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He's probably very handsome. Brian Jeroloman
Toronto Blue Jays [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 23
6'
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 AUB 1A 169 27 10 1 0 21 26 38 0 0 0.1 .241 .363 .326 .073 .196 .292 .277 .203 -17.3 32-C 3 0.8
2007 DUN 1C 382 32 14 0 3 39 85 57 0 0 -2.9 .259 .421 .338 .084 .225 .376 .301 .257 3.0 92-C -6 2.7


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 12:14 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 465 60 25 2 8 41 68 101 2 1 -1.1 .249 .362 .384 -.028 .248 .364 .388 .274 14.3 110-C -1 4.2
75o 430 48 21 1 6 36 61 96 2 1 -0.9 .235 .346 .354 -.102 .234 .347 .358 .259 5.6 102-C -1 3.3
60o 407 41 19 1 5 33 56 92 2 1 -0.9 .226 .335 .335 -.150 .225 .336 .338 .248 0.7 97-C 0 2.7
50o 374 33 16 1 4 29 49 86 2 1 -0.8 .214 .320 .309 -.215 .213 .322 .312 .234 -5.3 90-C 0 2.0
40o 356 29 15 1 3 27 46 83 2 1 -0.7 .208 .312 .296 -.249 .207 .314 .299 .226 -7.9 86-C 0 1.7
25o 327 24 13 1 3 23 40 77 1 1 -0.6 .199 .300 .275 -.301 .198 .302 .278 .213 -11.3 79-C 0 1.2
10o 273 16 9 0 1 18 32 66 1 1 -0.5 .183 .280 .241 -.388 .182 .281 .243 .190 -15.2 67-C 0 0.6
Weighted Mean 396 37 18 1 5 31 53 90 2 1 -0.8 .219 .325 .318 -.192 .218 .327 .321 .239 -3.3 95-C -1 2.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

29%

47%

29%

15%

0.94

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 23) 396 37 18 1 5 31 53 90 2 1 -0.8 .219 .325 .318 -.192 .218 .327 .321 .239 -3.3 95-C -1 2.5
2009 (age 24) 346 32 17 1 5 28 46 77 2 1 -0.6 .224 .330 .338 -.156 .227 .337 .349 .247 0.1 83-C 0 2.1
2010 (age 25) 344 33 17 1 6 29 44 73 2 1 -0.5 .236 .336 .357 -.114 .239 .343 .368 .254 2.5 83-C 1 1.9
2011 (age 26) 316 29 14 1 5 27 43 68 1 1 -0.4 .229 .336 .344 -.136 .231 .343 .354 .251 1.0 77-C -3 1.3
2012 (age 27) 342 34 16 1 4 28 49 66 1 1 -0.3 .238 .350 .346 -.102 .240 .357 .357 .259 1.9 82-C -4 1.2
2013 (age 28) 355 36 18 1 6 33 48 67 1 1 -0.3 .240 .345 .365 -.086 .243 .352 .376 .260 2.3 85-C -4 1.1
2014 (age 29) 305 28 13 1 5 27 42 56 1 1 -0.3 .233 .341 .344 -.124 .236 .348 .354 .253 0.9 74-C -5 0.9

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .190 .298 .261
vs RHP .227 .339 .348
Split -.036 -.041 -.087
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.4 2.2 2.5 $3,075,000 -2.2 2.8
2009 0.5 1.6 2.1 $2,700,000 0.7 5.1
2010 0.6 1.3 1.9 $3,025,000 3.3 4.8
2011 0.4 0.9 1.3 $1,650,000 -0.3 2.0
2012 0.4 0.7 1.2 $1,825,000 1.4 3.5
2013 0.4 0.7 1.1 $2,025,000 2.0 4.0
2014 0.3 0.7 0.9 $1,375,000 0.0 2.2
Peak 33.7 $100,150,000 7.1 22.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .259 .234 .213 .239
2009 .256 .243 .219 .247
2010 .263 .241 .229 .254
2011 .258 .247 .227 .251
2012 .267 .248 .229 .259
2013 .264 .247 .239 .260
2014 .252 .243 .231 .253


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 15% 0% 29%
2009 36% 13% 28%
2010 53% 30% 34%
2011 55% 38% 34%
2012 64% 58% 31%
2013 72% 60% 27%
2014 76% 58% 22%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

19

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Pete Gonzalez 1992 40 11 Chris Iannetta 2003 33
2 Mark Johnson 1979 36 12 Bob Henley 1971 33
3 Cory Dunlap 1981 36 13 Rob Juday 1982 33
4 Eric Albright 1970 36 14 Mike Dirosa 1960 33
5 Joshua Alley 1973 35 15 Eric Christopherson 2007 32
6 Darren Bragg 1992 35 16 Billy Jo Robidoux 1975 32
7 Todd Betts 1975 34 17 Ed Giovanola 1969 32
8 Tug Hulett 1975 34 18 David Keel 2000 31
9 Bryan Graves 1957 34 19 Jason Grabowski 1979 30
10 George Kottaras 1998 33 20 Tom Evans 2005 30

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