Biographical

Portrait of Fernando Martinez

Fernando Martinez RFYankees

Yankees Player Cards | Yankees Team Audit | Yankees Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 25)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .243 9 27 32 1 .260 0.3
Birth Date10-10-1988
Height6' 1"
Weight210 lbs
Age26 years, 0 months, 12 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
-0.12010
0.12011
0.32012
-0.32013
0.32014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2009 NYN 20 29 100 91 11 16 6 0 1 25 5 14 3 0 1 8 2 0 .176 .242 .275 .214 -2.8 -0.8 -0.4
2010 NYN 21 7 22 18 1 3 0 0 0 3 1 5 2 1 0 2 0 1 .167 .273 .167 .203 -1.2 -0.1 -0.1
2011 NYN 22 11 23 22 3 5 2 0 1 10 1 7 0 0 0 2 0 0 .227 .261 .455 .256 0.6 -0.1 0.1
2012 HOU 23 41 130 118 12 28 7 1 6 55 6 34 5 1 0 14 0 1 .237 .300 .466 .280 3.0 -0.5 0.3
2013 HOU 24 11 35 33 1 6 0 0 1 9 1 12 1 0 0 3 0 0 .182 .229 .273 .186 -2.1 -0.4 -0.3
Career9931028228581519102147211212922.206.269.362.241-2.5-1.9-0.5

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2006 HAG A 45 211 .326 .246 .327 .354 .256 .391 93 10.9 4.5 0.1 -1.5 -0.2 16.7 1.6 16.7 1.6
2006 SLU A+ 30 130 .195 .267 .325 .403 .261 .200 108 -7.5 3.1 0.3 -0.2 0.2 -3.1 -0.3 -3.1 -0.3
2006 MTS Rk 1 4 .179 .212 .279 .304 .224 .333 122 -0.4 0.1 0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2007 BIN AA 60 259 .267 .262 .337 .398 .260 .331 102 1.9 7.6 0.7 -10.8 -1.8 7.2 -0.4 7.2 -0.4
2007 MTS Rk 3 10 .205 .264 .358 .367 .262 .333 104 -0.6 0.3 0 -0.0 0.1 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0
2008 BIN AA 86 385 .262 .267 .338 .404 .259 .343 104 0.7 11.4 0.8 3.1 3.0 15.3 1.8 15.3 1.8
2008 MTS Rk 4 15 .441 .297 .372 .451 .274 .500 101 2.3 0.4 0 0.1 -0.3 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2009 NYN MLB 29 100 .214 .265 .330 .428 .264 .197 99 -4.9 2.9 -0.5 -0.8 0.3 -2.8 -0.4 -2.8 -0.4
2009 BUF AAA 45 190 .294 .252 .320 .381 .244 .319 104 6.9 5.5 -2 -1.2 -0.3 9.3 0.8 9.3 0.8
2010 NYN MLB 7 22 .203 .247 .295 .373 .239 .214 87 -1.3 0.6 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -1.2 -0.1 -1.2 -0.1
2010 SLU A+ 4 16 .227 .244 .334 .345 .267 .308 99 -0.6 0.5 -0.1 0.1 -1.8 -2.0 -0.2 -2.0 -0.2
2010 BUF AAA 71 287 .252 .266 .335 .417 .258 .290 105 -2.5 8.6 -2.4 0.4 -0.8 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.1
2011 NYN MLB 11 23 .256 .253 .320 .400 .259 .286 107 -0.1 0.6 -0.2 -0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1
2011 BUF AAA 63 250 .254 .264 .329 .405 .254 .318 92 -1.9 7.8 -3.1 -0.8 -2.9 -2.1 -0.3 -2.1 -0.3
2011 ESC Wnt 9 28 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .095 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 HOU MLB 41 130 .280 .256 .313 .409 .260 .278 100 2.6 3.6 -0.9 -0.5 0.2 3.0 0.3 3.0 0.3
2012 OKL AAA 90 373 .286 .276 .343 .429 .270 .384 100 11 11.1 -3.6 -0.4 4.0 22.3 2.2 22.3 2.2
2012 ESC Wnt 8 31 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .250 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 HOU MLB 11 35 .186 .230 .299 .355 .244 .250 101 -2.5 0.9 -0.3 -0.4 0.1 -2.1 -0.3 -2.1 -0.3
2013 OKL AAA 29 117 .232 .264 .334 .406 .267 .278 100 -3.6 3.4 -1.7 0.4 0.2 -2.6 -0.2 -2.6 -0.2
2013 SWB AAA 22 94 .336 .263 .324 .391 .255 .338 97 7.7 2.7 -1 0.4 -0.6 7.8 0.8 7.8 0.8

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2006 HAG A 211 24 64 14 2 5 28 15 36 7 4 .333 .390 .505 .172 .326 16.7 -1.5 1.6
2006 MTS Rk 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .000 .179 0.1 0.0 0.0
2006 SLU A+ 130 18 23 4 2 5 11 6 24 1 1 .193 .256 .387 .193 .195 -3.1 -0.2 -0.3
2007 BIN AA 259 32 64 11 1 4 21 20 51 3 4 .271 .336 .377 .106 .267 7.2 -10.8 -0.4
2007 MTS Rk 10 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 6 0 0 .111 .200 .333 .222 .205 -0.2 -0.0 -0.0
2008 MTS Rk 15 2 6 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 .429 .467 .643 .214 .441 2.1 0.1 0.2
2008 BIN AA 385 48 101 19 4 8 43 27 73 6 2 .287 .343 .432 .145 .262 15.3 3.1 1.8
2009 BUF AAA 190 24 51 16 2 8 28 11 33 2 1 .290 .339 .540 .250 .294 9.3 -1.2 0.8
2009 NYN MLB 100 11 16 6 0 1 8 5 14 2 0 .176 .242 .275 .099 .214 -2.8 -0.8 -0.4
2010 SLU A+ 16 1 4 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 .267 .312 .333 .067 .227 -2.0 0.1 -0.2
2010 BUF AAA 287 39 65 16 0 12 33 17 65 1 0 .253 .316 .455 .202 .252 1.1 0.4 0.1
2010 NYN MLB 22 1 3 0 0 0 2 1 5 0 1 .167 .273 .167 .000 .203 -1.2 -0.1 -0.1
2011 NYN MLB 23 3 5 2 0 1 2 1 7 0 0 .227 .261 .455 .227 .256 0.6 -0.1 0.1
2011 ESC Wnt 28 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 5 0 0 .077 .143 .115 .038 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 BUF AAA 250 29 58 11 0 8 30 18 60 0 0 .260 .329 .417 .157 .254 -2.1 -0.8 -0.3
2012 OKL AAA 373 55 107 23 2 13 62 24 85 1 2 .314 .367 .507 .194 .286 22.3 -0.4 2.2
2012 ESC Wnt 31 4 6 2 0 1 4 3 7 0 0 .214 .290 .393 .179 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 HOU MLB 130 12 28 7 1 6 14 6 34 0 1 .237 .300 .466 .229 .280 3.0 -0.5 0.3
2013 SWB AAA 94 9 27 7 0 4 18 6 12 1 0 .325 .394 .554 .229 .336 7.8 0.4 0.8
2013 OKL AAA 117 12 23 5 1 3 21 11 31 0 0 .219 .291 .371 .152 .232 -2.6 0.4 -0.2
2013 HOU MLB 35 1 6 0 0 1 3 1 12 0 0 .182 .229 .273 .091 .186 -2.1 -0.4 -0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 348 0.5029 0.4741 0.8485 0.5886 0.3584 0.9029 0.7581 0.1515
2010 88 0.5114 0.4091 0.7500 0.5111 0.3023 0.7826 0.6923 0.2500
2011 95 0.4947 0.4842 0.7826 0.5957 0.3750 0.8214 0.7222 0.2174
2012 490 0.4429 0.5174 0.7510 0.6590 0.4029 0.8392 0.6364 0.2490
2013 138 0.5290 0.5217 0.7083 0.6849 0.3385 0.8400 0.4091 0.2917
Career11590.48060.4940.77770.62450.37190.85270.65720.2223

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-03-27 2013-04-21 15-DL 25 17 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2013-03-17 2013-03-23 Camp 6 0 - Back Soreness - -
2012-09-16 2012-09-22 DTD 6 5 Right Knee Inflammation - -
2012-09-05 2012-09-07 DTD 2 1 - Thigh Infection Boil on Inner Thigh - -
2012-06-07 2012-06-26 15-DL 19 17 - Head Concussion HBP 10 Days Earlier - -
2011-08-16 2011-09-06 Minors 21 21 Left Wrist Strain - -
2011-07-16 2011-07-30 Minors 14 14 Left Hip Strain Hip Flexor - -
2011-06-15 2011-06-16 Minors 1 0 Knee Soreness -
2011-04-13 2011-04-23 Minors 10 10 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2010-08-23 2010-09-07 Minors 15 0 Right Knee Arthritis Mild -
2010-05-10 2010-06-11 Minors 32 0 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2010-04-24 2010-04-30 Minors 6 0 Low Back Strain -
2009-11-29 2009-12-06 WIN 7 0 Hand Blister From Hitting -
2009-07-04 2009-10-05 60-DL 93 83 Right Knee Surgery Meniscus 2009-07-15
2009-02-06 2009-02-25 Off 19 0 Right Elbow Strain Moderate -
2008-05-15 2008-06-28 Minors 44 0 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2007-06-24 2007-09-03 Minors 71 0 Right Wrist Surgery Hamate 2007-09-13 -
2006-06-14 2006-07-19 Minors 35 0 Right Knee Sprain -
2006-05-11 2006-06-08 Minors 28 0 Left Thumb Sprain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 HOU $
2013 HOU $493,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$493,000
2 yrTotal$493,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 73 d1 year/$0.493M (2013)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.493M (2013). Re-signed by Houston 3/13. DFA by Houston 5/6/13. Sent outright to Triple-A by Houston 5/11/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Claimed by Houston off waivers from NY Mets 1/11/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/2/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/10/10.
  • 1 year (2009). Contract purchased by NY Mets 5/26/09.
  • Signed 7/05 as amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic. $1.4M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 513 65 132 29 1 21 71 33 116 1 1 .284 .345 .488 .301 28.7 RF -2, LF -1 2.8
80o 492 60 120 26 1 19 66 30 113 1 1 .270 .329 .464 .287 20.9 RF -2, LF -1 2.0
70o 476 56 113 25 1 18 62 28 112 1 1 .260 .317 .446 .277 15.6 RF -2, LF -1 1.4
60o 463 53 106 23 1 17 58 26 110 1 1 .251 .307 .431 .268 11.4 RF -2, LF -1 1.0
50o 450 50 100 22 1 16 55 25 109 1 1 .243 .298 .417 .260 7.6 RF -2, LF -1 0.6
40o 437 47 95 21 1 15 52 24 107 1 1 .235 .289 .403 .252 4.0 RF -2, LF -1 0.2
30o 424 44 88 19 1 14 49 22 105 1 1 .226 .279 .388 .244 0.4 RF -2, LF -1 -0.2
20o 408 41 82 18 1 13 46 20 103 1 1 .216 .268 .371 .233 -3.5 RF -2, LF -1 -0.6
10o 387 37 73 16 1 12 41 18 100 1 1 .202 .252 .347 .220 -8.5 RF -1, LF -1 -1.2
Weighted Mean4565110222116572610911.247.302.423.2649.4RF -2, LF -10.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
4% 28% 8% 24% 60%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201526250295512082915601.240.301.396.2550.99.6-0.7-1.414.9-3.2-1.3
201627266315312083118661.225.295.385.2520.78.1-0.7-1.614.9-4.6-1.4
201728613741312712174401431.236.300.402.2580.68.5-1.6-3.814.9-1.0-3.3
201829609741292912275411490.234.299.408.2590.68.7-1.7-3.914.9-0.6-3.3
201930604741232602173421530.229.299.398.2560.46.9-1.7-4.114.9-2.3-3.2
202031634761322702174441510.232.300.388.2540.25.2-1.9-4.414.9-3.4-3.4
202132606711282701869391450.233.297.383.2510.13.7-1.7-4.414.9-5.1-3.3
202233608711272601970391470.231.295.383.251-0.03.0-1.7-4.614.9-5.6-3.3
202334606711262501868401470.232.296.378.250-0.12.2-1.8-4.714.9-6.2-3.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
4.413.77.42.13.72.131.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 87 Josh Reddick 2012 .275
2 87 Matt Joyce 2010 .284
3 87 Brett Carroll 2008 .103
4 86 Josh Kroeger 2008 .000 DNP
5 85 Tyler Colvin 2011 .186
6 85 Nate Schierholtz 2009 .254
7 84 Matt Esquivel 2008 .000 DNP
8 84 Rene Tosoni 2012 .000 DNP
9 83 Mitch Moreland 2011 .254
10 83 Victor Diaz 2007 .250
11 83 Ronnie Welty 2013 .000 DNP
12 83 Eric Thames 2012 .248
13 83 David Winfree 2011 .000 DNP
14 82 Brandon Jones 2009 .302
15 82 Blake Smith 2013 .000 DNP
16 82 Alex Castellanos 2012 .216
17 82 Bronson Sardinha 2008 .000 DNP
18 81 Justin Huber 2008 .246
19 81 Joe Mather 2008 .270
20 81 Michael Taylor 2011 .266
21 81 Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2013 .233
22 81 Nick Evans 2011 .269
23 80 Franklin Gutierrez 2008 .242
24 80 Alex Burg 2013 .000 DNP
25 80 Aaron Cunningham 2011 .234
26 80 Brent Clevlen 2009 .000 DNP
27 80 Roger Kieschnick 2012 .000 DNP
28 80 Tim Wheeler 2013 .000 DNP
29 80 Trayvon Robinson 2013 .000 DNP
30 80 Michael Hernandez 2009 .000 DNP
31 79 Josh Bell 2012 .166
32 79 Nolan Reimold 2009 .279
33 79 Todd Frazier 2011 .273
34 79 Jai Miller 2010 .227
35 79 Ben Guez 2012 .000 DNP
36 79 Scott Van Slyke 2012 .188
37 79 Wladimir Balentien 2010 .000 DNP
38 79 Kent Matthes 2012 .000 DNP
39 79 Thomas Neal 2013 .158
40 78 Travis Ishikawa 2009 .257
41 78 Shin-Soo Choo 2008 .320
42 78 Corey Hart 2007 .298
43 78 Jeremy Moore 2012 .000 DNP
44 78 Brian Mc Fall 2009 .000 DNP
45 78 Thomas Giles 2009 .000 DNP
46 78 Ryan Goleski 2007 .000 DNP
47 78 Jon Gaston 2012 .000 DNP
48 78 Matthew Spencer 2011 .000 DNP
49 78 Allen Craig 2010 .270
50 78 Kyle Jensen 2013 .000 DNP
51 78 Justin Maxwell 2009 .272
52 78 Matt LaPorta 2010 .232
53 78 Caleb Stewart 2007 .000 DNP
54 78 Joe Benson 2013 .000 DNP
55 78 Mark Shorey 2010 .000 DNP
56 78 Scott Moore 2009 .000 DNP
57 77 Brad Glenn 2012 .000 DNP
58 77 Delwyn Young 2007 .336
59 77 Marvin Lowrance 2010 .000 DNP
60 77 Brandon Moss 2009 .233
61 77 Michael Bianucci 2011 .000 DNP
62 77 Brandon Wood 2010 .156
63 77 Jerry Sands 2013 .000 DNP
64 77 Daniel Dorn 2010 .000 DNP
65 77 Jeremy Slayden 2008 .000 DNP
66 77 Jason Kipnis 2012 .262
67 77 Lucas Duda 2011 .314
68 77 Brad Snyder 2007 .000 DNP
69 77 John Bowker 2009 .226
70 77 Blake Tekotte 2012 .086
71 77 Brett Wallace 2012 .265
72 77 Nick Hundley 2009 .265
73 77 Jeremy Hazelbaker 2013 .000 DNP
74 77 Matt Tuiasosopo 2011 .000 DNP
75 76 J.D. Martinez 2013 .244
76 76 Collin Cowgill 2011 .234
77 76 Nick Akins 2013 .000 DNP
78 76 Chad Tracy 2011 .000 DNP
79 76 Chase Headley 2009 .270
80 76 Kevin Kouzmanoff 2007 .282
81 76 Mat Gamel 2011 .097
82 76 Matt Clark 2012 .000 DNP
83 76 Jacob Butler 2008 .000 DNP
84 76 Seth Smith 2008 .279
85 76 Sergio Pedroza 2009 .000 DNP
86 76 John Mayberry 2009 .228
87 76 Chris Swauger 2012 .000 DNP
88 76 Tyler Townsend 2013 .000 DNP
89 76 Yan Gomes 2013 .296
90 76 Kole Calhoun 2013 .294
91 76 Steve Pearce 2008 .257
92 76 Danny Putnam 2008 .000 DNP
93 76 Travis Snider 2013 .230
94 76 Tyler Henley 2010 .000 DNP
95 76 Sean Rodriguez 2010 .243
96 76 Russ Canzler 2011 .357
97 76 Marc Krauss 2013 .228
98 76 Luke Hughes 2010 .309
99 75 Scott Cousins 2010 .270
100 75 Dennis Raben 2013 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .080 .085 .102 .079
11 vs R (Multi) .231 .294 .424 .261
18 Split (Multi) .151 .209 .322 .182
19 LgAvg (Multi) .027 .038 .071 .034
30 vs L (2013) .000 .000 .000 .005
31 vs R (2013) .200 .250 .300 .200
38 Split (2013) .200 .250 .300 .196
39 LgAvg (2013) .026 .037 .071 .034

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Six long years ago, Martinez was roaming center field in Binghamton, and his bat speed had scouts gushing about his potential to hit for average and power someday. The Mets waived goodbye to their former phenom after the 2011 season, and expectations are much lower in his new organization. Given his long injury history, Martinez's foot speed is a thing of the past (along with any thoughts of playing center field), but some of his much-publicized bat speed did show up in both Triple-A and Houston last year. He's in the right place to have a chance to earn playing time, and his spring training will determine how soon that happens.
2012 Another year, and more injuries for Martinez. How much has Martinez been injured? He's 23 years old and missed time in 2011 due to soreness in his arthritic knees. While never blazing, he simply can't run anymore, his swing has lost all fluidity, and he's just not much of a prospect any longer. He's really not on the radar of the Mets or anyone else. We're just left with tales of what could have been.
2011 Martinez missed a month with a hamstring strain while recovering from surgery on his arthritic right knee, once again cutting into his development time. The Dominican lefty has averaged just over 300 plate appearances per season in the minors and was disappointing in his repeat of Triple-A in 2010, as injuries have blunted his tools—he doesn't cover as much ground as he used to in center, and the missed time has prevented him from improving his plate discipline as well. The Mets outfield remains occupied, so Martinez will get another season—or only part of one, if his injury history is any guide—at Triple-A.
2010 Martinez has been the top prospect in the system since the Mets signed him in 2005, at which time he was the best prospect on the international market. His good-not-great numbers have always been excused by the fact that he was often three to five years younger than his competition, but regardless, you have to hit at some point. Martinez was finally doing that during the first half of 2009 in Triple-A. Called up, his unbridled approach allowed big-league hurlers to make mincemeat out of him, and before he could make adjustments, his knee went pop—which gets at another issue, the constant injuries that have limited him to just 303 games in four full seasons. Martinez hasn't exactly had a full apprenticeship, which makes the light-speed push to the big leagues even more curious. Scouts still see special potential in him, but four years after being signed, he's answered few questions.
2009 Martinez elicits wildly divergent scouting reports, from potential MVP type to borderline starter. He improved only slightly in a repeat engagement with Double-A, but "showed flashes," to insert the requisite cliché. He also had a strong showing in winter ball. While Martinez boosted his power a tick, his walk rate remained stagnant, but equally troubling for the phenom's development have been persistent injury issues, as he has yet to play a full season, with a hamstring strain cropping up last year. Martinez will begin the season at Triple-A, patrolling center with the halo still above his head, and it should be noted that whatever questions persist about him, he's been on an extremely accelerated schedule, having just graduated out of teenagerdom. He should get a taste of the majors in September, or perhaps sooner.
2008 The bloom came off the rose a bit in 2007 as Martinez didn't do much at Double-A before getting shut down at the end of June with a hand injury. There are plenty of mitigating factors here, the largest of which is his age; there were plenty of players drafted out of high school last June who are older. For Martinez to even hold his own at Double-A at his age was an impressive feat. If there's any actual bad news here, it's that he's clearly not much of a center fielder, so the bar for his bat has to be set higher. Time and potential are still on his side in the biggest of ways.
2007 After years of failing to develop any outfielders of note, the Mets have a few coming. They signed Dominican teen titan Martinez for $1.4 million, then sent him to the full-season Sally League at the tender age of 17. He acquitted himself beautifully, though advanced A-ball proved to be too much, too soon--in part due to knee and wrist injuries. It`s early, but at this stage you`d have to say the sky`s the limit.

BP Articles

Fernando Martinez is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessPECOTA Takes on Prospects: ShortstopsAndrew Koo2014-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 6, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-06
Transaction Analysis: Alfonso Soriano Joins the Worst Right-Handed-Hitting Team of All TimeBen Lindbergh2013-07-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 19, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessBizball: Suspensions May Loom for Players Connected to Biogenesis ClinicMaury Brown2013-06-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Dumping Targets, a Look BackMike Gianella2013-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 7, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-07
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 22Larry Granillo2013-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 22, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 21, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-21
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 15, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-15
Daily Roundup: Around the League: March 31, 2013Clint Chisam2013-03-31
Daily Roundup: Around the League: March 31, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-03-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Expert-League Auction ComparisonJason Collette2013-03-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, March 4Mike Gianella2013-03-04
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Fishing for CarpDaniel Rathman2013-02-20
Overthinking It: Internet Commenters Try to Trade for Giancarlo StantonBen Lindbergh2013-01-03
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: How to Analyze the Astros' SpendingZachary Levine2012-12-20
The BP Wayback Machine: Grand Ole OpryJohn Perrotto2012-12-07
Transaction Analysis: Heroes Take a FallBen Lindbergh2011-05-18
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 16Kevin Goldstein2011-05-17
Transaction Analysis Blog: Mets Place Davis on the DLR.J. Anderson2011-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 10Kevin Goldstein2011-05-11
Future Shock: Opening Day MadnessKevin Goldstein2011-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Senior Circuit ShufflingChristina Kahrl2011-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten-PackKevin Goldstein2011-01-03
Future Shock: New York Mets Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-12-22
This article requires BP Premium accessGM for a Day: New York MetsChristina Kahrl2010-10-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Top 11 Review: NL EastKevin Goldstein2010-10-08
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: New York MetsKevin Goldstein2010-09-23
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: New York MetsSteven Goldman2010-09-23
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: New York MetsESPN Insider2010-09-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Braves, Marlins, MetsChristina Kahrl2010-09-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Org Watch: Marlins, Mets, NationalsKevin Goldstein2010-09-01
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Heading Toward a ShowdownJohn Perrotto2010-08-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 15Kevin Goldstein2010-07-16
This article requires BP Premium accessChecking the Numbers: Where Will Oswalt Go?Eric Seidman2010-07-16
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2010-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Making a Match for Cliff LeeKevin Goldstein2010-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of June 14Kevin Goldstein2010-06-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Meet the MetsJay Jaffe2010-05-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL East and WestChristina Kahrl2010-04-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: The Top 101 Prospects Update, Part 2Kevin Goldstein2010-04-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Depth Chart/PFM Update, Part 2Clay Davenport2010-03-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Future Top Dogs, NLKevin Goldstein2010-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Expanding and ContractingChristina Kahrl2010-03-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Organizational Rankings, Part 2Kevin Goldstein2010-03-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Top 101 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessCamp Battles: NL EastChristina Kahrl2010-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Mets Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-02-12
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)Will either Fernando Martinez or Kirk Nieuwenhuis be an impact player for the Mets outfield within the next several years?
(kernan from Ogden)
Well, I'm bothered by the term impact. Maybe we have different definitions. I think they both could be every day players, and good ones, but is that impact? Take any team, even a first place one, and count the impact guys. I like those two -- but I don't think they'll be impact guys. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keep up the great work! Love the minor league updates. Any hope for Fernando Martinez?
(iorg34 from Mudville)
Hold on... I have to call my psychiatrist. (Steven Goldman)
2010-03-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)So Fernando Martinez is younger than Jared Mitchell and has performed in every level of the minors at a young age, whereas Mitchell has had just a hundred or so at-bats in A-Ball, and he's 19 slots ahead of F-Mart? Huh?
(Pat from MA)
Well, one is a pure CF and one isn't -- that's a huge difference right there, no? (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-12-29 15:00:00 (link to chat)So does Fernando Martinez get traded, or is he a RF?
(Chris from Boston)
Trade value is so down I wouldn't consider moving him. Let him get reps in Triple-A, and if he's better than Francoeur by July, get him up. But he needs extended playing time at Triple-A, because he's stalled a bit due to the injuries. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-10-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does this make sense for the Mets and Cubs? Cubs trade Carlos Zambrano and Alfonso Soriano to the Mets for Luis Castillo, Oliver Perez and Fernando Martinez.
(Matt from Whippleville, NY)
It might work for the Mets, but there's no way it works for the Cubs. Perez is even more dubious as assets go than the Big Z, and Castillo's somebody only the Mets were willing to afford. Put Milton Bradley in Soriano's place, however, and maybe you make Jim Hendry fidget about personal wish fulfillment. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-06-05 15:30:00 (link to chat)Similar to the Phillies question then, shouldn't the Mets be trying to trade Fernando Martinez (a desired prospect they 've shown no intention of playing) for some goodies they can use now?
(josher464 from (NYC))
If they are holding onto him because he is one of their top prospects and they feel they have a relatively small window for actually remaining competitive, then yes. However, I tend to think the Mets have more of a chance of being successful with their core a few years down the road than the Phillies. Remember, Rollins/Utley/Howard/Werth/Ibanez/Victorino are all north of 28. (Eric Seidman)
2009-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Fernando Martinez for Aubrey Huff and George Sherrill? The Mets seem to be built to win-now, and adding a legit bopper to a struggling lineup AND a solid lefty to bolster a suddenly-struggling Putz would make sense.
(Silv from NY, NY)
The Mets wouldn't trade Martinez for Johan Santana, so I'm going to say that they probably won't for a patch at first base and a mediocre lefthanded reliever. Andy, you have to disguise these better than that. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-11-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Turn off the video games, and tell me why I should believe my buddy when he says Fernando Martinez is a better prospect than Tim Alderson.
(Phil Bell from Alderney)
Martinez provides more ceiling, Alderson provides more certainty. From what I can tell, most rankers balance those very differently. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-11-03 13:30:00 (link to chat)Speaking as a Mets fan to an A's fan, what do you suppose it would realistically take to pry Huston Street from Billy Beane's far-from cold, dead hands? And do you think Street poses the best solution to the Mets bullpen woes (from here he seems to be a better solution than paying retail rates for K-Rod and/or Fuentes, or wishcasting on Putz to be healthy)?
(wrightfan5 from MD)
I think you can expect Beane to hold out for the best bits in the organization, but I really doubt that the Mets would deal Fernando Martinez for Street, and if I'm the A's, I don't need or want guys like Mike Carp. Danny Murphy's interesting, but basically this would have to involve a lot of low-level pitching to make it worthwhile. I suppose it depends on whether or not consecutive humiliations at the hands of the Phillies adds any additional impetus; at some point, Omar's going to be the guy taking the blame for failure. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-11-03 13:30:00 (link to chat)Doesn't it make more sense for the Mets to trade Fernando Martinez than keep him? The window for this team is NOW and by the time he would be ready it seems like the window would be closed. Isn't this a rare case where it's better to trade the future for today?
(josher464 from NYC)
I can accept that argument, but the real problem then is what is it you want to get with Fernando Martinez? Huston Street? That's a waste of resources; better to just burn money and sign K-Rod if that's your play. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-07-29 16:00:00 (link to chat)How about this then: Reds get: FMArt, Parnell, Lowrie, Sox get: Dunn Mets get: Manny
(J.P. from Hartford)
FMart? Please send full names ...

Oh, three way, so that's top Met prospect Fernando Martinez. I don't hate that one. I don't think it works, but I don't hate it. (Will Carroll)
2008-07-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's your guess at a major's ETA for Colby Rasmus & Fernando Martinez, given their slow starts in 2008? April 2009?
(Goldeye99 from Canadian Prairies)
Rasmus - Aug. 08; Martinez - June '09. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Mets play the arbitration-eligibility game, even if Martinez's performance begins to demand a promotion, which it hasn't yet. (Jeff Erickson)
2008-06-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)What should the Mets do to improve their playoff chances without mortgaging the future more than they already have?
(Jessica from NYC)
I don't think there's much they can do. Maybe improve at the margins at the deadline, but you're not going to see, say, Sabathia or Teixeira (spelled it without looking it up!) added. What are they going to trade? Fernando Martinez's stock isn't exactly rising. (Dayn Perry)
2008-06-20 13:30:00 (link to chat)Realistically, taking Delgado and Castillo's contracts and the Mets unlikelihood to cut them into account, is there any personnel move (or moves)the Mets can make to improve their on the field production? I look at the roster and see so few tradeable parts.
(Kerri Mulqueen from Kew Gardens NY)
I wouldn't trade Fernando Martinez, so probably not. I guess you could see what the market is for Mike Pelfrey, who's a cheap midrotation starter for a few years, but I doubt you'd get much back. You could always sign Bonds, which would be a huge upgrade for the offense and a wash defensively with Alou. (People who complain about Bonds' defense and availability need to consider that Moises Alou is making $7 million this year.) (Joe Sheehan)
2008-06-20 13:30:00 (link to chat)Help! What should I do???
(Omar Minaya from Queens, NY)
Don't trade Fernando Martinez. Rebuild the bench. Sign Barry Bonds. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)How about Howard to the Mets for Maine, Fernando Martinez, and another pitcher or two? The Mets certainly have the first base hole...
(Eric J from Norman OK)
Makes sense, but they'd be at a Tigers level of minor league potential and I doubt the Phillies would deal him within the division. Add in that that might push the Mets over the "luxury tax" and balance that with the new park and ... I dunno. Maybe. It's not the worst suggestion I've heard. (Will Carroll)
2008-03-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)I just saw Fernando Martinez take Cliff Lee the other way. I can't take it anymore. I don't want to wait for him to be ready. I want to cuddle with him every night.
(big baby from nj)
Well, I hate to say it, but Martinez is a guy that PECOTA is pretty far down on. One of the interesting changes we added this year was to incorporate a variable to account for a player's draft slot. But this leads to a bit of a dilemma with Latin American players, since it's not fair to treat them as though they were American players who got no signing bouns. So what we wound up doing is essentially placing foreign-born players (mostly Latin American) into their own category; PECOTA prefers to compare them to one another. And when we did that, it seemed to hurt the projections for certain kinds of players, particuarly guys like Martinez who's primary claim to fame is their age. This could be for any number of reasons, but I think it's worth remembering that Latin American players may be playing baseball essentially for a living by the time they're 14 or 15. So in some sense, they're effectively a bit older, if age is taken as a proxy for accumulated baseball experience. (Nate Silver)
2008-01-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)What caused Fernando Martinez's ranking to drop so much from last year? I realize he didn't light the world on fire in Double-A, but doesn't he get some credit for holding his own there at such a young age?
(Jessica from NYC)
In the same tone of many answers, ranking Martinez as the No. 51 prospect in all of baseball DOES give him credit for doing so. Lack of power and the fact that he's going to move to left field is what hurt him significantly in my eyes. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-01-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will the Mets end up with Johan?
(Nick from NYC)
I think they will if they included Fernando Martinez in a deal. It seems that the Twins feel they can really bolster their farm system in a hurry by taking the Mets' offer. (John Perrotto)
2008-02-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)When do you think Fernando Martinez will play his first major league game?
(Zennith from Iowa City)
It would have been a lot sooner had he gone to the Twins instead of Gomez. One wonders how hard Minnesota tried to get him. Did they "settle" for Gomez, or actually prefer him? Hmmm... (David Laurila)
2008-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)The word on the grapevine for a while has been that that Mets have offered Guerra, Humber, Mulvey, and Gomez for Santana, and that the Twins are holding out for the Mets to add Fernando Martinez. What would you make of this 5 for 1 trade? Should the Mets jump on it? Begrudgingly accept it?
(big baby from nj)
You're trading for one year of a player and the rights to sign him to a market-value contract for six or more seasons. No, I would not make that trade.
Bill Smith is in a bind. I think he's actually handled it well so far, not accepting a bad offer. He has time, still, to find the right one. It may be the most important decision he ever makes as Twins' GM, no matter how long he holds the job. (Joe Sheehan)


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