Biographical

Portrait of Ricky Romero

Ricky Romero PBlue Jays

Blue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 29)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
125.3 4.56 1.45 98 8 7 0 0.2
Birth Date11-6-1984
Height6' 1"
Weight210 lbs
Age29 years, 11 months, 15 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
2.72010
1.32011
-0.72012
-0.42013
0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2009 TOR 24 29 29 178.0 178.0 0.0 13 9 0 0 16 0 771 192 88 85 18 287 79 79 10 141 4.30 4.37 4.62 24.8 2.5
2010 TOR 25 32 32 210.0 210.0 0.0 14 9 0 0 20 1 882 189 98 87 15 276 82 79 8 174 3.73 3.60 4.86 19.1 2.7
2011 TOR 26 32 32 225.0 225.0 0.0 15 11 0 0 25 2 917 176 85 73 26 298 80 78 14 178 2.92 4.23 5.12 9.7 1.3
2012 TOR 27 32 32 181.0 181.0 0.0 9 14 0 0 14 0 829 198 122 116 21 309 105 104 10 124 5.77 5.09 6.03 -6.8 -0.7
2013 TOR 28 4 2 7.3 4.3 3.0 0 2 0 0 0 0 40 11 9 9 2 17 8 8 1 5 11.05 8.94 10.31 -3.4 -0.4
Career129127801.3798.33.05145007533439766402370821187354348436224.164.345.2043.35.4

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2005 AUB A- 1 1 2.0 -1.06 270 .000 .285 .357 .380 .270 .333 1.5 0.2 1.5 0.2
2005 DUN A+ 8 8 30.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -1.097 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 DUN A+ 10 10 58.0 3.27 111 .234 .242 .317 .354 .247 .250 70 12.3 1.2 12.3 1.2
2006 NHP AA 12 12 67.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .272 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 DUN A+ 1 1 4.7 4.77 106 .206 .262 .338 .379 .258 .286 106 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0
2007 NHP AA 18 18 88.3 5.49 84 .282 .263 .340 .394 .260 .336 103 3.9 0.4 3.9 0.4
2007 SUR Wnt 9 1 11.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .226 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 NHP AA 21 21 121.7 5.97 78 .266 .268 .347 .409 .265 .332 104 -2.3 -0.2 -2.3 -0.2
2008 SYR AAA 7 7 42.7 4.36 97 .270 .261 .337 .407 .269 .322 89 3.1 0.3 3.1 0.3
2009 TOR MLB 29 29 178.0 4.62 109 .261 .265 .336 .428 .261 .333 105 25.8 2.6 24.8 2.5
2009 DUN A+ 1 1 4.0 9.27 8 .370 .269 .359 .385 .269 .364 110 -1.4 -0.1 -1.4 -0.1
2009 NHP AA 1 1 5.3 4.52 80 .233 .286 .363 .385 .275 .231 85 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0
2009 LVG AAA 1 1 5.0 4.15 94 .321 .271 .344 .418 .289 .444 84 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0
2010 TOR MLB 32 32 210.0 4.86 102 .235 .261 .328 .410 .258 .289 111 21.0 2.2 19.1 2.7
2011 TOR MLB 32 32 225.0 5.12 93 .232 .256 .322 .409 .263 .242 107 9.5 1.0 9.7 1.3
2012 TOR MLB 32 32 181.0 6.03 70 .290 .251 .317 .407 .261 .311 105 -7.9 -0.8 -6.8 -0.7
2013 TOR MLB 4 2 7.3 10.31 -35 .374 .247 .315 .397 .267 .375 102 -3.4 -0.4 -3.4 -0.4
2013 DUN A+ 1 1 7.0 3.82 109 .153 .229 .284 .325 .233 .286 90 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0
2013 BUF AAA 22 22 113.7 6.34 62 .292 .260 .327 .388 .256 .341 101 -10.3 -1.0 -10.3 -1.0
2014 BUF AAA 9 9 37.7 7.20 47 .299 .264 .330 .406 .252 .297 100 -5.2 -0.5 -5.2 -0.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2005 DUN A+ 1 0 0 8 8 30.7 36 7 22 2 0% -1.097 10.6 2.1 0.6 6.4 1.40 3.81 0.0 0.0
2005 AUB A- 0 0 0 1 1 2.0 2 1 2 0 67% .333 9.0 4.5 0.0 9.0 1.50 0.00 1.5 0.2
2006 NHP AA 2 7 0 12 12 67.0 65 26 41 7 0% .272 8.7 3.5 0.9 5.5 1.36 5.10 0.0 0.0
2006 DUN A+ 2 1 0 10 10 58.0 48 14 61 5 36% .250 7.4 2.2 0.8 9.5 1.07 2.48 12.3 1.2
2007 DUN A+ 0 0 0 1 1 4.7 4 1 2 0 43% .286 7.7 1.9 0.0 3.8 1.06 3.83 0.5 0.0
2007 SUR Wnt 1 1 0 9 1 11.7 8 5 12 1 0% .226 6.2 3.8 0.8 9.2 1.11 3.85 0.0 0.0
2007 NHP AA 3 6 0 18 18 88.3 98 51 80 9 46% .336 10.0 5.2 0.9 8.2 1.69 4.89 3.9 0.4
2008 SYR AAA 3 3 0 7 7 42.7 42 20 38 3 57% .322 8.9 4.2 0.6 8.0 1.45 3.37 3.1 0.3
2008 NHP AA 5 5 0 21 21 121.7 139 55 78 9 53% .332 10.3 4.1 0.7 5.8 1.59 4.95 -2.3 -0.2
2009 LVG AAA 0 0 0 1 1 5.0 8 2 3 0 72% .444 14.4 3.6 0.0 5.4 2.00 7.20 0.4 0.0
2009 TOR MLB 13 9 0 29 29 178.0 192 79 141 18 55% .333 9.7 4.0 0.9 7.1 1.52 4.30 24.8 2.5
2009 NHP AA 0 0 0 1 1 5.3 3 5 4 0 69% .231 5.1 8.5 0.0 6.8 1.51 1.70 -0.0 -0.0
2009 DUN A+ 0 1 0 1 1 4.0 6 1 5 2 62% .364 13.5 2.2 4.5 11.2 1.75 13.50 -1.4 -0.1
2010 TOR MLB 14 9 0 32 32 210.0 189 82 174 15 56% .289 8.1 3.5 0.6 7.5 1.29 3.73 19.1 2.7
2011 TOR MLB 15 11 0 32 32 225.0 176 80 178 26 56% .242 7.0 3.2 1.0 7.1 1.14 2.92 9.7 1.3
2012 TOR MLB 9 14 0 32 32 181.0 198 105 124 21 55% .311 9.8 5.2 1.0 6.2 1.67 5.77 -6.8 -0.7
2013 BUF AAA 5 8 0 22 22 113.7 136 63 81 11 48% .341 10.8 5.0 0.9 6.4 1.75 5.78 -10.3 -1.0
2013 DUN A+ 0 0 0 1 1 7.0 6 0 4 0 76% .286 7.7 0.0 0.0 5.1 0.86 1.29 0.4 0.0
2013 TOR MLB 0 2 0 4 2 7.3 11 8 5 2 46% .375 13.5 9.8 2.5 6.1 2.59 11.05 -3.4 -0.4
2014 BUF AAA 0 3 0 9 9 37.7 37 42 28 4 59% .297 8.8 10.0 1.0 6.7 2.10 5.50 -5.2 -0.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 2979 0.4978 0.4466 0.7872 0.6129 0.2814 0.8757 0.5962 0.2128
2010 3092 0.4926 0.4423 0.7944 0.6113 0.2779 0.8915 0.5872 0.2041
2011 3342 0.4764 0.4581 0.7845 0.6288 0.3029 0.8931 0.5792 0.2142
2012 3056 0.4692 0.4386 0.8066 0.6325 0.2663 0.9052 0.5995 0.1919
2013 162 0.4321 0.3642 0.8475 0.5571 0.2174 0.8718 0.8000 0.1525
Career126310.48310.44560.79370.62070.28180.89130.59290.2052

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-02 - Minors - - Left Knee Surgery Quadriceps Tendon Debridement -
2013-05-04 2013-05-08 DTD 4 4 Left Forearm Soreness - -
2012-10-29 2012-10-29 Off 0 0 Left Elbow Surgery Debridement Bone Chips 2012-10-29 -
2012-10-29 2012-10-29 Off 0 0 Bilateral Knee Inflammation Quadriceps Tendonitis - -
2012-09-30 2012-10-04 DTD 4 4 Left Knee Soreness - -
2011-04-30 2011-05-07 DTD 7 6 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2011-03-13 2011-03-22 Camp 9 0 Left Fingers Strain Middle Finger -
2010-08-21 2010-08-26 DTD 5 5 General Medical Illness Strep Throat -
2009-04-20 2009-05-15 15-DL 25 23 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2007-05-04 2007-06-20 Minors 47 0 Left Shoulder Inflammation - -
2006-04-06 2006-05-06 Minors 30 0 Left Elbow Inflammation - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 TOR $
2015 TOR $7,750,000
2014 TOR $7,750,000
2013 TOR $7,750,000
2012 TOR $5,250,000
2011 TOR $1,000,000
2010 TOR $408,300
2009 TOR $400,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$14,808,300
2011Current$7,750,000
6 yrPvs + Cur$22,558,300
1 yrFuture$7,750,000
7 yrTotal$30,308,300

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 yJoe Longo5 years/$30.1M (2011-15), 2016 option

Details
  • 5 years/$30.1M (2011-15), plus 2016 club option. Signed extension with Toronto 8/14/10. $1.25M signing bonus. 11:$0.75M, 12:$5M, 13:$7.5M, 14:$7.5M, 15:$7.5M, 16:$13.1M club option, $0.6M buyout). Sent outright to Triple-A by Toronto 6/1/13. Contract selected by Toronto 9/3/13. Sent outright to Triple-A by Toronto 10/4/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4083M (2010). Re-signed by Toronto 3/10.
  • 1 year/$0.4M (2009). Contract purchased by Toronto 11/20/08. Re-signed 3/1/09. Optioned to Triple-A 3/16/09. Recalled 4/09. Optioned to Triple-A 5/15/09. Recalled 5/25/09.
  • Drafted by Toronto 2005 (1-6) (Cal-State Fullerton). Signed 6/05, $2.4M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 8.7 7.6 0 23 23 141.9 121 55 111 13 .266 1.24 3.52 3.82 22.4 2.3
80o 8 7.8 0 22 22 136.0 123 55 107 13 .277 1.31 3.87 4.21 15.1 1.5
70o 7.6 7.9 0 22 22 131.9 124 56 103 14 .284 1.36 4.13 4.49 10.4 1.1
60o 7.2 7.9 0 21 21 128.4 124 56 101 14 .291 1.40 4.35 4.73 6.6 0.7
50o 6.9 8 0 21 21 125.2 125 56 98 14 .297 1.45 4.56 4.96 3.3 0.3
40o 6.5 8 0 20 20 122.0 125 56 96 14 .303 1.49 4.78 5.19 0.2 0.0
30o 6.2 8.1 0 19 19 118.7 126 57 93 14 .310 1.54 5.01 5.44 -2.9 -0.3
20o 5.8 8.1 0 19 19 114.8 126 57 90 14 .318 1.60 5.28 5.74 -6.2 -0.6
10o 5.2 8.2 0 18 18 109.5 127 57 86 14 .328 1.68 5.67 6.16 -10.4 -1.1
Weighted Mean6.9802121125.2124569814.2961.444.544.943.60.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
27% 43% 18% 16% 83%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20153081102525149160741121952.3081.575.285.749.74.56.81.2-0.8
20163191102626155165621102052.3011.464.925.359.63.66.41.2-0.2
20173281102626152169661142052.3141.555.315.7810.03.96.81.2-0.9
201833790222212814155921852.3061.535.295.759.93.96.51.3-0.7
201934790212112613755911752.3061.525.175.629.83.96.51.2-0.5
202035670181810511546741452.3041.535.205.659.83.96.31.2-0.5
20213657016169510540661352.3071.525.235.689.93.86.21.2-0.4
2022374601313798934551152.3091.565.375.8410.13.96.31.3-0.5
2023384501212738133491052.3071.565.315.7710.04.16.01.2-0.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
34.68.37.415.912.210.178.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 82)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 88 Roberto Hernandez 2010 4.19
2 87 Daniel Cabrera 2010 0.00 DNP
3 87 John Maine 2010 6.58
4 86 Dean Chance 1970 4.70
5 86 Edinson Volquez 2013 6.02
6 86 Sergio Mitre 2010 3.83
7 86 Gavin Floyd 2012 4.50
8 85 Clayton Richard 2013 7.52
9 85 Anibal Sanchez 2013 2.77
10 85 Jim O'Toole 1966 4.12
11 85 Micah Owings 2012 3.72
12 85 Whitey Ford 1958 2.54
13 85 Johnny Antonelli 1959 3.41
14 85 Brian Bannister 2010 6.49
15 85 Dock Ellis 1974 3.62
16 85 Scott Feldman 2012 5.75
17 84 Juan Guzman 1996 3.26
18 84 Orel Hershiser 1988 2.46
19 84 Kevin Appier 1997 3.67
20 84 Charlie Morton 2013 3.96
21 83 Barry Zito 2007 4.76
22 83 Ben McDonald 1997 4.60
23 83 Joe Saunders 2010 5.31
24 83 Shawn Hill 2010 3.48
25 83 Tom Glavine 1995 3.44
26 83 Tim Hudson 2005 3.70
27 83 Dave Stieb 1987 4.48
28 83 Pat Hentgen 1998 5.52
29 83 Matt Garza 2013 4.23
30 82 Jose Rijo 1994 3.81
31 82 Steve Rogers 1979 3.51
32 82 Bob Gibson 1965 3.31
33 82 Danny Jackson 1991 7.39
34 82 Andy Pettitte 2001 4.57
35 82 Joe Kennedy 2008 0.00 DNP
36 82 Randy Wells 2012 5.65
37 82 Bob Veale 1965 3.24
38 82 Jim Palmer 1975 2.42 DNP
39 82 Robinson Tejeda 2011 6.14
40 82 Erik Bedard 2008 4.22
41 82 Jason Jennings 2008 8.89
42 82 Jason Hammel 2012 3.66
43 81 Jeff Niemann 2012 4.03
44 81 Mike Pelfrey 2013 5.42
45 81 Curt Simmons 1958 4.92
46 81 Frank Sullivan 1959 4.31
47 81 Andy Messersmith 1975 2.57 DNP
48 81 Jim Beattie 1984 3.67
49 81 Frank Lary 1959 4.36
50 81 Jon Garland 2009 4.68
51 81 Wilson Alvarez 1999 5.12
52 81 Joe Blanton 2010 5.33
53 81 Bob Rush 1955 3.54
54 81 John Lackey 2008 3.91
55 81 Seth McClung 2010 0.00 DNP
56 81 Francisco Liriano 2013 3.02
57 81 Darrell Rasner 2010 0.00 DNP
58 81 Mark Gubicza 1992 3.80
59 80 Jon Lester 2013 3.97
60 80 Brandon McCarthy 2013 4.73
61 80 Mel Parnell 1951 4.03
62 80 John Smoltz 1996 3.30
63 80 Don Wilson 1974 3.52
64 80 Norm Charlton 1992 4.32
65 80 Mark Mulder 2007 13.91
66 80 Jason Marquis 2008 4.69
67 80 Dontrelle Willis 2011 5.00
68 80 Jack Morris 1984 4.04
69 80 Ubaldo Jimenez 2013 3.70
70 80 Kevin Correia 2010 5.52
71 80 Steve Barber 1967 4.44
72 80 Daisuke Matsuzaka 2010 4.92
73 80 Cal Eldred 1997 5.26
74 80 Ken Hill 1995 5.21
75 80 Tom Brewer 1961 4.50
76 79 Doug Fister 2013 3.92
77 79 Jerry Reuss 1978 5.23
78 79 Ed Figueroa 1978 3.42
79 79 Mike Boddicker 1987 4.54
80 79 Steve Busby 1979 4.29
81 79 Jerry Koosman 1972 4.47
82 79 Curt Schilling 1996 3.39
83 79 Adam Wainwright 2011 0.00 DNP
84 79 Paul Maholm 2011 3.99
85 79 Burt Hooton 1979 3.61
86 79 Ewell Blackwell 1952 5.20
87 79 Cliff Chambers 1951 4.45
88 79 Edwin Jackson 2013 5.65
89 79 Tom Gorzelanny 2012 3.38
90 79 Joe Horlen 1967 2.30
91 79 Larry Jackson 1960 3.89
92 79 Sean Marshall 2012 2.66
93 79 Taylor Buchholz 2011 3.46
94 79 Zach Day 2007 0.00 DNP
95 79 Ned Garver 1955 4.49
96 79 Dave Goltz 1978 2.94
97 79 Jake Westbrook 2007 4.62
98 79 Kameron Loe 2011 3.75
99 78 Roy Oswalt 2007 3.40
100 78 Horacio Ramirez 2009 6.35

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .314 .400 .520 .325
11 vs R (Multi) .238 .334 .363 .252
18 Split (Multi) .076 .065 .157 .073
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.026 -.032 -.063 -.030
30 vs L (2013) .667 .714 1.167 .647
31 vs R (2013) .158 .385 .158 .223
38 Split (2013) .509 .330 1.009 .425
39 LgAvg (2013) -.025 -.031 -.062 -.029

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Look up broken in the dictionary and youíll see this joke. But also a picture of Ricky Romero. Famously taken over Troy Tulowitzki in the 2005 draft, Romero managed to turn himself from trivia answer/punch line into a bona fide top-of-the-rotation starter, or at least the closest approximation the Blue Jays had. Romero was the Opening Day starter for Toronto and on June 5 was 7-1 with a respectable 4.02 ERA. After that he was 6-14 with a 7.10 ERA. In 102 innings he struck out 64 and walked 66. Rumors of an injury abounded and he finally underwent surgery to remove bone chips from his elbow at the end of October. If that was the problem, then, thanks to the big trades, Toronto has itself a pretty good fifth starter. If not . . . well, you can probably guess what happens next.
2012 Consider Romeroís season on two levels. Superficially, it was as good a season as the Blue Jays could have expected when they handed him $30 million and the keys to the front of the rotation. He set career bests in ERA, wins, strikeouts, complete games, innings pitched, and hits allowed. His velocity was up across the board and he made his first All-Star team. On another level, though, Romero continues to be somewhat of a mystery. His peripherals are good but not spectacular: a decline in his strikeout rate and a jump in his home run rate were masked by a low BABIP. Could it be that Romeroís jack-of-all-skills, master-of-none act means that the whole of his outcomes is greater than the sum of his peripherals?
2011 If youíre wondering why bonus babies seem to get chance after chance while their fringier cousins are given margins of a hairís breadth, Romero is a good place to start looking for answers. Drafted sixth overall in 2005, he put up mediocre numbers at almost every stop in the high minors. Thrown into the major-league mix in 2009, he thrived under pressure; relied on to lead the rotation in 2010, he improved across the board. Sometimes latent talent takes a while to click, and no one is worrying about Romero's poor minor-league peripherals now. He succeeds on the strength of a good fastball with movement and a changeup that lets him retire righties at least as well as lefties. From there, his durability should carry him to a nice major-league career. Much of it should be with the Blue Jays, too, as they inked him to a five-year, $30-million deal (with a club option for a sixth season) in August.
2010 With the rest of the Toronto rotation falling to pieces around him, Romero emerged as a pleasant surprise four years after being infamously drafted ahead of Troy Tulowitzki. Romero made the rotation out of spring training and, save for an oblique injury that disabled him early in the season, remained there as the default number-two starter behind Halladay. Still, Romero exhibited some of same the worrisome trends as Richmond, including a .297/.348/.531 line by opposing lefties and a rough second half in which his team went 6-10 in his starts while he posted a 5.54 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, and weak 1.5 K/BB. In response, Romero spent the offseason working on a cutter and reviewing his mechanics as well as those of intra-division lefties Andy Pettitte and Jon Lester. That sort of dedication bodes well for an improved sophomore season, as does his youth, solid ground-ball rate, as well as the inflated BABIP from his rookie campaign.
2009 Famously drafted ahead of Troy Tulowitzki in 2005, Cal State Fullerton product Ricky Romero did at least finally make his Triple-A debut in 2008 and pitched reasonably well, which was a neat trick considering he spent most of the year in Double-A pitching poorly. Romero throws in the low 90s with a good curve and change and gets a ton of ground-ball outs, which makes you think he really should do better, but he continues to struggle with both command and control, as evidenced by his walk rates.
2008 Maybe it's unfair to keep pointing out what a franchise-altering decision it was, but Troy Tulowitzki, who the Jays should have taken with the sixth pick in the 2005 draft, might have pushed them into contention last year. Instead, they had Romero battling shoulder problems and walking five men per nine in Double-A. Romero's young enough that there's still reason for optimism, but it's increasingly likely that his future is in the bullpen because of his lack of a third pitch.
2007 The Blue Jays bypassed players such as Troy Tulowitzki, Mike Pelfry, and Cameron Maybin to take Romero with the sixth pick in the 2005 draft, and there`s a lot of organizational pride tied into how well he develops as a pitcher. If the Jays are expecting a number-two starter, they`ll probably be disappointed, as his average fastball has resulted in predictably average strikeout rates. On the other hand, Romero is a better prospect than the Davenport Translations indicate. It looks like he lost a ton of momentum upon being promoted to New Hampshire, but, after getting hit hard in his first few starts at the level, he settled down for four quality starts in his last five outings. He`s also got a bulldog demeanor on the mound and a reputation for hard work off of it, which should help him to make the most of his opportunities.

BP Articles

Ricky Romero is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Prospectus Feature: Colin Moran and the Matter of Draft StatusJeff Moore2014-09-23
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Morris Greenberg2014-03-17
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-03-17
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Nick Bacarella2014-03-17
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Chris Mosch2014-03-17
The Lineup Card: Nine Moves that Teams Still Need to MakeBaseball Prospectus2014-01-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Toronto Blue JaysBen Carsley2013-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Boston Gets Buchholz BackDaniel Rathman2013-09-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part OneMike Gianella2013-09-09
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 6, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-04
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Bonder the Next OneR.J. Anderson2013-06-03
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 2, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-02
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Splitting the Platoon: Lefty-philic PitchersDoug Thorburn2013-05-31
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Splitting the Platoon: Lefty-Phobic PitchersDoug Thorburn2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Sean NolinMark Anderson2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Sean NolinBret Sayre2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: A Somewhat Happy 40th for the Immortal Ramon OrtizZachary Levine2013-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 10th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-10
TINSTAAPP: TINSTAAPP Episode 2: Bailey v. Lynn Doug Thorburn2013-05-07
TINSTAAPP: TINSTAAPP Episode 2: Bailey v. Lynn Paul Sporer2013-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Halladay Sees a DocR.J. Anderson2013-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 17, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: My American League PortfolioPaul Sporer2013-04-10
The Week in Quotes: March 25-31Hudson Belinsky2013-04-01
The Week in Quotes: March 25-31Andrew Koo2013-04-01
The Week in Quotes: March 25-31Pete Barrett2013-04-01
The Week in Quotes: March 25-31Jonah Birenbaum2013-04-01
Transaction Analysis: Five Years For WainwrightR.J. Anderson2013-03-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Expert-League Auction ComparisonJason Collette2013-03-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: American League Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2013-03-26
BP Unfiltered: The New ShiftersR.J. Anderson2013-03-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: 4x4 Versus 5x5Mike Gianella2013-03-15
Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 41-80Paul Sporer2013-03-08
Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 41-80Jason Collette2013-03-08
BP Unfiltered: Sloan Q&A: Harry Pavlidis On f/x Tracking DataZachary Levine2013-03-02
BP Unfiltered: Sloan Q&A: Harry Pavlidis On f/x Tracking DataHarry Pavlidis2013-03-02
This article requires BP Premium accessYou Complete Me: Four Platoon Candidates for 2013Jonah Birenbaum2013-02-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games (February 26, 2013)Jason Martinez2013-02-27
Transaction Analysis: Something in the Way He ThrowsR.J. Anderson2013-01-18
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Making the Grade, Part TwoDoug Thorburn2012-12-21
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Jays Ready for TakeoffJohn Perrotto2012-12-20
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The Lineup Card: 13 Offseason NeedsBaseball Prospectus2012-11-07
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)I saw Daniel Norris pitch at the Futures Game. This was the first time I've seen him other than some old video from 2012. I noticed he has reduced his trunk tilt and lost his closed stride. With changes to JA Happ and attempted changes to Ricky Romero, do you see this a philosophy shift in the Jays development process?
(Chris Sherwin from Windsor, Ontario)
Can always count on Chris for a thought-provoking Jays question. Balance and posture are traits that many young players improve over time as their round into their physical peak, so it's tough to credit an organizational shift from one player's adjustments. The previous emphasis on short strides with certain pitchers (ie Sanchez) was an overall negative, IMO, so any movement away from the philosophy would be a good thing. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-09-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Ricky Romero - clearly broken, but is he fixable?
(R.A. Wagman from Thornhhill)
Everyone is fixable, in theory, but Romero has a steep hill to climb. His delivery has fallen backwards along with his stats, and his baselines were never strong to begin with, so I would temper expectations. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-08-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Ricky Romero. Is the jam done? Or is any hope left?
(Lucas Punkari from Airdrie, Alberta)
He has a lot of underlying mechanical issues that create a steep uphill climb for Romero to find a consistent release point. There is always hope with pitchers, but it only extends as far as they can make the adjustments necessary to succeed. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-05-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Doug, I'm a big Blue Jays fan wondering what's happened to my boy Ricky Romero. He had such a great fb/change combo two seasons ago, but now it seems he can't throw a strike. Timing, mechanics, or just something intangible? Thanks!
(Josh from Toronto)
Yes and yes. His balance and posture have always been an issue - his spine is crooked like a question mark at release point - and these are barriers to pitch repetition. But it's his timing and mechanical sequencing that cause the wheels to come off. In his start against SEA, things were cruising along fine for the first three innings, but then he completely lost the timing of trunk rotation. Late rotation caused him to miss several pitches up and to the arm side, and then he over-corrected to throw six consecutive pitches that missed badly to the glove side and low. This is a common occurrence, and though some pitcher will have small battles with timing and sequencing from time to time, the issue is a persistent problem for Romero. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-05-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)speaking of Ricky Romero, the Jays sent him down to A ball, to work things out, similar to what they had previously done with Roy Halliday. Did they bring him back too soon? I mean, he had one start.
(DavidPaton from Vangroovy)
It looks like Romero was plagued by the same issues that brought him down last season. they made some adjustments to his hand positioning in the windup, but it didn't really address his big issue with timing, so I think that they need to go back to the old drawing board. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-04-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)Should the Rangers make a serious offer for Ricky Romero for their 5th starter spot? What do you believe would be a fair offer that the Blue Jays might accept?
(Todd from Dallas)
No. Jurickson Profar. (Sam Miller)
2013-04-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ricky Romero has been progressing through his mechanics changes down in Dunedin. What sort of Ricky Romero will emerge from this tinkering?
(McVanderhuge from Toronto)
Probably a mediocre one at best. I'm sure the talent to get some hitters out is still there and the Jays don't need him to be a front of the rotation guy anymore (lucky for them) but he was so bad last year and this spring that until he shows he can get something approaching major league hitters out (why didn't I just write minor league hitters?) it's hard to be anything but pessimistic. (Matthew Kory)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)In my deep 16 team H2H dynasty league. I have a pitching staff of Homer Bailey, Wandy Rodriguez, Mark Buerhle, Ricky Romero, and Edison Volquez. Will this rotation be problematic? Even given the size of the league?
(Brent from California)
Yeah, you've got some issues here... you're at least one front-line starter short. Doesn't need to be a Verlander or Kershaw, but even a Cueto or Kennedy or Shields type would be a big help. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-03-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)The SP guide is really, really good. I'm really enjoying reading it. I haven't got to the Jays chapter yet and am wondering about Ricky Romero. Will he be bouncy bouncy bounceback this year? If I have a choice between him and Erasmo Ramirez-Collette in my Scoresheet keeper league, who wins?
(ChoppertoChipper from Edmonton)
Thanks so much, DS. I'd advise Ramirez. I said in the guide that I'm still on the Romero, but I understand if y'all don't wanna jump on board with me this time around. (Paul Sporer)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Name a couple of SP which fall outside the top 75 that could end up inside the top 50 this year.
(The Piranha from Amazon River)
Ricky Romero, Shelby Miller, a healthy Scott Baker, Alex Cobb, Marco Estrada (Paul Sporer)
2012-11-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Ian. We have the same last name. As for my question, I was wondering about your thoughts on the past season Ricky Romero endured. Was this a slight blip on the radar or is he really not as good as he showed in 2011?
(Andrew from Canada)
Greetings Mr. Miller.

No, I don't think RickyRo was as bad as his 2012 looks, but neither is he as good as he appeared in 2011. I can't really explain the great 2011 numbers without looking at his peripherals a little more closely, but his 2012 fall-off seemed to be due (at least in part) to injury.

As far as predicting his performance in 2013, well, that's not really my thing, but I'd expect him to bounce back some. (Ian Miller)
2012-04-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Wow, so I'm not the only one w/ a Cespedes trade. I was offered Ricky Romero and Joel Hanrahan for Cespedes and Benoit. No brainer, right? Can always pluck an OF off waivers with decent pop (I hope).
(Jake from Springfield)
And the Cespedes train keeps rolling... Yeah, I'll go for that trade too. (Derek Carty)
2012-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)There are very few people in the public eye that I respect more than KG (and BP in general) when it comes to the scouting side of MLB. Before last season, he referred to Ricky Romero (as well as B.Cecil and Snelling Eye Chart, now with St.Louis) as "third-fifth" starters. I keep many of his comments in my notes when managing my Scoresheet teams, and when watching the game in general, and this was one that really influenced me to avoid a player, despite the fact that his stats said the opposite. Far from calling KG wrong here, my question is more along the lines of: what did we learn? How did Romero grow into what appears to be an AL East ace? What leap did he take? What was he able to overcome that KG (and presumably others) identified as a less than 1-2 starter?
(smallflowers from boston)
Well, I wasnít scouting myself back then or talking with scouts, so I might not be the best person to ask this question, but reading back at what Kevin said in his Top 11s, control and command seem to be things he once struggled with. Statistically speaking, he hadnít posted a better BB% than he did in 2010-2011 at any level since 2006. Heís also proven that his stuff is good enough to post above-average strikeouts, which I imagine was less certain back then. In 2008, KG only called his change-up above average, and itís clearly at least plus now, probably plus-plus. A good change is something that a lot of young players struggle to develop, and itís not always certain that they will. Also, I should point out that I donít think we can call him a 1-2 starter right now. Obviously these distinctions are very arbitrary, and I donít really like using them, but generally speaking, I think heís a three. Heís much more the pitcher his 2010 ERA indicates than his 2011ógood, but not great. (Derek Carty)
2011-03-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rank these guys 2011 fantasy season's: Marcum, Jonathan Sanchez, Gio Gonzalez, Ricky Romero?
(Tony from Albuquerque)
How did Marcum get in that list? I think he's the best of them, but he's the soft-throwing righty and the other three are wild southpaws. Gonzalez, Sanchez, Romero afterwards. (Jeremy Greenhouse)
2010-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Marcum and Morrow are better keepers than Slick Ricky Romero?
(Teraxx from Strong Island, NY)
I think so. Morrow's ERA isn't as good as his adjusted numbers, and the strikeouts are drool worthy. Marcum/Romero is a bit closer, but I'll take the guy who is managing to have excellent control and command despite a recent major arm surgery over the guy with the walk rate much closer to the league average. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Ricky Romero? Can he continue to strike out a batter per inning, or do you see him regressing? If so, what do you see his true talent level being?
(Matt from Canada)
I'm not a real big believer, I'll be honest. If the K rate does tumble, he's going to give up plenty more runs because his BB rate is on the higher side. I'd say he's a decent #2-3 starter based on where he is right now, but there does exist a chance he can be a sort of #1A guy. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-05-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)Ricky Romero...is he for real or is he just off to a great start?
(teflontim13 from Romero)
Can I choose both? When I went through my vote for last year's RotY award, I was impressed by the fact that Romero's 2009 was not just that great April, which suggested to me some staying power. Now that he's delivering again, it seems to me like he's making a great case that he's going to be around for awhile. Give J.P. Ricciardi and company credit: this was one pick that worked out, however long it took. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-05-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Ricky Romero for real? About a year and a half ago, most people said he was a huge bust.
(Bobby from Toronto)
I remember talking about Romero with a guy who railed about what the scouts knew and didn't know, reminding me how little scouts added to the conversation, and now works ... as a scout. Of course, I am not a scout, am amazed at the insights and techniques of scouts, and remember that I liked Romero better than Ryan Braun at the time. (Did I mention I am not a scout?) (Will Carroll)
2010-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Marc, do you have a strong gut feeling about any of these guys?: Buchholz, Brett Anderson, Dice-K, Scott Baker, Matusz, Wade Davis, Ricky Romero, Justin Masterson, Homer Bailey. Let's assume Tommy Hanson was gone several rounds ago. Please help or my entire pitching staff will be sleepers!
(robertcfox from DC)
Brett Anderson and Clay Buchholz would be the two I suggest to you. Buchholz showed some positive growth in 2009 that I'm excited to see in 2010, and Brett Anderson is a future beast. (Marc Normandin)
2010-01-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Christina, When I met you 6 or 7 years ago you talked about how great a kid named Danny Haren would be. Seeing how right you were about him, who do you have love for these days? Thanks for the chat, Dan
(dandaman from Sea Cliff)
Interesting question... you must have caught me in one of my brief bits of knowingness and wisdom. I'm pretty high on Brett Anderson, but that's not really all that bold. I like Ricky Romero more than many seem to; it seems as if people have overcorrected for his in-season correction after those first three starts. Matusz and Tillman seem too obvious. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)It seems as if the Jays have recovered from their hiccup following their early season hot-start. If the standings look the same once Doc Halladay returns next week, what odds would you give the Jays of hanging tight in the playoff race through to September? Making the playoffs?
(rawagman from Toronto)
I'm still not a believer in the long-term viability of that offense. I also don't know if they'll continue to have success with Ricky Romero and Brett Cecil patching the rotation (though I hope they do, because it's fun to watch). (Steven Goldman)
2009-04-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Recognizing that it's real early days but Toronto fans have to be a little encouraged by the good start. Can the pitching staff hold up? And, although some regression is to be expected , is the hitting almost for real?
(prhood from St. John's, NL)
The infield has a 1000 OPS, give or take a few points. So I'm going to say, "no." The offense is better for having Lind and Snider, but it won't be enough to make up for the extra runs they'll give up this year. Caveat: if I'm really wrong about Ricky Romero, who's missed more bats than I expected him to, they can win 82-84 games. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-02-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Christina my friend read me my heroscope about a month ago and it said I will recieve very good news on Feb. 10th. I haven't got any yet. Could you tell me something awesome about the Jays?
(dogtothedog from Toronto)
You're still tied for first place? Seriously, though, there are players to look forward to coming into view. J.P. Arencibia and Travis Snider, certainly, maybe Brett Cecil and Ricky Romero... we can all hope Aaron Hill's good to go, right, and there's nothing that say he can't right now this instant... OK, I'm stretching here. A little less than eight hours to go, maybe it's something non-baseball you're supposed to hear. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-09-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)It's a given Snider will make an apperance high in the top 100 but what about guys like Cecil, Mills and even Ricky Romero now that he's showing some progress? Anyone else I'm missing?
(Taylor from Toronto)
Justin Jackson -- I'm still a big big fan. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-08-15 15:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Christina: The Baltimore Sun reports the O's have signed Matusz. Probably inevitable, but good news. what do you see in his future, and how long before he's pitching in Camden yards?
(TGisriel from Baltimore)
Hi Tom, that would be good news for the Orioles, obviously; I expect he'll move up fast, since I think he's generally as having more upside than, say, Ross Detwiler did last year. But as Detwiler or Ricky Romero reflect, as much as these things make sense on draft day, reality has a way of being rude to some. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-08-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is there really much reason for optimism with Ricky Romero? You mentioned he's struck out 17 in his brief time in AAA but neglected to say he's also walked 11.
(Isaac from Chicago)
I was really just saying there's something positive here finally. I'm not saying he's going to be a world beater or anything, but plenty think he could be an inning-eating lefty type. (Kevin Goldstein)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Ricky Romero threw 12,515 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2013, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (90mph), also mixing in a Change (80mph) and Sinker (88mph). He also rarely threw a Curve (75mph).