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He's probably very handsome. Wilin Rosario
Colorado Rockies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 20
5' 11"
180 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 CAS Rk 127 11 4 0 2 9 11 38 2 2 -1.5 .209 .283 .296 -.606 .151 .205 .218 .122 -34.9 22-C -7 -2.8
2008 CAS Rk 291 48 15 3 12 49 24 57 4 3 -0.5 .316 .371 .532 -.393 .195 .237 .320 .188 -44.5 50-C 0 -1.7


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 1:54 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 503 53 28 3 11 51 33 114 4 3 -0.2 .252 .303 .395 -.202 .236 .288 .374 .227 -5.0 119-C -4 1.2
75o 475 44 24 2 9 45 31 111 3 3 -0.2 .236 .287 .364 -.279 .221 .273 .344 .211 -13.1 112-C -4 0.3
60o 449 37 21 2 8 40 29 108 3 3 -0.1 .222 .274 .338 -.343 .208 .260 .320 .196 -19.0 107-C -4 -0.4
50o 436 34 20 2 7 37 27 106 3 2 -0.1 .216 .267 .325 -.373 .202 .254 .308 .188 -21.4 104-C -4 -0.7
40o 427 32 19 2 7 35 27 105 3 2 -0.1 .211 .263 .317 -.394 .198 .250 .300 .183 -23.0 102-C -5 -1.0
25o 398 26 16 1 5 30 24 101 2 2 -0.1 .198 .249 .292 -.455 .186 .237 .276 .165 -27.0 95-C -5 -1.5
10o 361 20 13 1 4 24 22 94 2 2 -0.1 .184 .235 .264 -.521 .172 .223 .250 .143 -30.0 87-C -5 -2.0
Weighted Mean 449 35 21 2 7 40 28 109 3 3 -0.1 .217 .268 .327 -.297 .203 .255 .310 .189 -18.3 107-C -3 -0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

52%

64%

19%

14%

1.27

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 20) 449 35 21 2 7 40 28 109 3 3 -0.1 .217 .268 .327 -.297 .203 .255 .310 .189 -18.3 107-C -3 -0.5
2010 (age 21) 472 42 21 2 9 46 32 108 3 3 -0.1 .230 .283 .352 -.318 .212 .266 .329 .205 -11.8 112-C -3 0.1
2011 (age 22) 404 37 19 1 9 41 29 88 3 2 0.0 .241 .297 .373 -.264 .223 .278 .348 .218 -6.0 96-C -4 0.3
2012 (age 23) 388 38 19 1 10 41 30 85 3 3 0.0 .252 .310 .400 -.201 .232 .291 .374 .232 -1.4 93-C -8 0.5
2013 (age 24) 390 37 16 1 11 43 27 85 3 2 0.0 .245 .299 .390 -.235 .226 .281 .365 .224 -2.3 93-C -6 0.3
2014 (age 25) 315 26 13 1 9 35 22 67 1 1 0.0 .230 .285 .373 -.289 .213 .268 .348 .213 -3.2 76-C -6 0.0
2015 (age 26) 466 45 21 1 13 53 31 99 3 2 0.0 .235 .286 .378 -.278 .217 .268 .354 .215 -2.7 110-C -9 0.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .233 .286 .354
vs RHP .213 .262 .315
Split +.020 +.024 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -23.0 -3.0 -0.5 $400,000 -18.3 0.5
2010 -17.8 -3.0 0.1 $400,000 -12.1 0.4
2011 -10.3 -4.0 0.3 $400,000 -7.1 1.3
2012 -4.9 -8.0 0.5 $900,000 -2.4 1.1
2013 -7.8 -6.0 0.3 $650,000 -2.9 1.1
2014 -9.8 -6.0 0.0 $400,000 -4.5 0.1
2015 -13.4 -9.0 0.1 $500,000 -3.2 0.4
Peak 1.3 $1,075,000 -2.6 4.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .211 .188 .165 .189
2010 .229 .206 .189 .205
2011 .234 .214 .191 .218
2012 .250 .235 .205 .232
2013 .252 .222 .203 .224
2014 .246 .222 .207 .213
2015 .247 .227 .205 .215


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 14% 0% 52%
2010 32% 16% 73%
2011 40% 23% 76%
2012 55% 39% 78%
2013 63% 57% 77%
2014 69% 59% 72%
2015 77% 72% 73%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

55

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Justin Huber 2002 45 11 Cesar Diaz 1994 38
2 Juan Apodaca 2006 43 12 Fred Torres 2000 37
3 Humberto Cota 1999 43 13 Brook Fordyce 1990 37
4 Jorge Moreno 2000 42 14 Concepcion Rodriguez 2007 36
5 Carlos Perez 2008 41 15 Luis Castillo 2004 36
6 Alberto Castillo 1990 40 16 Luis Sumoza 2008 36
7 Anel De_Los_Santos 2008 39 17 Tony Boyette 1996 36
8 Adam Morrissey 2001 39 18 Luis Ojeda 1981 36
9 Will Scalzitti 1993 38 19 Eduardo Reyes 2000 35
10 Jose Martinez 2008 38 20 Carlos Casimiro 1997 35

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