Francisco Nunez

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2007	MRN	Rk	71	8	0	0	0	7	6	14	1	2	-1.2	.279	.357	.279	-.602	.182	.225	.182	.117	-23.7	18-C 5	0.0
2007	WIS	A	16	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	-0.5	.214	.313	.214	-.523	.200	.250	.200	.140	-1.9	4-C -1	-0.2
2008	WIS	A	211	13	8	0	1	16	11	27	2	0	-2.4	.224	.276	.281	-.584	.175	.214	.215	.123	-30.6	57-C -7	-2.6

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:16 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	291	14	9	0	2	19	14	67	1	1	-1.7	.201	.246	.260	-.427	.204	.248	.275	.174	-17.3	71-C -1	-0.8
75^o	270	10	8	0	1	16	13	64	1	1	-1.4	.180	.224	.229	-.521	.183	.226	.242	.145	-21.9	66-C -2	-1.3
60^o	255	8	7	0	1	14	12	62	1	0	-1.3	.169	.212	.212	-.574	.171	.214	.224	.124	-23.8	63-C -2	-1.6
50^o	240	7	6	0	1	12	11	59	1	0	-1.2	.159	.202	.198	-.617	.161	.204	.209	.103	-24.8	60-C -2	-1.8
40^o	225	6	5	0	1	11	10	57	0	0	-1.1	.152	.195	.187	-.647	.154	.197	.198	.082	-24.9	56-C -2	-1.8
25^o	181	4	4	0	0	7	8	48	0	0	-0.8	.147	.188	.179	-.673	.149	.190	.189	.020	-21.1	46-C -2	-1.7
10^o	181	4	4	0	0	7	8	48	0	0	-0.8	.147	.188	.179	-.673	.149	.190	.189	.020	-21.1	46-C -2	-1.7
Weighted Mean	250	8	7	0	1	14	11	61	1	0	-1.3	.165	.208	.207	-.573	.167	.210	.218	.117	-23.6	62-C -1	-1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
40%	43%	51%	34%	1.18

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 23)	250	8	7	0	1	14	11	61	1	0	-1.3	.165	.208	.207	-.573	.167	.210	.218	.117	-23.6	62-C -1	-1.4
2010 (age 24)	237	7	6	0	1	14	12	58	1	0	-0.9	.170	.217	.210	-.556	.174	.222	.225	.128	-15.8	59-C -1	-0.8
2011 (age 25)	250	9	6	0	1	15	12	59	1	1	-0.7	.170	.215	.218	-.549	.174	.220	.233	.131	-11.7	62-C -2	-0.6
2012 (age 26)	281	11	8	0	1	18	15	68	1	0	-0.5	.175	.224	.225	-.519	.180	.229	.240	.144	-7.9	69-C -1	-0.3
2013 (age 27)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 28)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 29)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.182	.227	.237
vs RHP	.162	.204	.199
Split	+.020	+.024	+.038
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-21.7	-1.0	-1.4	$400,000	-25.5	0.0
2010	-19.1	-1.0	-0.8	$400,000	-16.7	0.0
2011	-19.9	-2.0	-0.6	$400,000	-12.6	0.0
2012	-20.2	-1.0	-0.3	$400,000	-8.0	0.2
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	-3.7	0.5

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.145	.103	.020	.117
2010	.174	.133	.081	.128
2011	.168	.133	.086	.131
2012	.191	.147	.093	.144
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	34%	0%	40%
2010	48%	31%	40%
2011	59%	45%	42%
2012	73%	61%	40%
2013	83%	67%	42%
2014	79%	75%	38%
2015	82%	76%	35%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

58

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Jorge Diaz	1984	56		11	E.J. Brophy	1994	44
2	Reinaldo Ruiz	2003	56		12	Wally Rosa	2005	44
3	Juan Jaime	1991	54		13	Gabriel Gutierrez	2007	43
4	German Melendez	2004	52		14	Jose Stela	1993	43
5	Milver Reyes	2006	50		15	Fausto Tejero	1992	43
6	Rudy Pena	2003	48		16	Hector Ortiz	1993	42
7	Jose Hernandez	2004	48		17	Fernando Lunar	2001	41
8	Robin Harriss	1995	47		18	Luis Apodaca	2006	39
9	Nelson Robledo	2008	47		19	Dean Borrelli	1990	39
10	Luis_A. Rodriguez	1997	44		20	Brian Bock	2005	39

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