Louis Santangelo

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Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	SLM	A+	394	48	19	5	18	57	36	112	0	4	-3.7	.241	.310	.473	-.310	.196	.248	.367	.206	-23.6	95-C 3	0.0
2007	CCH	AA	231	30	9	2	5	17	23	57	2	0	0.0	.243	.317	.379	-.359	.194	.260	.313	.198	-16.7	55-C 0	-0.5
2008	CCH	AA	378	32	11	0	8	39	26	86	1	0	-2.1	.241	.293	.341	-.522	.177	.220	.253	.151	-44.2	96-C -4	-2.8
2008	ROU	AAA	43	6	0	0	3	6	4	14	0	1	-0.2	.205	.279	.436	-.404	.175	.233	.325	.179	-3.6	11-C -2	-0.4

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 8:37 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	339	32	15	1	10	33	26	96	1	1	-0.8	.226	.288	.383	-.179	.229	.290	.393	.234	-0.6	82-C -1	1.2
75^o	324	25	13	1	8	29	23	98	1	1	-0.7	.203	.263	.335	-.304	.206	.265	.344	.207	-10.0	78-C -1	0.2
60^o	314	21	11	1	7	27	22	99	1	1	-0.7	.189	.248	.307	-.378	.192	.249	.315	.189	-15.1	76-C 0	-0.3
50^o	308	20	10	1	6	25	21	99	1	1	-0.7	.182	.239	.292	-.417	.184	.241	.299	.178	-17.7	75-C 0	-0.6
40^o	303	18	10	1	6	24	20	99	1	1	-0.6	.176	.233	.280	-.448	.178	.235	.287	.169	-19.6	74-C 0	-0.8
25^o	294	16	9	1	5	22	19	99	1	1	-0.6	.167	.222	.260	-.499	.169	.224	.267	.154	-22.5	72-C 0	-1.1
10^o	276	12	7	1	4	19	17	99	1	1	-0.5	.151	.205	.228	-.581	.153	.206	.235	.122	-26.4	68-C 0	-1.6
Weighted Mean	316	21	11	1	6	27	21	101	1	1	-0.7	.183	.241	.295	-.405	.186	.243	.303	.181	-15.5	77-C 0	-0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
35%	50%	34%	27%	1.20

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 26)	316	21	11	1	6	27	21	101	1	1	-0.7	.183	.241	.295	-.405	.186	.243	.303	.181	-15.5	77-C 0	-0.3
2010 (age 27)	277	18	10	1	6	25	19	86	1	1	-0.4	.192	.251	.309	-.380	.192	.249	.313	.192	-9.1	68-C 0	0.0
2011 (age 28)	307	19	10	1	6	26	20	100	1	1	-0.4	.178	.235	.287	-.446	.178	.234	.291	.174	-10.8	75-C -1	-0.2
2012 (age 29)	287	19	12	1	6	26	20	87	1	1	-0.2	.194	.253	.317	-.366	.194	.251	.321	.195	-4.6	70-C 1	0.1
2013 (age 30)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 32)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.200	.259	.322
vs RHP	.180	.236	.284
Split	+.020	+.023	+.037
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-15.6	0.0	-0.3	$400,000	-16.4	0.0
2010	-11.3	0.0	0.0	$400,000	-10.1	0.3
2011	-16.8	-1.0	-0.2	$400,000	-11.2	0.3
2012	-10.8	1.0	0.1	$400,000	-4.5	0.6
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	$75,000	0.0	1.2

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.207	.178	.154	.181
2010	.227	.190	.165	.192
2011	.211	.180	.134	.174
2012	.223	.196	.159	.195
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	27%	0%	35%
2010	56%	27%	39%
2011	58%	38%	35%
2012	76%	60%	33%
2013	79%	68%	26%
2014	86%	76%	22%
2015	91%	84%	24%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

70

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Rob Fitzpatrick	1994	74		11	Bubba Holland	1984	56
2	Del Marine	1998	63		12	Blake Barthol	1999	56
3	Gary Tremblay	1988	62		13	Douglas Simunic	1982	56
4	Dan Conway	2006	62		14	Marc Sullivan	1984	55
5	Jim Horner	2000	60		15	Dusty Brown	2008	55
6	Bob Natal	1992	60		16	Ryan Budde	2005	55
7	Jason Dewey	2003	60		17	Chris Howard	1992	54
8	Scott Walter	2005	57		18	John Toale	1991	54
9	Ryan Hubele	2006	56		19	Jeff Banister	1991	54
10	Rick Guarno	2008	56		20	Rick Sellers	1993	53

Player Comments

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2007

Lou Santangelo has two skills: he throws well and he can hit home runs. There`s not much more to see here, but those two skills on their own are enough to give him a career as a backup.