Biographical

Portrait of Carlos Carrasco

Carlos Carrasco PIndians

Indians Player Cards | Indians Team Audit | Indians Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
83.7 4.58 1.39 68 4 5 0 -0.1
Birth Date3-21-1987
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
Age27 years, 7 months, 0 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.52010
0.22011
2012
0.22013
3.02014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2009 CLE 22 5 5 22.3 22.3 0.0 0 4 0 0 0 0 112 40 23 22 6 67 11 10 0 11 8.87 7.13 7.03 -2.2 -0.2
2010 CLE 23 7 7 44.7 44.7 0.0 2 2 0 0 6 0 188 47 20 19 6 82 14 13 1 38 3.83 4.10 4.56 4.3 0.5
2011 CLE 24 21 21 124.7 124.7 0.0 8 9 0 0 12 0 536 130 68 64 15 206 40 37 4 85 4.62 4.32 5.03 3.5 0.2
2013 CLE 26 15 7 46.7 33.0 13.7 1 4 0 0 1 0 218 64 36 35 4 93 18 16 1 30 6.75 4.13 4.76 1.8 0.2
2014 CLE 27 40 14 134.0 91.0 43.0 8 7 1 0 7 1 529 103 40 38 7 141 29 28 3 140 2.55 2.47 2.86 27.5 3.1
Career8854372.3315.756.719261026115833841871783858911210493044.303.774.3034.93.7

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2005 LWD A 13 13 62.7 6.40 46 .301 .255 .331 .387 .262 .311 83 -3.2 -0.3 -3.2 -0.3
2005 BAT A- 4 4 15.3 9.55 -53 .487 .255 .338 .410 .266 .375 72 -4.2 -0.4 -4.2 -0.4
2006 LWD A 26 26 159.1 4.20 88 .205 .249 .326 .363 .262 .260 81 15.3 1.6 15.3 1.6
2007 CLR A+ 12 12 69.7 5.58 83 .221 .255 .335 .377 .253 .218 100 -1.2 -0.1 -1.2 -0.1
2007 REA AA 14 13 70.3 6.90 67 .265 .263 .336 .403 .257 .264 112 -1.5 -0.2 -0.6 -0.1
2008 REA AA 20 19 114.7 4.87 102 .248 .259 .330 .390 .253 .308 107 10.9 1.1 10.8 1.0
2008 LEH AAA 6 6 36.7 2.79 133 .252 .264 .338 .410 .269 .353 88 9.5 0.9 9.5 0.9
2009 CLE MLB 5 5 22.3 7.03 58 .379 .264 .329 .416 .255 .405 103 -2.2 -0.2 -2.2 -0.2
2009 COH AAA 6 6 42.3 4.20 117 .203 .261 .325 .401 .248 .233 112 6.2 0.6 6.2 0.6
2009 LEH AAA 20 20 114.7 5.03 93 .261 .260 .326 .390 .245 .315 105 4.6 0.4 3.3 0.4
2010 CLE MLB 7 7 44.7 4.56 105 .281 .267 .330 .414 .255 .318 107 4.3 0.5 4.3 0.5
2010 COH AAA 25 25 150.3 5.39 95 .237 .263 .331 .416 .257 .291 108 6.1 0.6 6.1 0.6
2011 CLE MLB 21 21 124.7 5.03 87 .276 .258 .323 .411 .264 .293 100 3.7 0.4 3.5 0.2
2011 AKR AA 1 1 3.7 9.06 -25 .327 .256 .332 .382 .271 .273 85 -1.5 -0.2 -1.5 -0.2
2013 CLE MLB 15 7 46.7 4.76 87 .322 .258 .320 .391 .263 .364 98 1.8 0.2 1.8 0.2
2013 COH AAA 16 14 71.7 4.03 113 .234 .254 .325 .389 .255 .285 101 11.4 1.2 11.4 1.2
2014 CLE MLB 40 14 134.0 2.86 132 .205 .255 .316 .395 .262 .274 101 27.8 3.1 27.5 3.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2005 LWD A 1 7 0 13 13 62.7 78 28 46 11 43% .311 11.2 4.0 1.6 6.6 1.69 7.03 -3.2 -0.3
2005 BAT A- 0 3 0 4 4 15.3 29 5 12 8 34% .375 17.1 2.9 4.7 7.1 2.22 13.53 -4.2 -0.4
2006 LWD A 12 6 0 26 26 159.1 103 65 159 6 51% .260 5.8 3.7 0.3 9.0 1.06 2.26 15.3 1.6
2007 CLR A+ 6 2 0 12 12 69.7 49 22 53 8 47% .218 6.3 2.8 1.0 6.8 1.02 2.84 -1.2 -0.1
2007 REA AA 6 4 0 14 13 70.3 65 46 49 9 38% .264 8.3 5.9 1.2 6.3 1.58 4.86 -0.6 -0.1
2008 LEH AAA 2 2 0 6 6 36.7 37 13 46 1 50% .353 9.1 3.2 0.2 11.3 1.36 1.72 9.5 0.9
2008 REA AA 7 7 0 20 19 114.7 109 45 109 13 47% .308 8.6 3.5 1.0 8.6 1.34 4.32 10.8 1.0
2009 CLE MLB 0 4 0 5 5 22.3 40 11 11 6 48% .405 16.1 4.4 2.4 4.4 2.28 8.87 -2.2 -0.2
2009 COH AAA 5 1 0 6 6 42.3 31 7 36 3 40% .233 6.6 1.5 0.6 7.7 0.90 3.19 6.2 0.6
2009 LEH AAA 6 9 0 20 20 114.7 118 38 112 14 43% .315 9.3 3.0 1.1 8.8 1.36 5.18 3.3 0.4
2010 COH AAA 10 6 0 25 25 150.3 139 46 133 16 49% .291 8.3 2.8 1.0 8.0 1.23 3.65 6.1 0.6
2010 CLE MLB 2 2 0 7 7 44.7 47 14 38 6 57% .318 9.5 2.8 1.2 7.7 1.37 3.83 4.3 0.5
2011 CLE MLB 8 9 0 21 21 124.7 130 40 85 15 51% .293 9.4 2.9 1.1 6.1 1.36 4.62 3.5 0.2
2011 AKR AA 0 0 0 1 1 3.7 4 3 3 1 58% .273 9.8 7.4 2.5 7.4 1.91 9.82 -1.5 -0.2
2013 COH AAA 3 1 1 16 14 71.7 59 21 79 6 45% .285 7.4 2.6 0.8 9.9 1.12 3.14 11.4 1.2
2013 CLE MLB 1 4 0 15 7 46.7 64 18 30 4 50% .364 12.3 3.5 0.8 5.8 1.76 6.75 1.8 0.2
2014 CLE MLB 8 7 1 40 14 134.0 103 29 140 7 54% .274 6.9 1.9 0.5 9.4 0.99 2.55 27.5 3.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 395 0.5570 0.4506 0.8427 0.6273 0.2286 0.9058 0.6250 0.1573
2010 677 0.5214 0.4652 0.7866 0.6034 0.3117 0.8685 0.6139 0.2134
2011 1945 0.5321 0.4843 0.8215 0.6338 0.3132 0.9024 0.6351 0.1764
2013 779 0.4814 0.5237 0.8211 0.6827 0.3762 0.9219 0.6513 0.1740
2014 1951 0.5249 0.5049 0.7320 0.6416 0.3538 0.8417 0.5122 0.2670
Career57470.52320.49210.78840.6390.32950.88070.59240.2099

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-06-29 2013-06-29 DTD 0 0 - Low Back Spasms - -
2013-04-25 2013-04-25 Minors 0 0 Right Forearm Contusion - -
2012-03-15 2012-10-04 60-DL 203 162 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2011-09-21 -
2011-08-04 2011-09-29 60-DL 56 54 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2011-09-21 -
2011-04-25 2011-05-10 15-DL 15 12 Right Elbow Inflammation -
2010-07-26 2010-08-07 Minors 12 0 Not Disclosed -
2010-07-20 2010-07-20 Minors 0 0 Right Forearm Strain -
2009-10-01 2009-10-01 DTD 0 0 Thigh Contusion Batted Ball -
2008-06-28 2008-07-11 Minors 13 0 Right Shoulder Stiffness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 CLE $504,700
2013 CLE $490,000
2012 CLE $488,500
2011 CLE $415,800
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$1,394,300
2011Current$504,700
4 yrPvs + Cur$1,899,000
4 yrTotal$1,899,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 147 d1 year/$0.5047M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/10/14.
  • 1 year/$0.49M (2013). Renewed by Cleveland 3/11/13. DFA by Cleveland 7/7/13 (optional assignment).
  • 1 year/$0.4885M (2012). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.4158M (2011). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/8/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/10/10. Optioned to Triple-A 4/1/10.
  • 1 year/$0.4M (2009). Contract purchased 11/18/08. Re-signed 2/23/09. Optioned 3/30/09. Acquired by Cleveland in trade from Philadelphia 7/29/09 (Cliff Lee deal). Recalled 9/1/09.
  • Signed 2003 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela. $0.3M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 7.4 6.6 0 21 21 140.0 124 39 112 15 .267 1.16 3.49 3.79 16.7 1.7
80o 7.1 7 0 21 21 132.8 125 39 106 15 .279 1.24 3.88 4.21 10.6 1.1
70o 6.9 7.4 0 21 21 127.8 126 40 102 15 .289 1.30 4.16 4.52 6.3 0.6
60o 6.8 7.7 0 21 21 123.6 127 40 99 15 .297 1.35 4.41 4.79 2.6 0.3
50o 6.6 7.9 0 21 21 119.7 127 40 95 15 .304 1.40 4.64 5.05 -0.8 -0.1
40o 6.4 8.2 0 21 21 115.9 128 40 92 16 .312 1.45 4.88 5.3 -4.0 -0.4
30o 6.2 8.5 0 21 21 111.8 128 40 89 16 .320 1.50 5.14 5.58 -7.5 -0.8
20o 6 8.9 0 21 21 107.2 128 40 86 16 .329 1.57 5.44 5.92 -11.5 -1.2
10o 5.6 9.5 0 21 21 100.9 128 40 81 16 .342 1.67 5.88 6.39 -16.9 -1.7
Weighted Mean6.67.902121119.4126409515.3021.394.615.01-0.3-0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
33% 64% 10% 26% 86%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152891002828174187541482346.3091.384.564.969.72.87.61.2-0.0
2016298802323138144401141846.3021.334.374.759.42.67.41.20.3
2017307802121125131381031746.3011.354.474.869.42.77.41.20.1
201831670191911412033901646.3011.354.494.899.52.67.11.30.1
201932660171710310929831346.3041.344.344.729.52.57.31.10.3
20203356016169510127771246.3041.354.374.759.62.67.31.10.2
2021345501515889325701146.3041.344.384.769.52.67.21.10.2
2022354501313798422631046.3041.344.404.789.62.57.21.10.2
202336440121272772057946.3061.354.384.769.62.57.11.10.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
9.213.11.911.92.35.338.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Wade LeBlanc 2012 3.93
2 91 Garrett Olson 2011 2.08
3 90 Esmil Rogers 2013 5.03
4 90 David Huff 2012 4.72
5 89 Jason Vargas 2010 4.02
6 87 Chin-hui Tsao 2008 0.00 DNP
7 87 Angel Guzman 2009 2.95
8 86 Rick VandenHurk 2012 13.50
9 86 Ross Ohlendorf 2010 4.49
10 86 David Hernandez 2012 2.77
11 85 Colby Lewis 2007 6.69
12 85 Bud Norris 2012 4.76
13 85 Dustin Moseley 2009 4.91
14 84 Sean Gallagher 2013 0.00 DNP
15 84 Billy Buckner 2011 0.00 DNP
16 84 Anthony Reyes 2009 7.04
17 84 Garrett Mock 2010 5.40
18 84 Craig Stammen 2011 0.87
19 84 Fernando Nieve 2010 6.00
20 84 Charlie Morton 2011 4.30
21 84 Brad Lincoln 2012 3.78
22 83 Felipe Paulino 2011 4.78
23 83 Josh Tomlin 2012 6.45
24 83 Charlie Furbush 2013 4.57
25 83 Billy Traber 2007 4.99
26 83 James McDonald 2012 4.47
27 82 Joel Hanrahan 2009 5.62
28 82 Jorge De La Rosa 2008 5.33
29 82 Boof Bonser 2009 0.00 DNP
30 82 Adam Ottavino 2013 3.10
31 82 Collin Balester 2013 0.00 DNP
32 82 Robinson Tejeda 2009 3.67
33 82 John Maine 2008 4.50
34 82 Radhames Liz 2010 0.00 DNP
35 82 Greg Smith 2011 0.00 DNP
36 82 Joe Saunders 2008 3.73
37 81 J.A. Happ 2010 3.81
38 81 Cory Luebke 2012 2.90
39 81 Luke Hochevar 2011 5.00
40 81 Kevin Hart 2010 0.00 DNP
41 81 John Ely 2013 0.00 DNP
42 81 Josh Banks 2010 13.50
43 81 Clayton Mortensen 2012 3.21
44 81 Edgar Gonzalez 2010 0.00 DNP
45 81 Armando Galarraga 2009 5.76
46 81 Matt Chico 2010 3.60
47 81 Doug Fister 2011 3.16
48 81 Shaun Marcum 2009 0.00 DNP
49 80 Phil Dumatrait 2009 7.62
50 80 Jake Woods 2009 0.00 DNP
51 80 Eric Hurley 2013 0.00 DNP
52 80 Mike Wood 2007 6.57
53 80 Dillon Gee 2013 3.80
54 80 Jason Hammel 2010 4.91
55 80 Elizardo Ramirez 2010 0.00 DNP
56 80 Jason Berken 2011 5.55
57 79 Dan Meyer 2009 3.70
58 79 Mitchell Boggs 2011 4.01
59 79 Jeff Karstens 2010 5.28
60 79 Anthony Swarzak 2013 3.19
61 79 Francisco Rosario 2008 0.00 DNP
62 79 Pat Misch 2009 4.48
63 79 Philip Humber 2010 4.15
64 78 Enrique Gonzalez 2010 3.81
65 78 Corey Kluber 2013 4.09
66 78 Jason Bergmann 2009 5.25
67 78 Luke French 2013 0.00 DNP
68 78 Josh Geer 2010 0.00 DNP
69 78 Daniel McCutchen 2010 6.38
70 78 Jerome Williams 2009 0.00 DNP
71 78 Andrew Miller 2012 3.57
72 78 Lance Cormier 2008 4.52
73 77 Sam LeCure 2011 3.82
74 77 David Purcey 2009 6.56
75 77 J.D. Martin 2010 5.62
76 77 Ian Snell 2009 5.03
77 77 Anthony Lerew 2010 8.54
78 77 Daryl Thompson 2013 0.00 DNP
79 77 Yorman Bazardo 2012 0.00 DNP
80 77 Jeremy Hefner 2013 5.17
81 77 Tim Stauffer 2009 3.82
82 77 Glen Perkins 2010 7.06
83 77 Ryan Feierabend 2013 0.00 DNP
84 77 Steven Shell 2010 0.00 DNP
85 77 Dan Haren 2008 3.58
86 77 Andy Van Hekken 2007 0.00 DNP
87 77 Yohan Pino 2011 0.00 DNP
88 77 Hector Ambriz 2011 0.00 DNP
89 77 Henry Sosa 2013 0.00 DNP
90 77 Greg Reynolds 2013 5.83
91 77 John Stephens 2007 0.00 DNP
92 77 Zach Jackson 2010 0.00 DNP
93 77 P.J. Walters 2012 5.98
94 77 Kevin Slowey 2011 6.67
95 76 Justin Germano 2010 3.82
96 76 Brian Burres 2008 6.18
97 76 Travis Banwart 2013 0.00 DNP
98 76 Francisco Cruceta 2009 0.00 DNP
99 76 Jo-Jo Reyes 2012 0.00 DNP
100 76 Brad Mills 2012 0.00

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .329 .400 .524 .338
11 vs R (Multi) .283 .321 .403 .265
18 Split (Multi) .046 .079 .121 .073
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .351 .423 .557 .355
31 vs R (2013) .309 .343 .402 .274
38 Split (2013) .041 .081 .155 .082
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Before Tommy John surgery sidelined him for the entire 2012 regular season, Carrasco was on his way to becoming a solid second or third starter. He'd been improving the control that gave him issues early in his professional career, and his plus stuff was allowing him to miss bats at the major-league level. Carrasco comes armed with a 93-mph fastball that he can add some sink to and a bouquet of quality off-speed offerings, including a changeup, slider, and curve. Pitchers returning from ligament replacement often take a year or two to regain all their velocity and effectiveness, however, so give Carrasco a break if he struggles a bit this year.
2012 Carrasco underwent Tommy John surgery in September, so this projection is mostly likely for 2013. Despite what looks on the surface like a poor 2011, Carrasco had an impressive year peripherally and seemed poised to become the best of the quartet of prospects that the Indians received for Cliff Lee. Of course, when Jason Donald and Lou Marson are in a group with you, that's kind of like having the best beard when your cohorts haven't started shaving yet. Armed with a 93-mph fastball, a plus change, and a solid breaking ball, Carrasco certainly has the stuff to be a number two starter if he can translate that stuff into a few more strikeouts.
2011 It's hard to know exactly what happened here. Maybe he saw a hypnotist, maybe he got kicked in the head by a horse, or maybe someone just sat Carrasco down and explained to him that he has all the ability in the world to be a good major-league starter and it sure pays pretty damn well. Or maybe none of that happened and Carrasco somehow figured out how to knuckle down with runners on base, which had been the frustrating bugaboo that defined his career. After a great second-half stretch at Triple-A Columbus, he went 6-for-7 in the quality start department for the big-league club, and he'll open the year with a rotation spot all but guaranteed. With a 92-94 mph fastball, decent breaking ball, and good changeup, there's no reason this can't continue, other than the fact that we've seen him not succeed with the same combination for a while. Guarded optimism would be the best way to approach things.
2010 One of the many prizes in the Cliff Lee trade, Carrasco will be competing for a spot in the rotation. The problem beyond his control is that with all of the acquisitions that the Indians made this year, there will be a lot of competition. He didnít help his case with an awful September call-up, as his tendency to turn bad innings into game-losing nightmares continued. The scouting consensus is that heís got a complete but not overly spectacular arsenal; at 23, he still has time for further development, especially given his moving low-90s fastball and plus changeup.
2009 The top prospect in the system entering the year, Carrasco didn't make any great leaps forward in 2008 as much as he simply held serve. He took some time to made adjustments to the more advanced hitters at the upper levels, but those adjustment were made and he was once again dominating against at the end of the year with his above-average fastball and outstanding changeup. He profiles as a solid third starter in the big leagues, with the potential to be a bit more, and he could be a key addition to the defending champs by midseason.
2008 Carrasco is generally considered the top arm in the Phillies' system, but despite reaching Double-A as a 20-year-old, he's not an elite-level prospect. Rather, he's something less than the sum of his parts. He boasts two above-average pitches (fastball, curve), one outstanding one (changeup), and good command, but his strikeout rates don't foretell of a future beyond that of a solid, mid-rotation innings-eater.
2007 There is a tendency for us here at BP to emphasize the physical and tangible over the mental. Carrasco started 2005 in the Sally League and got his head handed to him in his first couple of starts. The result was that he stopped believing in his stuff, tried to throw everything harder and harder, and reaped increasingly poor results. Last year he got off to a good start, pitched within his ability, and succeeded. The only tangible difference in 2006 was the addition of an improved curve to his low-90s fastball and excellent changeup. Scouts love his frame, and expect the skinny Venezuelan to fill out and get stronger.

BP Articles

Carlos Carrasco is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Are Elite Pitchers Becoming More Numerous?J.P. Breen2014-10-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Circling Back to The Holy TrinityJ.P. Breen2014-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 22, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Carlos in ChargeDoug Thorburn2014-09-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 26Wilson Karaman2014-09-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 18, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 12, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Lance LynnJ.P. Breen2014-09-10
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 3, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 23Wilson Karaman2014-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 28, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Carlos CarrascoJ.P. Breen2014-08-25
Daily League Strategy: "Prado of the Yankees"Paul Sporer2014-08-22
BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/23Sam Miller2014-05-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Sixth EditionBret Sayre2014-05-20
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-04
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2011-07-21 16:00:00 (link to chat)Thank you for the chat, Jason. Please rank the folowing SPs for the rest of the season (head-to-head, standard 5x5 cats): Colby Lewis, Jeff Niemann, Carlos Carrasco, and Josh Collmenter.
(Dennis from LA)
Lewis, Carrasco, Niemann, Collmenter (can't stay this lucky) (Jason Collette)
2011-07-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think the Indians, and to a lesser extent the Pirates, have a good chance to be divisional contenders next year as well?
(bigcity from NY)
Based on the divisions they're in: definitely. Indians still need another SP or two to take another step forward, but I like where they're at as a unit. Carlos Carrasco is a big key for me. He's turning into a very good SP. Plus as good as their bullpen is, Nick Hagadone's been good and Adam Miller's pitching again at AA which is a great story to root for (his Twitter avatar is a picture of the finger)

Pirates, I say 2013 could look really good. Cole, Tallion in the rotation: They have a system filled with mid-back of the rotation arms who could fill what they already have at the big league level. And you know what? I kinda like James McDonald. Not as an ace, but as a solid big league starter.

Cleveland's in a great spot because they'll be there right before KC's guys start to really make an impact, CHW is aging. Twins are, well, I respect the hell out of them because they just defy some logic and grind out every pitch. (Mike Ferrin)
2010-11-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)So good prospect + solid minor league season at AAA at 23 + solid end to the season in 7 starts = I don't like how the confirmation bias is winning out on that one? Yes, TINSTAAPP, but are you really using just his first 5 ML starts, at 22, to knock him at the same time you say you can't use a small time-frame? And yes, false-ish, or a medium would probably be appropriate.
(Chad from Cleveland)
You're not reading what I'm writing. I am not knocking Carlos Carrasco in any way. I am simply saying that just like his 5 bad starts last year didn't tell us much, his 7 good starts this season don't tell us much. I need to see a full season from him to really form an opinion. This is not negative. I just don't know what to think of him yet and refuse to just assume that 7 good starts last year, coupled with a solid minor league pedigree, means he is legit. That's literally all I am saying. I hope he is good next year, but I cannot say with confidence that he will be, because he has not done enough at the major league level to convince me. (Eric Seidman)
2010-11-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Beno Udrih: great point guard, or the greatest point guard?
(Ken from The Sconnie Office)
I don't know enough about Carlos Carrasco to answer this question. (Eric Seidman)
2010-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can the Indians be contenders in 2011? 2012?
(SaberTJ from Cleveland, OH)
The trouble with the Indians is going to be the pitching. Who knows when Jason Knapp will show up in the majors? Alex White looks good at Double-A but I'm not sure he's going to be able to do it alone. Until that problem is solved I think the Indians will struggle a bit. Don't even get me started on Carlos Carrasco. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Similar to Kane County question, who beyond Santana gives me a reason to walk one block to see the Clippers this summer?
(w friend from columbus)
Carlos Carrasco, Jeanmar Gomez, Hector Rondon and others await your visit. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-10-09 13:30:00 (link to chat)I'm seriously dying over here for some Carlos Carrasco info. DYING! Tell me he can still be a #2 or #3 in Cleveland
(Felicity from Rancho Cucomonga)
I can't tell you that. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-24 16:30:00 (link to chat)great work on your "royal" piece; following on that note, if after the season is over, the following scenario appears: Ryan Howard and Carlos Carrasco for Greinke and Kila: a) who do you think is getting the better deal? b)Would the Royals think they are getting the better deal?
(mo from las vegas)
Carrasco's stock has fallen precipitously lately and Kila, though highly touted, is certainly unproven, so you're basically asking if Moore would trade Greinke for Ryan Howard. I know many KC fans think negatively about Moore but there is no way even he would make that move. (Eric Seidman)
2008-08-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joe, no Carlos Carrasco on your fast-rising prospects? He might be the best one of them all. He's better at AAA than AA, a great sign.
(Will from Conshohocken (PA))
I'm assuming this is a reference to the recent Sports Illustrated piece...Will, that addressed prospects on teams out of the race this season, so Carrasco didn't qualify. I do like him--caught his inning at the Futures Game and was impressed. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-01-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Everyone seems down on Carlos Carrasco. The fact that he was only 20 last year and reached AA has to count for something, doesn't it? Will his flaws be ironed out with more innings, or do you see his upside as being limited?
(JM from MD)
It does count for something, but so does his stuff and production. He just doesn't miss a ton of bats, nor have to stuff to project as a big time star. Very good prospect, don't get me wrong -- But I think he's a No. 3, borderline No. 2 in a perfect world. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Carlos Carrasco has thrown 5,661 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (96mph) and Slider (87mph), also mixing in a Change (89mph), Curve (82mph) and Sinker (95mph).