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Lou Palmisano
Houston Astros [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 26
6'
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 HUN AA 393 39 17 1 4 37 48 65 2 0 1.0 .241 .338 .334 -.247 .222 .306 .321 .225 -15.0 96-C -6 -0.3
2007 HUN AA 421 49 22 1 11 63 57 80 8 2 -1.5 .256 .368 .419 -.215 .210 .304 .355 .235 -12.0 97-C -8 0.0
2008 BRR Rk 34 4 2 1 0 1 5 4 1 0 -0.4 .276 .382 .414 -.750 .125 .176 .156 .000 -16.8 -0.9
2008 BRV A+ 79 8 2 0 2 8 5 11 0 1 -1.9 .306 .367 .417 -.292 .230 .278 .324 .208 -4.2 -0.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 8:35 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 332 38 18 1 7 33 34 78 2 1 -0.8 .241 .326 .379 -.106 .244 .328 .389 .251 3.8 80-C -7 1.2
75o 310 29 14 1 6 27 29 76 1 0 -0.7 .214 .294 .332 -.242 .217 .297 .341 .223 -6.3 75-C -7 0.2
60o 296 24 12 1 5 24 26 75 1 0 -0.6 .198 .275 .304 -.324 .201 .277 .312 .204 -11.7 72-C -7 -0.4
50o 284 21 11 1 4 22 24 74 1 0 -0.5 .186 .261 .282 -.387 .188 .263 .290 .188 -15.4 69-C -7 -0.9
40o 281 20 10 1 4 21 23 73 1 0 -0.5 .183 .257 .277 -.401 .185 .259 .285 .185 -16.1 69-C -7 -1.0
25o 259 15 8 0 3 17 20 71 1 0 -0.5 .164 .234 .244 -.497 .166 .236 .251 .156 -20.7 64-C -7 -1.5
10o 158 5 2 0 1 3 9 51 0 0 -0.2 .115 .173 .160 -.746 .117 .174 .164 .023 -21.8 41-C -5 -1.9
Weighted Mean 272 20 10 1 4 21 23 70 1 0 -0.5 .190 .266 .289 -.364 .192 .268 .297 .193 -11.8 67-C -6 -0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

20%

33%

55%

34%

1.47

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 26) 272 20 10 1 4 21 23 70 1 0 -0.5 .190 .266 .289 -.364 .192 .268 .297 .193 -11.8 67-C -6 -0.5
2010 (age 27) 310 26 12 1 5 26 28 76 1 0 -0.3 .200 .277 .305 -.332 .200 .275 .310 .205 -5.9 75-C -7 0.0
2011 (age 28) 348 29 14 1 5 27 31 91 1 0 -0.2 .190 .268 .294 -.369 .190 .266 .298 .196 -5.7 84-C -6 -0.2
2012 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .207 .285 .319
vs RHP .186 .259 .278
Split +.021 +.026 +.041
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -14.6 -6.0 -0.5 $400,000 -14.2 0.0
2010 -13.4 -7.0 0.0 $400,000 -6.9 0.4
2011 -17.8 -6.0 -0.2 $400,000 -6.3 0.0
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .223 .188 .156 .193
2010 .230 .212 .184 .205
2011 .223 .193 .172 .196
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 34% 0% 20%
2010 59% 44% 14%
2011 69% 59% 11%
2012 90% 78% 11%
2013 92% 86% 10%
2014 98% 95% 9%
2015 96% 95% 8%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

45

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Mark Berry 1989 43 11 Mike Groppuso 1996 28
2 Jeff Hearron 1988 41 12 Andy Hartung 1995 28
3 Gary Mota 1997 36 13 Shane Gunderson 2000 26
4 Jason Moler 1996 36 14 Darryl Cias 1984 26
5 Jim Campanis 1994 33 15 Carl Nichols 1989 26
6 Javi Herrera 2008 32 16 Trey McCoy 1993 25
7 Chris Jelic 1990 31 17 Gabe Johnson 2006 25
8 Cole Liniak 2003 31 18 Matt Treanor 2002 24
9 Ray Corbett 1985 31 19 Don Whiting 1982 24
10 Nick Trzesniak 2007 29 20 Jerry Salzano 2001 24

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

A third-round pick in 2003, Palmisano was once considered among the top catching prospects in all of the minors, but his stock plunged with his hitting performance as he rose through the ranks. A torrid start to his repeat appearance at Double-A Huntsville last year (.315/.426/.475 through June) helped restore some hope, though he tailed off badly (.175/.293/.344) the rest of the way. Regarded as the best defensive backstop in the organization, Palmisano has enough secondary offensive skills that he could one day join the International Brotherhood of Backup Catchers.

2005

A third round pick in the 2002 draft, Palmisano made a nice splash during his debut and earned raves for his abilities with the bat in his hands. However, a troubling 2004 season has lowered his stock. He was suspended for 20 games for using a banned substance, though he is adamant that he did not realize it was outlawed. On the field, he didn't perform as hoped, and his defense, never a strong suit, continued to raise concerns. Palmisano will be looking to rebound in 2005 and reclaim his role as catcher of the future. Of officials polled, however, most expect him to spend most of his major league service time at first base, which hampers his prospects.


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