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Dusty Brown
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 27
6'
180 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Red Sox Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Dusty Brown 5 11 .231 1 0 1 0 .308 .339 -0.1
1   2009 Total 5 11 .231 1 0 1 0 .308 .339 -0.1

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 PME AA 331 32 17 0 5 40 24 65 2 1 -1.5 .224 .284 .332 -.437 .189 .242 .281 .181 -31.0 79-C 3 -1.0
2007 PME AA 285 43 16 2 9 43 28 64 0 0 0.0 .268 .344 .453 -.305 .203 .267 .341 .210 -15.3 70-C 1 0.0
2007 PAW AAA 29 1 2 0 0 3 2 10 0 0 0.0 .185 .241 .259 -.598 .148 .207 .222 .125 -4.1 8-C -3 -0.6
2008 PAW AAA 350 39 14 2 12 55 40 81 0 0 1.0 .290 .377 .471 -.061 .248 .334 .414 .263 5.6 70-C -1 1.6


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:58 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 329 35 20 1 9 39 30 81 1 0 -0.4 .252 .328 .422 -.068 .245 .323 .426 .261 7.6 80-C -2 2.0
75o 326 29 17 1 7 35 28 85 1 0 -0.4 .226 .299 .369 -.204 .220 .294 .373 .234 -2.8 79-C -2 1.0
60o 323 25 16 1 6 32 27 88 1 0 -0.3 .210 .281 .337 -.289 .204 .276 .340 .216 -9.1 78-C -2 0.4
50o 323 24 15 1 6 32 26 89 1 0 -0.3 .205 .276 .328 -.312 .200 .271 .331 .210 -10.8 78-C -2 0.3
40o 322 23 15 1 6 31 26 90 1 0 -0.3 .200 .269 .316 -.343 .194 .265 .319 .203 -13.1 78-C -2 0.0
25o 320 21 14 1 5 29 25 92 1 0 -0.3 .188 .256 .293 -.402 .183 .252 .296 .188 -17.4 78-C -1 -0.4
10o 317 17 12 1 4 25 23 97 1 0 -0.3 .169 .233 .254 -.503 .164 .230 .257 .158 -24.6 77-C -1 -1.1
Weighted Mean 336 26 16 1 6 33 27 93 1 0 -0.3 .205 .275 .326 -.280 .199 .270 .329 .209 -11.5 81-C -1 0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

14%

28%

51%

30%

1.22

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 27) 336 26 16 1 6 33 27 93 1 0 -0.3 .205 .275 .326 -.280 .199 .270 .329 .209 -11.5 81-C -1 0.3
2010 (age 28) 312 24 15 1 6 33 25 85 1 0 -0.2 .214 .281 .343 -.264 .211 .280 .350 .217 -6.2 76-C -2 0.4
2011 (age 29) 262 19 13 1 5 26 21 70 1 0 -0.1 .208 .280 .336 -.279 .205 .279 .343 .215 -4.6 65-C -1 0.3
2012 (age 30) 257 20 13 1 6 27 22 66 1 0 -0.1 .217 .291 .351 -.234 .213 .290 .359 .225 -2.7 63-C 0 0.4
2013 (age 31) 245 16 11 0 4 24 19 66 1 0 -0.1 .201 .271 .315 -.326 .198 .270 .322 .203 -4.9 61-C 0 0.2
2014 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 33)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .222 .295 .358
vs RHP .200 .267 .312
Split +.022 +.028 +.046
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -9.9 -1.0 0.3 $400,000 -9.8 1.0
2010 -6.7 -2.0 0.4 $425,000 -4.9 1.1
2011 -6.3 -1.0 0.3 $500,000 -3.3 1.5
2012 -3.6 0.0 0.4 $800,000 -1.7 0.5
2013 -8.4 0.0 0.2 $450,000 -3.4 0.7
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 1.7 $1,375,000 0.0 5.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .234 .210 .188 .209
2010 .239 .219 .185 .217
2011 .242 .214 .175 .215
2012 .242 .211 .175 .225
2013 .237 .210 .166 .203
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 30% 0% 14%
2010 45% 24% 18%
2011 67% 44% 13%
2012 70% 50% 10%
2013 77% 54% 9%
2014 88% 71% 12%
2015 90% 72% 8%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

65

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Kevin Cash 2004 69 11 Bill Bathe 1987 51
2 Tom Prince 1991 60 12 Gilberto Reyes 1990 51
3 Terry McGriff 1990 60 13 Douglas Simunic 1983 51
4 Rey Palacios 1989 59 14 Mark Owens 1990 49
5 Dave Sax 1985 57 15 Bill Lindsey 1987 49
6 Jack Fimple 1986 55 16 Keith Osik 1995 48
7 Bob Natal 1992 54 17 Lou Lucca 1997 48
8 B.J. Waszgis 1997 53 18 Tim Spehr 1993 48
9 Rob Fitzpatrick 1995 52 19 Don McCormack 1982 47
10 Grant Fithian 1998 52 20 Josh Bonifay 2005 46

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Dusty Brown is an organizational backup catcher who can draw a few walks.


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