Chris Kroski

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	SAR	A+	206	15	10	0	2	15	9	52	1	0	0.6	.215	.260	.298	-.625	.158	.190	.224	.108	-31.4	43-C -5	-2.8
2007	SAR	A+	258	32	18	2	6	29	27	42	0	1	-0.7	.281	.368	.460	-.374	.185	.260	.305	.195	-19.3	50-C -3	-1.2
2008	CHT	AA	20	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	0.0	.059	.150	.059	-1.042	.056	.100	.056	.000	-5.0	5-C 1	0.0
2008	LOU	AAA	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	-0.2	.300	.300	.300	-.243	.300	.300	.300	.205	-0.4		0.0

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:31 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	232	17	10	0	5	22	15	65	0	0	-0.8	.213	.273	.339	-.295	.212	.271	.339	.208	-7.1	58-C -1	0.2
75^o	228	13	9	0	4	19	14	65	0	0	-0.7	.184	.241	.283	-.442	.183	.239	.283	.171	-14.7	57-C -2	-0.7
60^o	226	12	8	0	3	18	13	65	0	0	-0.7	.174	.230	.263	-.492	.173	.229	.264	.156	-17.3	57-C -2	-1.0
50^o	223	10	7	0	2	16	13	65	0	0	-0.6	.156	.210	.228	-.584	.155	.209	.229	.121	-21.7	56-C -3	-1.5
40^o	221	9	7	0	2	14	12	65	0	0	-0.6	.149	.202	.215	-.619	.148	.201	.215	.103	-23.3	55-C -3	-1.7
25^o	215	6	5	0	1	11	11	65	0	0	-0.5	.127	.178	.174	-.726	.127	.177	.174	.052	-28.1	54-C -3	-2.1
10^o	211	7	6	0	2	9	11	65	0	0	-0.6	.141	.191	.200	-.662	.140	.190	.200	.019	-24.4	53-C -4	-2.1
Weighted Mean	229	10	7	0	3	17	13	67	0	0	-0.6	.156	.210	.229	-.561	.155	.209	.229	.119	-21.0	57-C -2	-1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
21%	34%	59%	37%	1.31

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 27)	229	10	7	0	3	17	13	67	0	0	-0.6	.156	.210	.229	-.561	.155	.209	.229	.119	-21.0	57-C -2	-1.3
2010 (age 28)	243	10	8	0	2	17	13	72	0	0	-0.4	.151	.203	.223	-.616	.148	.199	.220	.107	-15.3	60-C -2	-0.8
2011 (age 29)	237	11	8	0	3	16	12	67	0	0	-0.3	.158	.210	.235	-.585	.155	.205	.232	.123	-9.4	59-C -2	-0.5
2012 (age 30)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 31)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 32)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 33)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.123	.177	.160
vs RHP	.162	.220	.252
Split	-.039	-.043	-.091
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-21.3	-2.0	-1.3	$400,000	-22.4	0.0
2010	-24.0	-2.0	-0.8	$400,000	-15.6	0.0
2011	-21.7	-2.0	-0.5	$400,000	-9.5	0.0
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.171	.121	.052	.119
2010	.158	.127	.042	.107
2011	.177	.122	.041	.123
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	37%	0%	21%
2010	55%	40%	11%
2011	65%	54%	15%
2012	78%	71%	17%
2013	80%	76%	16%
2014	89%	85%	13%
2015	88%	84%	14%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

54

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Dave Ullery	2002	52		11	Mike Basso	1991	39
2	Bryan Kennedy	2005	46		12	Jim McNamara	1992	39
3	Kelly Ramos	2003	45		13	Mike Mahoney	2000	39
4	Matt Ceriani	2003	43		14	Scott Emmons	2001	39
5	Armando Camacaro	2006	42		15	Bubba Holland	1985	38
6	Tim Edge	1995	42		16	Jeff Waldron	2003	38
7	Tom Gregorio	2004	41		17	John Purdom	2008	37
8	Darin Everson	1998	41		18	Russ Jacobson	2004	37
9	Danny Fatheree	2005	41		19	Alan Probst	1997	37
10	Jeff Datz	1987	40		20	Jason Aspito	2006	37

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