<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

Miguel Perez
Cincinnati Reds [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 24
6' 3"
190 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 SAR 1C 312 36 11 0 4 33 16 63 7 1 0.6 .268 .305 .347 -.076 .225 .260 .297 .196 -20.1 76-C 9 2.1
2005 LOU 3A 80 5 3 0 1 5 5 19 0 0 0.4 .208 .275 .292 -.323 .192 .250 .260 .174 -6.4 20-C 4 0.3
2005 CIN MJ 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.0 .000 .000 .000 -1.255 .000 .000 .000 .000 -0.8 0.0
2006 CHT 2A 434 33 16 0 3 33 19 88 5 1 0.1 .241 .290 .305 -.139 .229 .269 .296 .199 -22.8 106-C 6 2.1
2007 RDS 0R 13 4 1 0 1 3 1 2 0 0 -0.3 .417 .462 .750 .879 .333 .385 .667 .336 5.6 0.1
2007 SAR 1C 116 12 5 0 4 18 6 19 0 0 -0.7 .324 .353 .481 .206 .284 .316 .422 .256 3.8 27-C -5 0.7
2007 CHT 2A 26 3 1 0 3 4 0 3 0 0 0.0 .269 .269 .654 .254 .308 .308 .692 .312 3.5 0.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 3:19 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 160 19 7 0 5 19 10 35 2 0 -0.1 .266 .317 .431 -.058 .262 .313 .424 .251 3.8 42-C 1 1.4
75o 149 15 6 0 4 16 8 33 1 0 -0.1 .247 .294 .383 -.177 .244 .290 .377 .228 -0.5 39-C 1 1.0
60o 144 13 5 0 4 15 8 32 1 0 -0.1 .239 .284 .363 -.228 .236 .281 .357 .217 -2.2 38-C 0 0.8
50o 142 13 5 0 3 14 7 32 1 0 -0.1 .235 .279 .353 -.253 .232 .276 .347 .212 -2.9 37-C 0 0.7
40o 139 12 5 0 3 14 7 32 1 0 -0.1 .232 .274 .344 -.275 .229 .271 .338 .207 -3.6 37-C 0 0.7
25o 132 10 4 0 2 12 6 30 1 0 -0.1 .222 .262 .319 -.336 .219 .259 .314 .192 -5.3 35-C 0 0.5
10o 121 8 3 0 2 10 5 28 1 0 -0.1 .207 .243 .282 -.430 .204 .241 .277 .167 -7.4 33-C 0 0.2
Weighted Mean 138 12 5 0 3 14 7 31 1 0 -0.1 .236 .280 .355 -.248 .233 .277 .349 .212 -2.0 37-C 1 0.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

17%

32%

37%

14%

1.85

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 138 12 5 0 3 14 7 31 1 0 -0.1 .236 .280 .355 -.248 .233 .277 .349 .212 -2.0 37-C 1 0.9
2009 (age 25) 137 13 5 0 4 16 8 28 1 0 -0.1 .244 .290 .373 -.199 .237 .283 .360 .223 -0.7 36-C 1 0.5
2010 (age 26) 129 12 4 0 3 14 8 28 2 0 -0.1 .247 .296 .368 -.194 .240 .288 .355 .224 -0.4 35-C 0 0.4
2011 (age 27) 127 13 5 0 4 15 8 26 1 0 -0.1 .248 .299 .395 -.151 .241 .291 .381 .233 0.1 34-C 0 0.4
2012 (age 28) 108 11 4 0 3 13 6 21 1 0 -0.1 .258 .309 .410 -.105 .251 .301 .396 .242 0.6 30-C 1 0.4
2013 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .252 .300 .384
vs RHP .231 .272 .339
Split +.021 +.028 +.045
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.2 1.1 0.9 $950,000 -1.8 0.9
2009 0.0 0.6 0.5 $675,000 -0.7 1.1
2010 0.0 0.4 0.4 $575,000 -0.6 0.9
2011 0.0 0.3 0.4 $600,000 0.0 0.7
2012 0.1 0.3 0.4 $825,000 0.8 1.5
2013 0.0 0.2 0.2 $525,000 -0.3 0.3
2014 0.0 0.1 0.1 $500,000 -0.9 0.1
Peak 2.8 $1,475,000 0.8 5.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .228 .212 .192 .212
2009 .243 .228 .213 .223
2010 .250 .223 .202 .224
2011 .252 .231 .220 .233
2012 .261 .246 .219 .242
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 14% 0% 17%
2009 53% 38% 17%
2010 64% 50% 19%
2011 69% 58% 19%
2012 70% 61% 25%
2013 78% 72% 16%
2014 83% 79% 18%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

52

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Adan Amezcua 1992 40 11 Mike Difelice 2003 33
2 Guillermo Garcia 1979 36 12 Michel Hernandez 1971 33
3 Alex Delgado 1981 36 13 Iker Franco 1982 33
4 Steve Cerio 1970 36 14 Alberto Castillo 1960 33
5 Robin Harriss 1973 35 15 Joe Ayrault 2007 32
6 James Davis 1992 35 16 Jeff Alfano 1975 32
7 Juan Brito 1975 34 17 Alex Cabrera 1969 32
8 Kyle Cooney 1975 34 18 Bradley Davis 2000 31
9 Paul Chiaffredo 1957 34 19 Pedro Grifol 1979 30
10 Cesar Devarez 1998 33 20 Jason Hill 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Miguel Perez can`t hit and won`t, but the game always has space for its catch-and-throw types.

2005

Considered the best catching prospect in the system by scouts, you'd like to see the numbers start to match up. The observational crowd point to his strong 6'3", 190-pound frame and his projectable swing and see a future power hitter; we see two homers in his four-year pro career. Of course there are mitigating factors in play, or he wouldn't be in this book: Perez doesn't turn 22 until September, catchers tend to master hitting later, and the Reds rave about his catch-and-throw ability. That would be a lot handier if teams actually tried to steal bases anymore. But this is the same team still getting over taking Chris Gruler #3 overall in '02, ahead of Zach Greinke, Prince Fielder, Khalil Greene, Scott Kazmir and many others—maybe they're due for those rose-colored glasses to start paying dividends.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.