John Jaso

<< PECOTA Home

Player Search

');// -->

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 12:12 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	508	64	28	2	13	60	47	72	3	2	-0.3	.276	.346	.436	.031	.279	.351	.458	.283	24.0	120-C -12	4.1
75^o	477	53	25	1	11	54	42	71	3	2	-0.2	.262	.330	.407	-.044	.266	.335	.427	.269	13.8	113-C -12	3.1
60^o	458	48	23	1	10	50	39	71	3	2	-0.2	.254	.321	.389	-.089	.257	.326	.409	.260	8.1	109-C -12	2.5
50^o	443	43	21	1	9	47	37	70	2	2	-0.2	.247	.314	.376	-.123	.251	.319	.395	.253	4.1	105-C -12	2.1
40^o	433	40	20	1	9	45	36	70	2	2	-0.2	.243	.309	.366	-.146	.246	.314	.385	.248	1.5	103-C -12	1.8
25^o	412	35	18	1	7	41	33	68	2	2	-0.2	.234	.299	.348	-.193	.238	.304	.366	.238	-3.3	98-C -12	1.3
10^o	372	27	14	1	5	34	28	65	2	1	-0.2	.219	.281	.316	-.275	.222	.286	.332	.219	-10.6	89-C -12	0.4
Weighted Mean	463	47	22	1	10	51	39	72	3	2	-0.2	.250	.317	.382	-.106	.254	.322	.401	.256	4.8	110-C -13	2.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
11%	36%	29%	12%	0.83

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 24)	463	47	22	1	10	51	39	72	3	2	-0.2	.250	.317	.382	-.106	.254	.322	.401	.256	4.8	110-C -13	2.6
2009 (age 25)	462	50	23	1	11	54	40	66	3	1	-0.2	.255	.323	.397	-.074	.262	.333	.425	.263	8.0	109-C -14	2.3
2010 (age 26)	426	44	20	1	10	50	38	62	3	2	-0.2	.257	.326	.398	-.066	.264	.337	.426	.265	7.3	101-C -13	2.0
2011 (age 27)	410	43	20	1	11	49	37	60	2	1	-0.2	.260	.331	.406	-.044	.268	.342	.435	.268	7.7	98-C -14	1.8
2012 (age 28)	467	54	23	1	13	55	45	66	3	2	-0.2	.264	.338	.415	-.018	.271	.349	.445	.274	8.1	111-C -14	1.7
2013 (age 29)	474	54	22	1	13	62	46	68	3	1	-0.2	.260	.334	.409	-.035	.268	.345	.438	.271	6.5	112-C -19	1.4
2014 (age 30)	433	44	20	1	11	53	41	57	2	1	-0.1	.249	.321	.389	-.091	.256	.332	.416	.259	3.2	103-C -15	1.2

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.225	.289	.331
vs RHP	.259	.331	.419
Split	-.034	-.041	-.087
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	1.2	1.4	2.6	$3,875,000	5.1	2.9
2009	1.3	1.0	2.3	$4,100,000	7.8	7.4
2010	1.1	0.9	2.0	$3,900,000	7.6	6.3
2011	1.1	0.7	1.8	$3,825,000	7.5	5.4
2012	1.1	0.7	1.7	$4,200,000	8.5	9.2
2013	0.9	0.5	1.4	$3,225,000	5.4	6.2
2014	0.6	0.6	1.2	$2,475,000	2.7	4.3
Peak			11.8	$17,300,000	41.9	38.8

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.269	.253	.238	.256
2009	.276	.256	.240	.263
2010	.275	.259	.230	.265
2011	.282	.257	.237	.268
2012	.282	.262	.239	.274
2013	.288	.265	.232	.271
2014	.282	.253	.204	.259

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	12%	0%	11%
2009	23%	10%	18%
2010	40%	21%	13%
2011	50%	33%	21%
2012	56%	44%	16%
2013	70%	49%	20%
2014	65%	56%	13%

55

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong! Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Rusty Greer	1992	40		11	Tim Belk	2003	33
2	Jamie Dismuke	1979	36		12	Bubba Carpenter	1971	33
3	Andy Barkett	1981	36		13	Kevin Burford	1982	33
4	Chris Carter	1970	36		14	Brian Giles	1960	33
5	Ray Brown	1973	35		15	Shawn Hare	2007	32
6	Chris Ebright	1992	35		16	Doug Deeds	1975	32
7	Matt Franco	1975	34		17	Kevin Grijak	1969	32
8	David Dellucci	1975	34		18	Luke Allen	2000	31
9	Jay Gibbons	1957	34		19	Robin Jennings	1979	30
10	Raul Ibanez	1998	33		20	Jim Foster	2005	30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Jaso followed up his breakout 2005 with a .309/.362/.451 line for Visalia in High-A ball. Careful, though: Everyone hits in the Cal League, which means he only managed a .246 EqA. If he doesn`t stick behind the plate--Jaso`s defense gets an `e` for effort--he doesn`t have enough bat to be an asset at first or DH.

2006

At 19, Jaso hit about as well as you would expect from a 12^th-round pick, but he has blossomed since. He`s selective, and showed home run power for the first time last year. Ostensibly a catcher, he was limited to DH duties late in the season because of a shoulder injury. The next step is to play over 100 games in a season and see what shakes out.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	SWM	1B	386	61	25	1	14	50	42	53	3	1	1.4	.307	.383	.515	.269	.255	.319	.417	.255	9.6	27-C 2	1.9
2006	VIS	1C	406	58	22	0	10	55	31	48	1	2	-0.7	.309	.362	.451	.122	.253	.298	.368	.232	-2.1	21-C -4	0.3
2007	MNT	2A	450	62	24	2	12	71	59	49	2	2	-0.2	.316	.408	.484	.293	.285	.369	.444	.283	29.5	68-C 1	4.2

Historical Stats