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He's probably very handsome. Dan Lehmann
Minnesota Twins [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 23
5' 11"
190 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 ELZ Rk 90 12 2 0 3 17 9 10 0 0 0.0 .221 .333 .364 -.582 .145 .211 .229 .133 -23.9 22-C -4 -1.6
2008 BLT A 117 13 4 3 0 6 9 15 0 2 -0.5 .240 .313 .337 -.461 .187 .243 .262 .167 -12.0 26-C 3 -0.3
2008 FTM A+ 155 12 3 0 0 6 16 12 2 1 -0.5 .244 .351 .267 -.357 .219 .303 .241 .198 -10.9 33-C 0 -0.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/8/09 12:55 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 337 27 13 1 3 26 22 59 1 1 -0.3 .225 .283 .307 -.279 .227 .287 .321 .214 -9.3 81-C -3 0.2
75o 323 23 12 1 3 24 21 58 1 1 -0.3 .210 .269 .283 -.347 .212 .273 .297 .198 -14.1 78-C -3 -0.3
60o 308 19 10 1 2 22 20 57 1 1 -0.3 .196 .255 .260 -.413 .197 .258 .273 .181 -18.1 75-C -3 -0.7
50o 300 18 9 1 2 21 19 57 1 1 -0.3 .189 .248 .250 -.444 .190 .251 .262 .173 -19.8 73-C -2 -0.9
40o 292 16 9 1 2 20 19 56 1 1 -0.3 .182 .241 .239 -.475 .183 .244 .250 .163 -21.4 71-C -2 -1.0
25o 262 11 7 1 1 16 16 54 1 1 -0.2 .160 .220 .206 -.569 .162 .224 .215 .130 -25.0 64-C -1 -1.5
10o 226 8 5 1 0 12 14 49 1 1 -0.2 .143 .204 .179 -.643 .145 .207 .187 .090 -25.5 56-C -1 -1.6
Weighted Mean 296 17 9 1 2 21 19 57 1 1 -0.3 .185 .244 .244 -.450 .187 .248 .256 .168 -20.0 72-C -1 -0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

38%

53%

37%

35%

1.21

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 23) 296 17 9 1 2 21 19 57 1 1 -0.3 .185 .244 .244 -.450 .187 .248 .256 .168 -20.0 72-C -1 -0.8
2010 (age 24) 284 17 9 1 2 20 18 53 1 1 -0.2 .188 .249 .252 -.427 .192 .256 .267 .174 -13.1 69-C -3 -0.5
2011 (age 25) 240 13 7 1 2 17 15 45 1 1 -0.1 .180 .239 .246 -.458 .184 .246 .261 .166 -9.1 60-C -1 -0.3
2012 (age 26) 234 12 7 1 1 17 15 45 1 1 -0.1 .186 .248 .248 -.436 .190 .254 .263 .173 -5.5 58-C -2 0.0
2013 (age 27)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .202 .262 .273
vs RHP .181 .239 .235
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -19.1 -1.0 -0.8 $400,000 -18.8 0.0
2010 -16.9 -3.0 -0.5 $400,000 -12.4 0.0
2011 -15.8 -1.0 -0.3 $400,000 -8.0 0.0
2012 -14.2 -2.0 0.0 $400,000 -4.5 0.6
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 $50,000 -2.1 1.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .198 .173 .130 .168
2010 .203 .169 .128 .174
2011 .194 .169 .120 .166
2012 .222 .187 .123 .173
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 35% 0% 38%
2010 49% 34% 34%
2011 64% 48% 29%
2012 78% 64% 27%
2013 80% 71% 30%
2014 79% 75% 27%
2015 90% 80% 23%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

67

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Joe Goodwin 1998 66 11 Greg Beals 1993 55
2 Joe Perona 1993 65 12 Pee-Wee Lopez 2000 55
3 James Stassi 1983 58 13 John Duncan 1985 54
4 David Duff 1982 58 14 Brandon Harper 2000 53
5 Barry Lyons 1984 57 15 David Lindstrom 1998 53
6 Thomas Niemann 1985 57 16 Jerry Neufang 1984 53
7 Greg Olson 1984 56 17 Ricky Gonzalez 1998 53
8 Tony Defrancesco 1987 56 18 Sal Agostinelli 1985 52
9 Ryan Hanigan 2004 56 19 Shawn Gill 1984 52
10 Stephen Eagar 1986 55 20 Erez Borowsky 1984 52

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