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2013 Projections (seasonal age 23) - Rest of Season Projections
| IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
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- 0.02009
- 1.92010
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- 2.42012
- 3.32013
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | SFN | 19 | 4 | 1 | 10.0 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 1.80 | 4.56 | 4.62 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | SFN | 20 | 18 | 18 | 111.0 | 111.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 472 | 119 | 40 | 37 | 11 | 181 | 26 | 24 | 5 | 86 | 3.00 | 3.68 | 4.00 | 18.4 | 1.9 |
| 2011 | SFN | 21 | 33 | 33 | 204.7 | 204.7 | 0.0 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 844 | 202 | 82 | 73 | 12 | 284 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 191 | 3.21 | 2.64 | 3.14 | 40.2 | 4.0 |
| 2012 | SFN | 22 | 32 | 32 | 208.3 | 208.3 | 0.0 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 849 | 183 | 87 | 78 | 23 | 302 | 49 | 43 | 7 | 191 | 3.37 | 3.54 | 4.13 | 20.3 | 2.4 |
| 2013 | SFN | 23 | 9 | 9 | 58.3 | 58.3 | 0.0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 233 | 45 | 22 | 20 | 5 | 69 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 58 | 3.09 | 2.90 | 3.62 | 9.1 | 1.0 |
| Career | 96 | 93 | 592.3 | 587.7 | 4.7 | 40 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 3 | 2438 | 557 | 233 | 210 | 53 | 852 | 139 | 123 | 18 | 536 | 3.19 | 3.21 | 3.71 | 88.2 | 9.3 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | SFN | MLB | 4 | 1 | 10.0 | 4.62 | 91 | .249 | .264 | .339 | .440 | .271 | .240 | 93 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | SFN | MLB | 18 | 18 | 111.0 | 4.00 | 109 | .258 | .270 | .339 | .438 | .273 | .314 | 100 | 15.3 | 1.6 | 18.4 | 1.9 |
| 2011 | SFN | MLB | 33 | 33 | 204.7 | 3.14 | 119 | .250 | .265 | .330 | .415 | .267 | .322 | 92 | 35.0 | 3.7 | 40.2 | 4.0 |
| 2012 | SFN | MLB | 32 | 32 | 208.3 | 4.13 | 97 | .248 | .267 | .331 | .430 | .272 | .276 | 93 | 15.3 | 1.6 | 20.3 | 2.4 |
| 2013 | SFN | MLB | 9 | 9 | 58.3 | 3.62 | 111 | .216 | .260 | .322 | .418 | .263 | .260 | 97 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 9.1 | 1.0 |
| Career | MLB | 93 | 592.3 | 3.49 | 114 | .246 | .266 | .331 | .425 | .269 | .298 | 62 | 59.0 | 6.3 | 67.8 | 6.9 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | SFN | MLB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10.0 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 59% | .240 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 9.0 | 1.10 | 1.80 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | SFN | MLB | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 111.0 | 119 | 26 | 86 | 11 | 46% | .314 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7.0 | 1.31 | 3.00 | 18.4 | 1.9 |
| 2011 | SFN | MLB | 13 | 13 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 204.7 | 202 | 46 | 191 | 12 | 48% | .322 | 8.9 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 8.4 | 1.21 | 3.21 | 40.2 | 4.0 |
| 2012 | SFN | MLB | 16 | 11 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 208.3 | 183 | 49 | 191 | 23 | 49% | .276 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 8.3 | 1.11 | 3.37 | 20.3 | 2.4 |
| 2013 | SFN | MLB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 58.3 | 45 | 15 | 58 | 5 | 47% | .260 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 8.9 | 1.03 | 3.09 | 9.1 | 1.0 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
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Compensation
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BP Articles
Madison Bumgarner is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-01-24 13:00:00 | How high are you on Madison Bumgarner this year? He rebounded really well after a rough start to the season. Does he make the leap to truly elite status in 2012? (Peter from Westtown) | I like Bumgarner, but I don't know if I see him taking the leap into truly elite company like Linecum/Felix/CC. But a top 15-20 pitcher, sure, I think he's just about there. (Derek Carty) |
| 2012-01-10 13:00:00 | Does Madison Bumgarner have #1 (stud) upside? (George from CT) | #1 is such an arbitrary distinction, and everyone seems to define it differently, but yes, I think he does, in the sense that his 3.21 ERA from this year will be repeatable in subsequent seasons. Maybe not best to bank on a complete repeat for 2012, but he's certainly capable of it. (Derek Carty) |
| 2010-08-26 13:00:00 | Will Madison Bumgarner be a useful fantasy pitcher next year? He looks like he's in over his head lately. (Wilson from Denver) | I think so--he's not going to have an ERA in the low 3's (which is where he was before last night's adventure) but he should be able to post a league average SIERA and then get a boost in his ERA from his home park. I like Bumgarner, but his numbers in the majors early on surprised me given how his minor league season had gone. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-07-09 13:00:00 | what's your outlook for Madison Bumgarner in the 2nd half? Does he stick w/ SF? And is he worthy of a roster spot in deep mixed leagues? (Gigantes from SF) | I think he'll stick with San Fran, but yes, the league would need to be deep. He has some potential problems against right-handers, the kind of thing that once major league managers catch the scent of he won't be able to shake (ask Justin Masterson how that works for him with lefties) and his strikeout rates don't translate well into fantasy unless everything else is going perfectly for him. I think he'll be a good pitcher, but he still has a lot of work to do in his development. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-06-02 13:00:00 | Please rank the following in the order in which you think they will make their big league debuts: Mike Moustakas; Pedro Alvarez; Logan Morrison; Freddie Freeman; Madison Bumgarner; Jeremy Hellickson. Does anyone in this group make a significant fantasy impact in 2010? (Chillin' from Waiver Wire) | I'm not terribly good at this kind of thing, but what the heck:
Alvarez, Moustakas, Hellickson, Morrison, Bumgarner, Freeman I think the first three will see at least a sprinkling of big league time this year. The others I'm not so sure about. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-03-25 14:00:00 | Should Madison Bumgarner fans be worried? (jasemilw4 from Chicago) | A little bit. The velocity drop has been sustained over an offseason and as much as I've been a holdout, at this point I'm wondering what's going on. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2010-02-09 13:00:00 | what does Madison Bumgarner's future hold? worth a flier in a long term keeper league? (Steve from NJ) | It sounds like there's a good chance he'll be the Giants' fifth starter this year, though there are some concerns about him losing velocity last year, and he might need a bit more seasoning. But as a long-term play, I'd take a flier - the Giants do know how to develop young pitchers. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-01-26 14:00:00 | Who will be the top 5 NL players who will make their major league debut in 2010? (chaneyhey from stlouis) | Hmm, that's a toughie because it involves two variables that discount a player's expected value: likelihood of getting to the majors and expected production. We'll go with Heyward, Austin Jackson, Buster Posey, Jason Castro, and Madison Bumgarner. But that's basically an educated guess. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2009-12-11 13:00:00 | Can Madison Bumgarner out-Lincecum Tim Lincecum? (evolution from Chicago) | Maybe in basketball. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2009-09-17 14:00:00 | There is no more divisive prospect on the internets then Madison Bumgarner. The scouting reports don't seem to be matching what we're seeing, the fastball isn't as fast as reported, the secondary stuff doesn't seem to be much of anything. What gives? (Sgrcuts from Flushing) | This needs to be figured out. Basically, he lost velocity slowly throughout the year, yet he still got guys out. I'm still trying to figure out what to make of him to be honest, and I need more information. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2009-09-10 13:00:00 | Did you get a chance to watch Madison Bumgarner's debut on Monday? If so, do you have any comments about his wide delivery, lack of velocity, or future outlook? Much to my chagrin, he seemed to be effective yet uninspiring. (ericmilburn from San Francisco) | REALLY long takeaway, more so than I had expected from what I'd heard about him. Odd because the rest is so compact. I like him, never loved him. (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-02-16 14:00:00 | Last year, many guys coming out of the draft did not make your top 100 prospect list but made it this year such as Madison Bumgarner. Who do you think could make the list next year from the 2008 draft class who did not make it on this year's list? (momansf from Brookline, MA) | I love questions like this, but understand that it's a bit of a guessing game. That said, Casey Kelly from the high school ranks, and Jemile Weeks on the college side. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2009-01-26 14:00:00 | You don't have to spoil your Top 100 list (which we all eagerly await, of course) -- but who's the 2nd best overall pitching prospect now behind David Price? Madison Bumgarner? Tommy Hanson? Neftali Feliz? Chris Tillman? (Andrew T. from Baltimore) | If you read all of the published Top 11s, the answer is in there somewhere. So now you have a puzzle. Just call me Professor Layton and your all the Curious Villagers. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-09-03 14:00:00 | What's with all of the boundless enthusiasm for Madison Bumgarner's big season? Is he really that much more than a guy with a plus fastball and plus fastball command dominating Low-A hitters without needing to make use of his secondary stuff (which is below average from the reports I've seen) ? (Aaron from YYZ) | Yeah! Why are people excited about a first-round pick who just turned 19 who is six-foot-five and lefthanded and had a 1.46 ERA in a full-season league with 164 strikeouts against just 21 walks in 141.2 innings. That makes no sense to me!
In all seriousness however -- yes, Aaron, he's MUCH more than that. Curveball made great strides, and to call the fastball and command merely plus is doing both a grave diservice. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-06-04 16:00:00 | I love the Portal plug. Hard but not hair-pullingly frustrating puzzles combined with excellent dry humor, whats not to love? I wish had been longer though. If they were both available in the same draft, would you take Madison Bumgarner or Tim Melville? (Trenchtown from Washington) | Everyone wishes it was longer, but still it was only $20 bucks, or even cheaper as part of The Orange Box package, so it's not like you got soaked. Gimme Bumgarner. More velo, and he's lefty. I guess I'll live with the arm slot. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-04-01 14:00:00 | Madison Bumgarner has some kinks to work out this season, what is his ceiling and is it higher than tim alderson (lammmster from Long Island NY) | This is one of those funky situations. Bumgarner's ceiling is higher than Alderson, but he's nowhere near as safe a bet. (Kevin Goldstein) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-04-05 09:30:00 | Season Opener Roundtable | Jquinton82 (NY): Heres a few topics: 1) Madison Bumgarner's missing velocity 2) First top 25 prospect to get called up, who & when? 3) The next Jimmy Rollins is...? 4) Word association - Yogi Berra ...discuss amongst yourselves 1) Either he's hurt, or he left it in his other pants. Like lost car keys, missing velocity is always in the last place you look. 2) Well, with Jason Heyward, Neftali Feliz, Brian Matusz and Alcides Escobar breaking camp, this doesn't seem like that big a deal, but I'll go with Buster Posey, May 9, after Bengie Molina sprains some fat. 3) ...taller than Rollins and hopefully blessed with a better OBP. 4) Provider of great book titles by cool people, including our own It Ain't Over 'Til It's Over and friend Emma Span's 90% of The Game Is Half Mental, which is one of this spring's funniest baseball books. Speaking of Yogi, I read a quote the other day that was attributed to him: "In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is." Alas, that quote has also been attributed to one Johannes "Jan" L. A. van de Snepscheut, a Dutch computer scientist who taught at Caltech before bludgeoning his wife to death with an axe in 1994. So there's a happy tale. (Jay Jaffe) |
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