Chris Carter

<< PECOTA Home

Player Search

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 7:50 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	589	78	38	2	15	87	56	79	4	2	-1.3	.293	.362	.460	.103	.285	.358	.470	.290	21.7	138-1B -9	3.3
75^o	548	64	34	2	13	76	50	79	3	2	-1.2	.278	.345	.431	.025	.270	.341	.441	.276	10.2	129-1B -9	2.2
60^o	523	57	31	1	11	70	46	78	3	2	-1.1	.269	.335	.415	-.020	.262	.332	.424	.267	4.2	123-1B -10	1.6
50^o	501	50	29	1	10	64	43	77	3	2	-1.0	.261	.326	.400	-.060	.254	.323	.409	.259	-0.7	118-1B -10	1.1
40^o	471	43	26	1	9	57	38	76	3	1	-0.9	.251	.315	.380	-.112	.245	.311	.389	.248	-6.5	111-1B -10	0.4
25^o	435	35	23	1	7	50	34	74	3	1	-0.8	.240	.301	.359	-.171	.234	.298	.366	.236	-12.1	103-1B -10	-0.2
10^o	375	25	18	1	5	38	27	69	2	1	-0.7	.222	.281	.325	-.263	.216	.278	.332	.215	-18.6	90-1B -10	-1.0
Weighted Mean	546	57	31	1	11	70	46	84	3	2	-1.0	.261	.326	.399	-.061	.254	.323	.408	.258	-1.9	128-1B -10	1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
16%	42%	32%	19%	0.83

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 25)	546	57	31	1	11	70	46	84	3	2	-1.0	.261	.326	.399	-.061	.254	.323	.408	.258	-1.9	128-1B -10	1.4
2009 (age 26)	463	45	26	1	10	59	40	70	3	1	-0.9	.261	.328	.397	-.060	.258	.330	.413	.259	-0.5	110-1B -8	1.2
2010 (age 27)	503	53	28	1	11	69	45	74	3	1	-0.8	.265	.333	.408	-.036	.261	.335	.424	.263	1.6	119-1B -10	1.2
2011 (age 28)	553	62	33	1	14	72	48	82	4	2	-0.7	.267	.333	.420	-.017	.264	.335	.437	.266	2.8	130-1B -11	1.3
2012 (age 29)	479	49	28	1	11	69	43	70	3	1	-0.6	.265	.333	.412	-.029	.262	.335	.429	.265	1.5	113-1B -12	0.9
2013 (age 30)	507	54	30	1	12	68	44	71	3	1	-0.6	.268	.332	.416	-.024	.265	.334	.433	.264	1.8	120-1B -12	0.9
2014 (age 31)	533	59	28	1	13	72	53	79	3	1	-0.5	.269	.340	.413	-.015	.265	.342	.429	.267	1.8	125-1B -13	0.9

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.240	.304	.349
vs RHP	.269	.337	.438
Split	-.029	-.033	-.089
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	1.4	0.0	1.4	$1,475,000	-9.1	0.2
2009	1.2	0.1	1.2	$1,375,000	-5.5	0.7
2010	1.2	0.0	1.2	$1,450,000	-3.0	1.4
2011	1.2	0.1	1.3	$1,650,000	-0.6	1.7
2012	0.9	0.0	0.9	$1,125,000	-3.0	1.0
2013	0.9	0.0	0.9	$1,225,000	-1.9	0.6
2014	0.7	0.2	0.9	$1,375,000	-0.6	1.1
Peak			6.9	$4,950,000	0.0	5.7

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.276	.259	.236	.258
2009	.267	.254	.234	.259
2010	.278	.259	.239	.263
2011	.279	.257	.243	.266
2012	.279	.254	.233	.265
2013	.277	.264	.224	.264
2014	.280	.264	.240	.267

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	19%	0%	16%
2009	38%	11%	10%
2010	48%	26%	14%
2011	50%	39%	15%
2012	63%	42%	14%
2013	67%	48%	12%
2014	72%	64%	9%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Carter stalled this year, posting the lowest Isolated Power of his career (.176), though he had more walks than strikeouts, always a nice sign for a power hitter. He`s an absolutely brutal first baseman, so you have to admire the Diamondbacks for trying him in the outfield. He won`t displace Conor Jackson at first, so a move to the AL is the only way he`ll get his career started.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	LNC	1C	470	71	26	2	21	85	46	66	0	0	0.4	.296	.370	.522	.071	.222	.287	.370	.228	-18.0	67-1B -9	0.0
2005	TEN	2A	151	21	4	0	10	30	19	11	0	3	0.6	.297	.397	.563	.323	.288	.371	.523	.295	11.4	22-1B -1	1.1
2006	TUC	3A	588	87	30	3	19	97	78	69	10	4	-5.9	.301	.395	.483	.185	.264	.354	.428	.272	13.3	118-1B -19	1.5
2007	TUC	3A	561	74	39	3	18	84	50	68	2	0	-7.4	.324	.383	.521	.214	.283	.343	.455	.276	18.0	82-1B -18	1.8
2007	PAW	3A	52	6	1	0	1	4	4	7	0	0	-0.2	.234	.308	.319	-.169	.213	.288	.298	.206	-3.5	12-1B 2	0.0

Historical Stats