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2013 Projections (seasonal age 25) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | LAN | 20 | 22 | 21 | 107.7 | 106.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 470 | 109 | 51 | 51 | 11 | 168 | 52 | 49 | 1 | 100 | 4.26 | 4.05 | 4.81 | 8.4 | 0.9 |
| 2009 | LAN | 21 | 31 | 30 | 171.0 | 169.0 | 2.0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 701 | 119 | 55 | 53 | 7 | 168 | 91 | 87 | 1 | 185 | 2.79 | 3.04 | 3.46 | 35.0 | 3.5 |
| 2010 | LAN | 22 | 32 | 32 | 204.3 | 204.3 | 0.0 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 848 | 160 | 73 | 66 | 13 | 239 | 81 | 72 | 7 | 212 | 2.91 | 3.15 | 3.29 | 36.6 | 3.9 |
| 2011 | LAN | 23 | 33 | 33 | 233.3 | 233.3 | 0.0 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 912 | 174 | 66 | 59 | 15 | 251 | 54 | 52 | 3 | 248 | 2.28 | 2.44 | 2.83 | 58.4 | 6.4 |
| 2012 | LAN | 24 | 33 | 33 | 227.7 | 227.7 | 0.0 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 901 | 170 | 70 | 64 | 16 | 262 | 63 | 58 | 5 | 229 | 2.53 | 2.93 | 3.32 | 39.8 | 4.4 |
| 2013 | LAN | 25 | 10 | 10 | 73.3 | 73.3 | 0.0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 274 | 42 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 18 | 16 | 0 | 72 | 1.35 | 2.43 | 3.34 | 13.5 | 1.5 |
| Career | 161 | 159 | 1017.3 | 1014.3 | 3.0 | 66 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 4 | 4106 | 774 | 329 | 304 | 66 | 1149 | 359 | 334 | 17 | 1046 | 2.69 | 2.96 | 3.39 | 191.6 | 20.5 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | DGR | Rk | 10 | 8 | 37.0 | 2.84 | 141 | .197 | .235 | .315 | .322 | .244 | .354 | 101 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | GRL | A | 20 | 20 | 97.3 | 3.78 | 112 | .236 | .264 | .337 | .390 | .263 | .302 | 101 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | JAX | AA | 5 | 5 | 24.7 | 5.40 | 79 | .290 | .271 | .350 | .398 | .269 | .228 | 96 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | LAN | MLB | 22 | 21 | 107.7 | 4.81 | 93 | .263 | .272 | .344 | .446 | .274 | .320 | 96 | 8.5 | 0.9 | 8.4 | 0.9 |
| 2008 | JAX | AA | 13 | 11 | 61.3 | 3.29 | 127 | .190 | .268 | .348 | .409 | .263 | .239 | 96 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | LAN | MLB | 31 | 30 | 171.0 | 3.46 | 119 | .215 | .275 | .345 | .444 | .272 | .269 | 94 | 34.1 | 3.4 | 35.0 | 3.5 |
| 2010 | LAN | MLB | 32 | 32 | 204.3 | 3.29 | 119 | .236 | .268 | .338 | .430 | .272 | .275 | 93 | 37.2 | 3.9 | 36.6 | 3.9 |
| 2011 | LAN | MLB | 33 | 33 | 233.3 | 2.83 | 128 | .208 | .263 | .327 | .416 | .267 | .269 | 94 | 48.9 | 5.2 | 58.4 | 6.4 |
| 2012 | LAN | MLB | 33 | 33 | 227.7 | 3.32 | 117 | .223 | .269 | .332 | .428 | .274 | .262 | 93 | 33.7 | 3.6 | 39.8 | 4.4 |
| 2013 | LAN | MLB | 10 | 10 | 73.3 | 3.34 | 114 | .179 | .270 | .329 | .430 | .273 | .211 | 94 | 10.6 | 1.1 | 13.5 | 1.5 |
| Career | MLB | 159 | 1017.3 | 3.41 | 117 | .222 | .269 | .336 | .430 | .271 | .271 | 73 | 139.3 | 14.5 | 151.8 | 16.1 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | DGR | Rk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 37.0 | 28 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 52% | .354 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 13.1 | 0.89 | 1.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | GRL | A | 7 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 97.3 | 72 | 50 | 134 | 5 | 49% | .302 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 1.25 | 2.77 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | JAX | AA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 24.7 | 17 | 17 | 29 | 4 | 41% | .228 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 10.6 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | JAX | AA | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 61.3 | 39 | 19 | 59 | 0 | 47% | .239 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 8.7 | 0.95 | 1.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | LAN | MLB | 5 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 21 | 107.7 | 109 | 52 | 100 | 11 | 51% | .320 | 9.1 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 8.4 | 1.50 | 4.26 | 8.4 | 0.9 |
| 2009 | LAN | MLB | 8 | 8 | 0 | 31 | 30 | 171.0 | 119 | 91 | 185 | 7 | 41% | .269 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 9.7 | 1.23 | 2.79 | 35.0 | 3.5 |
| 2010 | LAN | MLB | 13 | 10 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 204.3 | 160 | 81 | 212 | 13 | 42% | .275 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 9.3 | 1.18 | 2.91 | 36.6 | 3.9 |
| 2011 | LAN | MLB | 21 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 233.3 | 174 | 54 | 248 | 15 | 45% | .269 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 9.6 | 0.98 | 2.28 | 58.4 | 6.4 |
| 2012 | LAN | MLB | 14 | 9 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 227.7 | 170 | 63 | 229 | 16 | 49% | .262 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 9.1 | 1.02 | 2.53 | 39.8 | 4.4 |
| 2013 | LAN | MLB | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 73.3 | 42 | 18 | 72 | 4 | 48% | .211 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 8.8 | 0.82 | 1.35 | 13.5 | 1.5 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-09-12 | 2012-09-23 | DTD | 11 | 0 | Right | Hip | Impingement | - | ||
| 2012-09-05 | 2012-09-11 | DTD | 6 | 0 | Right | Hip | Impingement | - | - | |
| 2012-05-31 | 2012-05-31 | DTD | 0 | 0 | - | Foot | Inflammation | Plantar Fasciitis | - | - |
| 2012-04-06 | 2012-04-08 | DTD | 2 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | Flu | - | - |
| 2012-02-22 | 2012-02-24 | Camp | 2 | 0 | - | Low Back | Stiffness | - | - | |
| 2009-09-06 | 2009-09-22 | DTD | 16 | 13 | Right | Shoulder | Separation | AC Joint | - | |
| 2009-08-19 | 2009-08-19 | DTD | 0 | 0 | General Medical | Respiratory | Flu | - | ||
| 2009-03-24 | 2009-03-24 | Camp | 0 | 0 | Hip | Contusion | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Clayton Kershaw is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-01-26 13:00:00 | If you could have the next 6 years of any pitcher in the Majors to start your team with, is there anyone to consider other than Matt Moore? (FutureCloser from NY NY) | Clayton Kershaw would be my first choice (Jason Parks) |
| 2011-11-30 13:00:00 | Congradulations! You've just been appointed/sold the Los Angeles Dodgers; what are the first three things you do on the baseball ops end of things? (Sanchez101 from Santa Barbara, CA) | 1) Fire Ned Colletti out of a cannon and poach somebody else's bright young GM/candidate.
2) Sell Juan Uribe to a whale oil refinery. 3) work out a long-term deal with Clayton Kershaw. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2011-10-04 13:00:00 | So you're saying Matt Moore and Clayton Kershaw were both better prospects than Stephen Strasburg? (Charlie from Bethesda) | No, I'm not saying that. Strasburg is in his own class. Just using a lefty as the comp. (Jason Parks) |
| 2011-06-14 13:00:00 | I have a very strong pitching staff in a long term keeper Strat-O-Matic 16 team league and I only need five starters. Which five of these would you keep? Josh Beckett, Matt Cain, Tim Lincecum, Zack Greinke, CJ Wilson, Jordan Zimmermann, Clayton Kershaw, Derek Holland, Alexi Ogando, and Chris Narveson. Keep in mind I can keep them forever. (jhardman from Apex, NC) | Lincecum, Kershaw, Greinke, and Cain seem like obvious choices. I'd probably go with Beckett for the last spot, though Wilson might be safer, given Beckett's age and injury history. (Ben Lindbergh) |
| 2010-04-21 14:00:00 | Who would you take for one year/career? Latos or Masterson? Any other young pitchers ready to take a step forward? (George from NJ) | If I had to choose between the two for this season, I'll take Masterson. For career, Latos, but the gap isn't that wide, really. I'd go with Latos since he's younger and the scouts have been raving about his stuff. Other young guns ready to bust out? I don't know if you can consider it a break out given what he did last year but this is a big year for Tommy Hanson, and the same can be said of Brett Anderson. I'd also like to see Clayton Kershaw improve his control this season. I might be biased but I also think this is the year Max Scherzer emerges as a true front of the rotation stud. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-02-17 16:00:00 | Fantasy Keeper question: Which six do you like the best for this coming year? Ryan Howard, Chase Utley, Troy Tulowitzki, Nelson Cruz, Felix Hernandez, Yovanni Gallardo, Clayton Kershaw, Tommy Hanson, and Clay Buchholz. Right now, I would say Howard, Utley, Tulo, Felix, Hanson, and Gallardo. But I am having a tough time deciding and was wondering if you could throw in your two cents. Have a great day Tommy !! (Lopecci from Cubicle City) | Assuming traditional 5x5, I'd say Howard, Utley, Tulo, Felix, Cruz, Kershaw. But at the end there it's pretty close. Oh, and you too! (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-01-26 14:00:00 | Two part question. Rank in order of who will end up having the best career: Tommy Hanson, David Price, Clayton Kershaw. Also, will Tommy Hanson win a Cy Young in his career? (Bubba Brown from Salt Lake City) | Order: Kershaw, Hanson, Price
I'd say Hanson has a 25% chance to win a Cy. But that's a WAG. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2009-10-28 14:00:00 | Jay, I assume the Yankees will start Sabathia twice on short rest in order to get him three starts; would the Yankees be wise to start Pettitte once of short rest (games 3+6) in order to get 5 lefty starts in a seven game series? Or is the platoon advantage vs. the Phillies not THAT important? Or do you think the Yankees will through in Gaudin and go with a 4 man rotation? (Nick Stone from New York, NY) | Hey, Nick! I spent a good deal of time trying to figure out the two teams' rotation options on a game-by-game basis. Cutting and pasting from the preview, here's what I came up with:
Game 1: Sabathia (7) v. Lee (9) Game 2: Burnett (6) v. Martinez (12) Game 3: Pettitte (5) v. Hamels (9) Game 4: Sabathia (3) or Gaudin (11) vs. Lee (3), Happ (10), or Blanton (12) Game 5: Burnett (3), Sabathia (4, if Gaudin Game 4), or Gaudin (12) vs. Happ, Blanton or Lee (4) Game 6: Pettitte (3) or Burnett (5, if Sabathia Game 4 and Gaudin Game 5) vs. Martinez (5), Hamels (3), Happ or Blanton Game 7: Sabathia (3, if pitched Game 4) or Pettitte (4, if Sabathia Game 4) vs. Lee (3, if pitched Game 4) or Hamels (4) While the Phillies hit lefties about as well as righties in the regular season, they haven't been all that successful doing so in the postseason, batting at a .194/.322/.444 clip, with a few big hits — Ryan Howard's two-run double off Clayton Kershaw, his homer off Randy Wolf, and Raul Ibanez's homer off George Sherrill - offsetting their woes. My read on Sabathia and Pettitte is that they're better than the Dodger southpaw starters at this point in time, so yes, I do think it makes sense to throw more lefties at them, particularly given that Gaudin doesn't match up well with them at all. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2009-10-08 14:00:00 | Which players during the playoffs will do the most to alter the public's perception of them [for better or worse]? (dtwhite from Toronto) | Dear god, I hope Alex Rodriguez is one of them. Please.
I like Clayton Kershaw to come up big. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-07-24 16:30:00 | Topic:
Clayton Kershaw
discuss... (Phil from LA) | One of the best young pitchers I've ever seen, and I've made it a habit to watch all of his starts now. I'm honestly about ready to put him ahead of Billingsley as the ace of the staff. Assuming he can cut back on some walks, this is a perennial all-star. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2009-04-20 13:00:00 | Hi Joe. Who is most likely to have success this year and long term?: Yovani Gallardo, Clayton Kershaw and Andrew Miller. (sbryk7 from NYC) | Kershaw's in a different, better class than the other two, in both cases. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-04-16 13:00:00 | Is my man crush on Clayton Kershaw justified? (Mr. Jangles from High Plains) | I don't think he will be striking out 14+ guys per nine all season, but he is one of the few players I was upset about missing out on in my own drafts. He's going to be great. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2009-02-24 13:00:00 | Who has the better year between Clayton Kershaw and Joba Chamberlain? Thanks. (Willigan from Missoula, MT) | Chamberlain will have more value, in perhaps fewer innings. Kershaw may still need a year to work on his command, while still being league-average or a bit better than that.
Connectivity is a bit slow. I'm at a Starbucks on the UWS, but I can't tell if it's my card or the BP site. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-02-03 13:00:00 | Crystal ball time -- whose your pick for 2009's Lincecum? Somebody like Kershaw? Baker? Slowey? (Blake from Portland, OR) | David Price.
Blake, you didn't really just create a list that included Clayton Kershaw and Scott Baker, did you? (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-01-29 13:00:00 | If Wieters isn't available at the start of the season (Yahoo does some weird things) and I will have one of the top waiver spots, is it a bad idea to just wait on whatever catcher you can get at the end of the draft? (birkem3 from Dayton, OH) | If you have one of the top waiver spots, you abuse it for all its worth. I held on to my own waiver spot until Clayton Kershaw came up.
I also may have used a press release from the Dodgers to pick him up before my friends saw, but we don't talk about that much out loud. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-07-07 13:00:00 | What do you think of Clayton Kershaw's brief debut as a 20 year in the Dodger's rotation. Do the mixed results change anything about the way he projects to be down the line. Can he be a very good starter in 1 year? Or 2 years? (forlostcauses from Portland, OR) | I thought he was very good. He's 20, he made eight starts without ever really getting hammered, he struck out nearly a batter per inning, and he had command troubles, which wasn't a huge surprise. Stock is unchanged. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-06-23 12:00:00 | Hey I have bought the last 3 annuals- cant I get a question answered?
Now that they have had some major league experience how would you rate the following highy touted pitchers= Andrew Miller, Phil Hughes, Joba Chamberlain, Tim Lincecum, Homer Bailey
and Clayton Kershaw. If Detroit had a do-over would they still select Miller over Kershaw?
(bpfan from nyc) | Of course you can get a question answered. I'd rank them like this: Chamberlain, Lincecum, Kershaw, Hughes, Miller, Bailey. Though I'm sure they wouldn't say so, I think the Tigers would rather have taken Kershaw with the way it's all turned out. (John Perrotto) |
| 2008-06-20 13:30:00 | When it comes to the "business" of baseball, how much does the money invested in a player determine their ascent through the system? Who makes it faster, the non-drafted FA with better numbers in the critical areas or the bonus baby who is riding potential and ceiling? (adamtkay5 from Boston) | As far as I can tell, statistics don't really get you promoted through the minors no matter what your status. You move forward on scouting evaluations and age, for the most part. I think guys who play very well at Double-A or Triple-A create pressure on their organizations to promote them--I guess Clayton Kershaw and Jay Bruce are the most recent examples. Below that, though, you move based on how you're scouted. I'd be interested to hear Kevin Goldstein's opinion. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-06-04 16:00:00 | So, we New Yorkers love to blame someone. Is there a reason what could have been there didn't happen? Something wrong with the development patterns, perhaps? (Follow from Up) | Well here's the thing. I think it's WAY WAY WA too early to classify the young Yankee arms as that. Like WAY WAY WAY too early. Like as early as the question somebody submitted earlier asking my why I was so wrong about Clayton Kershaw and how people have given up on him. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-05-27 13:00:00 | How have you not taken a question on Clayton Kershaw yet?
Did you like what you saw Sunday? Do you think they called him up too early? Is he for real? Can he make a run at RoY, etc. (bam022 from Chicago - South Side) | I was in a pretty place without cable television over the weekend, so I didn't actually get to *see* his start. But I don't have any problem with promoting your young pitchers aggressively, so long as you handle their workloads carefully. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-05-09 14:00:00 | Christina, I'm facinated by Hong-Chih Kuo. You? To my eyes, he seems to be the perfect 2 to 4-inning reliever. His lines are so dominant except when he's pushed as a starter. Am I crazy or would he be perfect to pair with a rookie, like Clayton Kershaw, to innings-limit the young arm? (Cary from Washington, DC) | That's part of the fun of the game, some of the unlikely heroes you find yourself following. I think it's a role in which Kuo could succeed very nicely, but the problem with creating that kind of usage pattern is getting a guy who likes it. Nobody wants to grow up to be Bob Shirley, and can you blame them? (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-04-25 15:00:00 | How do you like Chad Billingsley's luck so far this year--13.94 K/9 and a 9.1 LD% with a .449 BABIP? Also, when do you see the Dodgers calling up Clayton Kershaw? (dblatnik from Sunnyvale, CA) | That's a very weird line. I was listening to last night's game while working on the Hit List; Billingsley had 12 Ks but allowed five runs in six innings.
I haven't actually seen much of him this year, but that kind of line makes me wonder if he's throwing too many strikes, trying to shoulder a bit too much of the load. As for Kershaw, a lot of it probably depends on the Dodgers' play improving to the point where there's something to be gained by having him up at this tender young age. Maybe late July, barring any injuries to the Dodger staff, which is an impossibility. OK, running out of time and gas here. I'll take one or two more... (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-04-23 13:00:00 | Felix Doubront is tearing it up at Low-A Greeneville. After today's start, he has a 24/1 K:BB ratio, in 20 innings pitched.
Is it reasonable for me to be excited about him, yet? (astein from Boston) | Define excited. He's pitching great, but he's a lefty with plus breaking stuff, so that shouldn't shock you in Low A. He's a decent prospect, but I wouldn't go around telling Dodgers fans to forget about Clayton Kershaw because the Red Sox have Felix Doubront or anything. Decent prospect. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-04-17 13:00:00 | Who is the better pair: Jay Bruce & Joba Chamberlain or Adam Jones & Clayton Kershaw? And by how much? (Franklin Stubbs from (LA)) | Bruce and Chamberlain are the best hitting and pitching prospects in baseball, respectively. So they trump all other permutations. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-03-28 14:00:00 | What do you make of Clayton Kershaw's spring? Do you think he'll be in the bigs around the same of the year that Lincecum made it last year? (Ryan from Milwaukee) | As good as Kershaw has looked this spring, I think you have to send him back to the minors. He turned 20 two weeks ago and has 25 innings above the Midwest League. He had pretty lousy walk rates last season, not the kind of performances that demand a promotion.
If he performs well at Double-A, there's a decision to be made. Putting him in the rotation now is just setting him up for failure. Folks, a reminder: shorter questions have a much better chance of being answered. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-03-25 14:00:00 | Any thoughts on Clayton Kershaw? Spring stats don't mean much, but he's looked good. Any chance he's the best pitching prospect at the end of the year? (Wendy from DC) | His spring performance has been strong enough to put him in the Dodgers' rotation picture *in April*, which would have seemed incredible just two months ago, but as you know, he is that talented. Add in being left-handed, and there's an argument right now that he's the best pitching prospect around right now, regardless of rookie status or eligibility or any of that. If his rookie status gets expended this year, that doesn't change, any more than it does for Joba Chamberlain or Clayton Buchholz; they're just an exceptional trio of talents any of us would wish to have on our favorite team for the next ten years. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-03-26 12:00:00 | I know it's just spring, but how good is Clayton Kershaw? All the talk has been about Joba, Bucholtz and Hughes, but he seems to be just as good. How would you rank those 4 with some of last year's top guys, Lincecum & Gallardo? (Wendy from Madrid) | Kershaw is amazing. I love watching on YouTube when Kershaw buckled Casey's knees and Vin Scully was relatively breathless. I think Kershaw takes a bit of a hit because his fastball has the most erratic command of the what, five other guys you mentioned. But then again, Kershaw might have the highest HOF potential of the six. He's the perfect example of attempting to balance ceiling with likelihood of getting there. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-03-07 13:00:00 | If you were building a Scoresheet team in a NL keeper league, would you rather have Dan Haren or Clayton Kershaw for the next 5 years? (David from USA) | Haren, and I think that question is pretty much a slam-dunk. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-02-25 12:00:00 | What kind of years do you see Reid Brignac, Clayton Kershaw and Adam Jones having? Do you see any of them potentially becoming busts? (Dusty from Not Chicago) | I just hope that Jones plays everyday for the Orioles, and if he does, I think what I envisioned and what PECOTA sees are right in line. Kershaw should start in Double-A and could be a really interesting bullpen option at the end of the year as they look to integrate him in with the big club. I would like Brignac best if he went back to Double-A, but I think he gets the whole year in the minors and hits well. He's probably the one with the most 'bust potential', if you will. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-01-31 13:00:00 | If you look into your crystalball, who do you think will be your top prospect for next year? (greg from toronto) | Clayton Kershaw. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-01-09 13:00:00 | In his last chat (the transcript seems to be unavailable, so forgive me for not having the exact language) Nate Silver suggested that based on some of the work that he and Clay Davenport have done this offseason the gulf between translations (projections?) for players in the low minors and high minors is wider than previously thought.
He specifically mentions Clayton Kershaw as being further away from being an impact big leaguer. I also seem to remember that you described Kershaw as the best pitching prospect still in the minors.
Does what Silver is talking about change your thinking on low minor prospects in general and Kershaw specifically?
(aardvark from California) | Not in the least. Ranking prospects combines ceiling and chances of reaching said ceiling. You can't ranking prospect by only going for sure things -- or you'll just have a list of Double and Triple-A guys. Let's say there are 30 fututre impact players in the minors (I just pulled that number out of my you know what, I'm not sure what the number would really be), chances are, those 30 are evenly distributed throughout each level, there's just a greater challenge to finding them to further you move down. (Kevin Goldstein) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-10-15 17:00:00 | 2009 NLCS Game One (Phillies/Dodgers) | Sorry, completely forgetted about this. I plead fall cold. I think Clayton Kershaw can cure me. And fix health care. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-10-13 17:00:00 | NLCS Game Four | Clayton Kershaw is ready for his guest spot on SNL. That may be more reading than Carroll's done all year. (Joe Sheehan) |
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