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Jose Lobaton
San Diego Padres [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 24
6'
175 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 FTW A 77 15 3 1 1 11 12 12 0 0 -0.8 .279 .408 .410 -.191 .215 .316 .354 .236 -1.6 19-C -3 -0.2
2006 LEL A+ 145 12 7 0 4 15 20 42 0 2 -0.5 .213 .326 .369 -.352 .181 .271 .307 .202 -9.5 33-C -8 -1.3
2007 LEL A+ 357 50 15 3 10 47 41 79 0 0 0.0 .260 .346 .428 -.280 .208 .279 .341 .219 -15.8 89-C -6 -0.6
2008 SAN AA 342 35 21 0 9 45 39 75 1 1 -3.4 .259 .338 .422 -.202 .228 .299 .364 .235 -8.0 80-C 2 0.8


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 11:07 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 399 41 18 1 11 42 43 110 1 1 -0.7 .234 .319 .384 -.068 .244 .328 .419 .258 9.9 95-C 1 2.6
75o 382 35 16 1 9 37 39 108 1 1 -0.6 .219 .302 .352 -.155 .229 .310 .384 .242 1.6 91-C 0 1.7
60o 369 30 15 1 7 34 36 106 1 1 -0.6 .209 .289 .329 -.218 .218 .297 .359 .229 -3.9 88-C 0 1.1
50o 364 29 15 1 7 33 35 105 1 1 -0.6 .205 .284 .320 -.241 .214 .292 .349 .224 -5.8 87-C 0 0.9
40o 356 26 14 1 6 31 34 104 1 1 -0.5 .199 .277 .307 -.277 .208 .285 .335 .216 -8.7 86-C -1 0.5
25o 336 21 12 1 5 26 30 101 1 1 -0.5 .185 .260 .276 -.360 .193 .267 .302 .196 -14.8 81-C -2 -0.2
10o 283 12 8 0 2 16 22 91 1 1 -0.4 .157 .224 .214 -.531 .163 .230 .234 .145 -23.9 69-C -3 -1.5
Weighted Mean 362 28 14 1 7 33 35 105 1 1 -0.6 .202 .281 .314 -.298 .211 .289 .343 .219 -5.0 87-C -1 0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

25%

46%

31%

18%

1.33

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 24) 362 28 14 1 7 33 35 105 1 1 -0.6 .202 .281 .314 -.298 .211 .289 .343 .219 -5.0 87-C -1 0.8
2010 (age 25) 329 25 14 1 6 29 32 94 1 1 -0.4 .203 .283 .321 -.258 .209 .287 .346 .222 -4.3 80-C -2 0.6
2011 (age 26) 316 22 13 1 6 29 29 93 1 1 -0.2 .197 .273 .311 -.295 .203 .277 .335 .214 -5.0 77-C 1 0.5
2012 (age 27) 317 22 12 1 6 29 32 92 1 1 -0.2 .195 .278 .305 -.295 .200 .282 .328 .214 -4.1 77-C -2 0.3
2013 (age 28) 362 27 14 1 7 31 35 105 1 1 -0.1 .193 .274 .308 -.300 .199 .278 .332 .213 -3.8 87-C -2 0.4
2014 (age 29) 277 20 10 0 6 27 29 81 1 1 -0.1 .194 .282 .315 -.276 .199 .285 .339 .220 -2.1 68-C -1 0.3
2015 (age 30) 278 22 10 0 7 29 30 75 1 1 -0.1 .210 .297 .348 -.192 .216 .301 .375 .237 0.0 68-C -3 0.4

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .200 .277 .294
vs RHP .203 .282 .324
Split -.003 -.005 -.030
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -5.5 -1.0 0.8 $425,000 -7.4 2.3
2010 -3.9 -2.0 0.6 $425,000 -6.4 1.8
2011 -6.3 1.0 0.5 $525,000 -5.3 1.4
2012 -6.1 -2.0 0.3 $400,000 -4.9 0.4
2013 -7.5 -2.0 0.4 $575,000 -4.1 2.8
2014 -3.8 -1.0 0.3 $725,000 -2.8 1.2
2015 0.8 -3.0 0.4 $1,125,000 0.0 2.6
Peak 3.0 $2,450,000 0.0 10.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .242 .224 .196 .219
2010 .245 .224 .198 .222
2011 .238 .214 .193 .214
2012 .242 .222 .200 .214
2013 .249 .214 .175 .213
2014 .267 .220 .170 .220
2015 .279 .242 .198 .237


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 18% 0% 25%
2010 41% 21% 19%
2011 56% 34% 16%
2012 66% 48% 14%
2013 71% 56% 12%
2014 77% 65% 13%
2015 86% 73% 13%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

55

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Otto Gonzalez 1988 48 11 Tim Derryberry 1982 37
2 Omar Fuentes 2004 47 12 Kurtis Kingsolver 1983 37
3 Vic Valencia 2002 46 13 Julio Vinas 1997 36
4 Al Pardo 1987 42 14 Chad Kreuter 1989 36
5 Joseph Henderson 1985 40 15 Buddy Pryor 1986 35
6 Jorge Posada 1996 39 16 Jason Dewey 2001 35
7 Mike Lehman 1992 38 17 Joey Fernandez 1990 35
8 Sammy Rodriguez 2000 38 18 Gabriel Martinez 2008 35
9 Salomon Manriquez 2007 38 19 George Kottaras 2008 34
10 Mandy Romero 1992 38 20 Mickey Tettleton 1985 33

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