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Jason Jaramillo
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 25
6'
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 LWD 1B 496 46 28 4 8 63 44 72 2 3 -3.3 .304 .368 .438 .211 .245 .296 .345 .222 -8.5 102-C -10 1.4
2006 REA 2A 364 35 25 1 6 39 32 55 0 1 -1.4 .248 .320 .388 .011 .229 .294 .370 .231 -4.1 81-C 1 2.2
2006 SWB 3A 7 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0.0 .167 .143 .167 -.644 .167 .143 .167 .106 -1.2 0.0
2007 OTT 3A 496 52 13 4 6 56 50 79 0 1 -1.8 .271 .350 .361 .018 .255 .331 .352 .243 3.1 108-C -8 2.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 12:11 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 414 56 22 1 13 52 43 69 2 1 -1.1 .292 .370 .472 .109 .288 .368 .462 .284 25.3 99-C -4 4.2
75o 388 42 19 1 10 44 35 67 2 1 -0.9 .266 .337 .411 -.049 .262 .335 .403 .255 9.8 93-C -4 2.8
60o 375 37 17 1 8 41 32 67 2 1 -0.8 .254 .322 .384 -.120 .250 .320 .376 .241 3.4 90-C -3 2.3
50o 369 35 17 1 7 39 31 66 1 1 -0.8 .249 .315 .372 -.152 .245 .313 .364 .234 0.7 89-C -3 2.0
40o 364 32 16 1 7 38 29 66 1 1 -0.8 .243 .309 .361 -.182 .240 .307 .353 .228 -1.8 87-C -3 1.8
25o 352 28 15 1 6 35 26 65 1 1 -0.7 .233 .295 .338 -.244 .230 .293 .330 .215 -6.7 85-C -3 1.3
10o 327 21 12 1 3 29 22 63 1 1 -0.6 .215 .271 .296 -.355 .211 .269 .290 .188 -14.5 79-C -2 0.5
Weighted Mean 392 39 18 1 8 43 33 70 2 1 -0.8 .252 .320 .380 -.132 .248 .317 .372 .237 4.8 94-C -2 2.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

25%

50%

24%

31%

0.95

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 392 39 18 1 8 43 33 70 2 1 -0.8 .252 .320 .380 -.132 .248 .317 .372 .237 4.8 94-C -2 2.6
2009 (age 26) 355 33 16 1 7 37 29 63 1 1 -0.7 .250 .316 .377 -.143 .242 .309 .362 .235 1.2 85-C -2 1.8
2010 (age 27) 349 33 16 1 7 38 30 62 1 1 -0.6 .252 .320 .381 -.128 .244 .313 .366 .238 2.1 84-C -4 1.6
2011 (age 28) 349 35 17 1 9 39 29 57 1 1 -0.5 .264 .329 .411 -.065 .255 .321 .395 .249 5.3 84-C -4 1.7
2012 (age 29) 345 33 16 1 7 37 29 59 1 1 -0.6 .260 .328 .393 -.095 .252 .320 .377 .244 3.6 83-C -2 1.6
2013 (age 30) 385 36 16 1 8 41 32 67 1 1 -0.4 .241 .308 .370 -.172 .234 .301 .355 .229 -0.5 92-C -3 1.1
2014 (age 31) 296 24 13 1 6 29 25 50 1 1 -0.3 .244 .312 .359 -.178 .237 .305 .344 .228 -0.6 72-C -5 0.9

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .260 .317 .383
vs RHP .249 .321 .378
Split +.011 -.003 +.005
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.4 2.3 2.6 $3,275,000 0.5 6.1
2009 0.2 1.5 1.8 $2,075,000 -3.0 3.7
2010 0.3 1.3 1.6 $2,000,000 -3.3 2.9
2011 0.5 1.1 1.7 $2,375,000 1.0 6.1
2012 0.4 1.2 1.6 $2,275,000 0.0 4.2
2013 0.1 1.0 1.1 $1,525,000 -3.4 2.1
2014 0.0 0.8 0.9 $1,325,000 -4.0 1.0
Peak 10.4 $9,475,000 0.0 25.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .255 .234 .215 .237
2009 .255 .236 .220 .235
2010 .261 .235 .214 .238
2011 .275 .249 .227 .249
2012 .274 .243 .209 .244
2013 .258 .234 .207 .229
2014 .258 .235 .189 .228


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 31% 0% 25%
2009 46% 9% 22%
2010 51% 16% 30%
2011 55% 25% 38%
2012 54% 23% 29%
2013 67% 40% 21%
2014 77% 47% 22%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

55

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Josh Bard 1992 40 11 Jim Campanis 2003 33
2 Koyie Hill 1979 36 12 Scott Hatteberg 1971 33
3 Buck Rodgers 1981 36 13 Tom Nieto 1982 33
4 J.D. Closser 1970 36 14 Steve Swisher 1960 33
5 Raul Casanova 1973 35 15 Jimmie Coker 2007 32
6 Bruce Benedict 1992 35 16 Jim Sundberg 1975 32
7 Mike Fitzgerald 1975 34 17 Paul Bako 1969 32
8 Jerry May 1975 34 18 Mike Durant 2000 31
9 Alan Ashby 1957 34 19 Rick Cerone 1979 30
10 Cam Carreon 1998 33 20 Brian Johnson 2005 30

Player Comments

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2007

Mike Lieberthal`s departure creates a long-term catching void, one that management hoped would be filled by Jaramillo. It still may be, but not in 2007. Jaramillo was aggressively pushed up two levels last year, and his offense suffered, although the bruised hand that cost him three weeks early on didn`t help. Defensively solid, his lack of speed means he`ll need to make plenty of solid contact to get hits, something he did in college with metal bats but hasn`t done as a pro.

2006

A 23-year-old catch-and-throw receiver compared to Johnny Estrada, Jaramillo`s 2005 batting stats in the Sally League were encouraging. Still, he`ll be lucky if he beats Estrada`s career mark of playing in 100 games in a season before turning 28.


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