Biographical

Portrait of Chris Parmelee

Chris Parmelee 1BTwins

Twins Player Cards | Twins Team Audit | Twins Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 26)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
3 .256 0 0 0 0 .268 0.0
Birth Date2-24-1988
Height6' 1"
Weight220 lbs
Age26 years, 7 months, 27 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
1.02011
-0.42012
-1.12013
0.32014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2011 MIN 23 21 88 76 8 27 6 0 4 45 12 13 0 0 0 14 0 0 .355 .443 .592 .354 8.2 1.6 1.0
2012 MIN 24 64 210 192 18 44 10 2 5 73 13 52 4 1 0 19 0 0 .229 .290 .380 .233 -3.5 -0.3 -0.4
2013 MIN 25 101 333 294 21 67 13 0 8 104 33 81 3 3 0 24 1 1 .228 .309 .354 .244 -2.2 -8.2 -1.1
2014 MIN 26 87 270 250 27 64 11 0 7 96 17 64 2 1 0 28 0 3 .256 .307 .384 .247 0.3 2.4 0.3
Career2739018127420240224318752109508514.249.317.392.2532.8-4.6-0.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2006 BLT A 11 27 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .385 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 TWI Rk 45 179 .327 .248 .329 .351 .260 .354 96 13.3 5.4 -2.4 -2.3 0.0 17.5 1.5 17.5 1.5
2007 BLT A 128 501 .265 .250 .322 .366 .257 .312 94 2.9 16.0 -6.4 -6.7 -1.2 14.2 0.8 14.2 0.8
2008 BLT A 69 289 .311 .252 .319 .372 .262 .308 101 15.1 8.2 -4.5 -1.9 -0.1 19.6 1.8 19.6 1.8
2009 FTM A+ 123 501 .290 .253 .324 .365 .254 .313 96 15.9 14.7 -7.7 1.6 -1.0 21.6 2.4 21.6 2.4
2010 FTM A+ 22 93 .339 .251 .322 .410 .265 .373 87 6.7 2.3 -1.4 1.1 -1.3 5.2 0.6 5.2 0.6
2010 NBR AA 111 463 .261 .257 .331 .393 .256 .319 101 0.3 13.4 -7.4 9.2 -1.6 4.3 1.4 4.3 1.4
2011 MIN MLB 21 88 .354 .258 .321 .410 .262 .390 104 8.1 2.4 -1.5 1.6 -0.3 8.2 1.0 8.2 1.0
2011 NBR AA 142 610 .311 .259 .325 .398 .272 .322 89 34.3 18.0 -10.9 5.5 0.8 43.4 4.9 43.4 4.9
2012 MIN MLB 64 210 .233 .250 .314 .402 .258 .287 105 -5.7 5.8 -2.9 -0.3 -0.7 -3.5 -0.4 -3.5 -0.4
2012 ROC AAA 64 282 .381 .253 .321 .383 .248 .373 92 38.3 8.4 -5.4 7.3 -2.7 39.3 4.6 39.3 4.6
2013 MIN MLB 101 333 .244 .247 .309 .385 .257 .284 100 -5.2 8.8 -3.7 -8.2 -5.4 -2.2 -1.1 -2.2 -1.1
2013 ROC AAA 45 198 .253 .254 .320 .378 .248 .264 107 -1.5 5.7 -3.1 1.4 -1.5 -1.2 0.0 -1.2 0.0
2014 MIN MLB 87 270 .247 .251 .311 .388 .259 .317 108 -3.2 7.0 -2.8 2.4 -2.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
2014 ROC AAA 32 135 .312 .265 .330 .398 .254 .326 102 8 4.0 -2.3 -0.7 -0.3 8.1 0.7 8.1 0.7

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2006 TWI Rk 179 29 43 7 4 8 32 23 47 3 3 .279 .373 .532 .253 .327 17.5 -2.3 1.5
2006 BLT A 27 2 5 1 0 0 2 5 9 0 2 .227 .370 .273 .045 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 BLT A 501 56 107 23 5 15 70 46 137 8 4 .239 .316 .414 .174 .265 14.2 -6.7 0.8
2008 BLT A 289 41 54 10 3 14 49 52 83 3 1 .239 .391 .496 .257 .311 19.6 -1.9 1.8
2009 FTM A+ 501 61 109 27 1 16 73 65 109 2 2 .258 .365 .441 .182 .290 21.6 1.6 2.4
2010 NBR AA 463 51 113 25 2 6 44 43 70 3 2 .275 .346 .389 .114 .261 4.3 9.2 1.4
2010 FTM A+ 93 9 27 2 1 2 17 13 11 0 1 .338 .430 .463 .125 .339 5.2 1.1 0.6
2011 MIN MLB 88 8 27 6 0 4 14 12 13 0 0 .355 .443 .592 .237 .354 8.2 1.6 1.0
2011 NBR AA 610 76 152 30 5 13 83 68 94 0 1 .287 .366 .436 .149 .311 43.4 5.5 4.9
2012 MIN MLB 210 18 44 10 2 5 19 13 52 0 0 .229 .290 .380 .151 .233 -3.5 -0.3 -0.4
2012 ROC AAA 282 45 77 17 1 17 49 51 52 1 1 .338 .457 .645 .307 .381 39.3 7.3 4.6
2013 ROC AAA 198 23 40 13 1 3 22 22 32 1 0 .231 .318 .370 .139 .253 -1.2 1.4 0.0
2013 MIN MLB 333 21 67 13 0 8 24 33 81 1 1 .228 .309 .354 .126 .244 -2.2 -8.2 -1.1
2014 ROC AAA 135 13 36 7 0 7 23 14 24 0 0 .305 .378 .542 .237 .312 8.1 -0.7 0.7
2014 MIN MLB 270 27 64 11 0 7 28 17 64 0 3 .256 .307 .384 .128 .247 0.3 2.4 0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 378 0.5317 0.4709 0.8539 0.6269 0.2938 0.8571 0.8462 0.1461
2012 810 0.5136 0.4462 0.7895 0.5938 0.2893 0.8421 0.6754 0.2105
2013 1424 0.4881 0.4459 0.7984 0.5899 0.3086 0.8317 0.7378 0.2016
2014 1146 0.4782 0.4799 0.8000 0.6314 0.3411 0.8353 0.7402 0.2000
Career37580.4950.45880.80260.60710.31290.83760.7360.1974

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-01-23 2014-01-23 Off 0 0 Right Wrist Surgery Cyst 2014-01-23 -
2013-03-05 2013-03-13 Camp 8 0 - Groin Soreness - -
2012-09-10 2012-09-13 DTD 3 3 Right Groin Soreness - -
2008-06-28 2008-09-05 Minors 69 0 Left Hand Fracture -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 MIN $
2013 MIN $497,500
2012 MIN $480,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$977,500
2 yrTotal$977,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 87 d1 year/$0.51M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.51M (2014). Re-signed by Minnesota 2/28/14. Sent outright to Triple-A by Minnesota 3/27/14. Contract selected by Minnesota 5/9/14.
  • 1 year/$0.4975M (2013). Re-signed by Minnesota 2/21/13.
  • 1 year/$0.48M (2012). Re-signed by Minnesota 3/3/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Minnesota 11/19/10.
  • Drafted by Minnesota 2006 (1-20). $1.5M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 430 52 111 23 2 13 57 47 83 1 0 .296 .376 .476 .307 22.1 1B 3, LF 1 2.8
80o 411 48 102 21 2 12 53 43 81 1 0 .283 .361 .454 .295 16.3 1B 3, LF 1 2.2
70o 397 45 97 20 2 12 50 41 80 1 0 .273 .351 .439 .286 12.4 1B 3, LF 1 1.7
60o 385 43 91 19 2 11 47 38 79 1 0 .265 .341 .426 .279 9.2 1B 3, LF 1 1.4
50o 374 40 86 18 2 10 45 36 78 1 0 .258 .333 .414 .272 6.4 1B 2, LF 1 1.1
40o 363 38 82 17 2 10 43 34 76 1 0 .250 .324 .402 .265 3.8 1B 2, LF 1 0.8
30o 351 36 77 16 2 9 40 32 75 1 0 .242 .315 .389 .257 1.1 1B 2, LF 1 0.5
20o 337 33 69 14 1 8 38 30 73 1 0 .233 .304 .374 .248 -1.8 1B 2, LF 1 0.1
10o 318 30 63 13 1 8 34 27 70 0 0 .220 .289 .354 .236 -5.5 1B 2, LF 1 -0.3
Weighted Mean37741871821045377810.260.335.417.2747.21B 3, LF 11.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
5% 44% 8% 14% 81%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
2015274585699191125148971.248.330.393.2661.610.7-3.3-4.214.93.34.0
201628544661172221561531140.243.318.390.2601.25.8-3.9-5.114.9-0.04.7
201729631781413021974631320.250.328.408.2691.69.6-4.5-6.114.95.35.5
201830603761272611768681300.243.333.394.2671.59.0-4.3-6.014.94.35.3
201931602731292521566631280.243.326.385.2621.25.7-4.2-6.114.91.05.2
202032640761362621567661350.242.323.374.2570.82.1-4.5-6.614.9-1.85.6
202133634731332521363641310.237.316.358.2500.4-2.2-4.5-6.614.9-6.05.5
202234610731302411464631270.243.325.374.2580.93.2-4.3-6.414.9-1.05.3
202335630781392611669671190.252.337.390.2681.58.6-4.4-6.614.94.75.5

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
23.415.46.61418.19.877.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 75)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 86 John Bowker 2010 .251
2 84 Shin-Soo Choo 2009 .305
3 84 Wladimir Balentien 2011 .000 DNP
4 83 Lucas Duda 2012 .261
5 81 Josh Reddick 2013 .263
6 81 Matt Joyce 2011 .300
7 80 Matt LaPorta 2011 .264
8 80 Joe Mather 2009 .000 DNP
9 80 Travis Buck 2010 .197
10 80 Cody Ross 2007 .339
11 80 Steve Pearce 2009 .228
12 80 Mitch Moreland 2012 .271
13 79 Brandon Moss 2010 .112
14 79 Yonder Alonso 2013 .262
15 78 Eric Thames 2013 .000 DNP
16 78 Jason Kubel 2008 .284
17 78 Clete Thomas 2010 .000 DNP
18 77 Mike Baxter 2011 .283
19 77 Desmond Jennings 2013 .287
20 77 Scott Van Slyke 2013 .285
21 77 Jason Kipnis 2013 .309
22 77 Alejandro De Aza 2010 .239
23 77 Nate Schierholtz 2010 .255
24 77 Brennan Boesch 2011 .278
25 77 Chris Heisey 2011 .293
26 77 Brandon Jones 2010 .000 DNP
27 76 Ryan Garko 2007 .294
28 76 Jed Lowrie 2010 .303
29 76 Seth Smith 2009 .291
30 76 Luis Valbuena 2012 .237
31 76 Ryan Sweeney 2011 .256
32 76 Corey Hart 2008 .267
33 76 Ben Guez 2013 .000 DNP
34 75 David Cook 2008 .000 DNP
35 75 Chase Headley 2010 .275
36 75 Shane Costa 2008 .000 DNP
37 75 Mike Carp 2012 .242
38 75 Brandon Boggs 2009 .086
39 75 Aaron Cunningham 2012 .204
40 75 Brett Wallace 2013 .253
41 74 Chris Duncan 2007 .280
42 74 Chris Coghlan 2011 .248
43 74 Bronson Sardinha 2009 .000 DNP
44 74 Elijah Dukes 2010 .000 DNP
45 74 Jeff Clement 2010 .217
46 74 Javier Brito 2009 .000 DNP
47 74 Chris Carter 2009 .086
48 74 Josh Kroeger 2009 .000 DNP
49 74 David Murphy 2008 .262
50 74 Kendrys Morales 2009 .303
51 74 Geovany Soto 2009 .237
52 73 Franklin Gutierrez 2009 .271
53 73 Bryan Petersen 2012 .203
54 73 Jon Jay 2011 .275
55 73 Logan Forsythe 2013 .234
56 73 Sawyer Carroll 2012 .000 DNP
57 73 Andre Ethier 2008 .315
58 73 Chris Snelling 2008 .635
59 73 Trevor Plouffe 2012 .261
60 73 Tyler Colvin 2012 .267
61 73 Allen Craig 2011 .324
62 73 Michael Taylor 2012 .105
63 73 Steve Susdorf 2012 .000 DNP
64 73 James Darnell 2013 .000 DNP
65 73 Carlos Quentin 2009 .257
66 72 Nick Evans 2012 .000 DNP
67 72 Travis Ishikawa 2010 .255
68 72 Dexter Fowler 2012 .278
69 72 Michael Morse 2008 .259
70 72 Taylor Green 2013 .000 DNP
71 72 Cole Gillespie 2010 .240
72 72 Brady Shoemaker 2013 .000 DNP
73 72 Jordan Brown 2010 .203
74 72 Andy Marte 2010 .249
75 72 Chad Huffman 2011 .000 DNP
76 72 Bubba Bell 2009 .000 DNP
77 72 Daniel Murphy 2011 .285
78 72 Neil Walker 2012 .283
79 72 Gaby Sanchez 2010 .286
80 72 Cord Phelps 2013 -.017
81 72 Jeremy Slayden 2009 .000 DNP
82 71 J.R. Towles 2010 .194
83 71 Scott Sizemore 2011 .280
84 71 Collin Cowgill 2012 .238
85 71 Jordan Parraz 2011 .000 DNP
86 71 David Cooper 2013 .000 DNP
87 71 Rusty Greer 1995 .273
88 71 Jeremy Hermida 2010 .218
89 71 Ben Francisco 2008 .270
90 71 Justin Huber 2009 .203
91 71 Nick Hundley 2010 .284
92 71 Paul McAnulty 2007 .209
93 71 Danny Putnam 2009 .000 DNP
94 71 Marvin Lowrance 2011 .000 DNP
95 71 Juan Miranda 2009 .337
96 71 Michael Saunders 2013 .281
97 71 Mark Teahen 2008 .247
98 71 Gary Sheffield 1995 .353
99 71 Welington Castillo 2013 .266
100 71 Danny Valencia 2011 .243

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .202 .280 .314 .207
11 vs R (Multi) .243 .320 .387 .253
18 Split (Multi) .041 .040 .073 .046
19 LgAvg (Multi) .027 .038 .071 .034
30 vs L (2013) .172 .250 .276 .182
31 vs R (2013) .242 .323 .373 .251
38 Split (2013) .069 .073 .097 .069
39 LgAvg (2013) .026 .037 .071 .034

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Gardenhire wanted to hand Parmelee an every-day job on the basis of 88 great at-bats in September 2011 and a strong spring training last year, but the 24-year-old with no experience above Double-A understandably flopped out of the gate. A 512 OPS through May 15 got him demoted to Rochester, where he raked and earned promotions in June, July, and August, during which he mostly sat on the bench and lost out on the reps he'll need to develop into Morneauís eventual replacement. A comparatively strong September (750 OPS) has him in the mix for the right-field job.
2012 Parmelee blazed across the sky in September, but the annals of baseball history are filled with such tantalizing performances that proved unsustainable; look up Shane Spencer, Jeremy Reed, or Babe Ganzel sometime, or find Taylor Teagarden and Daric Barton elsewhere in this book. Parmelee was a 2006 first-round pick because of his sweet swing and his power potential, but he has plodded through the Twins system, not clearing A-ball until mid-2010. While he has decent plate discipline, his raw power hasn't translated to a single 20-homer season in part because the Twins had him focus on cutting down the strikeouts, bringing to mind David Ortiz's famous "you want me to hit like a little bitch" quote about his old org after he found success in Boston. Which isn't to say that Parmalee doesn't deserve a longer look, but he's not the second coming of Justin Morneau.
2011 Chris Parmelee has climbed through the system slowly, but showed enough power potential for the Twins to protect him on the 40-man roster at the end of 2010.
2010 Former first-rounder Chris Parmelee has lots of power and patience, but that's also the sum of his skills; he'll need to shine in Double-A to regain his prospect status.
2009 Parmelee hit .239 in Beloit for the second consecutive season, but thatís where the similarities ended. The 2006 first-rounderís secondary skills kicked in with a vengeance, as he posted a decidedly unTwinkie-like .146 Isolated Power and .257 Isolated Discipline before a broken wrist sent him home early. Still, his inability to make contact is a concern; even fellow TTO trooper Adam Dunn managed to surpass .300 in the Midwest League. Since his below-average speed will likely keep him tethered to first base, his future in the organization will depend upon an enlightened appraisal of his offensive talents, and his own capacity to put the ball in play.
2008 The Twins' first-round pick in 2006, Parmelee stands out among the organization's outfield prospects as the rare bomber in a field of burners. While his glove work in right field has been a pleasant surprise, his bat has disappointed, with the high strikeout totals of a slugger, but the production of a tweener. His body and swing are built for power, so patience is warranted as he heads to-gulp-the Florida State League.
2007 The Twins` first-round pick last June, Chris Parmalee was one of the best high school sluggers available. The Minnesota system is desperate for power, so he`s a perfect fit. Parmelee was even better than advertised is his debut, as his raw power showed up in game situations surprisingly fast.

BP Articles

Chris Parmelee is referenced in the following articles.

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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersJared Weiss2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersBen Murphy2014-02-21
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
Baseball ProGUESTus: What Happened to the Twins?Elliot Mann2013-12-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: A Wild Final WeekendAndrew Koo2013-09-30
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)Mike, big fan of your work. Deciding between R. Ludwick and C. Parmelee for my last cut in a dynasty points league. I am set with backups at 1b so Parmelee's eligibility there is a non-factor. I have 4 solid starting OF and two decent bench options ahead of these guys, who would be my OF7. Does Parmelee have enough upside left at this point to sacrifice Ludwick's safer playing time in 2014? I'm thinking not but I tend to lean toward younger players when possible. Thanks.
(Josh from Philly)
Hi Josh;

At this point, I think I'd have to go with Ryan Ludwick over Chris Parmelee. Parmelee is an intriguing play for power potential, but he is getting to the age where he is going to get tagged as a fourth outfield/backup first base type soon. Ludwick is older, but as you noted he should play every day barring a trade or another serious injury. You don't want to give up on young/talented guys in dynasty, but I don't quite think Parmelee fits that bill at this point. Sure, maybe he goes the route of Raul Ibanez and does some major damage in his 30s, but how likely was that career path even for Ibanez. I'd stick with Ludwick there. (Mike Gianella)
2013-03-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)I try to understand the PECOTA approach since a few weeks now and with all my drafts in the books I wondered when I compare the PECOTA list with the draft tools offered on the web how potential new-comers (prospects) always fall short on the PECOTA list. Anybody who can help me to understand this better? Any comment would be appreciated. regards Udo
(bechtudo from Knoxville, TN)
I reached out to a colleague at BP for an answer here (as it's a bit left of my comfort zone). Here's what he said:

"In general, I think a lot of this is due to overly high expectations from rookie players by most, and the fact that a good projection is going to take into account a statistical expectation, not a "best case" (or even "above average") scenario. It's easy to remember the Amazing Mike Trout season, and Bryce Harper's very good season. But entering 2012, I thought catchers Mesoraco and Lavarnway would do quite well. Many thought guys like Yonder Alonso, Chris Parmelee, and (especially) Jesus Montero would do well. And even guys like Nieuwenhuis, Pastornicky, and Lombardozzi had reasonably adequate expectations from many. The really deceptive aspect of projecting rookies is that if they aren't good, they often get demoted, so their struggles aren't showcased, while the ones who do well get to keep playing and everyone notices, so there's a perception bias with regards to how well rookies actually did."

Hope that helps! (Nick Faleris)
2011-02-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)How long should we give Chris Parmelee to show he belongs at AA when he's made such slow progress up the ladder (a 2nd season at each level) but is still technically in the appropriate age range for his assignment?
(Dan from Boston)
He's 22 and he's never had a big season. Time is running out there. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chris Parmelee: a future Kubel-esque DH/corner or a fringe bench bat with some pop?
(Akneeland from Minnesota)
I'm gonna bet the under on that one. (Shawn Hoffman)


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