Carlos Santana

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Projected Playing Time
Indians Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

C 3 Carlos Santana 5 12 .253 2 0 2 0 .329 .430 0.4

1 2009 Total 5 12 .253 2 0 2 0 .329 .430 0.4

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	OGD	Rk	168	31	5	1	7	27	30	19	4	0	-0.5	.303	.423	.515	-.242	.207	.292	.352	.231	-10.7	31-RF -5 6-3B -1	-1.3
2006	VRO	A+	223	16	10	2	3	18	23	43	0	3	-1.9	.268	.345	.384	-.278	.218	.287	.327	.212	-11.2	30-3B -10 21-LF -7	-2.8
2007	GRL	A	334	32	20	1	7	36	40	45	5	3	0.0	.223	.318	.370	-.392	.179	.256	.299	.191	-27.8	64-C -7 5-3B -2	-2.4
2008	SBR	A+	434	88	34	4	14	96	69	59	7	4	0.5	.323	.431	.563	.107	.273	.375	.475	.292	27.0	75-C -9	2.6
2008	KIN	A+	126	34	5	1	6	19	20	24	3	0	1.5	.352	.452	.590	.349	.324	.417	.574	.333	17.5	24-C 3	2.1

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:44 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	583	84	34	3	19	74	69	115	6	3	1.0	.278	.366	.472	.115	.277	.365	.492	.295	36.6	137-C -13	4.8
75^o	560	72	31	2	16	66	65	111	5	3	1.0	.262	.349	.437	.026	.261	.348	.455	.279	23.5	131-C -12	3.6
60^o	544	64	29	2	14	61	61	108	5	2	0.9	.250	.338	.412	-.037	.249	.336	.429	.268	14.8	128-C -11	2.8
50^o	538	62	28	2	14	59	60	107	5	2	0.9	.247	.334	.404	-.056	.246	.333	.421	.264	12.3	127-C -11	2.6
40^o	526	57	27	2	12	55	58	105	4	2	0.9	.239	.325	.386	-.100	.238	.324	.403	.256	6.5	124-C -11	2.0
25^o	517	53	26	2	12	52	56	103	4	2	0.8	.233	.319	.374	-.132	.232	.318	.390	.250	2.7	122-C -10	1.7
10^o	477	40	21	1	8	41	49	96	2	2	0.7	.209	.294	.322	-.261	.208	.293	.336	.223	-11.9	113-C -9	0.2
Weighted Mean	553	64	29	2	14	60	62	110	5	2	0.9	.247	.334	.404	-.052	.245	.332	.420	.263	11.0	130-C -13	2.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
20%	51%	24%	7%	0.99

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 23)	553	64	29	2	14	60	62	110	5	2	0.9	.247	.334	.404	-.052	.245	.332	.420	.263	11.0	130-C -13	2.4
2010 (age 24)	530	60	28	2	13	55	61	103	4	2	0.9	.243	.332	.397	-.055	.245	.335	.419	.261	9.2	125-C -11	2.1
2011 (age 25)	529	62	29	2	14	59	61	98	5	2	0.9	.249	.339	.412	-.019	.251	.342	.434	.268	12.2	124-C -12	2.4
2012 (age 26)	480	55	26	2	13	52	56	88	3	2	0.7	.251	.341	.417	-.006	.253	.344	.440	.269	10.9	114-C -12	1.8
2013 (age 27)	475	52	26	2	12	54	52	86	4	2	0.8	.248	.332	.405	-.040	.250	.335	.427	.263	7.9	112-C -11	1.6
2014 (age 28)	539	62	28	2	14	60	61	92	4	2	0.7	.245	.333	.402	-.044	.247	.336	.424	.263	6.8	127-C -14	1.5
2015 (age 29)	459	50	23	2	12	50	55	82	3	2	0.6	.244	.335	.405	-.039	.246	.338	.427	.264	5.9	109-C -8	1.3

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.260	.334	.420
vs RHP	.242	.333	.393
Split	+.017	+.001	+.028
LgAvg	+.004	-.004	+.007

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	11.0	-13.0	2.4	$3,325,000	9.4	11.7
2010	9.2	-11.0	2.1	$3,100,000	8.3	9.8
2011	12.9	-12.0	2.4	$4,475,000	12.9	15.2
2012	12.8	-12.0	1.8	$3,550,000	9.4	12.2
2013	9.5	-11.0	1.6	$3,050,000	6.7	15.3
2014	10.3	-14.0	1.5	$3,175,000	6.7	12.4
2015	9.6	-8.0	1.3	$3,125,000	6.2	11.8
Peak			11.8	$14,800,000	53.5	76.6

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.279	.264	.250	.263
2010	.273	.260	.246	.261
2011	.280	.263	.244	.268
2012	.287	.271	.233	.269
2013	.295	.249	.223	.263
2014	.286	.266	.223	.263
2015	.290	.256	.228	.264

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	7%	0%	20%
2010	15%	4%	17%
2011	21%	11%	23%
2012	42%	18%	27%
2013	38%	27%	29%
2014	47%	38%	23%
2015	55%	42%	23%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

33

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Roberto Petagine	1994	40		11	Tim Forkner	1996	19
2	Scotti Madison	1982	35		12	Brady Anderson	1987	18
3	Max Ramirez	2008	28		13	Rusty Greer	1992	18
4	Jorge Posada	1994	26		14	John Morris	1984	17
5	Randy Ready	1983	25		15	John Csefalvay	1983	17
6	Armando Moreno	1987	25		16	Juan Tejeda	2005	17
7	Bob Skube	1981	23		17	Evan Longoria	2008	16
8	Mario Valdez	1998	22		18	Tracy Sanders	1992	16
9	Randy Washington	1986	22		19	Ben Petrick	2000	15
10	Doug Jennings	1987	21		20	Justin Huber	2005	15

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