP
19 69 Pete Orr 2011 .203
20 69 Josh Paul 2007 .187
21 68 John Moses 1990 .214
22 68 Rick Leach 1989 .264
23 68 Branden Florence 2010 .000 DNP
24 68 Trent Durrington 2008 .000 DNP
25 68 Freddie Bynum 2012 .000 DNP
26 68 Dave Gallagher 1993 .274
27 68 Angel Berroa 2012 .000 DNP
28 68 Cory Sullivan 2012 .000 DNP
29 68 Tike Redman 2009 .000 DNP
30 68 Quinton McCracken 2003 .195
31 68 Norris Hopper 2011 .000 DNP
32 68 Chris Heintz 2007 .197
33 67 Bill Sample 1987 .000 DNP
34 67 Derek Wathan 2009 .000 DNP
35 67 Jorge Velandia 2007 .324
36 67 Ruben Amaro 1997 .223
37 67 Alex Prieto 2008 .000 DNP
38 67 Lance Johnson 1996 .290
39 67 Al Cowens 1984 .269
40 67 Luis Polonia 1996 .221
41 67 Don Mueller 1959 .334
42 67 Jason Bowers 2010 .000 DNP
43 67 Jason Conti 2007 .000 DNP
44 66 Jesus Merchan 2013 .000 DNP
45 66 Darryl Hamilton 1997 .259
46 66 Barry Bonnell 1986 .166
47 66 Milt Thompson 1991 .299
48 66 Sean Burroughs 2013 .000 DNP
49 66 Alejandro Freire 2007 .000 DNP
50 66 Danny Bautista 2004 .243
51 66 Ted Uhlaender 1972 .177
52 66 John Raburn 2011 .000 DNP
53 66 Eric Owens 2003 .218
54 66 Mike Felder 1994 .196
55 66 Roberto Kelly 1997 .272
56 66 Doug Glanville 2003 .221
57 66 Billy Hatcher 1993 .250
58 66 Steve Holm 2012 .000 DNP
59 65 J.C. Boscan 2012 .141
60 65 Oddibe McDowell 1995 .000 DNP
61 65 Matt Erickson 2008 .000 DNP
62 65 Dan Gladden 1990 .247
63 65 Cesar Tovar 1973 .271
64 65 Dave Collins 1985 .249
65 65 Bip Roberts 1996 .246
66 65 Jose Macias 2004 .233
67 65 Jesus Alou 1974 .237
68 65 Marvin Benard 2003 .185
69 65 Alan Bannister 1984 .296
70 65 Tito Francona 1966 .224
71 65 Willie Bloomquist 2010 .230
72 65 Bubba Phillips 1960 .205
73 65 Jim Piersall 1962 .231
74 65 Brady Clark 2005 .277
75 65 Chris Ashby 2007 .000 DNP
76 65 Jim Busby 1959 .238
77 65 Vic Davalillo 1969 .216
78 64 Ben Davis 2009 .000 DNP
79 64 Bob Dernier 1989 .198
80 64 Lou Piniella 1976 .279
81 64 Gus Bell 1961 .235
82 64 Mickey Stanley 1975 .271
83 64 Pascual Matos 2007 .000 DNP
84 64 Ty Cline 1971 .238
85 64 Gene Clines 1979 .156
86 64 Marquis Grissom 1999 .246
87 64 Jason Tyner 2009 .000 DNP
88 64 Mark Grudzielanek 2002 .237
89 64 Vince Coleman 1994 .222
90 64 Jim Wohlford 1983 .236
91 64 Rick Manning 1987 .221
92 64 Wayne Kirby 1996 .238
93 64 Carl Furillo 1954 .276
94 64 Kevin Howard 2013 .000 DNP
95 64 Mickey Hatcher 1987 .277
96 64 John McDonald 2007 .220
97 64 Timo Perez 2007 .327
98 64 Josh Wilson 2013 .192
99 64 Javier Colina 2011 .000 DNP
100 64 Steve Sax 1992 .227

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 Signed by the Royals in December, Willy Taveras last played in the majors in 2010 and last posted a positive WARP in 2008.
2010 You have to hand it to the Reds. Their 2008 center fielder, Corey Patterson, was so bad that they were almost guaranteed to get better at the position after letting Patterson go, yet they went out and spent $6.25 million on a player who turned out to be nearly as awful. Patterson’s -19.0 VORP was the second-worst by an everyday player in the majors in 2008 (the one guy below him, Tony Peña Jr., has since defected to pitching, rather obvious given his contributions to their cause). Taveras’s -14.3 VORP in 2009 was third-worst in the majors (above the ghost of Brian Giles and Ronny Cedeño). Taveras has hit .246/.293/.291 over the last two seasons. He’s fast, which pays off on the bases and in the field, but Usain Bolt couldn’t outrun that batting line.
2009 After four years as a starting center fielder, two with Houston and two with Colorado, Taveras has few surprises left, yet the Rockies only just figured out that the only thing Taveras can do is run. That skill allows him to cover plenty of ground in center and steal bases, but that's really it—he has little in the way of on-base skills and even less power. The Rockies tried to trade him after the season, but when they realized that nobody was interested they just let him go, non-tendering him to make him a free agent.
2008 Groin and quad injuries limited Taveras to 97 games in 2007. When healthy, he was a critical part of the Rockies' performance, giving them a true defensive center fielder-a great one, actually-for the first time in franchise history. His glove, along with that of Tulowitzki, knocked enough runs off the board to make the soft-throwing Rockies staff an effective one. Taveras has been working this offseason to improve his conditioning with an eye towards staying in the lineup. If healthy, he's a down-ballot MVP candidate thanks to his speed-driven batting average and Gold Glove-quality defense in center.
2007 He hits enough singles to give him a little bit of a batting average, and of course he`s a fast runner, but as a regular, Taveras is something of a disaster. He has no power and little patience, and his occasional stolen bases do nothing to make up for that. Putting him in the everyday lineup and batting him leadoff or second, thereby giving him a higher percentage of the team`s plate appearances, is just doing the opposing pitcher`s work for him. Taveras`s speed does make him a plus defender, something that will help cover the gaps at Coors, but he won`t provide the Rockies with a top-of-the-order hitter any better-equipped to help them than Juan Pierre was.
2006 A better player than most think, Taveras didn`t exactly light up the scoreboard in his first full season in the majors, but his defense was astonishing, to the tune of 31 runs saved over a replacement center fielder. He showed some significant plate discipline and even a little power in the minors. If he can avoid the minor hamstring and hand injuries that hampered him at times last year, he might be able to combine all the skills he`s shown and have a reasonably valuable career.
2005 Taken in the 2003 Rule 5 draft from the Indians, the Astros sent Jeriome Robertson to Cleveland for Taveras' rights, just one of many excellent moves Gerry Hunsicker made in his last year. Taveras is one of the fastest players in the game, and while his '04 has been hailed as a breakthrough, it was almost entirely a batting average thing: He didn't hit for more power and his strike-zone judgment regressed. He wasn't putting the ball in play more (slightly less, in fact). Thirty-eight walks and 16 extra-base hits in 460-odd plate appearances at Double-A are negatives, no matter how fast you are or how much scouts like you. He needs time at Triple-A almost as much as the Astros need him to push Biggio aside.

BP Articles

Willy Taveras is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Parsing the PECOTAsBen Lindbergh2014-02-04
The BP Wayback Machine: The Nose KnowsSteven Goldman2014-01-03
Transaction Analysis: Omar Comin'Ben Lindbergh2013-12-16
Transaction Analysis: Omar Comin'Bret Sayre2013-12-16
The BP Wayback Machine: Winter Meetings ReviewJoe Sheehan2013-12-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Rereading Nate Silver: 5. The Colorado EffectSam Miller2013-11-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 26, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-26
BP Unfiltered: Gonzalez Germen and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad InningBen Lindbergh2013-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: What it Means to Have the Worst Farm System in BaseballSam Miller2013-02-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: Three Giant Draft PicksGeoff Young2012-10-30
Spinning Yarn: Who Controls How Hard the Ball is Hit?Mike Fast2011-11-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 10/18/11Rob McQuown2011-10-18
The BP Broadside: Heyward You Show the Braves the Way to the Playoffs?Steven Goldman2011-09-01
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Asian Equation: The Idiosyncrasy of IchiroMichael Street2011-05-11
BP Unfiltered: Cactus Action, Ranger DangerChristina Kahrl2011-03-17
Overthinking It: Small Samplings of Spring, NL EditionBen Lindbergh2011-03-17
BP Unfiltered: Days 4 & 5 in Cactus CountryChristina Kahrl2011-03-13
This article requires BP Premium accessPurpose Pitches: NL NRIs of NoteChristina Kahrl2011-02-24
BP Unfiltered: Four Suggestions: Cincinnati RedsDavid Laurila2011-02-17
This article requires BP Premium accessChecking the Numbers: Minor-league Contract Candidates: BattersEric Seidman2010-11-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL Central RoundupChristina Kahrl2010-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessChanging Speeds: Forty-two Things I Think, Part 2Ken Funck2010-08-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMid-season Prescriptions: NL EastBen Lindbergh2010-07-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Not Least the NL EastChristina Kahrl2010-07-05
This article requires BP Premium accessYou Could Look It Up: Dusty Baker and the Johnny Oates AffairSteven Goldman2010-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Fiddling While the Toast BurnsChristina Kahrl2010-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Shuffling SeniorsChristina Kahrl2010-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Central PreoccupationsChristina Kahrl2010-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Grab BagChristina Kahrl2010-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Seeing RedJay Jaffe2010-06-02
Fantasy Beat: Fantasy Today Clay Davenport2010-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Pad SquaddingChristina Kahrl2010-05-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL RoundupChristina Kahrl2010-05-02
Game Story: Nationals at CubsChristina Kahrl2010-04-29
Game Story: Cubs/Nationals in WrigleyChristina Kahrl2010-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Senior ShuffleChristina Kahrl2010-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Captive, O Captive!Christina Kahrl2010-04-13
You Can Blog It Up: Dead Player of the Day and Other Notes #11Steven Goldman2010-04-12
Game Story: Nats at MetsChristina Kahrl2010-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL East and WestChristina Kahrl2010-04-09
This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: Rule 5 UpdateJeff Euston2010-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessChecking the Numbers: SHINOMetricsEric Seidman2010-04-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Turn of the Screw, NLChristina Kahrl2010-04-04
BP Unfiltered: UPDATED NL Projected Opening Day RostersJohn Perrotto2010-04-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-03-31
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Put Up Your Dukes?Christina Kahrl2010-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessGreat Expectations: A Context-Dependent ApproachDan Malkiel2010-03-14
Contractual Matters: NL CentralJeff Euston2010-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Capital Offenses?Christina Kahrl2010-02-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Parts is PartsChristina Kahrl2010-02-10
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: North by LeftwestChristina Kahrl2010-02-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Thome, Taveras, and 10,000Christina Kahrl2010-02-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Center Field Rankings ReviewMarc Normandin2010-01-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Senior Circuitry, East and CentralChristina Kahrl2010-01-04
This article requires BP Premium accessChecking the Numbers: The 2009 Platoon Split AwardsEric Seidman2009-11-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWinter League Preview: The Dominican LeagueCarlos J. Lugo2009-10-18
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2009-10-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who's your early pick for biggest surprise team of 2010?
(Matt from Whippleville, NY)
I suppose it depends on your definition of what's surprising. The Marlins will probably upset the concept of $ = results by again finishing around .500. The Rangers making a run at 95 wins wouldn't surprise me, but it might surprise some observers. The Reds topping .500 and contending with relative good health (and a whole lot less PT for Willy Taveras)? Seems possible to me. The Angels imploding next year, maybe? The Padres finishing .500? Again, I don't think this year delivered all that many surprises, beyond the Rays' underwhelming their expected record, but I might not have the same capacity for easy startling. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-10-05 16:00:00 (link to chat)The Reds dumped the pitching coach, Dick Pole. Next I'm sure they'll finish rearanging the deck chairs. AFTER THAT, what are the 3 things they should do this offseason?
(Browning Nagle from Cinti)
Willy Taveras needs to go, big time. Or at least only be used as a pinch-runner/defensive replacement. A push for a legit cleanup bat--Phillips is good but if he is your cleanup hitter...--would be good but I can ultimately see them only getting someone like Jermaine Dye, which wouldn't be awful but is certainly not a franchise changing signing. And lastly, let Stubbs, Bruce, Bailey, et al play the whole year. (Eric Seidman)
2009-09-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)To what extent do you consider Dusty Baker a good manager? In 16 years of managing, his first year was his best, and his record on teams sans Bonds is below .500. He's had Cubs teams with talent and never won more than 90 games, and his record with young pitchers is atrocious. I don't see the substance behind the reputation.
(BambinosCurse from Boston)
I've been willing to concede that Baker, while no tactician, might have his uses as a veteran skipper of a predominantly veteran ballclub. Paired with a GM with a strong grip on personnel decisions, he can have value. In the abstract, I'd have thought that he and Walt Jocketty would be a good tandem, but then you wind up with Willy Taveras, and it looks more like a murder/suicide pact. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-07-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ignoring for a moment the massive whipping they've taken in the last 18 innings (outscored 32-1), should the Reds be buying or selling? Is there a move out there which helps them now and later?
(Rick from Chicago)
Well, if Dusty Baker could actually figure out that his Willy Taveras fetish is absolutely KILLING his team, I'd say they should be buying, because they're just 3.5 back and they've got the strongest pitching staff they've had in years.

In other words: SELL SELL SELL.

I imagine they could do reasonably well marketing Harang to a contender, though they'd have to make a choice between eating salary and getting Grade-A prospects. Arroyo won't bring back much, but he'll net something, somewhere. A team desperate for a catcher might be able to squint and see a use for Ramon Hernandez. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-06-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Of course, with Jocketty now in cincy, does that change your answer?
(mike from chicago)
Whoops. Sorry about that. I still call it "Shea," too, and often talk about Yankee prospects at Columbus.

I wouldn't trade for a 3B. The guy you get might be a win better than Encarnacion over three months, and he could just as easily be two wins' worse. Maybe that's being optimistic about a disappointing player. The Reds would be better served looking for an OBP source in the outfield, where Willy Taveras and Laynce Nix are killing them. (Is Taveras still trying to steal 100 bases? He has some ground to make up.) (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)In order for the Reds to be in the wildcard race come September, they need to __________?
(dshugert from Ohio)
The short answer: They Aaron Harang to pitch like he did in 2006 and 2007 while Edinson Volquez and Johnny Cueto advance or at least hold their ground relative to last year while maintaining health. They also need Dusty to get Willy Taveras out of the leadoff spot, and preferably out of the lineup in favor of someone who can get on base regularly. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-04-10 16:30:00 (link to chat)It seems like there's rigid dogma at BP against stolen bases, claiming they're overrated and largely unnecessary. But if someone steals at a high enough clip (say, 85%+) aren't those extra bases very much worthwhile, akin to hitting a double instead of a single?
(Charles from Ann Arbor)
You mistake the target; it's more often the problem with who's getting played to generate those steals than the stealing of the bases that is the problem. Stealing bases doesn't make Willy Taveras or Juan Pierre incredibly valuable in the real world; in the real world, stolen bases aren't a category you play people like that to "win," you use tactics as an element of victory. Everybody should keep an active arsenal of tactical options to put pressure on defenses, but going so far as to play Juan Pierre is where the wisdom involved evaporates. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-02-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do the Reds have any chance of contending for a wildcard berth this season with the their offense?
(Brandon from Charleston)
You've hit the nail on the head as to why they might not; while I like their picking up Ramon Hernandez, picking Willy Taveras is a huge disappointment for a lineup that has OBP issues already, and absent Bruce really blossoming and their adding another outfield bat (I'd rather see Dickerson in center), scoring will be an issue once you take the park into account. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-12-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)If the Cameron deal is dead (according to the latest reports), who is Plan B for the Yanks in CF?
(Anthony from Paramus, NJ)
Melky Cabrera or perhaps Willy Taveras if he gets non-tendered tomorrow as expected. (John Perrotto)
2008-07-30 12:30:00 (link to chat)Since the Rockies aren't selling, any chance they call up Dexter Fowler right after the Olympics to see if he can help and be playoff eligible? It's only Willy Taveras ahead of him.....
(Jonathan from New York)
Haven't heard anything on that but I would say it's possible. (John Perrotto)


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