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He's probably very handsome. Josh Donaldson
Chicago Cubs [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 22
6'
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 CUB 0R 13 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 1 0.0 .182 .308 .364 -.095 .167 .231 .250 .131 -3.7 0.0
2007 BOI 1A 202 37 11 2 9 35 37 34 6 2 2.2 .346 .470 .605 .512 .251 .350 .417 .269 14.7 41-C 4 2.2


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 9:20 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 572 90 33 3 18 73 66 131 10 4 0.8 .271 .361 .459 .060 .265 .356 .450 .277 27.9 134-C -3 5.6
75o 536 76 30 2 15 64 59 126 9 4 0.7 .259 .345 .432 -.013 .253 .340 .423 .263 17.3 126-C -3 4.5
60o 512 67 27 2 14 58 54 123 8 4 0.7 .251 .335 .414 -.059 .246 .330 .406 .254 11.0 121-C -3 3.9
50o 484 58 25 2 12 51 49 120 8 4 0.6 .242 .323 .394 -.112 .237 .318 .387 .244 4.6 114-C -2 3.2
40o 467 53 24 2 11 47 46 117 7 4 0.6 .237 .316 .383 -.143 .232 .312 .376 .238 1.1 111-C -2 2.8
25o 448 48 22 2 10 44 42 114 7 4 0.6 .231 .309 .371 -.176 .226 .304 .363 .231 -2.3 106-C -2 2.4
10o 411 39 19 2 8 36 36 108 6 4 0.5 .221 .294 .347 -.241 .216 .290 .340 .217 -8.2 98-C -2 1.7
Weighted Mean 484 55 24 2 11 49 47 122 8 4 0.6 .236 .315 .381 -.148 .231 .310 .374 .236 3.4 114-C -2 2.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

7%

20%

52%

8%

0.94

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 22) 484 55 24 2 11 49 47 122 8 4 0.6 .236 .315 .381 -.148 .231 .310 .374 .236 3.4 114-C -2 2.7
2009 (age 23) 466 55 26 2 11 49 45 108 8 4 0.5 .246 .322 .398 -.107 .237 .312 .383 .244 4.4 110-C -1 2.7
2010 (age 24) 407 46 22 2 11 46 40 93 7 3 0.4 .246 .324 .407 -.093 .237 .314 .392 .247 5.1 97-C -3 2.4
2011 (age 25) 369 42 20 1 10 42 38 83 6 3 0.3 .253 .333 .419 -.055 .244 .323 .404 .254 6.6 89-C -3 2.1
2012 (age 26) 371 44 20 2 11 45 40 83 5 3 0.2 .255 .339 .430 -.029 .246 .328 .414 .259 6.0 89-C -2 1.8
2013 (age 27) 335 36 17 2 9 40 35 70 5 2 0.1 .244 .326 .404 -.094 .235 .316 .389 .246 2.1 81-C -5 1.0
2014 (age 28) 423 49 21 1 11 48 39 91 5 2 0.1 .253 .325 .407 -.087 .243 .315 .391 .246 2.4 101-C -1 0.9

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .252 .332 .405
vs RHP .231 .308 .367
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.3 2.4 2.7 $3,375,000 0.2 4.5
2009 0.6 2.1 2.7 $3,875,000 1.7 6.4
2010 0.7 1.7 2.4 $3,500,000 1.3 7.4
2011 0.7 1.4 2.1 $3,550,000 3.1 6.2
2012 0.7 1.1 1.8 $3,425,000 4.4 9.2
2013 0.3 0.7 1.0 $1,375,000 0.0 2.6
2014 0.3 0.6 0.9 $1,775,000 1.9 4.4
Peak 12.7 $14,200,000 12.3 36.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .263 .244 .231 .236
2009 .267 .245 .226 .244
2010 .263 .252 .230 .247
2011 .275 .255 .234 .254
2012 .281 .258 .221 .259
2013 .280 .253 .219 .246
2014 .269 .236 .217 .246


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 8% 0% 7%
2009 17% 5% 12%
2010 20% 12% 10%
2011 36% 25% 15%
2012 56% 41% 21%
2013 70% 61% 16%
2014 76% 64% 15%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

29

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 John Donati 1992 40 11 Jim Austin 2003 33
2 Mike Daniel 1979 36 12 Pat Cline 1971 33
3 Dan Gray 1981 36 13 Bob Henley 1982 33
4 Creighton Gubanich 1970 36 14 Angel Diaz 1960 33
5 Steve Lomasney 1973 35 15 Chad Huffman 2007 32
6 Lou Palmisano 1992 35 16 Jeff Mathis 1975 32
7 Jim Foster 1975 34 17 Tommy Adams 1969 32
8 Cole Gillespie 1975 34 18 Chris Ashby 2000 31
9 Chris Iannetta 1957 34 19 Orlando Mercado 1979 30
10 Jason Dewey 1998 33 20 Alberto Castillo 2005 30

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