<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

He's probably very handsome. Cory Dunlap
Los Angeles Dodgers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
First Base
Bats L
Age 24
6' 1"
205 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 VRO 1C 505 61 25 0 7 77 65 64 5 2 -4.7 .291 .382 .398 .103 .244 .325 .337 .238 -15.8 98-1B -10 0.3
2006 VRO 1C 380 43 15 0 14 47 88 69 0 1 -2.7 .261 .435 .461 .252 .225 .382 .393 .279 7.4 72-1B -11 1.4
2006 LVG 3A 6 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 0 0 0.0 .250 .333 .250 -.289 .000 .167 .000 .095 -1.2 0.0
2007 JAX 2A 475 46 18 0 7 60 68 76 0 0 -2.1 .226 .337 .323 -.070 .208 .306 .301 .221 -28.0 85-1B 0 0.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 9:30 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 552 74 27 1 16 68 77 91 3 1 -1.8 .266 .370 .434 .038 .264 .367 .438 .279 15.0 130-1B -3 3.4
75o 509 58 23 1 13 57 68 89 3 1 -1.5 .248 .349 .392 -.065 .246 .347 .396 .260 1.7 120-1B -3 2.1
60o 471 46 19 1 10 49 60 86 2 1 -1.4 .232 .332 .358 -.151 .230 .329 .361 .243 -7.9 112-1B -3 1.2
50o 463 44 18 0 10 47 58 86 2 1 -1.3 .229 .328 .351 -.169 .227 .325 .354 .239 -9.7 110-1B -3 1.0
40o 450 40 17 0 9 44 55 85 2 1 -1.3 .223 .322 .339 -.198 .221 .319 .342 .233 -12.5 107-1B -3 0.7
25o 429 36 15 0 8 40 52 83 2 1 -1.2 .216 .313 .322 -.241 .214 .310 .325 .224 -16.1 102-1B -4 0.3
10o 361 23 11 0 5 27 40 75 2 1 -0.9 .192 .285 .271 -.370 .191 .283 .274 .193 -24.3 87-1B -4 -0.8
Weighted Mean 486 49 20 1 11 50 62 89 2 1 -1.3 .232 .332 .359 -.148 .231 .330 .363 .242 -4.3 115-1B -4 1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

24%

42%

21%

17%

0.96

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 486 49 20 1 11 50 62 89 2 1 -1.3 .232 .332 .359 -.148 .231 .330 .363 .242 -4.3 115-1B -4 1.1
2009 (age 25) 461 47 19 1 11 49 59 83 2 1 -1.1 .242 .340 .377 -.104 .236 .332 .374 .251 -2.1 109-1B -4 1.1
2010 (age 26) 367 34 15 0 10 42 47 66 2 1 -0.8 .237 .338 .378 -.111 .231 .330 .375 .250 -2.0 88-1B -4 0.8
2011 (age 27) 474 52 19 1 12 55 62 80 2 1 -0.8 .249 .351 .391 -.063 .243 .343 .388 .259 1.0 112-1B -5 0.9
2012 (age 28) 471 54 20 0 13 56 68 76 2 1 -0.6 .244 .357 .395 -.051 .239 .349 .391 .262 1.2 111-1B -6 0.7
2013 (age 29) 385 37 13 0 10 44 55 67 2 1 -0.4 .237 .347 .371 -.102 .231 .339 .368 .253 -0.8 92-1B -6 0.4
2014 (age 30) 284 28 13 0 9 36 41 44 1 1 -0.4 .258 .367 .425 .016 .252 .359 .422 .274 2.6 69-1B -4 0.8

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .206 .302 .302
vs RHP .241 .349 .397
Split -.034 -.047 -.095
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.6 0.5 1.1 $1,175,000 -10.3 0.1
2009 0.8 0.3 1.1 $1,250,000 -7.1 0.3
2010 0.6 0.2 0.8 $925,000 -6.2 0.0
2011 0.8 0.1 0.9 $1,150,000 -3.9 1.5
2012 0.6 0.1 0.7 $950,000 -2.5 0.6
2013 0.4 0.0 0.4 $700,000 -4.1 1.0
2014 0.6 0.2 0.8 $1,150,000 0.0 2.2
Peak 5.0 $3,150,000 0.0 5.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .260 .239 .224 .242
2009 .274 .254 .238 .251
2010 .270 .252 .225 .250
2011 .278 .262 .246 .259
2012 .293 .253 .228 .262
2013 .263 .239 .220 .253
2014 .288 .268 .237 .274


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 17% 0% 24%
2009 29% 18% 26%
2010 47% 26% 24%
2011 51% 43% 25%
2012 73% 57% 19%
2013 79% 58% 15%
2014 83% 64% 20%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

A gargantuan prospect who weighed nearly 300 pounds as a high school senior, Dunlap has been fighting the Battle of the Bulge since before he was drafted out of Contra Costa Community College in 2004. Skipped up from rookie ball to High-A in 2005, Dunlap repeated the level last year and showed considerable progress, though, like most Vero Beach players, his home/road splits (.524 SLG home, .396 SLG road) reveal that his home park overstated his power. He`s an extremely patient hitter--we`ll hesitate to praise his `plate discipline` in this case--who struggles with maintaining his balance and has yet to convert his bulk into power on a consistent basis. Unsurprisingly, his physique hampers him in the field as well. The Dodgers have helped Dunlap with diet and conditioning, but he`ll have to take control of the situation himself before it stalls his progress.

2005

Yes, it was Ogden. Yes, it's the Pioneer League. Yes, many of the pitchers in it were flipping burgers a few months ago, and think the current cast of SNL is actually funny. But Dunlap just dismantled opposing pitchers. He hit for average, hit for power, showed great selectivity and patience. He faces the potential Travis Hafner problem in the long term; some work on his defense is going to be part of his daily routine if he wants to have a big league career.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.