Biographical

Portrait of Casey Kelly

Casey Kelly PPadres

Padres Player Cards | Padres Team Audit | Padres Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date10-4-1989
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
Age25 years, 2 months, 23 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
0.12012
2013
0.02014
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2012 SDN 22 6 6 29.0 29.0 0.0 2 3 0 0 2 0 136 39 23 20 5 62 10 9 2 26 6.21 4.83 5.25 0.6 0.1
Career6629.029.00.02300201363923205621092266.214.835.250.60.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2009 GRN A 9 9 48.3 3.26 121 .181 .259 .326 .366 .266 .237 95 8.7 0.9 11.9 1.3
2009 SLM A+ 8 8 46.7 4.83 93 .211 .254 .328 .378 .257 .221 101 3.5 0.4 3.5 0.4
2010 PME AA 21 21 95.0 4.61 106 .293 .263 .338 .405 .260 .361 109 14.6 1.5 14.6 1.5
2010 PEJ Wnt 4 4 16.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .283 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 SAN AA 27 27 142.3 4.68 110 .249 .264 .328 .399 .250 .324 107 23.1 2.3 27.7 2.9
2012 SDN MLB 6 6 29.0 5.25 76 .322 .265 .320 .420 .260 .366 98 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1
2012 SAN AA 3 3 16.7 4.02 103 .219 .262 .331 .395 .269 .244 93 1.6 0.2 1.5 0.2
2012 TUC AAA 2 2 12.0 2.26 158 .205 .278 .342 .451 .278 .364 108 5.5 0.5 5.2 0.5
2012 PDR Rk 3 3 9.0 3.75 135 .285 .265 .347 .405 .276 .303 107 4.0 0.4 4.0 0.4
2014 LEL A+ 2 2 8.3 2.30 140 .369 .292 .371 .458 .296 .500 78 1.7 0.2 1.7 0.2
2014 SAN AA 2 2 12.0 3.55 117 .201 .265 .330 .386 .260 .297 97 1.8 0.2 1.8 0.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2009 SLM A+ 1 4 0 8 8 46.7 33 7 35 4 53% .221 6.4 1.3 0.8 6.7 0.86 3.08 3.5 0.4
2009 GRN A 6 1 0 9 9 48.3 32 9 39 0 54% .237 6.0 1.7 0.0 7.3 0.85 1.12 11.9 1.3
2010 PME AA 3 5 0 21 21 95.0 118 35 81 10 47% .361 11.2 3.3 0.9 7.7 1.61 5.31 14.6 1.5
2010 PEJ Wnt 1 0 0 4 4 16.0 19 4 11 2 0% .283 10.7 2.2 1.1 6.2 1.44 6.75 0.0 0.0
2011 SAN AA 11 6 0 27 27 142.3 153 46 105 8 57% .324 9.7 2.9 0.5 6.6 1.40 3.98 27.7 2.9
2012 SAN AA 0 1 0 3 3 16.7 11 3 18 1 45% .244 5.9 1.6 0.5 9.7 0.84 3.78 1.5 0.2
2012 SDN MLB 2 3 0 6 6 29.0 39 10 26 5 57% .366 12.1 3.1 1.6 8.1 1.69 6.21 0.6 0.1
2012 TUC AAA 0 0 0 2 2 12.0 12 0 14 0 55% .364 9.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 1.00 2.25 5.2 0.5
2012 PDR Rk 0 1 0 3 3 9.0 10 0 7 0 45% .303 10.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 1.11 4.00 4.0 0.4
2014 LEL A+ 0 0 0 2 2 8.3 14 0 9 0 50% .500 15.1 0.0 0.0 9.7 1.68 4.32 1.7 0.2
2014 SAN AA 1 0 0 2 2 12.0 11 1 8 0 49% .297 8.2 0.8 0.0 6.0 1.00 0.75 1.8 0.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2012 501 0.4671 0.4491 0.7689 0.6239 0.2959 0.8699 0.5823 0.2267
Career5010.46710.44910.76890.62390.29590.86990.58230.2267

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-21 2014-09-29 60-DL 192 162 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2013-04-01 -
2013-03-22 2013-09-30 60-DL 192 162 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2013-04-01 -
2013-03-08 2013-03-22 Camp 14 0 Right Elbow Sprain Ulnar Collateral Ligament - -
2012-04-12 2012-08-10 Minors 120 110 Right Elbow Inflammation - -
2010-08-07 2010-09-07 Minors 31 0 Right Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi -
2010-07-22 2010-07-31 Minors 9 0 Not Disclosed -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 SDN $501,400
2013 SDN $491,400
2012 SDN $
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$491,400
2011Current$501,400
2 yrPvs + Cur$992,800
2 yrTotal$992,800

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 38 dJoe Sambito1 year/$0.5014M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.5014M (2014). Re-signed by San Diego 3/3/14.
  • 1 year/$0.4914M (2013). Re-signed by San Diego 3/9/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Contract purchased by San Diego 8/27/12.
  • Acquired by San Diego in trade from Boston 12/6/10 (Adrian Gonzalez deal).
  • Drafted by Boston 2008 (1-30) (Sarasota HS, Fla.). $3M signing bonus.

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SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Casey Kelly is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: San Diego PadresWilson Karaman2014-12-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: What to Make of Odrisamer DespaigneKeith Cromer2014-11-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 14th EditionBret Sayre2014-07-23
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stash List: 13th EditionBret Sayre2014-07-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 12th EditionBret Sayre2014-07-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 11th EditionBret Sayre2014-06-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 10th EditionBret Sayre2014-06-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Ninth EditionBret Sayre2014-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stash List: Eighth EditionBret Sayre2014-06-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Seventh EditionBret Sayre2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Sixth EditionBret Sayre2014-05-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneCraig Goldstein2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneBen Carsley2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Fourth EditionBret Sayre2014-05-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Third EditionBret Sayre2014-04-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Second EditionBret Sayre2014-04-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL West Under-25 RankingsCraig Goldstein2014-04-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL West Under-25 RankingsBen Carsley2014-04-01
BP Announcements: BP and ICA Announce 4th Annual Celebrity Bartending Night in Scottsdale, ArizonaJoe Hamrahi2014-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Sounding the Depths of Each Team's RotationSam Miller2014-03-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Prospect Proximity RankingsR.J. Anderson2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 8-10Bret Sayre2014-02-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: San Diego Padres Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: San Diego PadresCraig Goldstein2014-01-10
This article requires BP Premium accessOne Move: National League WestCraig Goldstein2013-11-07
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 22, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: Injured NL Starting PitchersCraig Goldstein2013-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: The Prospects Who DisappointedBP Prospect Staff2013-09-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: The Prospects Who DisappointedJason Parks2013-09-09
Fantasy Mailbag: Getting the Big FishBP Fantasy Staff2013-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Burch SmithJason Cole2013-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Burch SmithBret Sayre2013-05-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Should We Start Pitchers Making Their Major-League Debuts?Bret Sayre2013-04-11
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 1, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-01
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 1, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-01
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
BP Announcements: David DeJesus Family Foundation to Host Celebrity Bartending NightJoe Hamrahi2013-03-17
Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part One: 1-50Bret Sayre2013-03-07
Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part One: 1-50Josh Shepardson2013-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: Different Ballparks, Same ProblemGeoff Young2013-03-05
BP Unfiltered: Top 101 Prospects of 2013, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2013-02-26
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-25
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Wednesday, February 6Daniel Rathman2013-02-06
Transaction Analysis: Stauffer in with the OthersR.J. Anderson2013-01-30
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: San Diego Padres Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-01-02
The Lineup Card: 11 Potential TradesBaseball Prospectus2012-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: Surprise, You Won 90 GamesGeoff Young2012-11-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: Three Days in the Desert, Part 1Geoff Young2012-11-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: The Year Baseball Went Missing in San DiegoGeoff Young2012-10-16
What You Need to Know: Friday, September 21Daniel Rathman2012-09-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Chasing WinsDerek Carty2012-09-06
BP Unfiltered: Casey Kelly's DebutGeoff Young2012-08-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Avoiding the Late-Season Ratio TrapDerek Carty2012-08-30
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, August 28Daniel Rathman2012-08-28
What You Need to Know: Monday, August 27Daniel Rathman2012-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten PackKevin Goldstein2012-08-13
BP Unfiltered: San Diego Might Make HistoryR.J. Anderson2012-06-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: La Casa SuciaGeoff Young2012-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: San Diego PadresJason Parks2012-05-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 11Kevin Goldstein2012-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Minor League Road TripsKevin Goldstein2012-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: NL West Prospect PreviewKevin Goldstein2012-04-06
Future Shock Blog: Top 101 Prospects: Opening Day AssignmentsKevin Goldstein2012-04-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Notable NRI: NL WestR.J. Anderson2012-03-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Top Nine High-Ceiling Prospect RotationsKevin Goldstein2012-02-21
Future Shock: Top 101 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-02-13
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: Perpetually Rebuilding the PadresGeoff Young2012-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: San Diego Padres Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: 2011 Minor League Awards: PitchersJason Parks2011-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: San Diego PadresKevin Goldstein2011-09-19
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: San Diego PadresJay Jaffe2011-09-19
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: San Diego PadresESPN Insider2011-09-19
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 20Kevin Goldstein2011-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: The Midseason Top 50 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-07-18
Transaction Analysis: Farm AidBen Lindbergh2011-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Positional Primary: Right-Handed PitchersJason Parks2011-06-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 25Kevin Goldstein2011-05-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 9thKevin Goldstein2011-05-10
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 4Kevin Goldstein2011-05-05
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 19Kevin Goldstein2011-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 14Kevin Goldstein2011-04-15
Future Shock Blog: Top 101 Cheat SheetKevin Goldstein2011-04-07
Minor Issues: Taiwanese Cyberspace, with Che-Hsuan LinDavid Laurila2011-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Payoff Pitch: Probing the Forbes FiguresNeil deMause2011-04-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Down the Rabbit HoleMarc Normandin2011-03-30
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Prospect Preview: AL EastKevin Goldstein2011-03-25
BP Podcast: Episode 40: Keeping The Demons AwayKevin Goldstein2011-03-02
Future Shock: BP's 2011 Top 101 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-02-28
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: San Diego Padres Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-02-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Milwaukee Brewers Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-12-21
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Gonzo about GonzalezJohn Perrotto2010-12-08
On the Beat: Refusing to SurrenderJohn Perrotto2010-12-07
Winter Meetings: Chatter from Disney (updated at 6:25 p.m.)John Perrotto2010-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Adrian Gonzalez and Shaun MarcumKevin Goldstein2010-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Adrian Gonzalez and Shaun MarcumChristina Kahrl2010-12-06
The Week in Quotes: November 29-December 5Alex Carnevale2010-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessGM for a Day: Boston Red SoxJay Jaffe2010-11-11
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of October 25Kevin Goldstein2010-10-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of October 13Kevin Goldstein2010-10-14
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Top 11 Review: AL EastKevin Goldstein2010-09-30
BP Podcast: Episode 18: I'm Stopping The Podcast!Kevin Goldstein2010-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessHow Much is That Star in The Window?: Daring to Deal an Impossible Half-Dozen Demi-godsChristina Kahrl2010-07-30
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 21Kevin Goldstein2010-07-22
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Scouting Casey KellyKevin Goldstein2010-07-16
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 6Kevin Goldstein2010-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Org Watch: Yankees, Red Sox, Blue JaysKevin Goldstein2010-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 31Kevin Goldstein2010-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 26Kevin Goldstein2010-05-27
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: The Top 101 Prospects Update, Part 1Kevin Goldstein2010-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Future Top Dogs, ALKevin Goldstein2010-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Top 101 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-03-03
The Week in Quotes: February 15-21Alex Carnevale2010-02-22
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Weekend UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-02-14
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Midweek UpdateJohn Perrotto2009-12-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: No Lack of LackeyJoe Sheehan2009-12-15
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Pre-Winter Meetings Shopping ListsJohn Perrotto2009-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: The Unbearable Lightness of Being the Red SoxJoe Sheehan2009-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: October 29Kevin Goldstein2009-10-29
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AFL Preview, Part OneKevin Goldstein2009-10-06
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Great Leaps Forward, ALKevin Goldstein2009-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: AL East Deadline RoundupChristina Kahrl2009-08-02
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: July 22Kevin Goldstein2009-07-22
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: July 15Kevin Goldstein2009-07-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Futures Game Ten PackKevin Goldstein2009-07-13
The Week in Quotes: July 6-12Alex Carnevale2009-07-13
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Futures Game RecapJohn Perrotto2009-07-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Futures Game Viewing GuideKevin Goldstein2009-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2009-06-29
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2009-06-22
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Latin Talent Market: A Scouting Report BonanzaKiley McDaniel2009-06-08
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: 2008 Draft Review: ALKevin Goldstein2009-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2009-04-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Future Top Dogs, ALKevin Goldstein2009-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Organizational Rankings, Part 2Kevin Goldstein2009-03-18


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance we see Casey Kelly up in the majors next year? And does he still project as a mid rotation starter?
(mdotmorris22 from Minnesota)
He's still coming back from injuries, after struggling in his cup of coffee in 2012, so I don't think there's any rush. The Padres have sufficient SP depth for the moment that they can afford to let him earn his way back. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)I can't seem to get this question answered, but maybe you can help. What is the best source of info on MiLB player injuries? I am in a deep dynasty league and it would be really helpful to better understand the extent of some of these injuries. Specifically, I haven't seen anything substantive in a long time on Casey Kelly, Tom Murphy, Keury Mella, Jose Martinez or Harold Ramirez. I just know they're all hurt. Thanks!
(DF from Wilmington, NC)
I'm afraid I don't have a specific answer for you, other than pestering beat reporters. There are lot of guys who are interactive on twitter and are willing to find that info for you, though I know it might now always be the case. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-06-07 10:30:00 (link to chat)Will Boston let Trey Ball go two ways at first (similar to what they did with Casey Kelly)?
(Alex from Boston)
In my opinion, I think you let Ball go two ways this summer and through instructs to see what you have. There's no downside to that. He was inconsistent enough with the bat this spring, however, that I think most evaluators (even those that concede they really liked what he showed last summer) would run him out there as an arm. I think Trey will apply himself happily to either role. (Nick Faleris on the MLB Draft)
2013-02-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)Which of Casey Kelly, Joe Wieland, Robbie Erlin has the most value for 2013? Long-term? 12-team NL-only Scoresheet league.
(Mark68 from A Mile High)
Erlin is my guy there (Jason Collette)
2013-03-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Give us a 2013 Casey Kelly prediction.
(Paul from DC)
Paul, my prediction is that Kelly won't play shortstop this year. Something useful? I'll say 15-20 starts, ERA in the low-4s. (Geoff Young)
2013-03-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Last year, Casey Kelly sped up his delivery and moved to the 1B side of the rubber for reportedly purposes of "deception" & control. To me, they seem more like cosmetic changes. Are moves like this designed more for an adjustment in a pitcher's mindset, or to possibly alter a scouting report? Is there data that says location on the rubber alters the ability to hit certain spots or is this sort of thing merely determined on a case-by-case basis? Thanks.
(Bryant from Oceanside, CA)
I am a big proponent of increasing momentum to add kinetic energy and to achieve a deeper release point, and pitchers with a slower motion leave a larger window of opportunity for timing to fall off track. The set-up position on the rubber is also a significant factor, though it is pitcher-specific. I don't believe in strict rules governing where a pitcher sets up, but it is critical to adjust the starting position on the rubber so that the pitcher can find his ideal release point. I believe that release point efficiency and consistency is far more important than creating angle on hitters (ie favoring control instead of deception), and every pitcher has a unique signature that dictates his optimal set-up position.

On the jukebox: Thrice, "Unquestioned Answers" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any thoughts on what we might see out of Skaggs or Casey Kelly this year?
(Ratcatcher from Narnia)
I like Kelly more because of ballpark and lack of competition. He should start in AAA, but should make it up in early summer if he success in AAA. If Skaggs beats out Delgado for the 5th spot, I'd change my tune a bit on his short-term prospects, but I'm not sure. ARI has an embarrassment of arms with 7-9 ready or on the cusp, plus Daniel Hudson in the wings. That damages Skaggs' 2013 outlook a bit. (Paul Sporer)
2012-11-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Keeper league question. I have the following pitchers: Casey Kelly $2, Iwakuma $3, Straily $3, W Peralta $2, Skaggs $1, Erlin $1, Delgado $1. I can keep 2, maybe 3 at their contract price for 2 or 3 years. Suggestions?
(SJLedet from Alexandria)
You've got a lot of solid options there. Tough call. I definitely keep Straily, then I probably go with Skaggs and one of Peralta/Kelly/Iwakuma (let's say Iwakuma unless you're looking for a bigger risk). If you only keep them for two years, it's less about upside and more about making sure you're taking someone who will help in 2013. (Derek Carty)
2012-10-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's Casey Kelly's ceiling?
(stewbies from Rochester, NY)
Solid #3 starter (Jason Parks)
2012-10-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)With all the breakout seasons from several rookies this year, what rookies do you see potential big seasons from next year?
(Rockford from Treeline)
You mentioned Shelby Miller and Wily Peralta earlier. Among pitchers, I think we'll see a much better showing from Tyler Skaggs and Casey Kelly in the National League, and I'm certainly looking forward to seeing Dylan Bundy in the AL. At the plate, I'll go with Jurickson Profar, Wil Myers, and perhaps toward the end of the year, a cameo from Billy Hamilton. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-08-30 13:30:00 (link to chat)What's your opinion on Casey Kelly? What's his ceiling? Looked impressive in his debut.
(Jerry from California)
Is anyone still with me? Sorry about that, folks--I restarted all my electronic devices, and things are still extremely slow. For now, I'm able to cruise the World Wide Web again, albeit in the way that I did when I exchanged my 28.8k modem for a 33.6k. (That was a wonderful day.)

Kelly did look good, as Geoff Young wrote today. wrote today. Probably not a top-of-the-rotation guy, but in Petco, with that kind of control? Yeah, he's going to be good.

While I have semi-working internet again, here's Sam's article on the Orioles. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-08-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Have you heard of any progress from Casey Kelly on his rehab? Assuming no major setbacks, does he make the starting rotation out of ST next year?
(captnamerca from Dunedin, FL)
I haven't heard anything about Casey Kelly. I wouldn't anticipate him making the opening day rotation, either. Though a lot can happen between now and then. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Just wondering about Martin Perez and where you think his ceiling might be given the contrast between his tools and that the numbers never seem to back them up. Seems to be turning into Casey Kelly.
(Eric from Minneapolis, MN)
Well, he just turned 21 and is at least holding his own at AAA. I still trust the scouting reports more than the numbers in his case. With his stuff, his ceiling is still sky-high. (Ken Funck)
2011-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Casey Kelly in that Aaron Hicks category? Looks great, but the performance doesn't seem to be there. Is there still #2 upside with him or is he more of a innings guy in your opinion?
(BrowningNagle from Louisville, KY)
Yes. He's the starter on the "Why Isn't This Guy Better?" team. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'd also been overconfidently thinking this morning of Greinke-to-Boston possibilities. What sort of package might get that done? The Royals seem a bit weak up the middle, so Ellsbury-Lowrie seems an easy starting point, but now-Padre Casey Kelly seemed the Sox' obvious "pitcher who could be Greinke in a year or two." And at what point does speculating about that just become unfair Yankee-needling?
(Brendan from Boston)
To get Greinke, I think you have to accept that Buchholz is in Royals/Red Sox deal. Ellsbury and Lowrie are nice, but hardly blue-chip talents; they're the add-ons. However, I don't think the Sox can make this deal--or any deal including Ellsbury--until March, when they and their dance partner know more about both Ellsbury and Cameron and how well they're coming back from injury. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would it be feasible to groom Casey Kelly as a SP and defensive specialist at SS? Have I been thinking entirely too much about baseball this cold winter?
(EricJ from SF)
I bugged Kevin with exactly that kind of question a couple of years ago, and got reality-checked for my trouble. I'd put it in that bulging "ain't gonna happen" file. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)You support this move for the Sox? Why not let it ride and have a choice of Agonz, Fielder or Pujols after 2011 with no NYY in the mix. I don't know how much money sox save on Gonzalez with the rumored numbers being mentioned.
(SK from DC)
Absolutely. First off, Fielder isn't that great. Terrible defensive first baseman, and really, do we know if he's a pretty good hitter or a great hitter yet? He never seems to be the same thing two years in a row, and he needs to be excellent all the time to make up for that glove. I don't think Pujols is leaving St. Louis--other teams would be in the mix solely to make sure the Cards pay up.

The Cubs love Adrian Gonzalez, and have the money to throw at him in 2012 if he was available. Eight teams inquired about him in a trade, so there is interest there. Anthony Rizzo has no future in the organization if the Sox are acquiring a first baseman anyways, so this is basically trading Casey Kelly and Reymond Fuentes for the rights to Gonzalez in 2011, as well as the right to negotiate with him during the season. I'm very optimistic he'll be signed well before the season is over.

If Boston gets Gonzalez for $22M a year, then this is a steal. Just assume $5M per win for a minute, Gonzalez is something like a $25-30M win player a year. Getting him for less money than Ryan Howard is silly, but I'll take it. (Marc Normandin)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)So you Red Sox joy counterbalances your Padres' sadness on the Gonzalez deal?
(formersd from San Diego)
There really isn't any Padres' sadness, honestly. Here is my thinking.

As great as Adrian Gonzalez is--and he's one of the top players in the game--he is one guy. The Padres had reason to believe the 2011 team could be a bit better, with an improved rotation, a full season of (healthy) Ryan Ludwick, Cameron Maybin possibly blossoming in center with another year in the majors, Kyle Blanks coming back from his TJ surgery, etc. If they acquire Brendan Ryan in a trade to man shortstop as is expected, and then sign someone like Derrek Lee to play first base, then you're talking about a team that could still win something like 82-85 games. Then, in 2012, you have Casey Kelly, Anthony Rizzo, Simon Castro and maybe Drew Cumberland coming up if he continues to tear up the minors. That is an exciting roster all of a sudden, and it was brought about without fielding a terrible team.

The Padres can trade Bell and Ludwick in July and still have a decent team, assuming Aaron Cunningham or Kyle Blanks can slot into Ludwick's place and they bump Mike Adams up to the role of closer. The gloom and doom mentality coming out of San Diego after the trade of Adrian Gonzalez is almost enough to make me start a Padres' blog in response. (Marc Normandin)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)How intent, if at all , is BOS in moving Dice-K? He might make a nice pickup forCubs in a swap of so-so contracts.
(Matt from Chicago)
I don't think they are desperate to move him or anything, but he does represent the only rotation spot they can mess with until 2014, so if the right opportunity presents itself they may do it. They may be a little more loathe to do so now that Casey Kelly is gone, as Felix Doubront is the lone high-minors pitching prospect they have left, but they are definitely listening if people ask. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)How much has the stock dropped for Casey Kelly. What do you see his upside as?
(Mike from Utica,NY)
I'm not sure it's dropped ALL that much. I talked to a scout about him yesterday. He said all the stuff from last year is there, but he's throwing way too many strikes and leaving a lot of balls right in hitter's wheelhouse. He wanted to see Kelly get more aggressive and find a mean streak, but he had no issues with the stuff. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-03-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)KG, how about some lightning round? Quicker to the majors: Westmoreland or Casey Kelly?
(Bud Light Golden Wheat from Has a robust flavor, but so does sewage)
Kelly, just less of a ceiling. I've already gone more than four hours, but I have some time, so keep 'em coming. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-12-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mark, Using the Santana Trade as a template: Is a trade of Boston players: Casey Kelly (5 star prospect), Jed Lowrie (MLB Utility INF possible SS/2B), plus a B/B- level prospect like a Gibson (SS)[Navarro (INF) or Lin (OF)] for Doc Halladay work? Remember, Santana netted the Twins Carlos Gomez, great defense with a progressing bat, and the Mulvey/Humber/Guerra trio. Not a very impressive bevy of pitchers. In short, Minnosota received 1 really good player plus some filler in the trade - due to Santana's trade demands, his potential extention price tag and having only 1 year left on the existing contract. The Blue Jays can't possibly get much more than the Twins received in their Trade?
(Steven from New England)
I think Minnesota's deal would actually be a reason to expect the Jays to get more, as they will hold out as long as they can until someone is desperate enough to cave in to their demands. I'm not sure how accurate the reports are, but I kept hearing that the Sox would have to give up both Kelley and Clay Buchholz to make this work. I'm not sure how I feel about that, as much as I love Halladay. (Marc Normandin)
2009-10-09 13:30:00 (link to chat)Where would you rank Casey Kelly in terms of pitching prospects? Is he more front end/ace rotation stuff, or 2-3 type?
(Adam from Norfolk, VA)
I'd rank him pretty damn high, but I do think his ceiling is 2-3. That's not an insult AT ALL. 1s are crazy rare -- even 2s and 3s are. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)What does Casey Kelly have to do to get another shot at playing shortstop?
(Nick Smith from Allston, MA)
Well, he kinda sorta has that shot now, doesn't he? Baseball can be unpredictable, so assuming that his future is sure-fire as a pitcher based on, essentially half a season, is...iffy. Kelly has clearly been superb on the mound this season, and will presumably leap near the top of KG's Red Sox top 11 next spring, but it's early. Very early. (David Laurila)
2009-07-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Lars still the Red Sox best prospect or has Casey Kelly passed him?
(Jack from Boston)
I'd take Kelly over Anderson pretty easily. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Has Casey Kelly moved into your personal top 10 pitching prospects?
(Jeremy from Boston)
TEN? Probably a bit strong for me. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-03-19 15:00:00 (link to chat)Is there anyone in the Boston system that you're particularly excited to see debut this year?
(Rob from Brighton)
Tons of guys. The '08 draft is full of guys like Westmoreland and Hissey, not to mention (while he has already played some), 1st round pick Casey Kelly getting some time at shortstop and starting pitcher. (Kevin Goldstein)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Casey Kelly threw 1,048 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2010 and 2013, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, Spring Training and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph) and Sinker (92mph), also mixing in a Curve (81mph) and Change (87mph).