Biographical

Portrait of Javier Herrera

Javier Herrera LFGiants

Giants Player Cards | Giants Team Audit | Giants Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 29)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .247 6 28 27 7 .258 0.2
Birth Date4-9-1985
Height5' 11"
Weight225 lbs
Age29 years, 6 months, 12 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2004 VAN A- 65 293 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .391 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 KNC A 94 422 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .363 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 SAC AAA 5 15 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .400 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 STO A+ 62 279 .293 .264 .343 .408 .268 .328 97 10.4 8.5 -0.4 -0.1 -0.0 18.4 1.8 18.4 1.8
2007 MID AA 20 79 .263 .275 .346 .422 .267 .273 105 0.3 2.2 -0.4 -0.5 0.2 3.3 0.3 3.3 0.3
2008 MID AA 61 281 .276 .269 .341 .408 .277 .333 90 5 8.3 -3.4 -2.2 0.4 9.0 0.7 9.0 0.7
2009 MID AA 1 2 -.010 .288 .276 .329 .231 .000 91 -0.6 0.1 0 -0.0 0.0 -0.5 -0.1 -0.5 -0.1
2012 LAG Wnt 28 107 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .391 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 RIC AA 131 557 .319 .254 .325 .385 .267 .359 97 33.3 15.0 -4.1 -9.0 -0.4 41.9 3.5 41.9 3.5
2014 FRE AAA 13 36 .221 .297 .362 .472 .290 .375 100 -1.5 1.0 -0.5 0.0 -0.4 -1.4 -0.1 -1.4 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2004 VAN A- 293 50 87 15 4 12 47 24 59 23 1 .331 .395 .555 .224 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 KNC A 422 70 99 18 2 13 62 47 110 26 5 .275 .377 .444 .169 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 SAC AAA 15 5 5 1 0 1 3 1 1 1 0 .417 .533 .750 .333 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 STO A+ 279 45 69 17 0 9 39 19 60 11 7 .274 .339 .448 .175 .293 18.4 -0.1 1.8
2007 MID AA 79 13 18 5 0 3 13 4 13 1 0 .254 .321 .451 .197 .263 3.3 -0.5 0.3
2008 MID AA 281 44 68 13 2 9 36 22 71 8 4 .267 .327 .439 .173 .276 9.0 -2.2 0.7
2009 MID AA 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.010 -0.5 -0.0 -0.1
2012 LAG Wnt 107 14 33 3 0 8 20 9 25 2 0 .347 .396 .632 .284 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 RIC AA 557 70 142 37 3 16 74 57 117 23 8 .296 .376 .485 .190 .319 41.9 -9.0 3.5
2014 FRE AAA 36 2 9 2 1 0 4 2 9 0 1 .273 .314 .394 .121 .221 -1.4 0.0 -0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-20 - Minors - - - Not Disclosed - -
2013-06-16 2013-06-24 Minors 8 0 Right Shoulder Soreness - -
2009-04-17 2009-05-19 Minors 32 0 Right Wrist Not Disclosed -
2008-04-05 2008-06-17 Minors 73 0 - Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2006-04-05 2006-09-05 Minors 153 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery - -
2005-08-18 2005-08-31 Minors 13 0 Not Disclosed -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details
  • signed as a free agent from OAK 12/09 (minor-league contract)
  • released 5/19/09 optioned to Triple-A 3/13/09 re-signed 2/18/09, 1 year/$0.4M (09)
  • optioned to Triple-A 3/7/08
  • optioned to Triple-A 3/07 re-signed 2/07, 1 year (07)
  • optioned to Triple-A 3/06 re-signed 3/06, 1 year/$M (06)
  • contract purchased 11/05 01 amateur free agent-Venezuela

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 522 70 137 30 2 15 63 48 116 18 6 .295 .362 .468 .303 33.2 LF -8, RF 0 2.7
80o 498 63 124 27 2 14 57 43 114 16 5 .278 .343 .440 .287 24.0 LF -8, RF 0 1.8
70o 480 59 115 25 2 13 53 40 112 15 5 .266 .329 .421 .276 17.9 LF -7, RF 0 1.1
60o 464 55 107 23 2 12 49 37 111 14 4 .256 .317 .404 .266 12.9 LF -7, RF 0 0.6
50o 450 52 101 22 2 11 46 35 109 13 4 .246 .306 .389 .257 8.5 LF -7, RF 0 0.2
40o 436 49 92 20 1 10 44 33 107 12 4 .237 .296 .374 .247 4.4 LF -7, RF 0 -0.2
30o 420 46 87 19 1 10 41 30 105 11 4 .227 .284 .357 .238 0.3 LF -6, RF 0 -0.7
20o 402 42 79 17 1 9 37 28 103 10 3 .215 .270 .339 .226 -4.1 LF -6, RF 0 -1.1
10o 378 37 69 15 1 8 33 24 99 9 3 .199 .251 .313 .210 -9.7 LF -6, RF 0 -1.7
Weighted Mean45854103222114836110134.251.312.397.26110.8LF -7, RF 00.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
1% 6% 4% 8% 13%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201530250275412162618626.235.295.372.2450.14.80.1-1.114.9-9.2-3.8
201631298336414173123747.238.300.375.2470.26.00.1-1.414.9-7.6-4.5
2017326186813128214634815614.233.297.363.242-0.91.1-0.1-3.114.9-10.7-9.4
2018336366913228114645016114.231.296.357.241-1.1-0.4-0.4-3.414.9-11.5-9.7
2019346076412426212584815311.226.290.345.234-1.5-4.6-0.7-3.414.9-15.4-9.2
2020356056612625212595214410.231.298.349.239-1.2-2.3-1.2-3.614.9-12.5-9.2
202136603641232411156501458.227.292.336.233-1.7-6.5-1.6-3.714.9-16.1-9.2
202237603641222411156521446.225.292.335.233-1.8-7.1-1.8-3.914.9-16.3-9.2
202338604631222411055521415.226.293.332.232-1.8-7.7-2.0-4.114.9-16.6-9.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
21.50.50.70.70.35.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 91 Jerad Head 2012 .000 DNP
2 88 Johan Limonta 2013 .000 DNP
3 87 David Cook 2011 .000 DNP
4 87 Trent Oeltjen 2012 .000 DNP
5 87 Nick Gorneault 2008 .000 DNP
6 85 John-Ford Griffin 2009 .000 DNP
7 84 Chris Rahl 2013 .000 DNP
8 84 Drew Locke 2012 .000 DNP
9 84 Jackson Melian 2009 .000 DNP
10 83 Drew T Anderson 2010 .000 DNP
11 82 Dustin Martin 2013 .000 DNP
12 82 Michael Restovich 2008 .000 DNP
13 82 Jason Pridie 2013 .160
14 82 Mario Lisson 2013 .000 DNP
15 81 Kevin Thompson 2009 .000 DNP
16 81 Amaury Cazana 2008 .000 DNP
17 81 Jeff Frazier 2012 .000 DNP
18 80 Hector Gimenez 2012 .338
19 80 Prentice Redman 2009 .000 DNP
20 80 Jorge Piedra 2008 .000 DNP
21 80 Doug Deeds 2010 .000 DNP
22 80 Reid Gorecki 2010 .000 DNP
23 80 Ray Sadler 2010 .000 DNP
24 80 Stefan Gartrell 2013 .000 DNP
25 80 Justin Ruggiano 2011 .255
26 80 Tim Torres 2013 .000 DNP
27 80 Brett Roneberg 2008 .000 DNP
28 80 John Gall 2007 .063
29 80 Tagg Bozied 2009 .000 DNP
30 79 Kevin Melillo 2011 .000 DNP
31 79 Nate Gold 2009 .000 DNP
32 79 Yurendell de Caster 2009 .000 DNP
33 79 Brian Stavisky 2010 .000 DNP
34 79 Jon Knott 2008 .000 DNP
35 79 Matt Padgett 2007 .000 DNP
36 79 Matt Carson 2011 .000 DNP
37 79 Terry Evans 2011 .000 DNP
38 79 Matt Craig 2010 .000 DNP
39 79 Matt Diaz 2007 .287
40 79 Larry Broadway 2010 .000 DNP
41 78 Mark Saccomanno 2009 .000 DNP
42 78 Adam Loewen 2013 .000 DNP
43 78 Bronson Sardinha 2012 .000 DNP
44 78 Brett Carroll 2012 -.001
45 78 Jason Hart 2007 .000 DNP
46 78 Erik Kratz 2009 .000 DNP
47 78 Mike Vento 2007 .000 DNP
48 78 Luke Montz 2013 .215
49 78 Adam Boeve 2009 .000 DNP
50 78 Brad Snyder 2011 .084
51 78 Kevin Reese 2007 .000 DNP
52 78 Matthew Brown 2012 .000 DNP
53 78 Chase Lambin 2009 .000 DNP
54 78 Rhyne Hughes 2013 .000 DNP
55 78 Chip Ambres 2009 .000 DNP
56 78 Mike Wilson 2012 .000 DNP
57 78 Mike Costanzo 2013 .000 DNP
58 77 Freddy Sandoval 2012 .000 DNP
59 77 Juan Richardson 2008 .000 DNP
60 77 Jason Cooper 2010 .000 DNP
61 77 Luis Terrero 2009 .000 DNP
62 77 Matt Macri 2011 .000 DNP
63 77 Jeff Baisley 2012 .000 DNP
64 77 Nathan Espy 2007 .000 DNP
65 77 Aaron Bates 2013 .000 DNP
66 77 Jeff Bailey 2008 .270
67 77 Darnell McDonald 2008 .000 DNP
68 77 Ben Lasater 2013 .000 DNP
69 77 Brent Clevlen 2013 .000 DNP
70 77 Anthony Recker 2013 .263
71 77 Daniel Nava 2012 .268
72 76 J.R. House 2009 .000 DNP
73 76 Mitch Jones 2007 .000 DNP
74 76 Jeff Salazar 2010 .000 DNP
75 76 Miles Durham 2012 .000 DNP
76 76 Leslie Anderson 2011 .000 DNP
77 76 Lou Montanez 2011 .213
78 76 Cole Gillespie 2013 .205
79 76 Joe Mather 2012 .211
80 76 Corey Smith 2011 .000 DNP
81 76 Val Majewski 2010 .000 DNP
82 76 Jesse Gutierrez 2007 .000 DNP
83 76 Alvin Colina 2011 .000 DNP
84 76 John Rodriguez 2007 .000 DNP
85 76 Chris Basak 2008 .000 DNP
86 76 Buck Coats 2011 .000 DNP
87 76 Kevin Randel 2010 .000 DNP
88 75 Clete Thomas 2013 .228
89 75 Luke Scott 2007 .277
90 75 Jesus Guzman 2013 .240
91 75 Brandon Boggs 2012 .000 DNP
92 75 Jed Morris 2009 .000 DNP
93 75 Adam Shabala 2007 .000 DNP
94 75 Bobby Scales 2007 .000 DNP
95 75 Eric Crozier 2008 .000 DNP
96 75 Brooks Conrad 2009 .216
97 75 Chris Aguila 2008 .160
98 75 Michael Morse 2011 .322
99 75 Chris Denorfia 2010 .299
100 75 Matt Miller 2012 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2009 Once a highly-regarded five-tool stud, Javier Herrera has never got on track after missing the 2006 season due to Tommy John surgery, and his effort to do so has left much to be desired.
2008 Herrera has always had as many raw tools as anyone in the system, but he hasn't exactly endeared himself to the organization with the effort he's made to apply them. He missed all of 2006 recovering from Tommy John surgery, but the team expected him back much sooner and was displeased with his rehab efforts. Healthy last year, Herrera reached Double-A, but he's made little progress on his overly aggressive approach at the plate and is still largely coasting on his athleticism. There's still breakout potential in him, but it won't happen unless he supplements his natural ability with some man-made hard work.
2007 First, the 50-game suspension for failing a drug test prior to the 2005 season. Then, the Tommy John surgery in March 2006, which cost Herrera the entire season. At press time, he was expected to be ready for spring training. Herrera still has a high upside as an above-average power-speed combination in center field.
2006 Herrera was the highest profile minor leaguer suspended for performance enhancing drugs, and because he had a notably worse year at the plate, he tended to confirm the worst fears of the sky-is-falling crowd. Herrera didn`t make the book last year, but we went back and ran a PECOTA based on his 2004 batting line.?
                                                                                                                                                                                   EqBA EqOBP EqSLG EQA                                                                                                                                                                                                PECOTA Forecast .266 .314 .444 .255                                                                                                                                                                                   Actual 2005 DTs .236 .316 .391 .251                                                                                                                                                                                  
PECOTA would have missed high on his batting average, but otherwise this is a good forecast; it had his OBP, EQA, and isolated power all about right. In other words, Herrera`s decline was more perceived than real, and it had mostly to do with the vagaries of making rosy projections based on a batting average-driven year in short-season A-Ball. He`s still a reasonable long-term prospect, and the near-term goal will be reducing the strikeouts.

BP Articles

Javier Herrera is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
Transaction Analysis: AL West MovesChristina Kahrl2009-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Wild WestsChristina Kahrl2009-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Oakland's Top 11 ReduxKevin Goldstein2007-12-17
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Athletics Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-12-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, AL WestKevin Goldstein2007-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: High-A PreviewKevin Goldstein2007-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: March 13-18, 2007Christina Kahrl2007-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: March 1-12, 2007Christina Kahrl2007-03-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Systems Retrospective, American LeagueKevin Goldstein2007-03-02
Future Shock: Top 100 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-02-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Oakland Athletics Top Ten ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-01-30
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Two Steps Back, ALKevin Goldstein2006-09-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Position Breakdown: Center FieldersKevin Goldstein2006-08-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Midpoint American League ReportKevin Goldstein2006-06-22
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: California, Here They ComeKevin Goldstein2006-03-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: March 10-13Christina Kahrl2006-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems: AL WestKevin Goldstein2006-03-06


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