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Craig Tatum
Cincinnati Reds [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6'
217 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 DYT 1B 151 16 7 1 1 12 21 30 0 2 -1.1 .188 .311 .281 -.223 .150 .252 .241 .166 -14.2 35-C -1 0.0
2006 DYT 1B 381 41 21 0 8 37 32 70 3 1 -1.3 .277 .344 .408 .102 .227 .283 .341 .218 -11.1 92-C 1 2.1
2007 SAR 1C 231 29 15 0 10 39 9 41 0 1 -0.8 .320 .348 .525 .254 .277 .307 .455 .258 9.2 54-C 0 2.0
2007 CHT 2A 194 21 10 1 2 22 17 49 0 1 -0.6 .231 .299 .335 -.164 .205 .263 .307 .196 -10.6 46-C -1 0.5


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 7:53 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 417 48 25 2 13 54 34 92 2 1 -0.7 .267 .331 .450 -.008 .263 .327 .443 .261 14.4 99-C 0 3.6
75o 404 41 23 1 11 49 31 92 2 1 -0.6 .252 .314 .416 -.094 .248 .310 .409 .245 6.0 96-C 0 2.9
60o 392 36 20 1 10 45 29 92 2 2 -0.6 .239 .299 .387 -.167 .236 .296 .381 .230 -0.7 94-C 0 2.3
50o 389 35 20 1 10 44 28 92 2 2 -0.6 .236 .295 .380 -.185 .233 .292 .374 .227 -2.3 93-C 0 2.2
40o 383 32 19 1 9 42 27 92 2 2 -0.5 .230 .288 .366 -.221 .227 .285 .360 .219 -5.4 92-C 0 1.9
25o 373 29 17 1 8 38 25 92 2 2 -0.5 .221 .277 .345 -.275 .218 .274 .339 .207 -9.9 89-C 1 1.5
10o 356 24 15 1 6 33 22 91 2 2 -0.5 .206 .259 .310 -.364 .203 .256 .305 .186 -16.6 86-C 1 0.8
Weighted Mean 416 38 21 1 10 48 30 99 2 2 -0.6 .236 .295 .379 -.188 .233 .291 .373 .225 -0.5 99-C 0 2.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

30%

60%

17%

21%

0.94

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 416 38 21 1 10 48 30 99 2 2 -0.6 .236 .295 .379 -.188 .233 .291 .373 .225 -0.5 99-C 0 2.3
2009 (age 26) 379 34 18 1 10 44 28 87 2 1 -0.4 .239 .300 .383 -.171 .233 .292 .370 .229 -0.7 91-C 1 1.6
2010 (age 27) 311 27 14 1 8 36 24 72 2 1 -0.3 .245 .307 .389 -.147 .238 .299 .375 .234 0.6 75-C -2 1.1
2011 (age 28) 275 23 13 1 7 31 22 63 1 1 -0.2 .241 .307 .390 -.148 .234 .299 .376 .234 0.4 67-C -2 0.9
2012 (age 29) 291 25 15 1 8 31 21 65 1 1 -0.2 .247 .307 .399 -.132 .240 .299 .386 .237 0.7 71-C 1 0.8
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .249 .309 .401
vs RHP .232 .289 .366
Split +.018 +.020 +.034
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 2.4 2.3 $2,775,000 -2.0 2.3
2009 0.0 1.6 1.6 $1,850,000 -1.2 2.6
2010 0.1 1.0 1.1 $1,300,000 -1.7 1.8
2011 0.1 0.8 0.9 $1,125,000 -0.9 1.8
2012 0.1 0.7 0.8 $1,200,000 0.7 2.8
2013 0.0 0.4 0.3 $625,000 -1.8 0.6
2014 0.0 0.4 0.3 $625,000 -1.6 0.8
Peak 7.1 $5,775,000 0.7 11.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .245 .227 .207 .225
2009 .247 .232 .214 .229
2010 .256 .229 .211 .234
2011 .257 .232 .208 .234
2012 .260 .230 .217 .237
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 21% 0% 30%
2009 43% 24% 38%
2010 66% 40% 38%
2011 68% 52% 33%
2012 76% 62% 30%
2013 85% 71% 20%
2014 86% 78% 18%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

61

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Brad Cresse 1992 40 11 Alvin Colina 2003 33
2 Joe Depastino 1979 36 12 Paul Bako 1971 33
3 Rob Fitzpatrick 1981 36 13 Alberto Castillo 1982 33
4 Pat Cline 1970 36 14 Wiki Gonzalez 1960 33
5 Dan Conway 1973 35 15 Jason Dewey 2007 32
6 Danny Ardoin 1992 35 16 Mike Daniel 1975 32
7 Jimmy Gonzalez 1975 34 17 Jake Fox 1969 32
8 Jim Campanis 1975 34 18 Blake Barthol 2000 31
9 Alberto Concepcion 1957 34 19 Andy Dominique 1979 30
10 John Baker 1998 33 20 Jim Foster 2005 30

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