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2013 Projections (seasonal age 28) - Rest of Season Projections
| IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
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- 0.72009
- 2.42010
- 3.92011
- 0.22012
- 2.62013
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | BOS | 23 | 36 | 9 | 88.3 | 54.0 | 34.3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 365 | 68 | 31 | 31 | 10 | 112 | 40 | 37 | 8 | 68 | 3.16 | 4.72 | 5.65 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| 2009 | BOS | 24 | 31 | 6 | 72.0 | 35.3 | 36.7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 312 | 72 | 38 | 36 | 7 | 108 | 25 | 23 | 6 | 67 | 4.50 | 3.84 | 5.25 | 5.0 | 0.5 |
| 2009 | CLE | 24 | 11 | 10 | 57.3 | 54.3 | 3.0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 256 | 56 | 35 | 29 | 5 | 80 | 35 | 34 | 2 | 52 | 4.55 | 4.40 | 5.19 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
| 2010 | CLE | 25 | 34 | 29 | 180.0 | 169.3 | 10.7 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 802 | 197 | 107 | 94 | 14 | 273 | 73 | 69 | 11 | 140 | 4.70 | 3.90 | 4.24 | 20.6 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | CLE | 26 | 34 | 33 | 216.0 | 215.0 | 1.0 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 908 | 211 | 89 | 77 | 11 | 287 | 65 | 61 | 11 | 158 | 3.21 | 3.32 | 3.67 | 36.7 | 3.9 |
| 2012 | CLE | 27 | 34 | 34 | 206.3 | 206.3 | 0.0 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 906 | 212 | 122 | 113 | 18 | 306 | 88 | 87 | 13 | 159 | 4.93 | 4.11 | 5.29 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 2013 | CLE | 28 | 10 | 10 | 70.0 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 286 | 53 | 22 | 22 | 3 | 73 | 26 | 26 | 6 | 71 | 2.83 | 3.03 | 3.07 | 15.0 | 1.6 |
| Career | 190 | 131 | 890.0 | 804.3 | 85.7 | 46 | 55 | 0 | 2 | 71 | 7 | 3835 | 869 | 444 | 402 | 68 | 1239 | 352 | 337 | 57 | 715 | 4.07 | 3.85 | 4.52 | 81.8 | 9.0 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | BOS | MLB | 36 | 9 | 88.3 | 5.65 | 87 | .228 | .272 | .339 | .434 | .269 | .243 | 106 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| 2009 | BOS | MLB | 31 | 6 | 72.0 | 5.25 | 94 | .263 | .273 | .342 | .440 | .273 | .314 | 103 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 |
| 2009 | CLE | MLB | 11 | 10 | 57.3 | 5.19 | 86 | .265 | .274 | .338 | .432 | .269 | .315 | 95 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
| 2010 | CLE | MLB | 34 | 29 | 180.0 | 4.24 | 104 | .271 | .270 | .336 | .429 | .272 | .324 | 99 | 20.8 | 2.2 | 20.6 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | CLE | MLB | 34 | 33 | 216.0 | 3.67 | 116 | .249 | .268 | .330 | .420 | .271 | .302 | 99 | 35.8 | 3.8 | 36.7 | 3.9 |
| 2012 | CLE | MLB | 34 | 34 | 206.3 | 5.29 | 78 | .275 | .265 | .329 | .433 | .274 | .309 | 98 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 2013 | CLE | MLB | 10 | 10 | 70.0 | 3.07 | 128 | .216 | .255 | .319 | .408 | .263 | .278 | 95 | 15.0 | 1.6 | 15.0 | 1.6 |
| Career | MLB | 131 | 890.0 | 4.29 | 105 | .258 | .268 | .333 | .427 | .271 | .303 | 76 | 81.2 | 8.5 | 81.4 | 8.8 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | BOS | MLB | 6 | 5 | 0 | 36 | 9 | 88.3 | 68 | 40 | 68 | 10 | 55% | .243 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 6.9 | 1.22 | 3.16 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| 2009 | BOS | MLB | 3 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 6 | 72.0 | 72 | 25 | 67 | 7 | 53% | .314 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 8.4 | 1.35 | 4.50 | 5.0 | 0.5 |
| 2009 | CLE | MLB | 1 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 57.3 | 56 | 35 | 52 | 5 | 59% | .315 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 1.59 | 4.55 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
| 2010 | CLE | MLB | 6 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 29 | 180.0 | 197 | 73 | 140 | 14 | 60% | .324 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 1.50 | 4.70 | 20.6 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | CLE | MLB | 12 | 10 | 0 | 34 | 33 | 216.0 | 211 | 65 | 158 | 11 | 56% | .302 | 8.8 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 6.6 | 1.28 | 3.21 | 36.7 | 3.9 |
| 2012 | CLE | MLB | 11 | 15 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 206.3 | 212 | 88 | 159 | 18 | 57% | .309 | 9.2 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 6.9 | 1.45 | 4.93 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 2013 | CLE | MLB | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 70.0 | 53 | 26 | 71 | 3 | 54% | .278 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 9.1 | 1.13 | 2.83 | 15.0 | 1.6 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-10-12 | 2011-10-12 | Off | 0 | 0 | Left | Shoulder | Surgery | Labrum | 2011-10-12 | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Justin Masterson is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-04-14 13:00:00 | Is this the year Justin Masterson turns the corner? (Jerry from MSP) | He's managed to whiff a few lefties so far this year, and that's a good sign, but it's way too early to tell. Ask again after a few more spins through the rotation. He's a guy I've always liked and rooted for, and I hope he has a long career. (Ken Funck) |
| 2011-02-14 13:00:00 | Edwin Encarnacion - 30 dingers and 80 rbi this year?
Justin Masterson - 15 wins and 180 K this year? (josh from VA) | Encarnacion has never hit more than 26 HR in a season, so I'll take the under there. Masterson has got to solve his crazy splits against lefties if he's going to be that good. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2011-02-08 14:00:00 | Justin Masterson...will he improve his control and finally start to move up the ladder of the game's top pitchers? Thanks. (josh from VA) | Masterson needs to figure out a way to get lefties out. I don't think he'll ever be one of the game's top pitchers -- that's a very tall order in a world with Lincecum, Halladay, Felix, et al. -- but being a solid mid-rotation guy, which he can be (and almost already is) is a good thing. (Ken Funck) |
| 2010-09-21 13:00:00 | Hi Marc
Wanted to know whether you had some opinions as to *why* some of these players haven't developed as some of us had hoped:
* BJ Upton
* Matt LaPorta
* Justin Masterson
* Scott Sizemore
* Matt Wieters
Thanks. (Phoebus from Mobile) | Upton has just not been able to keep his BABIP and batting averages high enough, but he's had plenty of power when healthy and he's been great on the basepaths. He's also a fantastic defensive player. LaPorta is a curious case, as he was supposedly all better in terms of health and his swing mechanics, but hasn't been able to consistently produce. Masterson pitches in front of a horrible defense and can't get lefties out to save his life. He could deal with the LHB thing if the defense was better, but the combination of the two has just ruined him in 2010. Sizemore has just 143 plate appearances, so let's wait on calling him a disappointment. Wieters was over hyped and has actually performed well for his position and his age, but the power just isn't there yet consistently. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-07-09 13:00:00 | what's your outlook for Madison Bumgarner in the 2nd half? Does he stick w/ SF? And is he worthy of a roster spot in deep mixed leagues? (Gigantes from SF) | I think he'll stick with San Fran, but yes, the league would need to be deep. He has some potential problems against right-handers, the kind of thing that once major league managers catch the scent of he won't be able to shake (ask Justin Masterson how that works for him with lefties) and his strikeout rates don't translate well into fantasy unless everything else is going perfectly for him. I think he'll be a good pitcher, but he still has a lot of work to do in his development. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-06-18 14:00:00 | How do you see Justin Masterson long-term? Solid starter, mediocre starter, maybe a good multiple inning reliever, or something else? (Dennis from LA) | Mediocre starter, but that is very valuable if he can do that over 175-200 innings per year. I guess I see him as being closer to what Joe Blanton did last season than anything above that. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-03-24 11:00:00 | Could the Indians give the Twins a run for the money in the Central if their rotation is league average? Given the offense stays healthy? Or will they need a near 2007 Carmona for that to be achievable? (SaberTJ from Cleveland, OH) | You know, I thought Carmona looked pretty sharp in his last spring outing. Who knows how good he'll be, but yeah, they need him to be good. Production from a LaPorta/Branyan duo at 1B would be helpful. One guy I'm pretty optimistic about is Justin Masterson. I'd put the Indians behind the Tigers and White Sox as well at the moment. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-03-24 11:00:00 | You like Justin Masterson or Colby Lewis this season? (Tom from Chicago) | Masterson. This goes back to translations, but it's just very odd to me how dominant Colby Lewis was in Japan. He lead the Central League in strikeouts the last two years with basically the same stuff he had when he was pitching (and not especially well) in the U.S. Maybe he's turned it all around, but it seems like the Japanese variable is doing more of the work. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-02-05 13:00:00 | Hi Marc, do you have a strong gut feeling about any of these guys?: Buchholz, Brett Anderson, Dice-K, Scott Baker, Matusz, Wade Davis, Ricky Romero, Justin Masterson, Homer Bailey. Let's assume Tommy Hanson was gone several rounds ago. Please help or my entire pitching staff will be sleepers! (robertcfox from DC) | Brett Anderson and Clay Buchholz would be the two I suggest to you. Buchholz showed some positive growth in 2009 that I'm excited to see in 2010, and Brett Anderson is a future beast. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-01-26 14:00:00 | Bigger impact for 2010, Justin Masterson or Jeff Niemann? (Ace from Aceland) | Push. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2008-10-09 14:00:00 | So far this October, Justin Masterson has been the bridge to Papelbon for the Red Sox. And a scary bridge he's been. Is there any chance Delcarmen and his better peripheral numbers get a shot at that role? (Matt from Athens OH) | Perhaps the Red Sox most glaring weakness all year long has been their relief pitching in front of Papelbon, no question. Okajima didn't have the season he had in 2007, Delcarmen had a shot at the 7-8 inning role earlier in the year and didn't really nail it (he has the most PA of any Red Sox pitcher in the 7th, and 2nd most in the 8th, though in what leverage situations I don't know offhand). I've championed Masterson before and I still think he can be a part of a productive late-inning solution due to his abiltiy to generate groundballs, but I still think the Sox are a pitcher short back there, and it may cost them eventually. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-06-04 16:00:00 | Justin Masterson: #3 starter or setup man? (CAN I HAZ A from CHEESE BURGER?) | Youz Can Haz. It's a difficult question. On many teams, a No. 3 starter. On the Red Sox, maybe not. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-05-22 13:00:00 | When I first saw Justin Masterson pitch it seemed like he could be so much more effective if he threw from a higher arm slot to really take advantage of his size. Then again, he already gets a lot of ground balls so maybe the time investment and risk of totally messing up his development just wasn't worth it. Your thoughts? (Jeremy from New England) | The latter. Strongly the latter. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-01-09 13:00:00 | Hey KG, what particular stats do you focus on when considering a pitching prospect? Does some stat that takes into account ability to induce ground balls come into play? And, finally, what pitchers have a chance to develop into the next Derek Lowe / Jake Westbrook? Thanks. (Mario66 from Toronto) | IP, H, K are the first three I like out, but everything is taken into account. Next Derek Lowe just might be Justin Masterson. (Kevin Goldstein) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2008-10-10 13:30:00 | Friday LCS | Random fact #3: When I first interviewed Justin Masterson, a couple of weeks after he was drafted, I asked him to describe himself as a pitcher. He said, "Shoot, I'm a two-seamer guy. A lot of people call it a sinker, but it's a fastball to me. It's kind of like a lefty slider." (David Laurila) |
| 2008-10-10 13:30:00 | Friday LCS | I love me some Justin Masterson. (Joe Sheehan) |
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