Chris Gimenez

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Projected Playing Time
Indians Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

C 3 Chris Gimenez 5 12 .224 20 5 14 1 .314 .376 1.5

1B 7 Chris Gimenez 10 22 .224 20 5 14 1 .314 .376 1.5

LF 8 Chris Gimenez 55 118 .224 20 5 14 1 .314 .376 1.5

3 2009 Total 70 152 .224 20 5 14 1 .314 .376 1.5

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	LKC	A	394	55	25	1	11	40	33	72	6	8	-1.5	.255	.364	.438	-.425	.174	.241	.297	.184	-33.6	60-C -11	-3.3
2007	KIN	A+	332	56	14	1	20	54	50	55	3	2	-5.1	.283	.406	.565	-.204	.197	.291	.388	.236	-8.0	42-C -2 9-1B 0	-0.4
2007	AKR	AA	123	20	6	0	6	12	9	31	1	0	-0.8	.221	.285	.434	-.365	.183	.236	.348	.199	-8.9	14-3B 2 11-C -2	-0.5
2008	AKR	AA	233	46	15	1	6	26	52	33	0	1	0.9	.339	.487	.537	.141	.274	.412	.452	.303	17.4	49-C -3	1.9
2008	BUF	AAA	229	23	9	1	3	19	23	60	2	1	0.4	.272	.354	.374	-.203	.237	.317	.333	.235	-5.4	52-C 1	0.6

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:40 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	467	55	23	1	13	52	53	114	2	1	-0.6	.239	.334	.401	-.065	.238	.333	.418	.264	10.4	111-C -5	2.7
75^o	440	45	20	1	11	45	47	112	2	1	-0.5	.223	.315	.367	-.156	.222	.313	.382	.246	0.4	104-C -5	1.6
60^o	423	40	19	1	9	42	44	111	2	1	-0.5	.213	.303	.347	-.209	.212	.302	.362	.235	-4.8	101-C -5	1.0
50^o	408	35	18	1	8	38	41	110	2	1	-0.5	.205	.292	.329	-.257	.204	.291	.343	.224	-9.2	97-C -6	0.5
40^o	397	32	17	1	7	36	39	109	2	1	-0.4	.200	.285	.318	-.288	.199	.284	.331	.217	-11.8	95-C -6	0.1
25^o	374	27	15	1	6	31	35	106	2	1	-0.4	.188	.271	.294	-.352	.188	.270	.306	.202	-16.7	90-C -6	-0.5
10^o	333	19	12	1	4	23	28	100	1	1	-0.3	.171	.247	.257	-.454	.170	.246	.267	.175	-22.8	81-C -6	-1.3
Weighted Mean	422	38	18	1	9	40	42	113	2	1	-0.5	.207	.295	.335	-.230	.206	.294	.349	.227	-8.0	100-C -4	0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
14%	33%	42%	19%	1.06

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 26)	422	38	18	1	9	40	42	113	2	1	-0.5	.207	.295	.335	-.230	.206	.294	.349	.227	-8.0	100-C -4	0.6
2010 (age 27)	372	29	16	1	7	34	35	99	2	1	-0.3	.205	.286	.321	-.265	.206	.289	.339	.218	-7.7	89-C -5	0.1
2011 (age 28)	409	33	17	1	8	36	37	110	2	1	-0.2	.201	.282	.317	-.280	.203	.285	.335	.214	-7.4	97-C -4	0.2
2012 (age 29)	380	31	15	1	8	38	37	100	2	1	-0.1	.202	.288	.328	-.256	.204	.290	.345	.221	-5.0	91-C -4	0.2
2013 (age 30)	313	25	13	1	7	33	31	83	1	1	-0.1	.208	.296	.338	-.223	.210	.298	.356	.227	-2.3	76-C -3	0.2
2014 (age 31)	295	21	11	0	6	27	29	78	1	1	-0.1	.198	.283	.311	-.289	.200	.286	.328	.213	-3.9	72-C -5	0.1
2015 (age 32)	287	22	12	0	6	29	29	71	1	1	0.0	.212	.301	.335	-.215	.213	.304	.354	.230	-1.2	70-C -5	0.1

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.224	.314	.361
vs RHP	.203	.288	.322
Split	+.020	+.027	+.039
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-6.1	-4.0	0.6	$400,000	-9.0	1.3
2010	-8.5	-5.0	0.1	$400,000	-9.1	0.8
2011	-10.7	-4.0	0.2	$400,000	-7.4	1.2
2012	-7.7	-4.0	0.2	$400,000	-5.8	1.0
2013	-4.3	-3.0	0.2	$600,000	-2.6	1.1
2014	-8.0	-5.0	0.1	$400,000	-3.9	1.1
2015	-3.2	-5.0	0.1	$625,000	-1.7	0.5
Peak			1.4	$1,125,000	0.0	6.5

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.246	.224	.202	.227
2010	.245	.221	.188	.218
2011	.241	.223	.192	.214
2012	.249	.224	.185	.221
2013	.250	.221	.179	.227
2014	.247	.206	.186	.213
2015	.253	.238	.199	.230

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	19%	0%	14%
2010	46%	19%	11%
2011	54%	38%	9%
2012	61%	48%	11%
2013	77%	59%	13%
2014	79%	62%	9%
2015	85%	70%	8%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

64

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Tim Spehr	1993	60		11	Rey Palacios	1989	48
2	Kevin Cash	2004	58		12	Marty Castillo	1983	47
3	Dave Sax	1985	57		13	Jack Fimple	1985	47
4	Pat Casey	1985	53		14	Jeff Bailey	2005	47
5	Kevin Bell	1982	52		15	Larry See	1986	47
6	B.J. Waszgis	1997	52		16	Tom Quinlan	1994	47
7	Lloyd McClendon	1985	51		17	Jim Leyritz	1990	46
8	Steve Finken	1992	49		18	Mike Wolff	1997	46
9	Terry McGriff	1990	48		19	Rob Sasser	2001	45
10	Tom Prince	1991	48		20	Jim Foster	1998	45

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