Kevin Richardson

<< PECOTA Home

Player Search

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	FRI	AA	348	54	12	3	17	47	33	95	4	1	1.3	.271	.358	.498	-.237	.209	.277	.377	.226	-11.7	84-C -4	-0.2
2007	FRI	AA	357	42	8	0	14	45	25	85	0	2	0.4	.222	.294	.378	-.523	.160	.213	.268	.155	-42.4	80-C 1 4-1B 0	-2.3
2008	OKL	AAA	213	25	10	1	6	22	18	53	0	0	-2.3	.251	.327	.412	-.343	.198	.264	.318	.203	-13.1	54-C -9	-1.3

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:57 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	288	28	12	1	8	29	22	85	1	0	-0.8	.220	.289	.374	-.211	.216	.288	.378	.232	-2.6	70-C -1	0.9
75^o	280	24	11	1	7	26	20	85	1	0	-0.8	.203	.270	.339	-.301	.200	.268	.343	.212	-8.4	69-C -1	0.2
60^o	271	20	10	1	6	24	18	85	1	0	-0.7	.186	.250	.305	-.391	.183	.249	.309	.190	-13.8	67-C -2	-0.3
50^o	267	18	10	1	5	23	17	85	1	0	-0.7	.179	.242	.290	-.431	.176	.240	.293	.180	-16.1	66-C -2	-0.6
40^o	261	16	9	1	4	21	16	84	1	0	-0.6	.169	.230	.270	-.483	.166	.229	.273	.164	-18.9	64-C -2	-0.9
25^o	248	12	8	1	3	18	14	83	1	0	-0.6	.152	.210	.236	-.572	.150	.209	.239	.132	-23.1	61-C -2	-1.4
10^o	212	8	6	1	2	9	11	79	0	0	-0.5	.138	.192	.207	-.650	.136	.191	.209	.040	-23.5	53-C -2	-1.9
Weighted Mean	245	15	8	1	4	20	15	79	1	0	-0.7	.173	.234	.277	-.431	.170	.233	.281	.170	-17.7	61-C -1	-0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
31%	35%	48%	26%	1.22

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 28)	245	15	8	1	4	20	15	79	1	0	-0.7	.173	.234	.277	-.431	.170	.233	.281	.170	-17.7	61-C -1	-0.6
2010 (age 29)	271	20	9	1	6	25	18	87	1	0	-0.5	.184	.249	.301	-.389	.184	.250	.308	.188	-9.4	66-C 0	0.0
2011 (age 30)	253	20	11	1	7	26	16	76	1	0	-0.4	.198	.260	.338	-.312	.197	.262	.346	.206	-5.1	62-C -1	0.2
2012 (age 31)	223	16	8	1	5	21	16	69	1	0	-0.2	.187	.255	.309	-.365	.187	.257	.316	.194	-3.8	56-C -2	0.0
2013 (age 32)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 33)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.192	.259	.315
vs RHP	.169	.227	.264
Split	+.023	+.031	+.052
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-14.1	-1.0	-0.6	$400,000	-18.4	0.0
2010	-11.9	0.0	0.0	$400,000	-9.2	0.1
2011	-7.1	-1.0	0.2	$400,000	-4.8	1.3
2012	-8.6	-2.0	0.0	$400,000	-3.8	0.4
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.2	$175,000	0.0	2.7

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.212	.180	.132	.170
2010	.233	.190	.158	.188
2011	.240	.201	.183	.206
2012	.226	.200	.146	.194
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	26%	0%	31%
2010	55%	31%	27%
2011	63%	44%	23%
2012	80%	63%	20%
2013	82%	70%	17%
2014	90%	79%	14%
2015	96%	86%	10%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

64

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Alan Probst	1999	66		11	Carl Nichols	1991	51
2	Scot Sealy	1999	60		12	Craig Faulkner	1994	51
3	Rick Sellers	1995	60		13	Randy Knorr	1997	50
4	Mike Rivera	2005	60		14	Greg Keatley	1982	50
5	Jonathan Aceves	2006	56		15	Gary Tremblay	1991	49
6	Brian Peterson	2007	56		16	Tom Gregorio	2006	49
7	Ryan Jorgensen	2008	56		17	Danny Ardoin	2003	49
8	Jon DeBus	1987	55		18	Ron Tingley	1988	49
9	Eli Whiteside	2008	53		19	Brandon Marsters	2004	48
10	Ryan Budde	2008	53		20	Paul Hoover	2005	48

Baseball Prospectus Home | Terms of Service | Privacy Policy | Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.