Biographical

Portrait of Luke Scott

Luke Scott LFRays

Rays Player Cards | Rays Team Audit | Rays Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 36)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
294 .237 11 34 39 2 .273 0.9
Birth Date6-25-1978
Height6' 0"
Weight220 lbs
Age36 years, 4 months, 0 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2.02010
0.22011
0.32012
0.82013
0.92014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2005 HOU 27 34 89 80 6 15 4 2 0 23 9 23 0 0 0 4 1 1 .188 .270 .287 .204 -3.8 -1.2 -0.5
2006 HOU 28 65 249 214 31 72 19 6 10 133 30 43 4 1 0 37 2 1 .336 .426 .621 .350 32.0 1.2 3.2
2007 HOU 29 132 425 369 49 94 28 5 18 186 53 95 2 1 0 64 3 1 .255 .351 .504 .277 15.7 3.5 1.9
2008 BAL 30 148 536 475 67 122 29 2 23 224 53 102 5 3 0 65 2 2 .257 .336 .472 .278 17.3 2.2 2.0
2009 BAL 31 128 506 449 61 116 26 1 25 219 55 104 1 1 0 77 0 0 .258 .340 .488 .277 13.7 0.6 1.4
2010 BAL 32 131 517 447 70 127 29 1 27 239 59 98 4 7 0 72 2 0 .284 .368 .535 .299 19.2 0.2 2.0
2011 BAL 33 64 236 209 24 46 11 0 9 84 24 54 1 2 0 22 1 1 .220 .301 .402 .253 0.8 0.8 0.2
2012 TBA 34 96 344 314 35 72 22 1 14 138 21 80 5 4 0 55 5 0 .229 .285 .439 .258 2.8 0.0 0.3
2013 TBA 35 91 291 253 27 61 13 2 9 105 30 63 4 4 0 40 1 1 .241 .326 .415 .281 7.8 0.0 0.8
Career8893193281037072518120135135133466226230436177.258.340.481.281105.37.311.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2002 CGA A 49 198 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .346 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 KIN A+ 48 186 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .282 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 KIN A+ 67 272 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .325 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 AKR AA 50 202 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .303 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 SLM A+ 66 287 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .337 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 ROU AA 63 253 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .293 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 HOU MLB 34 89 .204 .266 .327 .421 .259 .263 99 -5.3 2.6 -0.6 -1.2 -0.5 -3.8 -0.5 -3.8 -0.5
2005 ROU AAA 103 449 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .306 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 HOU MLB 65 249 .350 .264 .331 .431 .265 .383 93 25 7.5 -1.9 1.2 1.1 32.0 3.2 32.0 3.2
2006 ROU AAA 87 381 .331 .267 .339 .403 .263 .322 94 28.3 10.8 -2.7 -1.1 1.2 34.3 3.3 34.3 3.3
2007 HOU MLB 132 425 .277 .265 .332 .420 .258 .296 104 8.1 12.6 -4.3 3.5 0.2 15.7 1.9 15.7 1.9
2008 BAL MLB 148 536 .278 .261 .325 .412 .256 .280 106 10.2 15.5 -4.8 2.2 -1.5 17.3 2.0 17.3 2.0
2009 BAL MLB 128 506 .277 .265 .332 .423 .259 .283 108 9.1 14.6 -8.1 0.6 -2.2 13.7 1.4 13.7 1.4
2009 DEL A 2 6 .891 .267 .335 .378 .267 .667 76 4 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 -0.2 3.9 0.4 3.9 0.4
2010 BAL MLB 131 517 .299 .256 .321 .401 .255 .304 112 20.7 14.3 -8.5 0.2 -6.1 19.2 2.0 19.2 2.0
2010 ORI Rk 3 11 .318 .241 .322 .321 .261 .250 103 0.7 0.4 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.1
2011 BAL MLB 64 236 .253 .250 .314 .396 .256 .250 103 -1.7 6.4 -2.1 0.8 -1.1 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.2
2011 BOW AA 3 12 .734 .257 .317 .372 .269 .400 80 6.3 0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 6.6 0.7 6.6 0.7
2012 TBA MLB 96 344 .258 .258 .323 .417 .264 .259 96 -0.7 9.4 -5.9 0.0 -0.3 2.8 0.3 2.8 0.3
2012 PCH A+ 8 32 .312 .253 .314 .356 .239 .353 108 1.9 1.0 -0.6 0.1 -0.3 1.9 0.2 1.9 0.2
2012 DUR AAA 2 10 .445 .286 .360 .467 .288 .167 110 2.1 0.3 -0.2 0.0 -0.0 2.2 0.2 2.2 0.2
2013 TBA MLB 91 291 .281 .253 .320 .400 .265 .281 94 5.9 7.7 -4.4 0.0 -1.1 7.8 0.8 7.8 0.8
2013 PCH A+ 5 19 .181 .234 .299 .339 .231 .308 100 -1.6 0.6 -0.4 0.0 -0.3 -1.7 -0.2 -1.7 -0.2
2013 DUR AAA 3 14 .263 .262 .327 .377 .251 .364 105 0 0.4 -0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2002 KIN A+ 186 22 39 7 1 8 30 16 47 2 1 .239 .323 .442 .202 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 CGA A 198 28 44 15 4 7 32 21 58 9 1 .257 .347 .515 .257 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 AKR AA 202 21 50 13 1 7 37 11 37 0 1 .273 .317 .470 .197 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 KIN A+ 272 37 67 12 1 13 44 27 62 6 3 .278 .360 .498 .220 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 ROU AA 253 45 62 17 0 19 62 33 43 0 2 .298 .407 .654 .356 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 SLM A+ 287 45 67 20 1 8 35 41 58 6 1 .278 .383 .469 .191 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 HOU MLB 89 6 15 4 2 0 4 9 23 1 1 .188 .270 .287 .100 .204 -3.8 -1.2 -0.5
2005 ROU AAA 449 69 114 25 4 31 87 43 96 2 2 .286 .365 .603 .317 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 HOU MLB 249 31 72 19 6 10 37 30 43 2 1 .336 .426 .621 .285 .350 32.0 1.2 3.2
2006 ROU AAA 381 63 95 15 1 20 63 52 66 6 1 .299 .404 .541 .242 .331 34.3 -1.1 3.3
2007 HOU MLB 425 49 94 28 5 18 64 53 95 3 1 .255 .351 .504 .249 .277 15.7 3.5 1.9
2008 BAL MLB 536 67 122 29 2 23 65 53 102 2 2 .257 .336 .472 .215 .278 17.3 2.2 2.0
2009 DEL A 6 1 3 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 .750 .833 1.500 .750 .891 3.9 -0.0 0.4
2009 BAL MLB 506 61 116 26 1 25 77 55 104 0 0 .258 .340 .488 .229 .277 13.7 0.6 1.4
2010 ORI Rk 11 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 0 .222 .364 .222 .000 .318 0.7 0.0 0.1
2010 BAL MLB 517 70 127 29 1 27 72 59 98 2 0 .284 .368 .535 .251 .299 19.2 0.2 2.0
2011 BAL MLB 236 24 46 11 0 9 22 24 54 1 1 .220 .301 .402 .182 .253 0.8 0.8 0.2
2011 BOW AA 12 5 5 1 0 3 7 2 2 0 0 .500 .583 1.500 1.000 .734 6.6 0.0 0.7
2012 PCH A+ 32 6 8 1 0 2 6 6 7 0 0 .308 .438 .577 .269 .312 1.9 0.1 0.2
2012 DUR AAA 10 3 3 0 0 2 4 0 1 0 0 .375 .400 1.125 .750 .445 2.2 0.0 0.2
2012 TBA MLB 344 35 72 22 1 14 55 21 80 5 0 .229 .285 .439 .210 .258 2.8 0.0 0.3
2013 PCH A+ 19 2 4 1 0 0 2 0 5 0 0 .222 .263 .278 .056 .181 -1.7 0.0 -0.2
2013 DUR AAA 14 2 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 .333 .429 .333 .000 .263 0.1 0.0 0.0
2013 TBA MLB 291 27 61 13 2 9 40 30 63 1 1 .241 .326 .415 .174 .281 7.8 0.0 0.8

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1927 0.4992 0.4852 0.7829 0.6923 0.2788 0.8694 0.5688 0.2171
2009 1941 0.4889 0.4523 0.7631 0.6417 0.2712 0.8539 0.5576 0.2369
2010 1977 0.4820 0.4542 0.7394 0.6506 0.2715 0.8532 0.4856 0.2606
2011 978 0.5082 0.4796 0.7548 0.6982 0.2536 0.8473 0.4918 0.2452
2012 1291 0.4748 0.5078 0.7466 0.6917 0.3407 0.8467 0.5628 0.2534
2013 1140 0.5026 0.4377 0.7575 0.6230 0.2504 0.8796 0.4507 0.2425
Career92540.49130.46840.75830.66480.27810.85840.52520.2417

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-08-15 2013-09-01 15-DL 17 16 - Low Back Strain - -
2013-07-25 2013-07-28 DTD 3 2 - Back Stiffness - -
2013-03-24 2013-04-30 15-DL 37 25 Right Lower Leg Strain Calf - -
2013-03-04 2013-03-11 Camp 7 0 Left Thigh Tightness Hamstring - -
2012-07-21 2012-08-21 15-DL 31 28 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2012-06-09 2012-06-28 15-DL 19 17 - Mid Back Spasms - -
2012-04-09 2012-04-13 DTD 4 3 Left Thigh Tightness Hamstring - -
2011-08-30 2011-08-30 On-Alr 0 0 - Surgery LASIK 2011-08-30 -
2011-07-23 2011-09-29 60-DL 68 66 Right Shoulder Surgery SLAP and Posterior Labrum Tears 2011-07-26
2011-07-04 2011-07-22 15-DL 18 14 Right Shoulder Cartilage Injury Partial Labrum Tear -
2011-06-29 2011-07-01 DTD 2 2 Right Knee Contusion -
2011-06-19 2011-06-21 DTD 2 2 Mid Back Spasms -
2011-06-04 2011-06-07 DTD 3 3 Right Shoulder Cartilage Injury Labrum -
2011-04-17 2011-04-17 DTD 0 0 Soreness -
2011-04-03 2011-04-07 DTD 4 3 Right Groin Strain -
2010-07-01 2010-07-19 15-DL 18 14 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2010-05-24 2010-05-28 DTD 4 3 Left Shoulder Strain -
2009-10-01 2009-10-04 DTD 3 3 Left Foot Strain -
2009-08-13 2009-08-15 DTD 2 1 General Medical Illness Flu -
2009-05-11 2009-05-27 15-DL 16 14 Left Shoulder Strain Rotator Cuff -
2008-05-25 2008-05-25 DTD 0 0 Right Lower Leg Soreness Achilles Tendon -
2008-05-01 2008-05-03 DTD 2 2 General Medical Illness -
2007-08-17 2007-08-18 DTD 1 1 Groin Strain -
2007-06-10 2007-06-10 DTD 0 0 Left Groin Strain -
2007-04-04 2007-04-06 DTD 2 1 Right Elbow Hyperextension -
2005-09-11 2005-09-11 DTD 0 0 Hip Soreness -
2005-04-25 2005-04-27 DTD 2 1 Right Shoulder Soreness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2013 TBA $2,750,000
2012 TBA $5,000,000
2011 BAL $6,400,000
2010 BAL $4,050,000
2009 BAL $2,400,000
2008 BAL $430,000
2007 HOU $382,000
2006 HOU $327,000
2005 HOU $316,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
9 yrPrevious$22,055,000
9 yrTotal$22,055,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
7 y 144 dPSI Sports1 year/$2.75M (2013)

Details
  • 1 year/$2.75M (2013). Re-signed by Tampa Bay as a free agent 2/6/13. Performance bonuses: $50,000 for 400 plate appearances. $0.1M for 450 PA. $0.25M for 500 PA. $0.3M for 550 PA.
  • 1 year/$6M (2012), plus 2013 club option. Signed by Tampa Bay as a free agent 1/12/12. 12:$5M, 13:$6M club option, $1M buyout. Tampa Bay declined 2013 option 10/31/12.
  • 1 year/$6.4M (2011). Re-signed by Baltimore 2/10/11 (avoided arbitration, $6.85M-$5.7M). Non-tendered by Baltimore 12/12/11.
  • 1 year/$4.05M (2010). Re-signed 1/19/10 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$2.4M (2009). Re-signed 1/20/09 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.43M (2008). Re-signed 2/11/08.
  • 1 year/$0.382M (2007). Renewed 3/07. Acquired by Baltimore in trade from Houston 12/12/07.
  • 1 year/$0.327M (2006). Renewed 3/06.
  • 1 year/$0.316M (2005) (split contract). Contract purchased 11/04. Re-signed 2/05. Optioned to Triple-A 5/05. Recalled 8/05.
  • Acquired by Houston in trade from Cleveland 3/04.
  • Drafted by Cleveland 2001 (9-277) (Oklahoma State).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 508 69 121 26 2 22 72 56 107 3 1 .273 .358 .490 .309 31.0 LF 0, 1B 0 3.4
80o 488 64 111 24 2 20 67 52 105 3 1 .260 .343 .467 .296 23.8 LF 0, 1B 0 2.6
70o 474 60 104 22 2 19 63 49 104 3 1 .251 .333 .450 .287 18.9 LF 0, 1B 0 2.1
60o 462 57 99 21 2 18 60 46 103 3 1 .243 .323 .436 .279 14.9 LF 0, 1B 0 1.6
50o 450 54 94 20 2 17 57 44 101 3 1 .236 .315 .423 .271 11.3 LF 0, 1B 0 1.2
40o 438 51 88 19 1 16 54 42 100 2 1 .229 .306 .411 .264 7.9 LF 0, 1B 0 0.9
30o 426 49 83 18 1 15 51 39 99 2 1 .221 .297 .397 .256 4.5 LF 0, 1B 0 0.5
20o 412 45 78 17 1 14 48 36 97 2 1 .212 .286 .381 .247 0.7 LF 0, 1B 0 0.1
10o 392 41 70 15 1 13 44 33 94 2 1 .200 .272 .359 .234 -4.2 LF 0, 1B 0 -0.4
Weighted Mean454559620218584510231.238.318.428.27412.6LF 0, 1B 01.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 23% 13% 9% 81%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201537250304910193024591.215.294.384.2490.54.6-0.7-1.812.9-5.80.1
201638250294810182822610.213.288.371.2430.22.2-0.7-1.914.9-10.20.1
201739631731192421969581520.211.289.362.240-0.4-3.8-1.8-4.914.9-12.00.2
201840337386112193530820.204.280.346.230-0.7-6.4-0.9-2.714.9-17.70.1
201941565621022021559491390.203.277.341.228-1.1-10.6-1.6-4.714.9-19.30.2
20204225827469162622650.200.272.329.222-1.2-10.8-0.7-2.214.9-22.90.1
20214350151891821146421280.193.265.309.214-2.0-18.5-1.4-4.414.9-27.60.2
20224453854941921148441380.191.262.302.209-2.3-21.5-1.5-4.914.9-30.10.2
2023454274273151837341110.188.257.294.205-2.5-22.9-1.2-4.014.9-32.60.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
27.219.94.46.63.35.561.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 91 Travis Hafner 2013 .251
2 90 Derrek Lee 2012 .000 DNP
3 89 Cliff Floyd 2009 .119
4 88 Mike Piazza 2005 .272
5 87 Jeff Bagwell 2004 .300
6 86 Roy Sievers 1963 .283
7 85 Olmedo Saenz 2007 .221
8 85 Rafael Palmeiro 2001 .309
9 84 Lyle Overbay 2013 .248
10 84 Dwight Evans 1988 .309
11 84 Frank Thomas 2004 .328
12 84 Champ Summers 1982 .276
13 83 Ryan Klesko 2007 .254
14 83 Stan Musial 1957 .355
15 83 Chili Davis 1996 .295
16 83 Paul Konerko 2012 .293
17 82 Andruw Jones 2013 .000 DNP
18 82 Carlos Delgado 2008 .300
19 82 David Justice 2002 .278
20 81 Jim Hickman 1973 .256
21 81 Ken Singleton 1983 .294
22 81 Javy Lopez 2007 .000 DNP
23 81 Norm Cash 1971 .325
24 80 David Dellucci 2010 .000 DNP
25 80 Ken Phelps 1991 .000 DNP
26 80 Bob Watson 1982 .258
27 80 Vladimir Guerrero 2011 .252
28 80 Jermaine Dye 2010 .000 DNP
29 80 Casey Blake 2010 .275
30 80 Sid Gordon 1954 .312
31 80 David Ortiz 2012 .343
32 80 Torii Hunter 2012 .286
33 79 Joe Adcock 1964 .305
34 79 Aubrey Huff 2013 .000 DNP
35 79 Oscar Gamble 1986 .000 DNP
36 79 Joe Dimaggio 1951 .290
37 79 Mike Stanley 1999 .294
38 79 Ken Caminiti 1999 .296
39 79 Billy Williams 1974 .302
40 79 George Brett 1989 .291
41 79 Larry Walker 2003 .293
42 78 Hideki Matsui 2010 .290
43 78 J.D. Drew 2012 .000 DNP
44 78 Edgar Martinez 1999 .328
45 78 Kevin Millar 2008 .252
46 78 Raul Ibanez 2008 .293
47 78 Alfonso Soriano 2012 .281
48 78 Phil Nevin 2007 .000 DNP
49 78 Mike Sweeney 2010 .285
50 78 Harmon Killebrew 1972 .306
51 77 John Lowenstein 1983 .316
52 77 Mark DeRosa 2011 .267
53 77 Frank Robinson 1972 .319
54 77 Jason Varitek 2008 .229
55 77 David Ross 2013 .240
56 77 Duke Snider 1963 .292
57 77 Pedro Guerrero 1992 .207
58 77 Andre Thornton 1986 .267
59 76 Greg Vaughn 2002 .225
60 76 Mike Cameron 2009 .273
61 76 Bobby Abreu 2010 .287
62 76 Rondell White 2008 .000 DNP
63 76 John Wockenfuss 1985 .170
64 76 Hank Aaron 1970 .334
65 76 Al Oliver 1983 .266
66 76 Luis Gonzalez 2004 .286
67 76 Fernando Tatis 2011 .000 DNP
68 76 Cliff Johnson 1984 .332
69 76 Jorge Posada 2008 .259
70 76 Orlando Cepeda 1974 .206
71 76 Monte Irvin 1955 .250
72 76 Eddie Murray 1992 .281
73 75 Paul O'Neill 1999 .273
74 75 Carlos Guillen 2012 .000 DNP
75 75 Melvin Mora 2008 .277
76 75 Carlos Beltran 2013 .289
77 75 Mickey Tettleton 1997 .169
78 75 Dick Allen 1978 .000 DNP
79 75 Magglio Ordonez 2010 .286
80 75 Paul Molitor 1993 .313
81 75 Gil Hodges 1960 .250
82 75 Fred McGriff 2000 .271
83 75 Jeff Kent 2004 .302
84 75 Eddie Mathews 1968 .266
85 74 Tony Clark 2008 .245
86 74 Ron Cey 1984 .270
87 74 Ellis Burks 2001 .300
88 74 Reggie Smith 1981 .230
89 74 Michael Young 2013 .249
90 74 John Mabry 2007 .163
91 74 Harold Baines 1995 .310
92 74 Jason Giambi 2007 .277
93 74 Frank Howard 1973 .269
94 74 Willie McCovey 1974 .339
95 74 Mickey Mantle 1968 .324
96 74 Boog Powell 1978 .000 DNP
97 74 Tony Perez 1978 .289
98 74 Al Kaline 1971 .327
99 74 Keith Hernandez 1990 .199
100 73 Vic Wertz 1961 .261

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .226 .284 .397 .258
11 vs R (Multi) .248 .331 .455 .287
18 Split (Multi) .022 .047 .058 .029
19 LgAvg (Multi) .027 .038 .071 .034
30 vs L (2013) .269 .322 .423 .298
31 vs R (2013) .229 .328 .411 .281
38 Split (2013) -.041 .007 -.012 -.018
39 LgAvg (2013) .026 .037 .071 .034

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Like Carlos Pena, Scott was a good lefty-power-bat idea gone bad for the Rays. He missed 48 games with assorted injuries, went 0-41 in a June-July stretch, posted the highest strikeout and lowest walk rates of his career, was worse than ever against southpaws (.149/.211/.264), and cost the Rays the extravagant (for them) sum of $6 million. A replacement-level performance could be had for much less. And Scott didn't even broadcast any of his controversial birther opinions or jocose racial "insensitivity" in the clubhouse to distract us from his poor on-field performance. If he doesn't rebound this season, the end of his career might not be far off.
2012 Luke Scott may have his weaknesses (age, lack of speed, and average-at-best defense), but his strengths entering 2011 were health and power. He had spent just 34 career days on the DL coming the season and had bashed 75 homers from 2008-2010 in less than full-time play. Unfortunately for Scott, a torn labrum robbed him of both playing time and performance in 2011. While he'll likely be non-tendered by the Orioles, he's not to be forgotten, especially if off-season LASIK and shoulder surgery prove successful in returning his productivity at the plate. Take his power and throw in good plate discipline, and you have a player perfectly suited for a DH role, especially if he finds a good park and lineup for his lefty bat. While he'll certainly carry risk, Scott could wind up as one of the best values on the free agent market this winter.
2011 Aside from Jim Thome, Scott was the league's most productive DH. As such, one of the great mysteries of the ages is why he remained an Oriole through the end of the 2009 season, let alone the 2010 season. As a defensively limited, thirtysomething player whose salary is increasing through arbitration, the benefit his hitting prowess provides to Baltimore is dwarfed by his short shelf life and the possibility that he could bring a farm system chronically short of talented position players even one warm body who might someday contribute to the next winning Orioles team. Scott’s main skill, the ability to launch the ball in Camden Yards (as an Oriole, he has hit .294/.382/.576 with a home run every 14.4 at-bats at home versus .238/.311/.418 with a home run every 25.2 at-bats on the road) might thrill the hometown fans (those that still bother to show up), but if a trade is fruitful, the long-term gain will outweigh the short-term pain to those who march under the banner of the "Orange Carpet," as this year’s season ticket come-on rather desperately inveigles us to do.
2010 Scott spent most of the year as the Orioles' DH; after Huff was traded the team intended to give him most of the first-base opportunities, but he instead logged outfield time after Reimold and Jones both went down. The Orioles would love for him to be able to become at least adequate at first base, as it would fill what is currently a gaping void with a capable everyday hitter (he hits lefties fine, and thus doesn't need platooning) while keeping the DH slot free for Matt Wieters' day off or the minor injury case of the week. Since Scott's professional experience at first base consists of 10 games this past year and four Carolina League games in 2002, the jury is still very much out. Still, Orioles first basemen hit an aggregate .262/.318/.411 last year, so if at first you don't succeed, try Scott again.
2009 Scott quickly endeared himself to his new team, going 8-for-16 and keying two wins in the first week of the season. Inevitably coming back to reality was not quite so kind, but he was still a solid contributor at the plate and in the field. He comes with a pair of drawbacks to him: first, he needs a platoon partner, as left-handed pitchers eat him up, but Ryan Freel is expected to help with that in 2009. Second, still shy of three full years of major league service, he's already 31 years old.
2008 A brutal April weighed down Scott's stat line all season, so his good year was a bit overlooked. He was also killed by Minute Maid Park; his road line was .305/.400/.593. Traded to Baltimore in the Tejada deal, he should be the Orioles' platoon left fielder at the very least and capable of repeating his 2007 value at a low price for a couple of years. He's already 30, so there's not much upside left.
2007 Scott`s late arrival in the big leagues is evidence of a pro career that started slowly after college ball at Oklahoma State. Coming over from the Indians with Taveras in the Jeriome Robertson deal, Scott`s been a career .280/.366/.534 hitter in the minor leagues, which suggests he has something to contribute at the big league level. He`s not the .336 hitter he was in 2006, but even as his bat cooled during everyday play in September he still hit .268/.375/.634. Scott loved Minute Maid, batting .375/.455/.813 with 8 of his 10 home runs there, but he was still productive on the road at .305/.403/.466. He has a solid (if short) future as a platoon outfielder.
2006 Scott had about a month to etch himself into the memory of Tim Purpura and the rest of baseball`s current executives, and he failed. Too old to be a real prospect, he`s more likely to see a lot of Triple-A time over the next several years, hoping for another shot. He did hit the mascarpone out of the ball at Round Rock, and if he keeps that up, he`ll earn that shot; there are dozens of veterans less deserving of million dollar contracts than Scott.
2005 A throw-in in the Willy Taveras trade, Scott gets in here because of his big half-season at Round Rock. He's shown this kind of power before, both in the Indians' system and at Oklahoma State, so that wasn't a huge surprise. His big step up in walk rate and walk-to-strikeout ratio was more interesting. He doesn't bring much else to the table other than his bat, so his future lies largely in the numbers he puts up at Triple-A.

BP Articles

Luke Scott is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
The Week in Quotes: December 26-January 1Morris Greenberg2014-01-02
The Week in Quotes: December 26-January 1Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-01-02
The Week in Quotes: December 26-January 1Nick Bacarella2014-01-02
The Week in Quotes: December 26-January 1Chris Mosch2014-01-02
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: Shane Victorino and the Hunt for the Elusive 9-3 PutoutZachary Levine2013-10-25
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Four Recap: Red Sox 3, Rays 1Zachary Levine2013-10-09
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Rays at Red SoxZachary Levine2013-10-04
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BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 48: Identity ThievesJason Collette2013-06-13
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The All-Hit, No-Pitch RaysR.J. Anderson2013-05-29
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The BP Wayback Machine: Grand Ole OpryJohn Perrotto2012-12-07
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The Lineup Card: 13 Offseason NeedsBaseball Prospectus2012-11-07
Painting the Black: Evaluating the Non-Tender Class of '11R.J. Anderson2012-10-30
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for Sept. 28: Bobby Abreu, All AloneLarry Granillo2012-09-29
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The Week in Quotes: July 23-29Hudson Belinsky2012-07-30
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BP Unfiltered: Franklin Morales Fools NobodyMatthew Kory2012-07-23
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The Lineup Card: 10 Picks for the 2015 World ChampsBaseball Prospectus2012-06-14
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Manufactured Runs: Who Gives a Shift?Colin Wyers2012-05-30
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Western Front: As a Manager, He Makes a Good Right FielderGeoff Young2012-05-01
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Wezen-Ball: The Muppet ShowLarry Granillo2011-11-23
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Prospectus Hit List: It's 1998 All Over AgainTommy Bennett2011-05-02
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Transaction of the Day: Vladimir GuerreroChristina Kahrl2011-02-08
Fantasy Beat: BP Scoresheet Early Draft PrepRob McQuown2011-02-07
BP Unfiltered: Vlad Joins The BirdsR.J. Anderson2011-02-05
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-08-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the Rays acquisition of David DeJesus? Do you believe that they'll re-up on his 6.5 MIL club option when Luke Scott's 6ish MIL contract will be soon off the books?
(jlarsen from Chicago, IL)
I think they buy it out for 1.5 and he shows up in Chicago for 2.5-3.5 in 2014. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat)How much longer do you think Matt Kemp will be recovering from this shoulder surgery? Will his power be back at all this season, or is he worth trading for someone like Jay Bruce?
(Kyle from Compton)
another 6 weeks or so. That front shoulder for hitters is huge and they need it to get their power. BJ Upton suffered from it in 2009, Luke Scott did last year, and Bagwell years before that. I'd deal him for Bruce and let someone else suffer through the frustration. (Jason Collette)
2013-04-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)I know this has been the question with the rays for the past 4 years, but why does the offense always seem to non-existent? I get annoyed at these small moves that don't do much (Luke Scott, Kelly Johnson, Cliff Floyd, Shelley Duncan, etc.) but are the only moves the team makes.
(Steve from Tampa, FL)
Park factors play a role.

The free-agent hitters available in their price range tend to be either: old, hurt, coming off a bad season, or all of the above. I believe that offense has still ranked within the top five or six in the AL over the past four seasons by park-adjusted numbers, too. Solid given the circumstances. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-12-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which of these Scotts do you foresee being the most successful this season: Feldman, Baker, Kazmir, Luke(Luke Scott) or Hairston? Is Scott Moore still playing? Do you think the Cubs have room in AAA for him?
(jlarsen from chicago)
I'm going to say not Kazmir. (Geoff Young)
2012-10-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hello, old friend! James Shields, Jeff Niemann, Alex Torres, Cesar Ramos, Alex Cobb, Wade Davis or Chris Archer all likely not going to remain with the team past Winter Meetings, let alone Spring Training. How do the Rays better their roster, knowing there's a huge logjam of pitching and there's room for improvement offensively. James Shields kicked it up a notch after the deadline, but can the Rays withstand another horrible 1st half from him again?
(jlarsen from chicago)
I don’t think Archer is going anywhere. Part of his problem was philosophical—he pitched off his slider more than he should. He seemed to solve those after getting a taste in the big leagues and realizing his fastball plays against the big boys. Otherwise, he doesn’t fit the profile of someone they’d part with at this juncture in his career.

I do see Tampa Bay trading pitching. If you want a name I’d say Nick Hundley. San Diego has enough catching, in the majors and in the minors, to move him for value. He’d fit nicely on Tampa Bay’s roster. I don’t have a good feel for what the market at first base or DH will be like (if they don’t bring back Luke Scott). Logan Morrison’s name might pop up if Miami is tired of him. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-04-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would a prospect with Luke Scott's personal views get a mark down for make up? Or does that just relate to work ethic and such?
(richardkr34 from Saint Paul, MN)
Unfortunately, Luke Scott's personal views are more common in baseball than you might think. I don't knock a player for having opinions that I disagree with, but if those beliefs are extreme enough or destructive enough to derail developmental progress, I would knock the player's makeup. I mainly focus on the effort a player puts into their career. (Jason Parks)
2010-08-17 14:45:00 (link to chat)Why isn't Luke Scott a Giant yet? Seems like a GREAT fit. The Rangers also could use his lumber.
(Edgardo from San Fran)
Because the Giants have about 16 outfielders at this point and they just got Jose Guillen. Getting Guillen seals the deal that Scott won't be on their team. I agree the Rangers could also use him, but I don't think they are exactly hurting for offense. I think Scott stays put. (Eric Seidman)
2010-08-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who will be the biggest name dealt during the waiver period? And the biggest failure to *not* trade a player?
(scottdsimon from Pelham, NY)
I know the answer to one of those is "Adam Dunn." I'll say he fills the first, and I'll go with the Orioles and Luke Scott for the latter. I'm not sure we can get too crazy about the second category; any player good enough to be a "failure" was probably claimed by a team that doesn't care whether it acquires him or not. (Joe Sheehan)
2010-08-02 13:30:00 (link to chat)The O's didn't deal Luke Scott or J. Guthrie when their value might be at their highest. On the other hand, the two possess the qualities for which they would presumably seek in return -- power (Scott) and innings gobbler (Guthrie). Without knowing the tasty (or not so) they could have had in return, please comment on the logic of holding in this situation.
(Jay from Madison)
Perhaps in part to leave Buck Showalter with all of the club's better pieces still on the board, especially if there weren't any suitors making offers Andy MacPhail couldn't refuse. Change is inevitable, but giving time and direct experience with the players to a new skipper with as much experience as Showalter does in recasting a franchise doesn't seem like such a bad idea to me. If nobody was handing out primo goodies--and let's face it, if the best prospects moved at the deadline were Dan Hudson and Tim Collins, not many people were--standing pat with a pair of under-control veterans was defensible. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-07-24 16:30:00 (link to chat)I was thinking Josh Willingham or Luke Scott. But I think they need the rotation guy more. Would Willingham help in the AL?
(lemppi from Ankeny, IA)
Willingham would help anywhere. The guy isn't an all-star but he, Scott, Spilborghs are all worthy of being pursued. (Eric Seidman)
2009-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Okay, let's say the Braves are in contention around the all-star break. Who are a few corner outfielders they could target?
(DKANDREWS1 from Dan (DC))
Luke Scott, Randy Winn, Adam Dunn. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-08-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)It's not like I have work or anything... a few more Tommy Johnnies from Baseball Reference's Wiki: Roberto Alomar, Jay Buhner, Jose Guillen, JR House, Todd Hundley, Trey Lunsford, Carlos Martinez, Ray Olmedo, Luke Scott, Taylor Teagarden, Tony Womack. Are catchers are more susceptible to UCL injuries?
(Gump from nyc)
No, though you'd think they would be. It seems like it's 2B for some reason. (Will Carroll)
2008-05-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Shawn Greene is a Jewish dude with a Catholic-sounding name, but I doubt he could get me a severed toe by this afternoon. Luke Scott might pull a gun in a bowling alley. Bob Watson might be the only one around here who cares about the rules.
(I think it's Sobchak from Los Angeles)
We've got these and whole bunch of others. John Kruk, Jeff Kent, and a vote for Nelson Figueroa as Donny. (Marc Normandin)
2008-02-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)First overall pick in 2009? Don't forget about us! If Bedard/Roberts are traded our second best hitter is Luke Scott and our fourth starter is Brian Burres.
(Orioles from Baltimore, MD)
Good point. This could be like the 1979 World Series again. Only the exact opposite. (Joe Sheehan)


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