<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

Steve Lerud
Pittsburgh Pirates [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 24
6' 1"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 HIC A 446 45 28 0 12 57 40 146 4 3 -5.7 .239 .330 .402 -.381 .189 .251 .311 .191 -34.6 92-C -9 -2.7
2007 LYN A+ 328 27 17 1 4 31 31 63 3 2 -5.0 .202 .299 .310 -.517 .157 .228 .250 .157 -39.3 80-C -5 -2.6
2008 LYN A+ 273 36 14 0 8 40 26 65 1 1 -0.4 .256 .344 .419 -.237 .215 .287 .360 .227 -9.4 56-C -2 0.0
2008 ALT AA 163 17 7 0 4 18 14 42 1 0 -0.2 .233 .302 .363 -.233 .223 .288 .358 .227 -5.6 41-C 1 0.2


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 10:34 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 500 52 26 1 13 55 44 137 2 2 -2.0 .235 .309 .385 -.136 .234 .309 .398 .244 3.7 118-C -2 2.2
75o 469 43 23 1 11 48 40 131 2 1 -1.8 .224 .296 .361 -.199 .223 .296 .373 .231 -3.4 111-C -2 1.4
60o 447 38 21 1 9 43 37 127 2 1 -1.7 .216 .288 .345 -.240 .215 .287 .357 .222 -7.5 106-C -2 0.9
50o 432 35 20 1 9 40 35 124 2 1 -1.6 .212 .282 .334 -.268 .211 .282 .346 .216 -10.1 103-C -2 0.6
40o 423 33 19 1 8 38 34 122 2 1 -1.6 .209 .279 .328 -.283 .208 .278 .340 .213 -11.3 101-C -2 0.5
25o 382 26 16 1 6 31 29 113 2 1 -1.4 .197 .264 .302 -.352 .196 .264 .312 .196 -16.4 91-C -2 -0.2
10o 343 20 14 1 5 24 25 104 1 1 -1.2 .187 .251 .279 -.412 .186 .251 .289 .180 -19.5 83-C -1 -0.6
Weighted Mean 428 35 20 1 9 41 35 122 2 1 -1.6 .213 .284 .338 -.255 .213 .284 .350 .217 -6.7 102-C 0 0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

47%

71%

14%

7%

0.90

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 24) 428 35 20 1 9 41 35 122 2 1 -1.6 .213 .284 .338 -.255 .213 .284 .350 .217 -6.7 102-C 0 0.8
2010 (age 25) 377 28 16 1 7 35 31 107 2 1 -1.2 .209 .281 .327 -.295 .205 .276 .334 .212 -8.5 90-C -1 0.5
2011 (age 26) 327 23 15 1 6 30 27 94 1 1 -0.9 .209 .283 .330 -.289 .205 .278 .337 .214 -6.1 79-C -1 0.4
2012 (age 27) 286 20 12 0 6 28 25 78 1 1 -0.6 .206 .284 .328 -.291 .202 .279 .334 .214 -4.6 70-C -2 0.3
2013 (age 28) 290 18 12 1 6 25 21 85 1 1 -0.4 .195 .262 .313 -.357 .191 .258 .319 .198 -5.9 71-C -1 0.0
2014 (age 29) 312 20 10 0 6 28 26 89 1 1 -0.4 .194 .269 .294 -.368 .191 .265 .300 .195 -5.6 76-C 0 0.0
2015 (age 30) 226 14 9 0 4 21 19 62 1 1 -0.3 .201 .280 .308 -.327 .197 .275 .315 .206 -2.9 56-C -1 0.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .188 .259 .284
vs RHP .221 .295 .370
Split -.032 -.036 -.086
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -8.7 0.0 0.8 $400,000 -9.2 0.2
2010 -9.4 -1.0 0.5 $400,000 -10.7 0.4
2011 -7.8 -1.0 0.4 $400,000 -7.3 1.0
2012 -6.7 -2.0 0.3 $400,000 -5.6 0.9
2013 -11.1 -1.0 0.0 $400,000 -6.8 0.8
2014 -12.5 0.0 0.0 $400,000 -5.9 0.5
2015 -7.0 -1.0 0.1 $450,000 -3.3 0.5
Peak 2.1 $1,700,000 0.0 4.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .231 .216 .196 .217
2010 .231 .215 .194 .212
2011 .241 .211 .188 .214
2012 .249 .209 .185 .214
2013 .232 .203 .176 .198
2014 .232 .204 .176 .195
2015 .250 .224 .168 .206


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 7% 0% 47%
2010 31% 12% 42%
2011 51% 24% 41%
2012 67% 38% 38%
2013 75% 49% 30%
2014 73% 57% 23%
2015 87% 63% 25%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

64

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Eric Helfand 1993 70 11 Tate Seefried 1997 46
2 Jimmy Kremers 1990 62 12 Dave Falcone 1983 46
3 Paul Bako 1997 59 13 Steve Carver 1997 46
4 John Baker 2005 56 14 Carl Nichols 1987 46
5 Andy Skeels 1990 52 15 Marshall Hubbard 2007 46
6 Joe Szekely 1986 51 16 Chad Kreuter 1989 46
7 Danny Ardoin 1999 50 17 Chad Whitaker 2001 45
8 Craig Wilson 1992 48 18 Javi Herrera 2006 44
9 Rob Bowen 2005 47 19 Louis Santangelo 2007 44
10 Charles McGrew 1988 47 20 Jeff Grotewold 1990 44

Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.