<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

He's probably very handsome. Josh Reddick
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Right Field
Bats L
Age 21
6' 2"
180 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 GRN 1B 403 60 17 6 18 72 26 51 8 5 1.6 .306 .352 .531 .236 .249 .288 .416 .240 -8.8 86-RF 7 1.5
2007 PME 2A 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 .000 .000 .000 -1.209 .000 .000 .000 .000 -0.4 0.0


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 5:59 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 601 69 40 3 15 77 38 108 9 5 0.9 .268 .316 .433 -.029 .261 .312 .442 .263 2.8 141-RF -1 3.2
75o 572 60 36 3 13 70 34 106 8 5 0.8 .258 .304 .410 -.087 .251 .301 .419 .252 -5.3 134-RF 0 2.5
60o 543 51 33 3 11 62 31 104 7 4 0.8 .248 .292 .388 -.143 .241 .289 .397 .240 -12.4 128-RF 0 1.8
50o 527 47 31 3 10 58 29 102 7 4 0.7 .242 .286 .376 -.173 .236 .283 .385 .234 -15.8 124-RF 0 1.4
40o 510 43 29 3 9 54 27 100 7 4 0.7 .237 .280 .364 -.203 .230 .277 .372 .227 -19.0 120-RF 1 1.1
25o 490 38 27 3 8 50 25 98 6 4 0.7 .231 .272 .351 -.238 .224 .270 .358 .219 -22.3 116-RF 1 0.7
10o 446 30 23 2 5 40 21 93 5 4 0.6 .218 .257 .322 -.312 .212 .254 .329 .201 -28.1 106-RF 1 0.1
Weighted Mean 566 53 33 3 10 63 31 109 8 5 0.7 .243 .287 .378 -.169 .236 .284 .386 .234 -16.2 133-RF 1 1.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

24%

49%

20%

4%

0.89

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 21) 566 53 33 3 10 63 31 109 8 5 0.7 .243 .287 .378 -.169 .236 .284 .386 .234 -16.2 133-RF 1 1.9
2009 (age 22) 536 52 32 3 11 64 33 95 7 4 0.7 .251 .298 .397 -.118 .248 .300 .413 .245 -7.8 126-RF 1 2.1
2010 (age 23) 517 51 31 3 12 62 32 90 7 4 0.5 .254 .302 .406 -.097 .251 .304 .422 .249 -4.6 122-RF 1 1.9
2011 (age 24) 530 56 30 3 14 65 36 92 7 4 0.5 .258 .311 .421 -.061 .254 .312 .438 .256 -1.1 125-RF -1 2.0
2012 (age 25) 537 62 32 3 17 73 37 92 6 4 0.4 .267 .321 .449 .000 .264 .323 .467 .268 3.6 126-RF -1 2.0
2013 (age 26) 471 48 28 2 13 66 34 78 4 3 0.3 .258 .313 .428 -.048 .255 .314 .445 .259 0.0 111-RF 1 1.6
2014 (age 27) 580 69 34 3 17 81 44 88 6 4 0.3 .266 .324 .439 -.008 .263 .325 .457 .267 2.4 136-RF 0 1.6

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .217 .257 .332
vs RHP .252 .300 .410
Split -.035 -.043 -.078
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.3 1.6 1.9 $2,100,000 -13.0 0.1
2009 0.8 1.4 2.1 $2,650,000 -4.9 2.9
2010 0.8 1.1 1.9 $2,500,000 -2.1 1.7
2011 1.0 0.9 2.0 $2,700,000 -0.4 4.4
2012 1.3 0.7 2.0 $3,825,000 4.0 6.8
2013 0.8 0.7 1.6 $2,650,000 1.4 5.2
2014 1.0 0.7 1.6 $3,275,000 2.8 5.6
Peak 11.5 $11,475,000 12.8 29.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .252 .234 .219 .234
2009 .258 .239 .216 .245
2010 .263 .247 .225 .249
2011 .262 .247 .228 .256
2012 .287 .259 .242 .268
2013 .275 .249 .232 .259
2014 .283 .263 .232 .267


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 4% 0% 24%
2009 11% 3% 41%
2010 25% 16% 46%
2011 32% 23% 49%
2012 41% 38% 58%
2013 52% 41% 52%
2014 59% 51% 51%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

52

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Will Smith 1992 40 11 Jason Kubel 2003 33
2 Brandon Moss 1979 36 12 Damon Hollins 1971 33
3 Nate Mclouth 1981 36 13 Brandon Pernell 1982 33
4 Chris Vasquez 1970 36 14 Ray Sadler 1960 33
5 Carlos Gonzalez 1973 35 15 Troy Hughes 2007 32
6 Brian Jenkins 1992 35 16 Steve Gibralter 1975 32
7 Rich Butler 1975 34 17 Anthony Lewis 1969 32
8 Mike Robertson 1975 34 18 Aaron Cunningham 2000 31
9 Pedro Valdes 1957 34 19 Laynce Nix 1979 30
10 Brandon Pico 1998 33 20 Garrett Guzman 2005 30

Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.