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Raul Chavez
Pittsburgh Pirates [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 35
5' 11"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
ESPN Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 ROU 3A 128 9 8 0 0 14 5 24 0 0 0.1 .252 .299 .319 -.253 .223 .260 .273 .179 -8.2 32-C 3 0.7
2005 HOU MJ 105 6 3 0 2 6 4 18 1 0 -0.5 .172 .210 .263 -.474 .172 .217 .253 .155 -7.9 29-C 7 0.6
2006 BOW 2A 213 18 10 0 2 21 11 19 0 0 -2.4 .255 .290 .337 -.080 .242 .278 .323 .209 -7.8 44-C 9 1.8
2006 BAL MJ 29 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 0.2 .179 .207 .179 -.675 .179 .207 .179 .072 -3.6 -0.2
2007 SWB 3A 316 29 14 0 4 31 11 39 1 0 0.1 .221 .265 .310 -.238 .234 .272 .329 .209 -11.5 69-C 6 1.9


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 8:03 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 241 30 14 1 5 25 12 30 1 1 -0.6 .292 .333 .429 -.011 .287 .330 .436 .261 8.9 60-C 1 2.3
75o 222 22 11 0 3 21 10 29 1 0 -0.5 .263 .301 .369 -.173 .258 .298 .375 .231 0.0 56-C 2 1.5
60o 207 17 8 0 2 19 8 28 1 0 -0.5 .243 .278 .328 -.282 .239 .276 .333 .208 -5.3 52-C 2 1.1
50o 200 15 7 0 2 18 7 27 1 0 -0.4 .234 .268 .310 -.331 .230 .266 .315 .196 -7.4 51-C 2 0.9
40o 191 12 6 0 2 17 7 27 1 0 -0.4 .224 .257 .289 -.386 .220 .255 .294 .183 -9.5 49-C 3 0.7
25o 180 10 5 0 1 15 6 26 1 0 -0.4 .212 .243 .264 -.451 .208 .241 .269 .165 -11.7 46-C 3 0.4
10o 115 4 2 0 0 7 3 19 1 0 -0.2 .192 .219 .223 -.562 .188 .217 .227 .063 -10.4 31-C 3 0.0
Weighted Mean 186 13 7 0 2 18 7 25 1 0 -0.4 .238 .273 .318 -.309 .234 .271 .323 .201 -4.5 47-C 4 1.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

35%

48%

37%

49%

1.09

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 35) 186 13 7 0 2 18 7 25 1 0 -0.4 .238 .273 .318 -.309 .234 .271 .323 .201 -4.5 47-C 4 1.7
2009 (age 36) 133 8 5 0 1 12 5 18 1 0 -0.2 .234 .267 .303 -.342 .227 .261 .303 .192 -3.8 36-C 2 0.5
2010 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2011 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .253 .291 .342
vs RHP .234 .266 .307
Split +.019 +.024 +.035
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.4 2.1 1.7 $1,850,000 -1.6 1.5
2009 -0.3 0.8 0.5 $650,000 -2.5 0.3
2010 0.0 0.4 0.3 $550,000 -1.1 0.5
2011 0.0 0.3 0.3 $525,000 -0.6 0.1
2012 0.0 0.2 0.1 $450,000 -1.1 0.0
2013 0.0 0.1 0.0 $450,000 -0.5 0.1
2014 0.0 0.1 0.1 $525,000 0.1 0.0
Peak 2.9 $1,925,000 0.0 2.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .231 .196 .165 .201
2009 .224 .216 .131 .192
2010
-- out of baseball --
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 49% 0% 35%
2009 79% 40% 31%
2010 87% 73% 17%
2011 89% 70% 17%
2012 98% 86% 8%
2013 98% 87% 5%
2014 98% 94% 4%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

A third-string catcher, Raul Chavez is the kind of `just in case` guy who doesn`t help at the plate, but behind it is an improvement on just about anybody but the Gold Glove winners. He`ll try to move up to second-string with the Yankees.

2006

There`s absolutely nothing to recommend Chavez for a major league roster over literally dozens of guys bouncing around the minors--well, almost nothing. Roy Oswalt likes throwing to him, which means he draws an MLB paycheck and pension rather than selling insurance. Not that there`s anything wrong with selling insurance, other than that there`s no such thing as an `Insurance Annie.`

2005

Chavez didn't hit enough to force the Astros into addressing the Ausmus problem, and spent the year as a virtually empty roster spot. His presence is less about not exploiting the free-talent market than it is the organization's obsession with catch-and-throw guys.

2001

That Raul Chavez has gotten cups of coffee with three different teams in the last four years despite a complete lack of offense in the minors is testament to his formidable defensive reputation. That he has yet to play in more than 14 major-league games in a season suggests that there’s only room for one Mike Matheny in baseball. Chavez is a reasonable insurance policy as a Triple-A catcher, nothing more.

2000

A good defensive backstop, he got contact lenses last winter and had his best offensive season in years. If he ponies up a few more bucks and undergoes laser surgery, maybe he'll hook on somewhere as a backup.

1999

Hits like a great defender. One of many possibilities for the job Wilson's caddy.

1998

A catcher who hits this bad better be a damn good defensive player. As usual, his defensive reputation grows the more his offensive contributions tumble. His entire career depends on how much he impresses management with his abilities behind the plate.

1997

Chavez was acquired along with Dave Veres in the Sean Berry deal. Pay close attention, folks: it’s not every day that you see a team trade for a backup catcher. A defensive specialist, but you knew that, right? If he didn’t have a good defensive reputation, he probably would never have been signed.

1996

Chavez was thrown into the Berry deal, but with Tim Laker out for the year, the Expos may be thinking of using him as Fletcher's backup. For their sake, I hope not.


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