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He's probably very handsome. Zachary Daeges
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Left Field
Bats L
Age 24
6' 4"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 LOW 1A 239 24 10 1 4 32 35 40 3 1 -2.6 .288 .402 .409 .249 .239 .331 .364 .246 -11.1 47-LF -6 0.8
2007 LNC 1C 614 124 55 5 21 113 82 97 4 1 1.0 .330 .423 .579 .312 .261 .345 .440 .272 8.6 76-LF -6 3.4


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 8:52 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 659 97 49 3 16 91 75 134 5 3 -0.3 .287 .373 .472 .131 .280 .369 .482 .297 30.7 154-LF -12 4.8
75o 602 75 42 3 13 77 64 128 5 3 -0.2 .269 .350 .432 .027 .261 .346 .441 .278 13.2 141-LF -9 3.3
60o 571 64 38 3 11 69 57 125 5 3 -0.2 .259 .337 .410 -.031 .252 .333 .419 .267 4.7 134-LF -8 2.5
50o 553 59 36 3 10 64 54 122 5 3 -0.2 .253 .330 .399 -.062 .246 .326 .407 .261 0.5 130-LF -8 2.2
40o 543 56 35 3 9 62 52 121 5 3 -0.2 .250 .326 .392 -.079 .243 .322 .401 .257 -1.7 128-LF -7 2.0
25o 518 49 33 2 8 57 48 118 4 2 -0.2 .243 .316 .376 -.121 .236 .313 .385 .248 -6.8 122-LF -6 1.5
10o 474 39 28 2 6 47 41 111 4 2 -0.2 .230 .299 .350 -.192 .224 .296 .357 .233 -14.3 112-LF -5 0.7
Weighted Mean 582 66 39 3 11 70 58 127 5 3 -0.2 .258 .336 .409 -.034 .251 .332 .418 .265 2.6 136-LF -8 2.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

21%

47%

14%

8%

0.83

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 582 66 39 3 11 70 58 127 5 3 -0.2 .258 .336 .409 -.034 .251 .332 .418 .265 2.6 136-LF -8 2.8
2009 (age 25) 562 64 37 3 11 70 56 114 5 2 -0.2 .262 .339 .416 -.016 .259 .341 .433 .269 5.4 132-LF -8 2.4
2010 (age 26) 509 57 35 3 10 64 51 98 4 2 -0.2 .267 .345 .427 .010 .264 .346 .444 .274 6.7 120-LF -6 2.3
2011 (age 27) 592 74 39 2 15 81 63 117 5 2 -0.2 .267 .349 .437 .030 .264 .351 .454 .278 7.8 138-LF -7 2.2
2012 (age 28) 530 63 35 2 12 66 57 103 3 2 -0.2 .272 .354 .436 .041 .269 .356 .453 .280 7.0 125-LF -9 1.8
2013 (age 29) 578 66 38 3 11 78 60 105 5 2 -0.1 .260 .337 .413 -.026 .257 .339 .429 .267 2.2 135-LF -11 1.2
2014 (age 30) 526 56 33 2 11 75 54 92 4 2 -0.1 .253 .331 .408 -.047 .250 .332 .425 .263 0.9 124-LF -8 1.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .229 .310 .360
vs RHP .268 .350 .449
Split -.039 -.040 -.089
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 2.0 0.8 2.8 $3,925,000 2.5 2.6
2009 1.8 0.6 2.4 $3,950,000 5.3 3.9
2010 1.7 0.6 2.3 $4,325,000 7.5 8.0
2011 1.7 0.5 2.2 $4,500,000 7.7 7.1
2012 1.4 0.4 1.8 $3,825,000 6.5 6.4
2013 0.9 0.2 1.2 $1,900,000 1.2 3.9
2014 0.8 0.3 1.1 $1,800,000 0.5 2.8
Peak 12.6 $16,925,000 30.8 32.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .278 .261 .248 .265
2009 .284 .267 .249 .269
2010 .282 .266 .241 .274
2011 .288 .263 .247 .278
2012 .286 .271 .243 .280
2013 .288 .256 .240 .267
2014 .292 .258 .214 .263


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 8% 0% 21%
2009 22% 11% 26%
2010 43% 23% 26%
2011 53% 38% 28%
2012 57% 46% 25%
2013 73% 57% 20%
2014 74% 58% 17%

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