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Ryan Cameron
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 30
6' 1"
175 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 REA 2A 6 5 19 58 0 88.3 70 31 99 11 53% .276 -9 1.14 2.55 5.80 4.35 9.0 4.6 6.6 1.7 10.9 3.5
2006 SWB 3A 6 2 7 45 1 59.2 48 31 45 4 44% .265 -19 1.33 3.19 5.72 4.72 9.3 5.9 5.1 1.0 5.2 1.9
2007 REA 2A 0 1 1 30 2 43.3 46 30 49 6 48% .364 -24 1.76 5.61 9.51 7.94 11.8 7.5 7.5 2.0 -10.3 -0.2
2007 OTT 3A 0 0 0 15 1 24.7 39 15 22 2 39% .451 -29 2.19 5.83 10.93 9.13 14.8 6.1 5.7 1.1 -9.3 -0.3


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/17/08 7:31 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 5 4 0 24 11 78.3 75 44 63 8 46% .289 3 1.51 3.61 4.61 3.62 8.3 4.6 6.5 0.9 18.5 2.2 2.7
75o 4 4 0 23 11 72.3 74 44 58 9 46% .300 -1 1.62 4.55 5.27 4.58 8.9 5.0 6.5 1.1 9.0 1.3 1.7
60o 4 4 0 23 10 70.0 73 43 56 10 46% .304 -3 1.66 4.93 5.54 4.97 9.1 5.1 6.5 1.2 5.5 0.9 1.3
50o 3 4 0 22 10 65.7 72 43 52 10 46% .312 -7 1.75 5.67 6.06 5.73 9.6 5.4 6.4 1.3 -0.5 0.3 0.7
40o 3 4 0 22 9 62.0 71 42 49 10 46% .319 -10 1.82 6.33 6.52 6.41 10.0 5.6 6.4 1.4 -5.4 -0.2 0.2
25o 2 4 0 20 8 55.0 68 41 43 11 46% .333 -17 1.97 7.68 7.42 7.79 10.7 6.1 6.3 1.7 -13.5 -1.0 -0.7
10o 1 4 0 16 6 40.3 54 33 31 9 45% .348 -27 2.15 10.78 8.53 11.21 11.7 6.7 6.3 2.0 -25.8 -2.2 -2.0
Weighted Mean 3 4 0 21 9 60.3 65 39 48 9 46% .309 -6 1.71 5.47 5.85 5.54 9.4 5.3 6.5 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

40%

59%

24%

22%

1.15

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 30) 3 4 0 21 9 60.3 65 39 48 9 46% .309 -6 1.71 5.47 5.85 5.54 9.4 5.3 6.5 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.7
2009 (age 31) 3 4 0 22 9 62.3 67 40 50 9 46% .310 -8 1.72 5.52 5.85 5.59 9.4 5.3 6.4 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.4
2010 (age 32) 3 3 0 20 8 55.7 58 32 44 8 43% .300 -4 1.61 4.98 5.33 5.03 9.0 4.8 6.4 1.2 1.7 0.7 0.4
2011 (age 33)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 34)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .261 .393 .438
vs RHB .264 .373 .424
Split -.004 +.020 +.014
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 0.7 $750,000 0.0 5.1
2009 0.4 $550,000 -0.3 4.3
2010 0.4 $825,000 1.4 3.0
2011 0.2 $625,000 0.8 0.8
2012 0.1 $550,000 0.6 0.6
2013 0.0 $400,000 0.0 0.4
2014 0.0 $400,000 -0.2 0.2
Peak 1.8 $1,175,000 2.7 14.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 4.58 5.73 7.79 5.54
2009 4.54 5.70 8.79 5.59
2010 3.90 5.28 6.87 5.03
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 22% 0% 40%
2009 53% 36% 30%
2010 71% 62% 21%
2011 84% 77% 20%
2012 91% 88% 18%
2013 91% 90% 12%
2014 96% 92% 5%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

57

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Chip Duncan 1996 57 11 David Lee 2003 44
2 Paul Fletcher 1997 53 12 Juan Alvarez 2004 44
3 Pete Walker 2000 53 13 Jim Dedrick 1999 43
4 Dera Clark 1996 52 14 Matt Dunbar 1999 43
5 Tim Layana 1994 50 15 Marty McLeary 2005 43
6 Mike Cook 1994 50 16 Mike Cather 2001 42
7 Ryan Henderson 2000 49 17 Tom Kramer 1998 40
8 Jamie Brewington 2002 49 18 Brian Drahman 1997 39
9 Darwin Cubillan 2003 46 19 Steve Sinclair 2002 39
10 Darrell Akerfelds 1992 45 20 Jason Bullard 1999 39

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