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2013 Projections (seasonal age 29) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | PHI | 22 | 23 | 23 | 132.3 | 132.3 | 0.0 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 558 | 117 | 66 | 60 | 19 | 210 | 48 | 44 | 3 | 145 | 4.08 | 3.94 | 4.56 | 25.0 | 2.6 |
| 2007 | PHI | 23 | 28 | 28 | 183.3 | 183.3 | 0.0 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 743 | 163 | 72 | 69 | 25 | 277 | 43 | 39 | 3 | 177 | 3.39 | 3.77 | 4.02 | 36.7 | 3.7 |
| 2008 | PHI | 24 | 33 | 33 | 227.3 | 227.3 | 0.0 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 914 | 193 | 89 | 78 | 28 | 327 | 53 | 46 | 1 | 196 | 3.09 | 3.69 | 4.37 | 33.3 | 3.7 |
| 2009 | PHI | 25 | 32 | 32 | 193.7 | 193.7 | 0.0 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 814 | 206 | 95 | 93 | 24 | 332 | 43 | 39 | 5 | 168 | 4.32 | 3.68 | 3.96 | 38.1 | 3.8 |
| 2010 | PHI | 26 | 33 | 33 | 208.7 | 208.7 | 0.0 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 856 | 185 | 74 | 71 | 26 | 307 | 61 | 56 | 8 | 211 | 3.06 | 3.70 | 3.80 | 37.7 | 4.1 |
| 2011 | PHI | 27 | 32 | 31 | 216.0 | 213.0 | 3.0 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 850 | 169 | 68 | 67 | 19 | 266 | 44 | 42 | 5 | 194 | 2.79 | 3.02 | 3.67 | 25.0 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | PHI | 28 | 31 | 31 | 215.3 | 215.3 | 0.0 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 867 | 190 | 80 | 73 | 24 | 302 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 216 | 3.05 | 3.35 | 3.62 | 40.1 | 4.1 |
| 2013 | PHI | 29 | 10 | 10 | 62.7 | 62.7 | 0.0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 265 | 56 | 31 | 31 | 9 | 106 | 24 | 23 | 2 | 57 | 4.45 | 4.26 | 4.66 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Career | 222 | 221 | 1439.3 | 1436.3 | 3.0 | 92 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 7 | 5867 | 1279 | 575 | 542 | 174 | 2127 | 368 | 338 | 30 | 1364 | 3.39 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 237.0 | 24.6 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | LWD | A | 13 | 13 | 74.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .256 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2003 | CLR | A+ | 5 | 5 | 26.3 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .426 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2004 | CLR | A+ | 4 | 4 | 16.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .312 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2005 | CLR | A+ | 3 | 3 | 16.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.280 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2005 | REA | AA | 3 | 3 | 19.0 | 4.87 | 105 | .211 | .268 | .338 | .427 | .275 | .186 | 111 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | PHI | MLB | 23 | 23 | 132.3 | 4.56 | 108 | .248 | .277 | .347 | .455 | .272 | .286 | 102 | 21.9 | 2.1 | 25.0 | 2.6 |
| 2006 | LWD | A | 1 | 1 | 5.1 | 5.59 | 54 | .176 | .272 | .348 | .415 | .272 | .154 | 89 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | CLR | A+ | 4 | 4 | 20.0 | 1.43 | 172 | .185 | .267 | .338 | .402 | .262 | .327 | 109 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | SWB | AAA | 3 | 3 | 23.0 | 0.93 | 175 | .123 | .251 | .314 | .370 | .237 | .244 | 84 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | PHI | MLB | 28 | 28 | 183.3 | 4.02 | 118 | .232 | .275 | .341 | .446 | .269 | .279 | 102 | 34.0 | 3.3 | 36.7 | 3.7 |
| 2008 | PHI | MLB | 33 | 33 | 227.3 | 4.37 | 107 | .222 | .277 | .347 | .446 | .274 | .260 | 101 | 27.0 | 2.7 | 33.3 | 3.7 |
| 2009 | PHI | MLB | 32 | 32 | 193.7 | 3.96 | 114 | .253 | .275 | .343 | .434 | .268 | .317 | 102 | 34.8 | 3.5 | 38.1 | 3.8 |
| 2010 | PHI | MLB | 33 | 33 | 208.7 | 3.80 | 112 | .240 | .270 | .337 | .431 | .273 | .289 | 99 | 33.4 | 3.5 | 37.7 | 4.1 |
| 2011 | PHI | MLB | 32 | 31 | 216.0 | 3.67 | 108 | .217 | .262 | .327 | .412 | .267 | .255 | 95 | 22.8 | 2.4 | 25.0 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | PHI | MLB | 31 | 31 | 215.3 | 3.62 | 113 | .242 | .268 | .330 | .430 | .271 | .290 | 97 | 29.8 | 3.2 | 40.1 | 4.1 |
| 2013 | PHI | MLB | 10 | 10 | 62.7 | 4.66 | 85 | .269 | .254 | .318 | .396 | .258 | .272 | 98 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Career | MLB | 221 | 1439.3 | 4.07 | 109 | .236 | .271 | .338 | .433 | .270 | .281 | 85 | 176.2 | 17.9 | 196.9 | 20.5 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | LWD | A | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 74.7 | 32 | 25 | 115 | 0 | 0% | .256 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 13.9 | 0.76 | 0.84 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2003 | CLR | A+ | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 26.3 | 29 | 14 | 32 | 0 | 0% | .426 | 9.9 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 1.63 | 2.74 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2004 | CLR | A+ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16.0 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0% | .312 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 0.88 | 1.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | REA | AA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19.0 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 42% | .186 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 9.0 | 1.16 | 2.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | CLR | A+ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16.0 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0% | -.280 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 10.1 | 0.88 | 2.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | LWD | A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5.1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 50% | .154 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 0.98 | 1.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | SWB | AAA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23.0 | 10 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 39% | .244 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 14.1 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | CLR | A+ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 20.0 | 16 | 9 | 29 | 0 | 53% | .327 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 13.1 | 1.25 | 1.80 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | PHI | MLB | 9 | 8 | 0 | 23 | 23 | 132.3 | 117 | 48 | 145 | 19 | 42% | .286 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 9.9 | 1.25 | 4.08 | 25.0 | 2.6 |
| 2007 | PHI | MLB | 15 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 28 | 183.3 | 163 | 43 | 177 | 25 | 44% | .279 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 8.7 | 1.12 | 3.39 | 36.7 | 3.7 |
| 2008 | PHI | MLB | 14 | 10 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 227.3 | 193 | 53 | 196 | 28 | 41% | .260 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 1.08 | 3.09 | 33.3 | 3.7 |
| 2009 | PHI | MLB | 10 | 11 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 193.7 | 206 | 43 | 168 | 24 | 44% | .317 | 9.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 1.29 | 4.32 | 38.1 | 3.8 |
| 2010 | PHI | MLB | 12 | 11 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 208.7 | 185 | 61 | 211 | 26 | 47% | .289 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 9.1 | 1.18 | 3.06 | 37.7 | 4.1 |
| 2011 | PHI | MLB | 14 | 9 | 0 | 32 | 31 | 216.0 | 169 | 44 | 194 | 19 | 55% | .255 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8.1 | 0.99 | 2.79 | 25.0 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | PHI | MLB | 17 | 6 | 0 | 31 | 31 | 215.3 | 190 | 52 | 216 | 24 | 44% | .290 | 7.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 1.12 | 3.05 | 40.1 | 4.1 |
| 2013 | PHI | MLB | 1 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 62.7 | 56 | 24 | 57 | 9 | 43% | .272 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 8.2 | 1.28 | 4.45 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-08-24 | 2012-09-02 | DTD | 9 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | - | - | |
| 2011-10-14 | 2011-10-14 | Off | 0 | 0 | Left | Elbow | Surgery | Loose Bodies | 2011-10-14 | - |
| 2011-10-14 | 2011-10-14 | Off | 0 | 0 | - | Surgery | Sports Hernia | 2011-10-14 | - | |
| 2011-08-13 | 2011-08-29 | 15-DL | 16 | 11 | Left | Shoulder | Inflammation | - | - | |
| 2011-06-30 | 2011-06-30 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Right | Wrist | Contusion | with Laceration From Batted Ball | - | |
| 2009-04-29 | 2009-05-08 | DTD | 9 | 7 | Left | Ankle | Sprain | - | ||
| 2009-04-23 | 2009-04-23 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Shoulder | Contusion | - | ||
| 2009-03-10 | 2009-04-04 | Camp | 25 | 0 | Left | Elbow | Inflammation | Posterior Lateral | - | |
| 2007-08-17 | 2007-09-18 | 15-DL | 32 | 30 | Left | Elbow | Sprain | Mild UCL Ligament | - | |
| 2006-08-24 | 2006-08-24 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Fingers | Laceration | Index Finger | - | |
| 2006-07-29 | 2006-07-29 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Knee | Contusion | Batted Ball | - | |
| 2006-05-19 | 2006-06-06 | 15-DL | 18 | 17 | Left | Shoulder | Strain | - | ||
| 2006-02-03 | 2006-03-15 | Camp | 40 | 0 | - | Low Back | Inflammation | Degenerative Disc Disease | - | |
| 2005-07-20 | 2005-09-11 | Minors | 53 | 0 | - | Low Back | Soreness | Degenerative Disc Disease | - | |
| 2005-01-28 | 2005-01-28 | Off | 0 | 0 | Left | Hand | Surgery | 5th Metacarpal | 2005-02-03 | |
| 2004-04-08 | 2004-05-18 | Minors | 40 | 0 | Left | Elbow | Inflammation | Tendinitis | - | |
| 2003-10-10 | 2003-10-10 | Minors | 0 | 0 | - | Low Back | Spasms | - | ||
| 2000-07-01 | 2000-07-01 | HS | 0 | 0 | Left | Arm | Surgery | Broken Humerus While Pitching | - | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-07 13:00:00 | Looking ahead, what uniform will Cole Hamels be wearing in 2013? (Clarence from Paul's Boutique) | I have utterly no idea, but I get the feeling it won't be a Phillies one. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2012-01-26 13:00:00 | With Texas possibly offering Josh Hamilton an extension, wouldn't they be better off spending that money on Matt Cain, Cole Hamels or Zack Grienke? Assuming Mike Young and Hamilton are out of the 2013 picture, they can still fill an OF spot with Victorino, DYoung, or Melky. Of course, #TheLegend can probably play RF better than anyone on the roster. (Joe Random from In line at Shake Shack) | I wouldn't offer Hamilton an extension. I would let him walk and use those resources elsewhere. (Jason Parks) |
| 2012-01-26 13:00:00 | Can Nicolino become a Cliff Lee or Cole Hamels type pitcher if he hits his ceiling? (Mike from Utica, NY) | CLiff Lee only became Cliff Lee after he failed and then made the necessary adjustments. The basic answer is no. Those guys are aces and its unlikely that Nicolino develops to that level. He has a huge ceiling, but there are very few aces. (Jason Parks) |
| 2012-01-24 13:00:00 | Would you rather have Geovany Soto at $3, and Cole Hamels at $23 or Joe Mauer at $22 and RA Dickey at $4. I'm thinking my Mauer fanboyness is overruling my good sense, Help?
(Paul from Minnesota) | Definitely Hamels/Soto. No question. I don't know how much of a bargain Hamels is at that price, but Mauer definitely isn't, and I don't think Dickey is either in a mixed league. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-06-29 13:30:00 | Who are your favorite players to deal with, both past or present? (Gerald from Savannah) | Geez. That's a tough one because there are so many good guys I have dealt with in 24 years of covering baseball. I hate to leave people out but some of my favorites would have to include Sean Casey, John Burkett, Jay Bell, Craig Wilson, Jason Schmidt, Michael Barrett from the past. From the present: Jason Bay, Cole Hamels, Carlos Pena, Scott Rolen, Brandon Phillips, Nyjer Morgan, Neil Walker, Joel Hanrahan, Adam Jones, Max Scherzer, Don Kelly, Chris Perez, Adam Dunn, Matt Capps, Torii Hunter, Kurt Suzuki, Ian Kinsler. (John Perrotto) |
| 2011-01-18 13:00:00 | I've got an outfield heavy team in an 11 team, standard 5x5 league with 5 keepers (boring, I know). I'm currently thinking David Wright, Matt Kemp, Justin Upton, Justin Verlander and Matt Latos. But I also have Jay Bruce, Colby Rasmus and Cole Hamels as options. I've recently had the skill of kicking ass drafting starting pitching in the 9th-15th rounds, but who knows if that continues... Am I keeping the worst OF in Upton just because of hype? Which five of those eight do you keep? (Adam from Philly) | I would see what you can get in a trade for Upton--I think he turns into something great, but you might find someone who buys him on the hype of his turning into even more. I would keep Bruce over Kemp though. Verlander/Latos is the right call for the SP, thanks to their respective parks. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2011-01-18 13:00:00 | Cole Hamels vs Brett Anderson -- next 3 years? (PhiFan from Philly) | If you could guarantee they were both healthy, Brett Anderson. Even though now Bill Baer might be mad at me (sorry, Bill!). Problem is, guaranteeing Anderson's health is something we can't just do, so Hamels is the safe pick. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-12-14 13:00:00 | If the Phils can't deal Blanton, do you think there's a chance they'd move Cole Hamels instead? It's right out of Amaro's playbook - get the bird in the hand (Lee locked up long-term) instead of waiting to see if Hamels re-ups before he hits free agency. If they try to move Hamels, where does he end up? Arizona in a deal involving Justin Upton, perhaps? (ColonelTom from Richmond, KY) | It's possible they'd move Hamels, but I can't see them putting somebody in Domonic Brown's way as being the objective. Of course, they do have just one more year to go with Raul Ibanez... (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2010-09-13 13:00:00 | Please fill in the blank.
This is the best NL Rookie Class since ________ (blank).
Thanks!
Bobby
(Bobby from New York) | Are we going strictly by league? Because the 2007 class had Ryan Braun, Troy Tulowitzki, Dustin Pedroia and Josh Hamilton among hitters, Tim Lincecum and Joakim Soria among pitchers. 2006 had Hanley Ramirez, Ryan Zimmerman, Andre Ethier, Prince Fielder, Ian Kinsler, Francisco Liriano, Justin Verlander, Jered Weaver, Josh Johnson, Matt Cain, Cole Hamels, Jonathan Papelbon (who used to not suck), Jonathan Broxton (ditto)...
There's a lot to be excited about with this year's rookie class (Posey, Heyward, Santana, Stanton) but I'm in no rush to appoint them the best class of the past five years until I see much more. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-08-17 14:45:00 | Ever consider incorporating IP into SIERA? Halladay's 8 CG must give whoever follows him in the rotation a better chance to win due to having a more rested bullpen. (Andrew from Toronto) | I don't know about that. I don't recall ever seeing a study that leaned in that direction, and while there are certainly aspects of baseball common sense that have remained true in the face of advanced analysis, I'm not sure this is one of them. I mean, if Cole Hamels routinely goes 7-8 innings a start anyway, is Halladay really helping Hamels? (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-07-22 13:00:00 | Really, how good am I? Most people think pretty highly of me, but honestly I have pretty much sucked the past couple of months. And even when I have won it's been outings like yesterday with my four earned runs allowed in six innings with only one strikeout against the Triple-A Orioles. (James Shields from Margaritaville) | You're like Cole Hamels but slightly worse and right-handed. That's a pretty good pitcher. Sometimes you allow a decent number of fly balls, and you rely on a change up, so every once in a while you go on a crazy home run streak that drives everyone who likes you totally bananas. Focus on the peripherals and make sure you aren't doing anything weird like tipping your pitches and you'll be okay in the long run. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-04-21 14:00:00 | How often do we ever see a pitcher 'work on a new pitch' in spring training and see it actually pay off long term? I am thinking of Mike Pelfrey, who seems to be missing a lot of bats with his split-change this year. If he can get the K rate to around 7 per 9, he is a completely different pitcher. (J.P. from Hartford) | In Chicago most White Sox pitchers are taught cutters, which helped turn Gavin Floyd and John Danks into legitimate front-mid rotation hurlers. That seems to be more organizational philosophy than, say, Cole Hamels working to learn a cutter this off-season. In St. Louis, Dave Duncan works his magic with sequencing and location moreso than new pitches, but to the same effect. I agree that we don't hear about true success stories with these newer pitches as much as the failures, but Big Pelf wouldn't be alone if his split-change remains effective. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-03-17 14:00:00 | On my strat teams, I refused to trade Grady Sizemore, Cole Hamels and Ervin Santana this offseason. Who is more likely to bounce back to top form? (lou from Cape Cod) | I think there's a good argument to be made--and has been made by my colleagues here at BP--that Hamels was and will be just fine. With a nod to them, I think Sizemore's the one who truly bounces back. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2010-03-10 18:00:00 | May I please hear something nice about the Jays? We're all 0 and 0? (Will from Mactaquac) | The standard response when asked questions like these is "Man, if only they were in another division...". In all seriousness, it's going to be a tough year for the Jays, but you do have some top-tier prospects on the horizon in Drabek and Wallace. And if Spring Training is any indication, Jose Bautista owns Cole Hamels, so there's that! (Eric Seidman) |
| 2009-10-28 14:00:00 | Why not start Lee & Hamels 1 & 2 in Yankee Stadium? Better to throw the Ls in NYC, right? Plus, it's not like Pedro has a good track record in Yankee Stadium and he'll most likely pitch games 2 and 6. (Lefty Gomez from Pasadena, CA) | Back up a bit, my southpawed friend.
Though his two posteason starts were not his finest hour, Pedro Martinez went 8-5 with a 3.33 ERA in Yankee Stadium II including his playoff appearances, which is a record that just about any other pitcher on earth would sign for. Now, this isn't Yankee Stadium II, and this isn't that Pedro anymore, but neither, by the looks of what we've seen, is the Cole Hamels we've seen over the past month the same dominating hurler we saw last fall. Hamels' problems seem to be more mental than physical, and I think Manuel is trying to keep him in a comfort zone by pitching him at home, where he pitched better this year (3.76 ERA to 4.99) than on the road. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2009-10-20 14:00:00 | Do you think it's going to take the Dodgers more than 6 to win this thing?
Seriously though, do you think they have a realistic chance to run off three in a row, or is falling behind 3-1 to this Phillies team too much? (John from New Jersey) | They'd have to beat both Cole Hamels and Cliff Lee. It's certainly not impossible, but that double by Rollins was probably the biggest play of the postseason in terms of swinging an individual series. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-04-13 14:00:00 | Following up on your point on the O's, couldn't the same be said of the Phillies and their decision to have Chan Ho Park in their rotation? (mattymatty from Philly, PA) | I like that move actually. Park did a nice job of generating groundballs last year, making him a better fit for Citizens than he might otherwise be. With J.A. Happ they have the depth to make a switch to moderate both pitchers' workloads, and we know that Park has the versatility to work out of the bullpen.
The Phils' real problem is the condition of Cole Hamels' elbow. If it's not in great shape, they're screwed. I'll take just a few more questions. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2009-01-22 13:00:00 | I've been very interested to hear the thoughts of someone from BP on the Braves' signing of Lowe. Got any? (Matt A from Raleigh) | Moving away from the Hall questions for the time being, I like this signing, though the price is a lot steeper than it should have been based on the reports of what the Mets were offering. Lowe is an ultra-durable groundballer who's solidified into a much better pitcher since leaving Boston, even beyond the obvious advantages of his move from Fenway to Dodger Stadium, park- and leaguewise. Over the last four years, he ranked 11th in the majors in SNLVAR, 10th in innings, and 12th in ERA+. While he's entering his age 36 season, there's nothing about him that suggests he's a particular health risk or that he's at risk of a sudden collapse.
The bigger issue for the Braves, however, is that while Lowe and recently acquired Javier Vazquez are both solid #2-type starters, neither is anywhere near the caliber of Johan Santana or Cole Hamels, the NL East's big guns. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2009-01-07 13:00:00 | Cole Hamels sure didn't look like he was wearing down in the postseason, but that was a huge jump in innings for a young guy. Do you expect that heavy usage to affect his 2009, and would it lead you to handle him at all differently? Or do you just assume 260 innings is his new baseline, unless/until he runs into problems? (HMGould from (SoCal)) | It was and I do. Peter Bendix did a nice article over at his blog about the Verducci Effect guys for next year and Hamels' is one of them. I'm actually working on a variant idea that might help explain a couple of the things I don't like about the VE. Anyway, I'd equate Hamels 09 to Verlander's 07. I don't think he'll crash, but he'll dip a bit. I hope the Phillies protect him. They've been very smart about him all the way back to his draft. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-11-19 13:00:00 | Will, what impact do you think Cole Hamels' increased workload this season is likely to have? (Will he be a Red next spring?) (Dennis from Chicago) | Again, it's a jump, but it's his second year of a jump. I'm going to guess red, maybe very high yellow. I'm REALLY debating putting something beyond the simple bands next year, but numbers are a bear and could be reverse engineered. Any suggestions? (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-10-24 14:00:00 | Hey Jay. You continue to rock the house at BP. Follow-up to the first question of the chat--who do you see as the most likely HOF candidates on each of these WS teams? I know it's a lot harder to make any kind of prognostication with the kids, like Price, but hey, it's fun to take a guess. (Ameer from NYC) | Hey Ameer! Thanks for the kind words. Looking at these rosters, I'd say both Utley and Howard have uphill battles given their relatively late starts to their careers, though Utley could be the Jeff Kent of the next decade albeit with better defense AND plate discipline. Rollins may make a run at 3000 hits; despite his flaws, he's got 1461 through his Age 29 season and he's generally been very durable. The sky's the limit for Cole Hamels if he stays healthy...
And you an say that about Longoria, Upton, Price, Shields, Kazmir... all of them or none of them might pan out as HOFers - if I had to pick one I'd put my money on Longoria. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-10-20 13:00:00 | I don't have a strong interest in either World Series team. Can you outline some reasons to root for each team? (Andy from Gettysburg College) | Well, first, you can root for the baseball season to last seven more games instead of the minimum four. Second, there are good storylines here, some of which are kind of obvious, such as the 1969 Mets-like rise of the Rays. The Phillies are also a generally downtrodden franchise with a whole bunch of fun players like Chase Utley, Ryan Howard, Jimmy Rollins, Cole Hamels, and Brad Lidge. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-10-17 13:00:00 | where does Cole Hamels fall on the "pitched enough innings now to have lowered the expectations of pulling up lame in the near future" scale? On the other hand, he surpassed the verducci line this year. (philliesopher1 from Amsterdam) | The latter. He's still young. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-08-18 13:00:00 | Hi Joe,
With John Lester being unbeliable this year and Clay Bucholz being terriable are you ready to change your mind on whom has the better career? (XchancedogX from NH) | No, although the development of Lester does make me think I underrated him, and didn't take his unique path enough into consideration. I still think Buchholz's raw stuff will give him an edge in the long term, but if I called Lester 75% of Cole Hamels in the offseason, I'd say he's 85-90% of Hamels now. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-05-22 13:00:00 | Should I be worried about Cole Hamels? 10 starts: 97 or more pitches in every start.
Or should I just be giddy that he's doing well and not be so fatalist? (gjgross from Philly) | Philly turning out en masse. No, I've watched five or six of his starts and while he's not efficient, I dont think that Ol' Cholly is leaving him in too long. In the ones I've seen, I've never said "oh look at him, he's fatigued!" I guess there's some level of concern you should have, but Hamels and his injury history are worrying enough that you should probably just enjoy when he's on a run of solid starts like this and showing no real problem. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-05-05 12:30:00 | I heard a fellow fan who has watched Matusz a few times compare him to Cole Hamels. What do you think? (ddknowles77 from Eugene, OR) | I don't love that comparison, but I understand where he's coming from. Like Hamels, Matusz is a lefty with three pitches, and Matusz gets good change up reviews. However, Hamels is a guy with a 75 change up, where his curveball was always a 55 or so in the minors. Matusz has always sounded like he's a 60 across the board, and I think as a result, you'll see more consistency from him than Hamels. He won't be better, no, but he will be more consistent. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-03-26 12:00:00 | Its timely that BPro has Joe Savery has on the front page. Do you think Savery emerges as the first major league success story of recent Rice pitching products? (The Dynasty from Tucson) | I think that the Phillies, who did such a good job bringing up Cole Hamels, are the perfect organization for Savery. Savery has worlds of potential, and enough polish to really fly through the minor leagues. But he's battled arm soreness a lot in the past, so the Phillies have to proceed with caution. But from the second they drafted him last year, I loved the pick. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-02-19 13:00:00 | Hi Will,
Thanks for the chat. How likely is it that Cole Hamels stays healthy this year? How about Shawn Hill? (Dave from California) | Worried about both. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-01-17 14:00:00 | I love the BBC Coupling but the first NBC episode, as best I recall, was taken almost verbatim from the BBC version. What made it so terrible? The actors couldn't have been that bad.
Oh yes- baseball. What NL teams are most worth coming to see in the new Nationals park? (newsense from Dc) | The hired pretty people without any comedic ability, which is always a quick way to make something insipid and network-y.
Hrm... teams to see in Nationals Park... I'd make a point of seeing the Mets and Phillies because of some of the talents they employ in their infields, and the chance to see somebody like Pedro or Cole Hamels on the mound... the Brewers and Cubs and Cardinals will all be fun in their way, and the Rockies and Snakes both have young position players capable of doing some pretty amazing things on the field. Heck, even with the Marlins you'd get to see Hanley Ramirez, and probably a Nats win to boot. (Christina Kahrl) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-11-02 17:00:00 | 2009 WS Game Five | Cole Hamels is tired and frustrated. I guess that's news in a game that's not close. (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-10-28 17:00:00 | 2009 WS Game One | Not to oversell it, but this series seems, to me, to change a LOT with a Phillies win. They now get the roulette wheel that is A.J. Burnett, followed by Cole Hamels at home. A lot can happen in those games, of course, but suddenly Phillies in seven seems...long. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-10-21 17:00:00 | NLCS Game 5 | Well, I guess I jinxed Cole Hamels. Speaking of post-season coverage, I'm hoping to be on site for at least part of the World Series. (John Perrotto) |
| 2009-10-21 17:00:00 | NLCS Game 5 | LOL. Very true on Phillips' part. Cole Hamels certainly looking like the 2008 version in the early going. (John Perrotto) |
| 2009-10-15 17:00:00 | 2009 NLCS Game One (Phillies/Dodgers) | Just like we figured, the Phillies get eight runs off lefties, Cole Hamels gives up four runs, gets chased in the sixth, and the Phillies' bullpen hangs tough. Inscrutable. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-06-09 14:30:00 | 2009 Draft Coverage | One of the great things about being at BP is having great help just a few keyboard clicks away. I asked Rany, who did his fantastic series on draft history, if he remembers a draft that was better 11-20 than 1-10. Rany jumped into action for me, and found just one in 15 years: 2002. Top Ten: B.J. Upton, Zack Greinke, Prince Fielder, Jeff Francis. 11-20: Hermida, Joe Saunders, Scott Kazmir, Nick Swisher, Cole Hamels, James Loney, Denard Span. The best example is 1994, where Garciaparra, Konerko and Varitek went 12-14. Needless to say, the top 10 that boasted Paul Wilson, Ben Grieve, Todd Walker and Jaret Wright wasn't as good. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-10-22 16:30:00 | World Series Game One | If you spoonerize Cole Hamels, you get Whole Camels. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-10-22 16:30:00 | World Series Game One | It's a Phillies/Rays World Series, and Game One should be a great start. Two of the best young starting pitchers in baseball meet as Cole Hamels faces off against Scott Kazmir. Please join the BP staff for a live roundtable starting at around 7:30PM ET on Wednesday. If you'd like to submit a question to be answered during the roundtable, you can do so here. (Dave Pease) |
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