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He's probably very handsome. Ryan Kalish
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Center Field
Bats L
Age 20
6' 1"
205 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 RSX 0R 21 6 2 0 1 2 1 2 0 0 -0.4 .300 .333 .550 .325 .250 .286 .450 .247 0.4 0.1
2006 LOW 1A 40 8 0 1 0 4 2 14 2 0 0.3 .200 .275 .257 -.145 .162 .220 .216 .155 -9.5 -0.2
2007 LOW 1A 104 27 4 1 3 13 16 12 18 3 1.2 .368 .471 .540 .532 .308 .388 .440 .295 14.2 22-CF 0 1.1


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 12:33 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 589 98 35 5 12 61 53 106 27 8 2.1 .300 .366 .458 .113 .292 .362 .468 .294 31.9 138-CF -2 5.7
75o 570 87 33 5 11 57 49 107 26 8 2.0 .288 .353 .435 .051 .280 .349 .444 .283 22.4 134-CF -2 4.9
60o 550 76 30 4 9 52 45 108 24 8 1.8 .276 .339 .410 -.014 .269 .335 .419 .271 13.2 129-CF -1 4.1
50o 541 72 29 4 8 50 43 109 24 7 1.8 .271 .333 .400 -.041 .264 .330 .409 .266 9.5 127-CF -1 3.7
40o 529 67 28 4 8 48 41 109 23 7 1.7 .264 .325 .386 -.078 .257 .321 .395 .259 4.6 125-CF -1 3.3
25o 504 56 25 3 6 43 36 110 21 7 1.6 .250 .308 .358 -.154 .243 .305 .366 .243 -4.8 119-CF -1 2.4
10o 485 49 23 3 5 39 33 110 20 7 1.4 .240 .297 .338 -.206 .234 .293 .346 .232 -10.6 115-CF -1 1.8
Weighted Mean 541 63 27 4 6 46 39 118 23 7 1.5 .250 .309 .359 -.152 .244 .305 .366 .243 -5.4 127-CF -1 2.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

6%

27%

48%

10%

1.20

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 20) 541 63 27 4 6 46 39 118 23 7 1.5 .250 .309 .359 -.152 .244 .305 .366 .243 -5.4 127-CF -1 2.9
2009 (age 21) 580 76 31 4 8 54 47 119 24 8 1.7 .263 .325 .385 -.080 .259 .327 .400 .257 4.3 136-CF -2 3.5
2010 (age 22) 555 72 28 4 8 52 45 108 23 7 1.5 .263 .327 .383 -.079 .260 .329 .398 .258 4.1 130-CF -1 3.2
2011 (age 23) 535 71 28 4 8 53 45 100 22 7 1.3 .270 .335 .395 -.044 .267 .337 .411 .264 6.8 126-CF -2 3.1
2012 (age 24) 511 71 28 3 11 50 46 94 19 6 1.2 .279 .347 .425 .020 .275 .348 .442 .276 12.5 120-CF -2 3.4
2013 (age 25) 517 73 29 4 9 51 48 89 21 7 1.1 .282 .351 .418 .020 .278 .353 .434 .277 11.4 122-CF -3 3.1
2014 (age 26) 504 75 28 4 12 55 48 83 22 6 0.8 .292 .361 .449 .086 .288 .363 .467 .289 13.2 119-CF -1 3.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .224 .282 .309
vs RHP .260 .321 .390
Split -.035 -.040 -.081
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.7 2.2 2.9 $3,675,000 -1.5 2.5
2009 1.5 2.0 3.5 $6,400,000 7.6 8.2
2010 1.4 1.9 3.2 $6,200,000 7.5 5.5
2011 1.5 1.6 3.1 $6,625,000 9.4 10.3
2012 1.9 1.5 3.4 $9,000,000 14.9 16.4
2013 1.7 1.3 3.1 $8,500,000 13.2 13.5
2014 1.7 1.4 3.1 $9,825,000 15.3 18.7
Peak 19.4 $34,475,000 83.3 91.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .283 .266 .243 .243
2009 .271 .250 .233 .257
2010 .266 .255 .239 .258
2011 .271 .260 .231 .264
2012 .291 .268 .251 .276
2013 .287 .267 .246 .277
2014 .309 .283 .253 .289


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 10% 0% 6%
2009 3% 3% 13%
2010 8% 5% 16%
2011 17% 13% 20%
2012 22% 21% 32%
2013 27% 27% 31%
2014 42% 41% 38%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

5

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
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Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Trey Beamon 1992 40 11 Jorge Piedra 2003 33
2 Johnny Damon 1979 36 12 Carlos Valderrama 1971 33
3 Andre King 1981 36 13 Bobby Abreu 1982 33
4 Midre Cummings 1970 36 14 Felipe Crespo 1960 33
5 Paul Rappoli 1973 35 15 Kenny Kelly 2007 32
6 Duane Singleton 1992 35 16 Chris Snelling 1975 32
7 Rich Becker 1975 34 17 Rondell White 1969 32
8 Nate Mclouth 1975 34 18 Josh Womack 2000 31
9 Pat Bryant 1957 34 19 Buck Mcnabb 1979 30
10 Xavier Paul 1998 33 20 Tike Redman 2005 30

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