Biographical

Portrait of Carlos Alvarez

Carlos Alvarez 3BNationals

Nationals Player Cards | Nationals Team Audit | Nationals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .199 2 20 18 1 .199 -0.8
Birth Date11-25-1985
Height5' 11"
Weight175 lbs
Age28 years, 10 months, 28 days
BatsB
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.82014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2007 NAT Rk 33 131 .237 .248 .346 .347 .249 .295 112 -2.8 3.4 1.4 -4.2 0.1 0.4 -0.4 0.4 -0.4
2008 NAT Rk 51 213 .316 .253 .351 .342 .253 .366 106 13.2 6.5 2.5 0.9 3.1 25.2 2.5 25.2 2.5
2011 AUB A- 32 127 .283 .245 .322 .347 .256 .384 97 3.2 3.6 0.3 -0.2 -0.4 7.4 0.7 7.4 0.7
2011 NAT Rk 14 62 .358 .247 .326 .346 .249 .395 103 7.2 1.9 0.2 -0.6 0.2 8.8 0.8 8.8 0.8
2012 HAG A 20 51 .220 .258 .342 .396 .271 .233 103 -2.2 1.5 0 -0.4 -2.0 -3.1 -0.4 -3.1 -0.4
2012 AUB A- 25 96 .252 .258 .329 .356 .272 .240 106 -0.8 2.6 0 0.1 -0.3 3.8 0.4 3.8 0.4
2013 NAT Rk 4 7 .523 .257 .400 .359 .302 .000 101 2.1 0.2 0 0.2 0.0 2.6 0.3 2.6 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2007 NAT Rk 131 13 26 3 2 0 11 19 18 4 2 .245 .385 .311 .066 .237 0.4 -4.2 -0.4
2008 NAT Rk 213 42 62 12 3 2 33 23 19 9 2 .343 .423 .475 .133 .316 25.2 0.9 2.5
2011 NAT Rk 62 14 17 3 1 0 4 9 6 5 0 .354 .475 .458 .104 .358 8.8 -0.6 0.8
2011 AUB A- 127 16 34 7 0 1 15 15 24 2 0 .306 .394 .396 .090 .283 7.4 -0.2 0.7
2012 AUB A- 96 12 19 5 0 1 17 5 13 2 0 .229 .271 .325 .096 .252 3.8 0.1 0.4
2012 HAG A 51 3 7 1 1 0 2 8 11 0 1 .171 .320 .244 .073 .220 -3.1 -0.4 -0.4
2013 NAT Rk 7 3 2 0 0 2 3 1 2 0 0 .333 .429 1.333 1.000 .523 2.6 0.2 0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 532 53 122 21 2 7 48 49 123 3 1 .257 .328 .352 .252 9.2 3B 0, 2B -2 1.0
80o 504 47 106 18 1 6 43 43 120 2 1 .237 .304 .324 .234 0.0 3B 0, 2B -2 0.0
70o 484 43 96 17 1 5 39 39 118 2 1 .223 .287 .304 .221 -6.0 3B 0, 2B -2 -0.6
60o 466 39 88 15 1 5 36 36 116 2 1 .210 .273 .287 .210 -10.8 3B 0, 2B -2 -1.1
50o 450 36 80 14 1 4 34 33 115 2 0 .199 .259 .272 .199 -14.9 3B 0, 2B -2 -1.6
40o 434 33 74 13 1 4 31 30 112 2 0 .188 .246 .256 .189 -18.7 3B 0, 2B -2 -2.0
30o 416 30 68 12 1 4 29 27 110 1 0 .176 .231 .240 .178 -22.4 3B 0, 2B -2 -2.4
20o 396 27 59 10 1 3 26 24 107 1 0 .162 .214 .221 .165 -26.3 3B 0, 2B -2 -2.8
10o 368 22 49 8 1 3 22 20 102 1 0 .144 .191 .195 .147 -30.8 3B 0, 2B -1 -3.3
Weighted Mean46038861515353411620.206.267.281.205-12.53B 0, 2B -2-1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 2% 4% 6% 7%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20152925023427131917661.188.249.265.194-2.6-24.3-0.40.614.9-39.50.2
20163025023427031818640.190.254.263.195-2.6-23.9-0.50.614.9-38.90.2
20173125023447131918650.194.258.268.198-2.4-22.0-0.50.514.9-37.00.2
20183225022417031819660.185.251.256.192-2.8-25.5-0.60.414.9-40.30.2
2019335414992151639401420.188.253.257.192-2.8-25.7-1.20.814.9-40.20.4
20203462955104171644461700.183.247.247.187-3.2-29.4-1.40.714.9-43.70.4
20213561455102171644461630.185.251.253.190-2.9-27.6-1.50.614.9-41.60.4
20223662355104171643461660.183.248.247.187-3.2-29.6-1.50.414.9-43.40.4
20233763155103171643461700.179.244.241.184-3.4-31.7-1.60.214.9-45.30.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
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Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 87 Carlos Mendoza 2008 .000 DNP
2 87 Travis Brown 2009 .000 DNP
3 86 Marcos Yepez 2010 .000 DNP
4 85 Caonabo Cosme 2007 .000 DNP
5 84 Jace Brewer 2007 .000 DNP
6 84 Adam Pavkovich 2010 .000 DNP
7 84 Julio Cordido 2009 .000 DNP
8 83 Doug Bernier 2008 .034
9 82 Leury Bonilla 2013 .000 DNP
10 82 David Espinosa 2010 .000 DNP
11 82 Richard Lewis 2008 .000 DNP
12 82 Ryan Khoury 2012 .000 DNP
13 81 Jonathan Malo 2012 .000 DNP
14 81 Agustin Murillo 2010 .000 DNP
15 80 Erick Monzon 2010 .000 DNP
16 80 Michael Myers 2008 .000 DNP
17 80 Warren Schaeffer 2013 .000 DNP
18 80 Gookie Dawkins 2007 .000 DNP
19 80 Ryan Klosterman 2010 .000 DNP
20 80 Greg Sexton 2013 .000 DNP
21 79 Anthony Seratelli 2011 .000 DNP
22 79 Anderson Machado 2009 .000 DNP
23 79 Brandon Pinckney 2010 .000 DNP
24 79 Brian Bocock 2013 .000 DNP
25 79 Drew Meyer 2010 .000 DNP
26 79 Jake Wald 2009 .000 DNP
27 79 Michael Garciaparra 2011 .000 DNP
28 78 Jeff Kunkel 2011 .000 DNP
29 78 Melvin Dorta 2010 .000 DNP
30 78 Kody Kirkland 2011 .000 DNP
31 78 Jake Gautreau 2008 .000 DNP
32 78 Jason Aspito 2007 .000 DNP
33 78 Carlos R Rojas 2012 .000 DNP
34 78 Casey Smith 2007 .000 DNP
35 78 Joe Hietpas 2007 .000 DNP
36 78 Joel Weeks 2013 .000 DNP
37 78 Vasili Spanos 2009 .000 DNP
38 78 Luis Maza 2008 .185
39 77 Oswaldo Navarro 2013 .000 DNP
40 77 Chris Barnwell 2007 .000 DNP
41 77 Toby Gardenhire 2011 .000 DNP
42 77 Josh Arhart 2008 .000 DNP
43 77 Edwin Maysonet 2010 .000 DNP
44 77 Guillermo Reyes 2010 .000 DNP
45 77 Craig Albernaz 2011 .000 DNP
46 77 Pete Maestrales 2008 .000 DNP
47 77 Lloyd Turner 2008 .000 DNP
48 77 Dan Conway 2008 .000 DNP
49 77 Anthony Contreras 2012 .000 DNP
50 76 Skyler Stromsmoe 2012 .000 DNP
51 76 Matt Pagnozzi 2011 .210
52 76 Ozzie Chavez 2012 .000 DNP
53 76 Eric Eymann 2012 .000 DNP
54 76 Rick Bell 2007 .000 DNP
55 76 Vince Harrison 2008 .000 DNP
56 76 Gil Velazquez 2008 .114
57 76 Gabe Lopez 2008 .000 DNP
58 76 Ed Rogers 2007 .000 DNP
59 76 Mike Rodriguez 2009 .000 DNP
60 76 Michael Martinez 2011 .227
61 76 Dwaine Bacon 2007 .000 DNP
62 75 Lance Zawadzki 2013 .000 DNP
63 75 Sean Danielson 2011 .000 DNP
64 75 John Suomi 2009 .000 DNP
65 75 Josh Labandeira 2007 .000 DNP
66 75 Clint Sammons 2011 .000 DNP
67 75 John Purdom 2009 .000 DNP
68 75 Scott Youngbauer 2007 .000 DNP
69 75 Jose Yepez 2009 .000 DNP
70 75 Omir Santos 2009 .251
71 75 Davis Stoneburner 2013 .000 DNP
72 75 Jemel Spearman 2009 .000 DNP
73 75 Ed Lucas 2010 .000 DNP
74 75 Rex Rundgren 2009 .000 DNP
75 75 Kevin Russo 2013 .000 DNP
76 75 Al Quintana 2011 .000 DNP
77 75 Gregorio Petit 2013 .000 DNP
78 75 Tim Duff 2009 .000 DNP
79 75 Tyrell Godwin 2008 .000 DNP
80 75 Clay Timpner 2011 .000 DNP
81 74 Jeff Kindel 2011 .000 DNP
82 74 Sean Kazmar 2013 .000 DNP
83 74 Luis Bolivar 2009 .000 DNP
84 74 J.C. Holt 2011 .000 DNP
85 74 Ron Acuna 2007 .000 DNP
86 74 Tyler LaTorre 2011 .000 DNP
87 74 Anderson De La Rosa 2013 .000 DNP
88 74 Diory Hernandez 2012 .000 DNP
89 74 Jeff Bannon 2008 .000 DNP
90 74 Javier Guzman 2010 .000 DNP
91 74 Javi Herrera 2009 .000 DNP
92 74 Jeff Howell 2011 .000 DNP
93 74 Mike Nickeas 2011 .202
94 74 Gustavo Molina 2010 .118
95 74 Justin Christian 2008 .198
96 73 Drew M Anderson 2011 .000 DNP
97 73 Rayner Bautista 2007 .000 DNP
98 73 Angel Chavez 2010 .000 DNP
99 73 Ronnie Prettyman 2010 .000 DNP
100 73 Christopher Maples 2008 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2008 The Dominican Gonzalez was Washington's big plunge into the Latin American talent pool, but the $1.4 million player had a subpar pro debut. Scouts love his defense, but they have serious questions about his ability to ever hit enough to be an everyday player. The optimists point to his high walk rate and low strikeout rate and see potential.

BP Articles

No BP Articles have mentioned this player.



BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2008-10-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)What can you tell me about Esmailyn Gonzalez? Is he a great fielder? He seems to have raked in rookie ball? Does he have any nicknames because writing "Esmailyn" is a pain?
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
His nickname is Smiley. See! I help people. He's a good defensive shortstop -- not great. The bat looks like it's good -- not great. So he's a good -- not great prospect. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-08-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Esmailyn Gonzalez has looked very impressive in his second stint in rookie ball. Any chance he makes the bottom end of your top 100 list next year? The upside seems tremendous, but he also has a very long ways to go.
(Russ from Chicago)
I'm not sure what the tremendous upside is that you see. I think he could hit for average and play excellent defense, but he's not going to be some power/speed stud or anything. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.