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He's probably very handsome. Mitch Canham
San Diego Padres [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 23
6' 2"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 EUG 1A 133 20 4 1 2 18 11 35 5 2 1.4 .293 .379 .397 .110 .194 .242 .250 .165 -20.6 21-C 0 -0.2
2007 LEL 1C 8 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0.0 .000 .000 .000 -1.349 .143 .125 .143 .000 -1.5 0.0


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 7:43 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 496 57 26 2 9 46 35 119 10 4 0.3 .247 .305 .373 -.170 .254 .312 .399 .244 6.1 117-C -6 3.0
75o 448 40 18 1 6 37 28 114 8 4 0.2 .222 .277 .319 -.309 .229 .283 .340 .214 -10.0 106-C -5 1.5
60o 429 35 16 1 5 33 26 112 8 4 0.2 .214 .267 .299 -.359 .220 .273 .320 .203 -14.8 102-C -5 1.0
50o 418 33 15 1 5 31 25 111 7 3 0.2 .209 .261 .289 -.385 .215 .267 .309 .196 -17.2 100-C -5 0.7
40o 401 29 13 1 4 29 23 108 7 3 0.2 .202 .253 .273 -.426 .207 .259 .292 .185 -20.6 96-C -4 0.3
25o 368 22 10 1 3 23 20 103 6 3 0.2 .189 .238 .245 -.498 .194 .243 .262 .164 -25.4 88-C -4 -0.2
10o 306 14 6 1 1 15 14 92 4 3 0.1 .170 .216 .204 -.601 .175 .221 .218 .125 -29.0 74-C -3 -0.9
Weighted Mean 428 34 16 1 5 33 26 112 8 4 0.2 .212 .265 .295 -.369 .218 .271 .316 .199 -11.9 102-C -4 1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

72%

84%

9%

11%

1.15

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 23) 428 34 16 1 5 33 26 112 8 4 0.2 .212 .265 .295 -.369 .218 .271 .316 .199 -11.9 102-C -4 1.1
2009 (age 24) 431 37 17 2 5 36 27 108 8 3 0.2 .218 .273 .309 -.332 .221 .275 .324 .209 -9.6 102-C -5 1.1
2010 (age 25) 337 27 12 1 5 28 22 77 6 3 0.1 .219 .275 .311 -.324 .222 .277 .327 .211 -6.2 81-C -3 0.8
2011 (age 26) 368 31 15 1 5 33 24 83 6 2 0.1 .226 .283 .325 -.287 .229 .285 .341 .219 -3.5 88-C -7 0.7
2012 (age 27) 431 44 17 2 8 39 29 92 6 3 0.1 .242 .301 .357 -.202 .246 .303 .375 .236 0.7 102-C -6 1.0
2013 (age 28) 405 40 16 1 9 36 27 86 5 2 0.0 .244 .295 .363 -.203 .248 .297 .381 .235 0.6 97-C -6 0.8
2014 (age 29) 452 47 18 1 9 48 36 80 6 3 0.0 .237 .299 .354 -.213 .240 .301 .372 .236 0.2 107-C -13 0.5

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .184 .236 .241
vs RHP .220 .276 .321
Split -.035 -.040 -.080
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.9 2.0 1.1 $1,175,000 -14.7 2.4
2009 -0.5 1.6 1.1 $1,200,000 -11.6 0.5
2010 -0.3 1.2 0.8 $1,000,000 -7.1 0.4
2011 -0.2 0.9 0.7 $900,000 -6.0 0.4
2012 0.2 0.8 1.0 $1,275,000 -0.5 1.0
2013 0.2 0.6 0.8 $1,075,000 -1.0 0.4
2014 0.1 0.4 0.5 $825,000 -2.4 0.0
Peak 5.5 $3,475,000 -0.5 5.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .214 .196 .164 .199
2009 .226 .212 .180 .209
2010 .234 .208 .181 .211
2011 .244 .220 .201 .219
2012 .270 .232 .213 .236
2013 .281 .249 .159 .235
2014 .263 .252 .216 .236


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 11% 0% 72%
2009 17% 10% 83%
2010 37% 25% 81%
2011 45% 42% 80%
2012 55% 51% 82%
2013 67% 63% 76%
2014 71% 69% 78%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

27

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Robert Fick 1992 40 11 Todd Jennings 2003 33
2 Dave Schmidt 1979 36 12 Jon Kessick 1971 33
3 Donny Lucy 1981 36 13 Brian Esposito 1982 33
4 Cody Mckay 1970 36 14 Bill Dobrolsky 1960 33
5 Scott Sandusky 1973 35 15 Roger Luce 2007 32
6 Kirk Pierce 1992 35 16 Dave Jensen 1975 32
7 Tony Richie 1975 34 17 Wes Swackhamer 1969 32
8 Jason Larue 1975 34 18 Bradley Davis 2000 31
9 Will Venable 1957 34 19 Craig Tatum 1979 30
10 Mike Rabelo 1998 33 20 Brett Hayes 2005 30

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