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He's probably very handsome. Cirilo Cumberbatch
Cleveland Indians [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Right Field
Bats B
Age 21
6' 2"
185 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 MHV 1A 164 21 2 0 3 21 13 41 5 2 -1.0 .260 .329 .336 -.042 .197 .244 .250 .167 -35.1 18-RF 1 -0.6
2006 MHV 1A 205 23 4 0 3 15 20 42 5 2 0.6 .214 .302 .286 -.088 .176 .244 .234 .161 -51.2 49-RF 0 -0.5
2006 LKC 1B 32 0 1 0 0 1 0 13 0 1 0.1 .156 .156 .188 -.569 .125 .125 .156 .000 -7.1 -0.3
2007 LKC 1B 343 46 13 2 6 43 34 50 5 1 -0.6 .300 .388 .421 .141 .243 .312 .339 .233 -13.1 43-RF 3 0.9
2007 AKR 2A 8 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 .250 .250 .500 -.002 .250 .250 .500 .209 0.1 0.0


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 8:47 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 391 43 21 2 7 40 31 85 5 3 0.1 .255 .319 .381 -.101 .253 .318 .395 .253 -3.3 93-RF -2 1.6
75o 372 35 17 1 5 34 27 83 5 2 0.1 .236 .296 .341 -.207 .234 .295 .353 .231 -12.7 89-RF -1 0.8
60o 364 32 15 1 5 32 25 83 4 2 0.1 .228 .286 .324 -.251 .226 .285 .335 .221 -16.3 87-RF -1 0.4
50o 358 30 14 1 4 31 24 82 4 2 0.1 .223 .280 .312 -.280 .221 .279 .324 .214 -18.6 86-RF -1 0.2
40o 347 26 13 1 4 28 22 81 4 2 0.1 .213 .267 .291 -.335 .211 .266 .302 .200 -22.5 83-RF -1 -0.2
25o 332 22 11 1 3 24 19 79 4 2 0.1 .202 .253 .267 -.398 .200 .252 .277 .183 -26.6 80-RF -1 -0.6
10o 301 15 7 0 1 17 15 75 3 2 0.0 .182 .227 .225 -.510 .181 .226 .233 .145 -32.2 73-RF -1 -1.2
Weighted Mean 374 31 14 1 4 30 24 86 4 2 0.1 .219 .275 .305 -.300 .217 .274 .316 .209 -20.3 90-RF -1 0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

51%

64%

23%

15%

1.20

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 21) 374 31 14 1 4 30 24 86 4 2 0.1 .219 .275 .305 -.300 .217 .274 .316 .209 -20.3 90-RF -1 0.5
2009 (age 22) 370 34 15 1 5 31 27 82 5 3 0.0 .231 .293 .328 -.230 .233 .297 .347 .226 -11.5 89-RF -1 0.6
2010 (age 23) 362 34 15 1 6 32 26 78 4 2 0.0 .237 .299 .341 -.200 .239 .303 .360 .232 -6.7 87-RF -1 0.6
2011 (age 24) 345 34 14 1 6 32 26 76 5 3 0.0 .244 .306 .353 -.167 .245 .310 .373 .240 -3.4 83-RF 0 0.6
2012 (age 25) 363 36 17 1 6 33 26 78 4 2 0.0 .245 .305 .356 -.165 .247 .309 .375 .239 -3.1 87-RF -2 0.5
2013 (age 26) 257 22 11 1 5 28 18 53 3 1 0.0 .243 .300 .359 -.171 .244 .304 .379 .238 -2.2 63-RF -4 0.2
2014 (age 27) 326 31 16 1 6 37 21 59 4 2 0.0 .249 .301 .372 -.148 .250 .305 .393 .242 -1.1 79-RF -2 0.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .223 .275 .310
vs RHP .218 .275 .302
Split +.005 +.000 +.008
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.5 1.1 0.5 $650,000 -18.4 0.0
2009 0.0 0.7 0.6 $775,000 -10.7 0.1
2010 0.1 0.5 0.6 $775,000 -5.8 0.7
2011 0.1 0.4 0.6 $775,000 -2.1 0.6
2012 0.2 0.3 0.5 $725,000 -2.7 0.1
2013 0.1 0.1 0.2 $525,000 -2.9 0.0
2014 0.1 0.2 0.3 $625,000 -1.1 0.1
Peak 3.0 $1,500,000 -1.1 1.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .231 .214 .183 .209
2009 .237 .221 .198 .226
2010 .238 .223 .199 .232
2011 .247 .229 .213 .240
2012 .260 .246 .218 .239
2013 .253 .237 .221 .238
2014 .260 .250 .231 .242


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 15% 0% 51%
2009 29% 15% 60%
2010 48% 32% 60%
2011 64% 52% 64%
2012 67% 61% 66%
2013 72% 66% 62%
2014 85% 81% 62%

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