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He's probably very handsome. Anthony Recker
Oakland Athletics [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 24
6' 2"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 VAN 1A 169 16 8 0 5 18 16 40 0 0 -0.6 .233 .315 .387 .022 .179 .243 .269 .171 -26.1 38-C 3 0.5
2006 KNC 1B 453 52 24 3 14 57 42 115 5 5 -3.5 .287 .358 .464 .174 .218 .276 .361 .219 -12.1 93-C 1 2.2
2007 STO 1C 244 39 17 2 13 47 27 48 2 0 -3.5 .319 .402 .609 .429 .259 .331 .472 .276 12.2 53-C -2 2.1
2007 MID 2A 219 16 12 0 4 20 17 63 0 1 0.7 .204 .269 .323 -.267 .186 .245 .279 .177 -17.7 55-C -12 -0.6


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 5:58 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 511 45 26 1 13 58 40 137 3 2 -1.2 .228 .293 .378 -.168 .232 .298 .403 .246 2.8 120-C -2 3.1
75o 496 41 24 1 12 55 37 136 3 2 -1.2 .221 .285 .361 -.208 .225 .290 .385 .237 -2.3 117-C -2 2.6
60o 478 36 22 1 10 51 34 134 3 2 -1.1 .213 .274 .341 -.259 .216 .279 .363 .225 -8.3 113-C -2 2.0
50o 465 32 20 1 9 48 32 132 3 2 -1.0 .207 .267 .327 -.293 .210 .271 .349 .217 -11.9 110-C -2 1.6
40o 453 29 19 1 9 46 31 130 3 1 -1.0 .202 .260 .315 -.323 .205 .265 .336 .210 -15.0 107-C -2 1.3
25o 432 25 17 1 7 42 28 127 2 1 -0.9 .193 .250 .295 -.372 .196 .254 .314 .197 -19.7 103-C -2 0.7
10o 375 16 12 1 4 32 21 117 2 1 -0.7 .174 .225 .249 -.486 .177 .229 .265 .162 -27.7 90-C -2 -0.3
Weighted Mean 468 32 20 1 9 48 32 133 3 2 -1.0 .206 .265 .324 -.299 .209 .270 .346 .215 -12.9 111-C -3 1.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

30%

51%

26%

12%

0.92

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 468 32 20 1 9 48 32 133 3 2 -1.0 .206 .265 .324 -.299 .209 .270 .346 .215 -12.9 111-C -3 1.9
2009 (age 25) 445 32 20 1 10 48 34 122 3 1 -0.8 .212 .278 .339 -.255 .219 .287 .368 .226 -5.4 106-C -2 1.7
2010 (age 26) 337 21 15 1 7 36 24 94 2 1 -0.5 .212 .275 .331 -.271 .218 .284 .359 .222 -4.1 81-C -5 0.9
2011 (age 27) 380 28 17 1 9 44 30 101 2 1 -0.3 .224 .289 .355 -.206 .231 .299 .386 .237 -0.5 91-C -7 0.7
2012 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .221 .283 .351
vs RHP .202 .259 .312
Split +.019 +.023 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.5 2.4 1.9 $2,125,000 -13.9 0.4
2009 0.0 1.7 1.7 $1,925,000 -6.3 1.4
2010 0.0 0.9 0.9 $1,025,000 -5.8 1.0
2011 0.1 0.6 0.7 $900,000 -2.2 1.7
2012 0.1 0.6 0.7 $925,000 -0.9 1.7
2013 -0.2 0.4 0.2 $550,000 -3.2 0.1
2014 0.0 0.4 0.3 $625,000 -2.0 0.3
Peak 6.0 $4,475,000 0.0 6.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .237 .217 .197 .215
2009 .238 .225 .203 .226
2010 .232 .210 .178 .222
2011 .257 .225 .191 .237
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 12% 0% 30%
2009 37% 23% 36%
2010 64% 39% 25%
2011 76% 64% 26%
2012 78% 68% 26%
2013 83% 72% 17%
2014 88% 80% 13%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

63

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Brad Cresse 1992 40 11 Rob Fitzpatrick 2003 33
2 Dan Conway 1979 36 12 Marlon Allen 1971 33
3 Giuseppe Chiaramonte 1981 36 13 Danny Ardoin 1982 33
4 Joe Depastino 1970 36 14 Matt Berger 1960 33
5 Kelley Gulledge 1973 35 15 Pat Cline 2007 32
6 Alberto Concepcion 1992 35 16 Ryan Hamill 1975 32
7 Andy Dominique 1975 34 17 Nate Gold 1969 32
8 Kevin Cash 1975 34 18 Creighton Gubanich 2000 31
9 Jason Dewey 1957 34 19 Jimmy Gonzalez 1979 30
10 Craig Ansman 1998 33 20 Mike Daniel 2005 30

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