Brian Jeroloman

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2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/8/09 12:06 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	462	54	22	1	9	44	63	98	1	0	-1.1	.245	.351	.381	-.060	.246	.352	.390	.266	11.8	109-C -4	2.9
75^o	440	46	20	1	8	39	58	96	1	0	-1.0	.232	.337	.357	-.123	.234	.339	.366	.254	4.7	105-C -4	2.1
60^o	413	38	17	1	7	34	52	93	1	0	-0.9	.217	.321	.329	-.199	.218	.322	.337	.238	-2.8	98-C -4	1.3
50^o	400	34	16	1	6	32	50	91	1	0	-0.9	.210	.313	.315	-.236	.211	.314	.323	.231	-6.2	95-C -4	0.9
40^o	389	32	15	1	5	30	48	90	1	0	-0.8	.204	.307	.305	-.264	.205	.308	.312	.225	-8.5	93-C -4	0.7
25^o	358	25	13	1	4	25	42	85	1	0	-0.7	.189	.290	.276	-.340	.190	.291	.282	.207	-14.2	86-C -3	0.0
10^o	302	16	10	0	2	17	33	76	1	0	-0.6	.164	.263	.231	-.461	.165	.264	.236	.175	-20.5	73-C -3	-0.9
Weighted Mean	420	37	17	1	6	34	53	95	1	0	-0.9	.212	.315	.319	-.212	.213	.317	.326	.233	-5.1	100-C -4	1.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
21%	36%	34%	17%	1.10

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 24)	420	37	17	1	6	34	53	95	1	0	-0.9	.212	.315	.319	-.212	.213	.317	.326	.233	-5.1	100-C -4	1.0
2010 (age 25)	391	35	17	1	6	32	49	89	1	0	-0.7	.219	.321	.333	-.179	.223	.327	.344	.239	-1.7	94-C -4	1.0
2011 (age 26)	385	34	17	1	6	32	50	89	1	0	-0.5	.213	.320	.330	-.188	.217	.325	.342	.239	-1.9	92-C -5	0.9
2012 (age 27)	406	39	18	1	7	34	52	88	1	0	-0.4	.228	.331	.345	-.137	.232	.337	.358	.248	1.0	97-C -5	1.0
2013 (age 28)	449	45	20	1	7	36	62	94	1	0	-0.4	.220	.332	.336	-.152	.224	.338	.348	.246	0.2	106-C -5	0.9
2014 (age 29)	299	24	12	1	5	25	40	64	1	0	-0.2	.218	.326	.333	-.168	.222	.332	.345	.242	-0.4	73-C -8	0.5
2015 (age 30)	329	29	13	1	6	27	46	68	1	0	-0.2	.221	.331	.337	-.152	.224	.337	.349	.246	0.1	80-C -8	0.5

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.184	.288	.265
vs RHP	.220	.328	.348
Split	-.035	-.040	-.083
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-2.2	-4.0	1.0	$675,000	-6.1	1.6
2010	0.5	-4.0	1.0	$1,200,000	-2.4	3.3
2011	0.3	-5.0	0.9	$1,175,000	-2.1	2.7
2012	4.0	-5.0	1.0	$1,525,000	0.9	5.9
2013	3.7	-5.0	0.9	$1,500,000	0.0	3.9
2014	1.3	-8.0	0.5	$1,075,000	-1.6	2.2
2015	2.6	-8.0	0.5	$1,225,000	-0.3	2.7
Peak			5.2	$4,225,000	0.0	20.8

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.254	.231	.207	.233
2010	.257	.235	.220	.239
2011	.259	.236	.219	.239
2012	.278	.243	.213	.248
2013	.278	.240	.224	.246
2014	.261	.238	.196	.242
2015	.264	.243	.204	.246

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	17%	0%	21%
2010	34%	17%	20%
2011	46%	32%	26%
2012	55%	40%	24%
2013	59%	46%	25%
2014	71%	50%	16%
2015	76%	62%	17%

37

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Bob Henley	1997	44		11	Jim Sundberg	1975	26
2	Mark Johnson	1999	37		12	Mickey Tettleton	1984	26
3	Bo Dodson	1995	36		13	Jeremy Brown	2003	24
4	Todd Betts	1997	35		14	Todd Logan	1991	23
5	Jamie Hoffner	1991	34		15	Mike Rose	2000	23
6	Mike Twardoski	1988	33		16	Pete Gonzalez	1994	23
7	Dave Hogg	1981	30		17	Sean Hugo	1996	23
8	Jeffrey Tomski	1981	29		18	Vernon Ramie	1982	22
9	George Kottaras	2007	29		19	Dan Moylan	2003	22
10	Scott Hatteberg	1994	29		20	Jeffrey Corsaletti	2007	21

Player Comments

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2008

That stat line isn't a misprint. Last year, in 382 plate-appearances, Jeroloman drew 85 walks, resulting in an on-base percentage 162 points above his batting average. That said, the ability to draw walks is the sum of his offensive abilities. Combine that with above-average defensive skills and you have a guy who should be a decent backup at a position at which it's hard to find even that.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	AUB	A-	169	27	10	1	0	21	26	38	0	0	0.1	.241	.363	.326	-.420	.176	.274	.250	.183	-29.2	32-C 1	-0.9
2007	DUN	A+	382	32	14	0	3	39	85	57	0	0	-2.9	.259	.421	.338	-.169	.215	.368	.291	.251	-5.7	92-C -9	0.3
2008	NHP	AA	285	30	15	0	6	31	47	47	0	0	0.1	.270	.396	.416	-.015	.253	.369	.399	.275	8.3	64-C -5	1.3
2008	SYR	AAA	88	5	2	0	0	5	11	17	0	0	0.1	.200	.302	.227	-.439	.184	.287	.211	.179	-8.2	22-C 1	-0.2

Historical Stats